Elias Marrero

SS DSL Phillies Red

Age 19 L/R 6'1" / 181 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Phillies …	160	.175/.294/.190	0	2	-11	—	.099/.200/.106
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBPHI	270	.171/.244/.224	1	3	35	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPHI	43	.177/.251/.241	0	1	41	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%51

BB%34

Z-Con%24

Speed15

Whiff%14

wRC+11

CompsCesar Baez (age 19) · Luis Montano (age 19) · Noe Berroa (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†35

AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .242 / .222

PA76

HR0

K%33

BB%7

ISO54

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	160	137	24	2	0	0	18	55	5	2	1	175	294	190	484	15	293	34	11	242	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	160	142	14	1	0	0	13	68	5	2	1	99	200	106	306	7	185	42	8	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	160	142	14	1	0	0	13	68	5	2	1	99	200	106	306	7	189	42	8	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	160	137	24	2	0	0	18	55	5	2	1	175	294	190	484	15	293	34	11	242	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	160	141	14	1	0	0	13	68	5	2	1	99	200	106	306	7	185	42	8	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	160	141	14	1	0	0	13	68	5	2	1	99	200	106	306	7	185	42	8	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	270	244	41	6	1	1	20	89	4	3	1	171	244	224	468	54	259	33	7	219	35	-21	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	124	112	20	3	1	1	9	40	2	2	1	177	251	240	490	63	262	32	7	229	41	-9	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	43	39	6	1	0	0	3	14	1	1	0	177	251	241	493	64	262	33	7	230	41	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	43	39	6	1	0	0	3	14	1	1	0	154	233	179	412	26	240	33	7	230	17	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	91	15	0	0	45	212	15	15	0	154	232	180	412	25	241	33	7	230	17	-46	+3	+0	+7	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	360	323	45	6	1	1	28	133	8	5	2	139	226	173	399	34	232	37	8	193	17	-15	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	82	11	2	2	51	240	14	9	4	141	227	177	404	36	233	37	8	193	17	-48	+1	+0	+7	+14	-2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elias Marrero (OGILVIE)	19	20	20	40	40	169/242/222	53	259	0	1	33%	7%	35	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cesar Baez 2014 · A	19	37	35→30	45→50	38	178/241/235	57	277	3	9	35%	6%	36	-3.3	185/264/235	50	263	1	11	27%	9%	46	-2.6	167/259/200	33	235	0	14	26%	10%	34	-1.1
✕Luis Montano 2019 · A	19	36	38→40	40	44	170/253/252	82	271	4	3	36%	9%	46	-2.6	171/234/254	83	313	4	4	43%	7%	38	-3.2	133/185/225	91	259	5	3	48%	5%	11	-1.3
✕Noe Berroa 2013 · A	19	36	36→30	45	38	176/233/244	68	261	3	7	32%	6%	35	-3.4	195/254/263	68	305	3	8	34%	6%	47	-2.5	171/244/220	49	289	0	10	37%	7%	33	-0.8
✕Jose Sanabria 2022 · A	19	37	35→30	44→50	45	174/256/231	57	244	2	10	27%	8%	42	-2.9	192/268/246	54	280	2	10	29%	9%	49	-2.4	187/263/230	43	278	1	11	30%	9%	42	-1.4
✕Luis Mota 2019 · A	18	40	35→30	40→45	47	186/267/242	55	281	2	6	32%	9%	49	-2.4	196/289/245	49	299	2	7	31%	10%	58	-1.7	171/292/178	7	266	0	6	30%	13%	43	-1.0
✕Jefry Puente 2011 · A	19	33	34→40	49→50	45	160/239/209	49	237	2	9	31%	8%	31	-3.7	168/259/236	68	224	2	13	24%	9%	45	-2.7	138/245/209	70	178	2	18	21%	10%	33	-1.1
✕Jhon Diaz 2022 · A	19	34→26	35→45	47→50	43	163/238/223	60	266	3	7	37%	9%	33	-3.6	174/231/267	93	282	7	13	38%	7%	40	-3.1	164/219/273	109	248	11	18	37%	6%	35	-1.9
✕Luis Ravelo 2023 · A	19	37→34	36→30	47→45	44	179/244/240	60	251	3	7	28%	7%	38	-3.2	180/244/248	68	284	5	4	36%	7%	40	-3.0	168/233/229	61	266	5	2	36%	7%	31	-2.0
✕Misael Mojica 2024 · A	19	40	37→30	43→40	48	183/284/255	72	296	4	4	35%	11%	59	-1.7	191/278/257	66	327	3	6	38%	10%	56	-1.9	121/240/137	16	235	0	5	42%	12%	18	-0.8
✕Jeikol Contreras 2019 · A	19	30	37→30	36→40	48	150/239/220	69	224	4	5	32%	10%	34	-3.5	181/242/262	81	330	5	5	43%	7%	43	-2.8	141/184/223	82	337	6	0	57%	5%	9	-1.0
✕Nestor Tejada 2016 · A	19	35	34→30	48→45	41	168/240/226	58	257	1	7	33%	7%	34	-3.5	185/268/263	78	263	3	6	28%	8%	54	-2.0	129/251/214	85	174	2	2	24%	10%	36	-0.8
✕Junior Amarante 2014 · A	19	35	34→30	48→55	41	167/234/216	48	253	2	11	32%	7%	30	-3.8	191/253/237	46	269	1	16	27%	6%	41	-3.0	181/246/207	26	251	0	22	26%	6%	29	-1.2
✕Maurizo Buda 2011 · A	19	35	35→30	36→40	44	169/252/228	58	251	2	4	31%	8%	40	-3.1	182/265/245	63	247	3	4	25%	8%	49	-2.4	166/258/219	53	220	3	2	24%	9%	40	-1.2
✕Isaac Bellony 2021 · A	19	37	39→40	42→40	46	182/251/264	83	247	6	7	28%	8%	47	-2.5	186/252/288	102	340	9	5	44%	8%	53	-2.1	163/230/267	104	334	9	3	50%	7%	38	-1.3
✕Moises Perez 2016 · A	19	33	34→30	42→50	35	160/205/212	51	251	1	9	35%	5%	16	-4.8	184/224/259	75	291	4	8	36%	4%	34	-3.5	186/223/260	74	285	4	9	35%	4%	32	-1.6
✕Yonatan Suero 2012 · A	19	33	35→30	47→55	37	160/241/221	60	258	3	9	36%	6%	35	-3.4	186/253/241	55	267	3	11	29%	6%	42	-2.9	176/254/214	38	235	2	18	24%	7%	35	-1.4
✕Edidson Rojas 2019 · A	20	38	35→30	45→55	48	180/267/238	58	254	3	11	28%	9%	48	-2.5	186/261/260	74	276	4	10	31%	8%	51	-2.3	136/219/209	74	204	5	13	34%	8%	22	-1.3
✕Joan Mauricio 2017 · A	20	34	35→40	46→45	40	167/216/227	60	239	2	6	30%	6%	24	-4.2	186/248/245	59	254	4	5	26%	7%	41	-3.0	145/227/162	17	194	3	0	25%	9%	13	-1.3
✕Dan Arcila 2008 · A	18	34	34→40	45→50	41	162/226/217	55	259	2	5	36%	8%	26	-4.0	163/245/220	57	251	2	13	32%	9%	35	-3.4	148/205/259	111	200	11	10	31%	6%	25	-1.3
✕Juan Batista 2019 · A	18	34	35→30	45→55	41	166/229/225	59	236	2	9	29%	6%	30	-3.8	184/259/256	72	257	3	15	27%	8%	48	-2.5	135/222/197	62	228	1	23	37%	9%	20	-1.6