Jakob Hall — OGILVIE

Jakob Hall P Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 67 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 121

ERA5.50

FIP5.50

K%13.5%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%1.6%

ROS IP67

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	28	3	54	247	45	22	5	11%	1.9	13.5%	10.5%	3.0%	2.9%	6.83	4.90	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	28	3	54	247	45	22	5	11%	1.9	13.5%	10.5%	3.0%	2.9%	6.83	4.90	—
2025	22	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	28	3	54	247	45	22	5	11%	1.9	18.2%	8.9%	9.3%	2.0%	6.83	3.86	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	MIN	64	0	67	283	38	34	8	0%	1.0	13.5%	11.9%	1.6%	3.0%	5.50	5.50	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIN	65	0	68	287	44	33	9	0%	1.0	15.5%	11.4%	4.1%	3.0%	5.30	5.25	-0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIN	65	0	68	287	48	32	9	0%	1.0	16.6%	11.2%	5.5%	3.0%	5.17	5.13	-0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIN	64	0	67	283	48	32	9	0%	1.0	17.0%	11.1%	5.8%	3.0%	5.12	5.12	-0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIN	62	0	65	274	47	31	9	0%	1.0	17.0%	11.2%	5.8%	3.1%	5.15	5.19	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIN	28	0	29	122	19	14	4	0%	1.0	15.5%	11.4%	4.1%	3.0%	5.30	5.25	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIN	43	0	45	190	32	21	6	0%	1.0	16.6%	11.2%	5.5%	3.0%	5.17	5.13	-0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIN	50	0	52	220	37	24	7	0%	1.0	17.0%	11.1%	5.8%	3.0%	5.12	5.12	-0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIN	52	0	55	232	39	26	7	0%	1.1	17.0%	11.2%	5.8%	3.1%	5.15	5.19	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	762	127	85	23	0%	1.0	16.7%	11.2%	5.4%	3.0%	5.17	4.78	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	141	94	25	0%	1.1	16.7%	11.2%	5.4%	3.0%	5.17	4.78	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		28	3	54	247	33	26	7	11%	1.9	13.5%	10.5%	3.0%	2.9%	6.83	4.90	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		104	11	200	915	123	96	27	11%	1.9	13.5%	10.5%	3.0%	2.9%	6.83	4.90	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jakob Hall (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.50	13.5%	11.9%	3.0%	—	5.17	16.4%	5.1%	203	-0.33	—	—	—
Taylor Grover R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SU	5.03	15.1%	12.9%	2.9%	.229	4.30	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.73	3.68	239	88
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	88
Ian Villers R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	13.2%	11.9%	1.9%	.311	4.23	15.6%	5.2%	59	-0.32	4.23	107	88
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	87
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	87
Mark Peterson R 2015 · 4.89 FIP	24	SU	4.89	11.5%	8.5%	3.1%	.277	4.71	15.9%	5.6%	112	-0.18	4.65	185	86
Johendí Jiminian R 2017 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	11.5%	14.0%	3.3%	.300	4.77	13.9%	3.6%	164	-0.93	4.01	419	86
David Reid-Foley R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	24	SU	4.68	13.8%	8.8%	3.0%	.308	6.54	16.2%	7.6%	33	+1.86	4.68	110	86
Jonathan Brand R 2024 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	13.6%	10.6%	2.4%	.284	4.87	22.0%	11.9%	115	+0.26	3.34	198	86
Kender Villegas R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	13.3%	13.3%	1.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	131	86
Jake Johansen R 2015 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	15.8%	12.8%	3.6%	.351	4.14	13.6%	3.0%	114	-1.20	3.65	162	86
Victor Santos R 2001 · 4.97 FIP	24	SW	4.97	15.5%	13.4%	2.7%	.231	4.38	16.4%	7.4%	206	-0.59	4.09	602	86
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	85
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	85
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	85
Troy Neiman R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	13.1%	8.5%	2.7%	.287	4.47	19.7%	11.7%	135	-0.07	4.03	199	85
Jack Carey R 2024 · 5.32 FIP	24	SU	5.32	15.6%	11.3%	3.8%	.305	4.27	19.6%	5.3%	88	-1.05	3.79	250	84
Matthew Gorst R 2019 · 4.66 FIP	24	SU	4.66	16.2%	11.3%	2.7%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	199	84
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	84
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	15.9%	11.4%	1.17	5.25
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Luther Hackman ('03)	1.1	71	13.3%	10.9%	1.10	5.09
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99