Trent Turzenski — OGILVIE

Trent Turzenski P Frederick Keys

Age 26 RHP 6'6" / 240 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 12 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%22.8%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%12.0%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	6	0	7	30	10	2	1	0%	1.2	33.3%	6.7%	26.7%	3.3%	1.23	2.96	—
2024	23	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	6	0	7	30	10	2	1	0%	1.2	33.3%	6.7%	26.7%	3.3%	1.23	2.96	—
2024	23	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	6	0	7	30	10	2	1	0%	1.2	33.3%	6.7%	26.7%	3.3%	1.23	2.96	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	31	130	42	15	1	0%	1.4	21.6%	12.6%	9.0%	1.2%	2.87	3.56	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	31	130	42	15	1	0%	1.4	21.6%	12.6%	9.0%	1.2%	2.87	3.56	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	31	130	42	15	1	0%	1.4	32.3%	11.5%	20.8%	0.8%	2.87	2.27	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	0	14	63	24	15	0	0%	1.1	38.1%	23.8%	14.3%	0.0%	1.93	2.90	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	0	14	63	24	15	0	0%	1.1	38.1%	23.8%	14.3%	0.0%	1.93	2.90	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	0	14	63	24	15	0	0%	1.1	38.1%	23.8%	14.3%	0.0%	1.93	2.89	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	BAL	11	0	12	51	12	5	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.8%	12.0%	2.9%	4.53	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	BAL	26	0	28	117	27	13	4	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.7%	12.2%	3.0%	4.53	4.55	0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	BAL	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	22.9%	10.7%	12.2%	3.0%	4.53	4.55	0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	43	10	5	1	0%	1.0	22.9%	10.7%	12.2%	3.0%	4.53	4.17	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	196	98	20	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.7%	12.2%	3.0%	4.53	4.17	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		42	0	53	223	62	33	3	0%	1.3	27.8%	15.0%	12.9%	1.2%	2.39	3.29	0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		159	0	200	847	236	127	10	0%	1.3	27.8%	15.0%	12.9%	1.2%	2.39	3.29	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trent Turzenski (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	22.8%	10.8%	2.9%	—	4.55	22.9%	12.2%	28	+0.02	—	—	—
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	90
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	88
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	87
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	86
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	86
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	86
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	85
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	85
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	85
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	85
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	85
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.36	21.4%	10.8%	92	+0.05	3.89	168	84
Kyle Winkler R 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	8.7%	2.6%	.234	3.53	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.17	2.97	114	84
Scott Dohmann R 2004 · 4.44 FIP	26	SU	4.44	24.7%	9.6%	4.0%	.270	4.80	20.6%	8.5%	112	+0.36	4.28	173	84
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	84
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	83
Jack Hartman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	26	SU	4.34	20.9%	8.8%	3.4%	.310	4.29	17.6%	5.6%	46	-0.05	3.46	161	83
Pedro Villarreal R 2014 · 3.51 FIP	26	SU	3.51	19.4%	9.7%	1.5%	.233	3.86	15.3%	11.4%	102	+0.35	3.32	116	82
Shawn Armstrong R 2017 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.1%	9.2%	3.3%	.282	3.18	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.03	1.79	653	82
Brian Sanches R 2006 · 5.30 FIP	27	SU	5.30	22.4%	10.2%	5.1%	.295	4.52	19.0%	10.1%	82	-0.78	3.39	229	82