Elias MarreroSS DSL Phillies Red
Age 18 L/R 6'1" / 181 lbs ROK HR +11%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.4 · 2034
wRC+†47
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .257 / .278
PA133
HR2
K%32
BB%7
MLB%0%
BAT: -8.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
2020
PWR
2020
SPD
4040
EYE
4040
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.3peak
2034

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+2.9$28M+$27M
2033Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+3.2$31M+$31M
2034Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+3.4$34M+$33M
2035Ext / FA-deal$7M+3.3$34M+$28M
2036Ext / FA-deal$11M+3.2$34M+$24M
2037Ext / FA-deal$15M+3.0$33M+$18M
Totals $35M $196M +$160M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Phillies Red 160143 13100 12815 21 .091.188.098.285 .007.210 518 .144 -32 -24 +0 +0 +2 +5 -1.8
▸ 2026 Season
202618 MLBPHI 133121 24412 10431 20 .198.265.298.563 .099.277 328 .246 47 -8 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202719 MLB 11%PHI 221198 41714 18663 41 .207.283.313.596 .106.293 308 .278 71 -7 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.2
202820 MLB 28%PHI 354314 701228 321015 62 .223.305.350.655 .127.299 299 .296 84 -6 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.8
202921 MLB 48%PHI 454401 9216311 431267 82 .229.315.367.681 .137.300 289 .305 92 -4 +1 +0 +5 +13 1.5
203022 MLB 65%PHI 525460 10618314 521418 92 .230.319.374.693 .143.300 2710 .314 99 -1 +1 +0 +6 +15 2.1
203123 MLB 86%PHI 573501 11820416 591518 92 .236.326.387.713 .152.300 2610 .320 103 +2 +1 +0 +6 +16 2.6
203224 MLBPHI 604526 12521418 641579 92 .238.331.395.726 .158.301 2611 .324 106 +4 +1 +0 +6 +17 2.9
203325 MLBPHI 622541 13022419 671619 92 .240.334.401.735 .161.301 2611 .327 108 +6 +1 +0 +7 +18 3.2
203426 MLBPHI 631548 13122419 691639 91 .239.334.398.732 .159.302 2611 .329 110 +7 +1 +0 +7 +18 3.4
203527 MLBPHI 632548 13122419 701649 81 .239.335.398.733 .159.302 2611 .329 110 +7 +1 +0 +7 +18 3.3
203628 MLBPHI 627543 13022419 701649 81 .239.336.400.736 .160.302 2611 .328 109 +6 +1 -1 +7 +18 3.2
203729 MLBPHI 618535 12621418 691649 70 .236.333.391.723 .155.301 2711 .326 107 +5 +1 -1 +7 +18 3.0
203830 MLBPHI 607525 12220318 681639 70 .232.331.385.715 .152.299 2711 .322 105 +3 +1 -2 +7 +17 2.7
203931 MLBPHI 593514 11820317 661618 60 .230.327.379.706 .150.298 2711 .319 102 +1 +1 -3 +6 +17 2.3
204032 MLBPHI 575498 11319316 641608 50 .227.325.373.698 .147.296 2811 .314 98 -1 +1 -4 +6 +16 1.9
204133 MLBPHI 545471 10517314 611558 50 .223.322.361.683 .138.295 2811 .308 94 -4 +1 -4 +6 +15 1.5
204234 MLBPHI 498433 9415312 551467 50 .217.315.349.664 .132.293 2911 .302 89 -6 +1 -5 +5 +14 1.0
204335 MLBPHI 442385 8113210 481346 40 .210.308.332.640 .122.291 3011 .294 83 -8 +1 -6 +5 +13 0.4
204436 MLBPHI 381332 681128 411195 40 .205.302.322.624 .117.288 3111 .285 77 -10 +1 -6 +4 +11 -0.1
204537 MLBPHI 316275 54826 341024 30 .196.294.305.599 .109.284 3211 .276 69 -11 +1 -7 +3 +9 -0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 101118812 199233159268 10722822146 12917 .226.320.368.688 .142.299 2811 .310 96 -48 +19 -38 +108 +286 33.4
/ 162G 650566 12821417 691819 81 .226.319.367.687 .141.299 2811 .310 96 -3 +1 -2 +7 +18 2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Phillies Red 160137 24200 18555 21 .175.294.190.484 .015.293 3411 .242 43 -10 +0 +5 -0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Elias Marrero (OGILVIE) 18 20 20 40 40 .190/.257/.278 .088.277 22 32% 7% 47 -0.4
Victor Arias
2022 · A
18 44→46 38→45 46→50 44 .204/.277/.282 .078.314 69 34% 9% 56 -1.3 .209/.295/.306 .097.329 714 35% 9% 70 -0.3 .219/.297/.335.116.314101831%8%75+0.0
Nicoll Parra
2012 · A
18 40 37→30 44→55 44 .188/.267/.260 .072.282 48 32% 8% 46 -2.0 .196/.307/.250 .054.269 118 24% 12% 63 -0.9 .186/.321/.224.038.25402722%14%60-0.3
Victor Rodrigues
2023 · A
18 41 38→30 49→50 44 .199/.262/.281 .083.258 57 24% 6% 50 -1.8 .211/.287/.284 .073.267 59 21% 9% 61 -1.0 .221/.317/.274.053.27451019%11%69-0.2
Juan Alonso
2022 · A
18 42→36 37→40 43→50 40 .199/.260/.273 .074.298 410 33% 6% 46 -2.0 .188/.286/.269 .081.350 59 43% 10% 58 -1.2 .161/.273/.241.079.3365747%10%45-0.9
Nelson Quiroz
2021 · A
19 44 37→40 47→40 45 .209/.268/.279 .070.271 56 24% 7% 50 -1.7 .224/.289/.327 .103.275 75 20% 8% 72 -0.2 .253/.306/.321.068.2882012%6%73-0.0
Felix G. Santana
2013 · A
18 39 37→40 43→50 36 .183/.243/.251 .068.295 47 38% 6% 33 -2.9 .203/.262/.275 .072.284 48 28% 5% 47 -1.9 .215/.272/.289.074.2814824%4%52-0.5
Jose Perez
2022 · A
18 41 39→40 43→45 45 .197/.269/.283 .086.283 57 30% 8% 53 -1.5 .199/.297/.285 .086.268 58 25% 11% 66 -0.6 .192/.313/.283.092.2545723%13%71-0.1
Edwin Amparo
2023 · A
18 43 38→40 43→60 43 .203/.267/.286 .083.282 58 28% 7% 53 -1.5 .195/.277/.282 .087.283 622 30% 9% 56 -1.3 .178/.265/.270.093.27293735%10%47-1.0
Carlos Soler
2018 · A
18 40 37→45 46→45 40 .189/.251/.270 .080.278 38 31% 6% 41 -2.3 .214/.270/.303 .089.316 38 31% 6% 57 -1.2 .238/.290/.344.106.3522831%5%73-0.0
Randel Alcantara
2015 · A
18 41 43→45 42→45 42 .202/.270/.308 .106.277 114 30% 7% 60 -1.0 .201/.267/.310 .109.267 86 27% 6% 59 -1.1 .186/.252/.305.119.2418625%5%48-0.6
Carlos Rodriguez
2022 · A
19 40 40→45 46→45 47 .186/.285/.282 .096.298 86 36% 11% 61 -1.0 .184/.262/.261 .077.294 66 36% 9% 44 -2.1 .182/.268/.267.085.2746333%10%48-0.6
Jose Paez
2012 · A
18 36 36→45 50 41 .175/.242/.240 .065.268 316 34% 7% 30 -3.1 .220/.268/.310 .090.309 512 29% 5% 58 -1.2 .226/.270/.319.093.31941229%5%56-0.4
Herman Armas
2006 · A
19 38 37→45 41→50 44 .183/.254/.250 .067.263 47 30% 8% 38 -2.6 .208/.276/.312 .104.287 910 29% 7% 63 -0.8 .212/.283/.329.117.282111227%7%69-0.2
Maximo Rivera
2011 · A
18 41 35→45 46→60 39 .191/.251/.249 .059.289 39 33% 6% 36 -2.7 .205/.260/.294 .089.270 918 26% 6% 52 -1.6 .234/.281/.297.063.30052423%5%58-0.3
Josue Briceño
2023 · A
18 39→41 42→60 44→40 38 .195/.242/.294 .099.280 105 33% 6% 43 -2.2 .222/.286/.353 .131.282 144 25% 8% 78 +0.2 .228/.304/.389.161.27319223%9%94+0.6
Ricky Cabrera
2023 · A
18 43 38→45 48→60 37 .201/.274/.283 .082.302 48 32% 5% 56 -1.3 .218/.294/.318 .100.311 815 31% 6% 73 -0.1 .220/.298/.329.109.312112030%6%75-0.0
Angel Ortiz
2022 · A
19 42→40 41→50 46→40 44 .207/.262/.297 .091.272 99 27% 7% 53 -1.5 .205/.256/.301 .096.278 87 27% 6% 51 -1.7 .210/.263/.325.115.27610327%6%59-0.6
Felipe Burin
2010 · A
18 43 36→40 43→45 46 .201/.253/.267 .067.247 35 20% 6% 40 -2.4 .232/.297/.304 .072.285 35 18% 8% 69 -0.4 .236/.304/.302.066.2962319%8%71-0.1
Adonis Figuereo
2019 · A
18 38 38→30 46→45 44 .186/.250/.266 .080.256 58 28% 7% 40 -2.4 .193/.263/.271 .078.267 66 28% 8% 47 -1.9 .194/.266/.259.066.2506524%8%43-0.8
Raul Juarez
2016 · A
18 38 38→45 46→40 37 .185/.245/.266 .081.256 57 29% 4% 39 -2.5 .207/.266/.291 .084.273 85 26% 5% 53 -1.5 .203/.259/.274.071.2668326%4%44-0.5