Kevin Warunek

P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 24 LHP 6'4" / 201 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	MIX2 levels	26	42	3.46	3.03	29.9%	9.6%	—	K 23.4% · BB 9.3% · FIP 4.20
2026	23	MIX4 levels	17	21	3.43	5.58	28.3%	14.1%	—	K 28.3% · BB 14.1% · FIP 5.49
2027PROJ	24	MLBPHI	19	20	4.34	4.34	23.4%	9.3%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBPHI	15	16	4.29	4.26	23.8%	9.0%	0.1

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDaniel Schlereth (age 24) · Ryan Rowland-Smith (age 24) · Mike Zagurski (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99108vR 116

ERA4.34

FIP4.34

K%23.4%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%14.1%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	42	177	53	17	4	0%	1.6	23.4%	9.3%	14.1%	3.5%	3.46	4.20	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	42	177	53	17	4	0%	1.6	23.4%	9.3%	14.1%	3.5%	3.46	4.20	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	42	177	53	17	4	0%	1.6	29.9%	9.6%	20.3%	2.3%	3.46	3.03	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	17	0	21	92	26	13	5	0%	1.2	28.3%	14.1%	14.1%	5.4%	3.43	5.49	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	17	0	21	92	26	13	5	0%	1.2	28.3%	14.1%	14.1%	5.4%	3.43	5.49	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	4 levels	17	0	21	92	26	13	5	0%	1.2	28.3%	14.1%	14.1%	5.4%	3.43	5.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	PHI	19	0	20	84	20	8	3	0%	1.1	23.4%	9.3%	14.1%	3.0%	4.34	4.34	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	36	0	38	160	38	14	5	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.0%	14.8%	3.0%	4.29	4.26	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	15	0	16	68	16	6	2	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.0%	14.8%	3.0%	4.29	4.26	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	16	69	16	6	2	0%	1.0	23.8%	9.0%	14.8%	3.0%	4.29	3.88	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	196	73	24	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.0%	14.8%	3.0%	4.29	3.88	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		43	0	63	269	67	30	11	0%	1.5	25.1%	11.0%	14.1%	4.1%	3.45	4.64	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	0	200	859	215	94	35	0%	1.5	25.1%	11.0%	14.1%	4.1%	3.45	4.64	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kevin Warunek (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.34	23.4%	9.3%	3.0%	—	4.26	23.8%	14.8%	38	-0.08	—	—	—
Daniel Schlereth L 2010 · 3.59 FIP	24	SU	3.59	21.8%	8.0%	2.4%	.305	4.64	20.8%	7.6%	49	+1.05	3.06	130	90
Ryan Rowland-Smith L 2007 · 3.35 FIP	24	SU	3.35	25.0%	8.3%	2.4%	.324	4.89	12.7%	4.4%	324	+1.54	3.35	363	89
Mike Zagurski L 2007 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	20.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	89
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	85
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	85
Easton Lucas L 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	23.6%	9.2%	3.7%	.316	4.00	21.5%	11.9%	184	-0.29	3.38	311	84
Brandon Hughes L 2021 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	27.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.300	4.59	24.3%	15.3%	149	+0.91	3.68	206	84
Mason Melotakis L 2016 · 3.32 FIP	25	SU	3.32	23.6%	9.2%	1.9%	.379	4.35	18.2%	7.1%	80	+1.03	3.32	142	83
Jose Mijares L 2009 · 3.88 FIP	24	SU	3.88	21.7%	8.7%	2.8%	.254	3.61	19.1%	10.3%	138	-0.27	2.78	249	83
Rafael Perez L 2006 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	26.8%	8.9%	3.6%	.235	3.21	23.6%	17.0%	185	-0.72	2.74	403	83
Scott Elbert L 2009 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	25.3%	8.4%	4.8%	.294	2.95	23.2%	15.1%	66	-1.73	2.32	105	83
Thomas Burrows L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	24	SU	3.99	22.0%	10.5%	2.6%	.276	3.93	26.5%	12.9%	82	-0.06	2.67	271	82
Graeme Stinson L 2022 · 3.56 FIP	24	SU	3.56	23.0%	10.5%	1.9%	.275	4.85	19.5%	3.9%	45	+1.29	3.56	146	82
Chris Cotton L 2015 · 3.69 FIP	24	SU	3.69	20.7%	7.0%	2.6%	.288	4.17	9.7%	3.3%	61	+0.48	3.69	128	82
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.3%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	82
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	81
Wayne Franklin L 2000 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	20.4%	10.7%	1.9%	.319	5.53	13.7%	2.4%	231	+1.73	3.80	315	81
Robert Garcia L 2019 · 4.35 FIP	23	SU	4.35	24.0%	11.4%	3.3%	.342	4.38	22.0%	10.4%	106	+0.03	2.21	471	81
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	81
Michael Johnson L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	24	SU	3.92	20.6%	9.4%	2.5%	.260	4.70	17.6%	7.7%	185	+0.78	3.92	256	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	23.7%	9.1%	1.16	4.31
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Ed Vosberg ('86-'02, 1 WAR*)	1.2	47	21.0%*	9.6%*	0.86*	4.06*
Carlos Diaz ('82-'86, 2 WAR*)	1.3	52	25.1%*	8.7%*	0.91*	3.84*