Cesar Aquino

P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 201 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2031

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKDSL Pirates G…	12	6	46	0.98	2.23	21.3%	4.0%	—	K 14.5% · BB 5.0% · FIP 3.04
2025	20	MIX2 levels	21	1	47	4.18	2.99	17.9%	4.2%	—	K 12.4% · BB 5.2% · FIP 3.92
2026	21	MIX4 levels	28	0	57	3.30	4.53	18.5%	5.8%	—	K 14.5% · BB 6.9% · FIP 5.71
2027PROJ	22	MLBPIT	34	0	36	4.77	4.77	16.5%	6.6%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBPIT	25	0	26	4.61	4.54	18.6%	6.6%	0.0
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBPIT	36	0	38	4.48	4.40	19.9%	6.6%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsReece Karalus (age 22) · Jaycob Deese (age 23) · Connor Eller (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.77

FIP4.77

K%16.5%

BB%6.6%

K-BB%9.8%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	12	6	46	174	37	7	1	50%	3.8	14.5%	5.0%	9.4%	1.0%	0.98	3.04	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	12	6	46	174	37	7	1	50%	3.8	14.5%	5.0%	9.4%	1.0%	0.98	3.04	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	12	6	46	174	37	7	1	50%	3.8	21.3%	4.0%	17.2%	0.6%	0.98	2.23	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	1	47	190	34	8	3	5%	2.3	12.4%	5.2%	7.2%	2.2%	4.18	3.92	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	1	47	190	34	8	3	5%	2.3	12.4%	5.2%	7.2%	2.2%	4.18	3.92	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	1	47	190	34	8	3	5%	2.3	17.9%	4.2%	13.7%	1.6%	4.18	2.99	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	4 levels	28	0	57	243	45	14	10	0%	2.0	14.5%	6.9%	7.6%	5.4%	3.30	5.71	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	4 levels	28	0	57	243	45	14	10	0%	2.0	14.5%	6.9%	7.6%	5.4%	3.30	5.71	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	4 levels	28	0	57	243	45	14	10	0%	2.0	18.5%	5.8%	12.8%	4.1%	3.30	4.53	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	PIT	34	0	36	152	25	10	5	0%	1.1	16.5%	6.6%	9.8%	3.4%	4.77	4.77	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	PIT	51	0	54	226	42	15	7	0%	1.0	18.6%	6.6%	12.0%	3.3%	4.61	4.54	+0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	PIT	52	0	55	231	46	15	7	0%	1.1	19.9%	6.6%	13.3%	3.2%	4.48	4.40	+0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	PIT	53	0	56	234	48	15	7	0%	1.0	20.6%	6.6%	14.0%	3.2%	4.39	4.33	+0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	PIT	53	0	56	234	49	15	7	0%	1.0	20.9%	6.6%	14.3%	3.2%	4.33	4.30	+0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	PIT	52	0	55	231	48	15	7	0%	1.1	20.9%	6.7%	14.2%	3.2%	4.33	4.34	+0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	PIT	25	0	26	110	20	7	4	0%	1.0	18.6%	6.6%	12.0%	3.3%	4.61	4.54	+0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	PIT	36	0	38	160	32	11	5	0%	1.1	19.9%	6.6%	13.3%	3.2%	4.48	4.40	+0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	PIT	43	0	45	190	39	12	6	0%	1.0	20.6%	6.6%	14.0%	3.2%	4.39	4.33	+0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	PIT	46	0	48	203	42	13	6	0%	1.0	20.9%	6.6%	14.3%	3.2%	4.33	4.30	+0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	PIT	47	0	49	207	43	14	7	0%	1.0	20.9%	6.7%	14.2%	3.2%	4.33	4.34	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		198	0	207	876	178	58	28	0%	1.0	20.4%	6.6%	13.8%	3.2%	4.41	3.98	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	56	27	0%	1.1	20.4%	6.6%	13.8%	3.2%	4.41	3.98	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		61	7	151	607	84	35	19	11%	2.5	13.8%	5.8%	8.0%	3.1%	2.87	4.39	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	9	200	806	111	47	25	11%	2.5	13.8%	5.8%	8.0%	3.1%	2.87	4.39	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cesar Aquino (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	16.5%	6.6%	3.4%	—	4.42	19.7%	13.1%	164	-0.35	—	—	—
Reece Karalus R 2016 · 4.80 FIP	22	SU	4.80	18.5%	8.6%	4.0%	.298	4.81	14.8%	4.1%	103	+0.01	4.73	149	89
Jaycob Deese R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	17.4%	6.8%	4.0%	.309	4.83	13.6%	4.4%	140	+0.15	3.28	208	88
Connor Eller R 2016 · 4.35 FIP	22	SU	4.35	16.7%	7.5%	3.1%	.222	4.55	10.8%	-1.2%	136	+0.20	3.79	170	88
Fred Villarreal R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	23	SU	3.93	17.6%	6.8%	2.6%	.331	3.64	14.1%	3.5%	63	-0.29	3.64	114	87
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	87
Vince Arobio R 2017 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	16.5%	5.6%	3.8%	.237	3.97	22.7%	13.3%	89	-0.52	3.67	118	87
Lorenzo Barcelo R 2000 · 4.10 FIP	22	SU	4.10	16.6%	5.1%	3.2%	.246	3.14	15.6%	9.4%	21	-0.96	3.14	259	86
Robbie Welhaf R 2018 · 4.06 FIP	23	SU	4.06	14.0%	7.6%	2.1%	.309	3.11	18.1%	15.0%	90	-0.95	3.11	121	86
Matthew Gorst R 2017 · 4.13 FIP	22	SU	4.13	15.8%	7.0%	2.7%	.269	3.89	16.6%	8.0%	130	-0.24	3.20	199	85
Aaron Brooks R 2015 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	15.2%	7.3%	2.5%	.314	3.54	13.7%	6.0%	77	-0.55	3.54	109	85
Michael Bowden R 2009 · 4.96 FIP	22	SU	4.96	16.0%	8.0%	4.0%	.370	4.45	19.3%	9.7%	75	-0.51	3.21	269	85
Mike Burke R 2015 · 3.90 FIP	22	SU	3.90	14.7%	4.4%	2.7%	.266	4.47	17.3%	10.3%	140	+0.57	3.90	207	84
Jordan DiValerio R 2021 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	16.9%	5.6%	3.9%	.341	5.94	16.6%	11.1%	140	+1.44	4.50	213	84
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	84
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	84
Hector Noesí R 2011 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	18.2%	7.3%	2.3%	.320	4.89	16.1%	8.4%	306	+1.16	3.73	613	84
Micah Dallas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SW	4.56	15.1%	5.7%	3.6%	.374	4.24	18.1%	9.3%	152	-0.32	3.60	202	84
Tyler Zombro R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	22	SU	4.37	14.6%	8.9%	2.5%	.295	2.67	15.7%	12.7%	134	-1.70	2.22	172	84
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	84
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	52	19.8%	6.6%	1.25	4.47
Juan Carlos Oviedo ('14)	1.9	56	18.9%	8.0%	1.16	4.28
Junichi Tazawa ('18)	2.0	49	22.2%	6.5%	1.12	4.12
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Cris Carpenter ('88-'96, 2 WAR*)	2.1	69	18.3%*	7.4%*	1.15*	4.29*
Larry Casian ('90-'98, 0 WAR*)	1.2	40	14.7%*	6.8%*	1.25*	4.37*
Tim Crews ('87-'92, 3 WAR*)	2.1	71	20.8%*	6.2%*	1.09*	4.11*