Player 828002 — OGILVIE

Player 8280021B DSL Rays

Age — —/— ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 160 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .270 / .266

PA160

HR1

K%30

BB%9

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 29

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER29

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Rays	—	226	184	52	11	3	1	38	49	2	11	6	283	411	391	802	109	375	22	17	365	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	226	195	35	7	2	0	27	60	2	11	6	179	286	236	522	56	252	27	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	226	195	35	7	2	0	27	60	2	11	6	179	286	236	522	56	255	27	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	226	184	52	11	3	1	38	49	2	11	6	283	411	391	802	109	375	22	17	365	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	226	195	35	7	2	0	27	60	2	11	6	179	286	236	522	56	252	27	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	226	195	35	7	2	0	27	60	2	11	6	179	286	236	522	56	252	27	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TB	0%	276	248	47	8	2	2	24	83	2	5	1	194	272	269	541	75	279	30	9	250	55	-15	+1	+0	-5	+6	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TB	0%	213	190	38	7	2	2	19	63	2	4	1	197	275	279	553	82	280	30	9	255	59	-11	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	TB	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	199	277	280	557	81	284	—	—	256	59	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	599	529	101	19	5	3	60	171	5	18	8	191	279	263	542	72	273	29	10	250	55	-19	+1	+0	-7	+8	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	109	21	5	3	65	186	5	20	9	190	278	260	537	70	272	29	10	250	55	-33	+1	+0	-12	+14	-3.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.6	373	3	7	197	271	276	-5	+0	-1.2	-0.6
/162	664	5	12	-9.1	+0.0	-2.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 828002 (OGILVIE)	25	41	29	51	62	192/270/266	74	279	1	3	30%	9%	55	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Devin Ortiz 2024 · A	25	46→47	36→30	46→50	44	208/284/268	61	318	3	7	33%	8%	61	-1.5	210/275/278	68	277	6	10	25%	7%	59	-1.6	201/266/262	61	259	7	12	24%	7%	49	-1.6
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	46	208/267/277	69	268	3	8	23%	7%	55	-1.9	216/296/292	76	302	5	18	28%	8%	71	-0.8	204/300/252	48	293	2	28	28%	9%	61	-0.6
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	44	209/274/269	60	285	4	14	27%	7%	57	-1.8	226/276/298	72	285	4	18	21%	5%	63	-1.3	236/281/294	58	290	2	27	18%	5%	61	-0.8
✕Matt McLaughlin 2021 · A	25	45→43	36→30	44→45	44	209/273/276	67	289	3	10	27%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/280	78	269	6	7	25%	6%	55	-1.9	180/243/240	60	234	4	3	24%	6%	36	-1.8
✕Rand Smith 2012 · A	25	43→39	38→30	49→50	45	206/267/280	74	279	5	13	27%	7%	56	-1.9	211/273/286	75	302	5	8	29%	8%	60	-1.6	193/262/233	41	282	1	4	30%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	199/272/283	84	272	8	13	28%	8%	59	-1.6	209/279/316	107	283	11	11	28%	8%	70	-0.9	174/252/307	134	221	17	8	29%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Danny Oriente 2022 · A	24	45	37→30	43→50	44	211/277/280	69	294	4	7	28%	7%	60	-1.6	215/282/286	71	281	5	11	24%	7%	63	-1.3	208/280/246	37	263	3	16	20%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Maikis De La Cruz 2016 · A	25	44→49	37→40	48→50	39	208/251/282	74	290	4	11	29%	5%	50	-2.3	204/248/279	75	277	5	9	27%	6%	49	-2.4	194/233/256	62	251	5	8	24%	5%	34	-2.1
✕Richard Nunez 2019 · A	24	39	36→30	47→55	47	182/259/252	69	257	2	9	28%	9%	47	-2.5	206/271/297	91	286	6	6	28%	8%	62	-1.4	188/264/281	93	239	9	3	24%	9%	54	-0.3
✕Chris Madera 2018 · A	25	44	36→30	49→50	44	211/260/270	60	270	4	15	23%	6%	51	-2.3	196/248/258	62	244	4	13	20%	6%	43	-2.8	170/223/214	44	206	3	13	18%	6%	24	-3.2
✕Angel Zarate 2024 · A	25	45	37→40	53→50	44	214/279/292	78	292	4	14	27%	7%	63	-1.3	207/276/289	82	269	6	14	23%	8%	62	-1.4	159/247/204	45	192	3	19	18%	9%	34	-0.8
✕Tim Smalling 2013 · A	25	47→43	39→40	51→45	45	223/277/312	88	292	5	8	24%	7%	67	-1.1	210/261/290	80	274	5	8	24%	6%	56	-1.9	203/253/276	73	260	5	8	23%	5%	47	-1.4
✕Tanner Vavra 2014 · A	25	44	35→30	44→45	43	201/270/256	55	301	2	5	32%	8%	52	-2.2	211/275/264	53	302	2	7	29%	6%	56	-1.9	210/275/254	44	300	1	7	28%	5%	50	-1.2
✕Bryan Johns 2013 · A	24	43	35→30	43→45	48	200/278/263	63	277	2	7	26%	9%	57	-1.8	199/267/281	82	284	6	8	30%	7%	57	-1.8	148/213/206	57	214	6	5	32%	5%	19	-1.2
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	43→38	39→40	47→45	45	207/262/298	91	262	6	8	23%	6%	58	-1.7	196/248/273	77	272	4	7	28%	6%	47	-2.5	176/222/238	61	248	2	5	28%	5%	26	-2.5
✕Logan Warmoth 2021 · AA	25	44→40	37→40	53→55	41	200/269/277	76	312	4	13	34%	7%	57	-1.8	197/277/296	99	311	9	20	36%	8%	65	-1.2	187/271/285	97	288	9	24	35%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Connor McVey 2019 · A	24	44	40→30	45→50	44	210/283/299	88	306	7	9	32%	8%	68	-1.0	201/297/276	75	292	6	9	30%	10%	68	-1.0	179/293/237	58	260	6	9	30%	11%	57	-1.2
✕Brody Moore 2024 · A	24	41→51	36→30	50→55	40	192/252/256	64	297	3	14	34%	7%	45	-2.7	218/266/281	63	294	4	20	26%	6%	55	-1.9	228/275/284	56	297	4	23	23%	5%	57	-1.3
✕Nick Natoli 2013 · AA	25	42	37→30	52→50	51	197/281/273	76	266	4	10	26%	10%	61	-1.5	182/255/252	70	265	4	11	30%	8%	47	-2.6	145/223/193	48	218	1	11	31%	8%	19	-2.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps