Player 824973 — OGILVIE

Player 8249731B DSL Tampa Bay

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 175 proj PA

wRC+55

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .265 / .275

PA175

HR1

K%29

BB%7

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 28

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER28

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	204	57	13	4	0	28	47	3	18	5	279	374	382	757	103	354	20	12	336	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	212	37	8	2	0	20	57	3	18	5	175	255	231	486	57	226	24	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	212	37	8	2	0	20	57	3	18	5	175	255	231	486	57	233	24	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	204	57	13	4	0	28	47	3	18	5	279	374	382	757	103	354	20	12	336	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	216	37	8	2	0	20	57	3	18	5	171	255	227	482	56	226	24	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	216	37	8	2	0	20	57	3	18	5	171	255	227	482	56	226	24	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	291	265	54	10	3	2	21	84	3	6	1	201	267	278	545	77	284	29	7	249	55	-16	+1	+0	-5	+6	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	225	205	42	8	2	2	16	64	2	5	1	204	270	288	558	84	284	28	7	254	58	-11	+1	+0	-4	+5	-1.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	204	270	288	558	84	284	—	—	254	58	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	641	575	112	22	6	3	49	171	7	27	7	195	266	270	536	75	268	27	8	241	49	-21	+1	+0	-7	+9	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	113	22	6	3	50	173	7	27	7	194	266	268	533	74	266	27	8	241	49	-33	+2	+0	-12	+14	-3.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.6	400	3	9	204	266	285	-6	+0	-1.3	-0.6
/162	664	5	14	-9.2	+0.0	-2.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 824973 (OGILVIE)	25	47	28	56	50	200/265/275	76	284	1	4	29%	7%	55	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	44	209/274/269	60	285	4	14	27%	7%	57	-1.8	226/276/298	72	285	4	18	21%	5%	63	-1.3	236/281/294	58	290	2	27	18%	5%	61	-0.8
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	46	208/267/277	69	268	3	8	23%	7%	55	-1.9	216/296/292	76	302	5	18	28%	8%	71	-0.8	204/300/252	48	293	2	28	28%	9%	61	-0.6
✕Angel Zarate 2024 · A	25	45	37→40	53→50	44	214/279/292	78	292	4	14	27%	7%	63	-1.3	207/276/289	82	269	6	14	23%	8%	62	-1.4	159/247/204	45	192	3	19	18%	9%	34	-0.8
✕Tanner Kirwer 2021 · A	25	45	38→40	56→60	40	209/275/285	76	314	5	19	33%	7%	61	-1.5	207/286/305	98	294	11	33	31%	8%	70	-0.8	193/276/279	86	273	10	41	31%	8%	58	-0.9
✕Devin Ortiz 2024 · A	25	46→47	36→30	46→50	44	208/284/268	61	318	3	7	33%	8%	61	-1.5	210/275/278	68	277	6	10	25%	7%	59	-1.6	201/266/262	61	259	7	12	24%	7%	49	-1.6
✕Chad Christensen 2016 · A	25	43→44	38→40	53→55	38	205/255/282	77	304	5	16	33%	6%	52	-2.2	204/256/286	82	314	6	15	35%	6%	53	-2.1	152/203/215	63	237	8	18	38%	5%	14	-1.1
✕Maikis De La Cruz 2016 · A	25	44→49	37→40	48→50	39	208/251/282	74	290	4	11	29%	5%	50	-2.3	204/248/279	75	277	5	9	27%	6%	49	-2.4	194/233/256	62	251	5	8	24%	5%	34	-2.1
✕Chris Madera 2018 · A	25	44	36→30	49→50	44	211/260/270	60	270	4	15	23%	6%	51	-2.3	196/248/258	62	244	4	13	20%	6%	43	-2.8	170/223/214	44	206	3	13	18%	6%	24	-3.2
✕George Roberts 2015 · A	25	46	38→40	53→50	39	218/268/298	80	305	5	11	29%	5%	61	-1.5	218/269/311	93	300	7	9	28%	6%	64	-1.3	202/249/294	92	269	5	4	26%	4%	49	-0.4
✕Brody Moore 2024 · A	24	41→51	36→30	50→55	40	192/252/256	64	297	3	14	34%	7%	45	-2.7	218/266/281	63	294	4	20	26%	6%	55	-1.9	228/275/284	56	297	4	23	23%	5%	57	-1.3
✕Elliott Blair 2013 · A	25	42→52	39→40	53→50	39	200/263/288	88	280	5	12	29%	5%	57	-1.8	218/279/314	96	309	7	9	30%	6%	69	-0.9	226/287/322	96	322	7	9	30%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Torii Hunter Jr. 2021 · A	26	45→47	36→40	56→55	42	205/274/273	68	315	3	17	34%	8%	57	-1.8	207/262/309	102	331	9	21	38%	6%	61	-1.5	200/253/304	104	321	10	26	38%	6%	53	-1.1
✕Andy Simunic 2011 · A	25	50→56	36→30	52→50	48	230/299/295	65	312	3	14	26%	8%	72	-0.7	231/285/296	65	310	4	14	25%	7%	66	-1.1	252/294/288	36	321	2	17	21%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Rand Smith 2012 · A	25	43→39	38→30	49→50	45	206/267/280	74	279	5	13	27%	7%	56	-1.9	211/273/286	75	302	5	8	29%	8%	60	-1.6	193/262/233	41	282	1	4	30%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Tim Smalling 2013 · A	25	47→43	39→40	51→45	45	223/277/312	88	292	5	8	24%	7%	67	-1.1	210/261/290	80	274	5	8	24%	6%	56	-1.9	203/253/276	73	260	5	8	23%	5%	47	-1.4
✕Grant Hogue 2010 · A	24	46→55	37→30	54→55	42	218/274/296	78	283	3	16	24%	5%	63	-1.4	237/288/291	54	299	1	22	20%	5%	65	-1.2	247/297/292	45	309	1	29	19%	5%	66	-0.7
✕Dom Duggan 2009 · A	24	46	37→40	54→55	40	213/269/295	81	308	3	15	30%	6%	60	-1.6	203/259/284	81	272	5	16	26%	6%	54	-2.0	182/242/255	72	235	4	22	23%	6%	39	-1.8
✕Daniel Amaral 2021 · A	24	48	37→40	53→55	43	223/288/301	77	308	4	16	27%	6%	70	-0.9	212/276/320	108	289	10	20	28%	7%	70	-0.9	205/275/310	105	273	9	31	27%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Nick Blasi 2007 · A	25	46→55	38→40	52→50	43	218/273/301	83	290	5	11	25%	6%	63	-1.4	228/277/311	83	322	7	11	29%	6%	67	-1.1	232/280/305	74	332	7	12	31%	5%	63	-0.9
✕Logan Warmoth 2021 · AA	25	44→40	37→40	53→55	41	200/269/277	76	312	4	13	34%	7%	57	-1.8	197/277/296	99	311	9	20	36%	8%	65	-1.2	187/271/285	97	288	9	24	35%	8%	58	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps