Dominic Niman

P Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 26 LHP 6'3" / 220 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	24	ATB	14	1	39	1.60	3.02	24.7%	7.6%	—	K 18.3% · BB 9.0% · FIP 3.86
2026	25	MIX3 levels	26	14	100	4.33	4.75	18.9%	5.1%	—	K 14.6% · BB 6.0% · FIP 5.86
2027PROJ	26	MLBTB	52	0	55	5.03	5.03	16.1%	6.7%	-0.3
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBTB	30	0	32	4.98	4.99	16.7%	6.9%	-0.2
2029PROJ59% MLB	28	MLBTB	49	0	51	4.98	5.02	16.9%	7.1%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsPat Misch (age 26) · Brian Duensing (age 26) · Ben Holmes (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112121vR 129

ERA5.03

FIP5.03

K%16.1%

BB%6.7%

K-BB%9.4%

Proj IP55

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	24	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	14	1	39	158	39	12	3	7%	2.8	18.3%	9.0%	9.3%	2.1%	1.60	3.86	—
2025	24	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	14	1	39	158	39	12	3	7%	2.8	18.3%	9.0%	9.3%	2.1%	1.60	3.86	—
2025	24	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	14	1	39	158	39	12	3	7%	2.8	24.7%	7.6%	17.1%	1.9%	1.60	3.02	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	14	100	429	81	22	20	54%	3.8	14.6%	6.0%	8.6%	5.9%	4.33	5.86	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	14	100	429	81	22	20	54%	3.8	14.6%	6.0%	8.6%	5.9%	4.33	5.86	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	14	100	429	81	22	20	54%	3.8	18.9%	5.1%	13.8%	4.7%	4.33	4.75	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	TB	52	0	55	232	37	16	9	0%	1.1	16.1%	6.7%	9.4%	3.8%	5.03	5.03	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TB	84	0	88	373	62	26	14	0%	1.1	16.7%	6.9%	9.8%	3.7%	4.98	4.99	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	TB	82	0	86	362	61	26	14	0%	1.0	16.9%	7.1%	9.9%	3.8%	4.98	5.02	-0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	TB	78	0	82	345	59	25	13	0%	1.0	17.0%	7.3%	9.6%	3.9%	5.05	5.11	-0.5
2031	30	MLB MLE	TB	73	0	77	325	61	22	13	0%	1.1	18.7%	6.9%	11.9%	4.1%	5.01	5.00	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	TB	30	0	32	135	23	9	5	0%	1.1	16.7%	6.9%	9.8%	3.7%	4.98	4.99	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	TB	49	0	51	215	36	15	8	0%	1.0	16.9%	7.1%	9.9%	3.8%	4.98	5.02	-0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	TB	55	0	58	245	42	18	10	0%	1.1	17.0%	7.3%	9.6%	3.9%	5.05	5.11	-0.4
2031	30	MLB CTX	TB	57	0	60	253	47	17	10	0%	1.1	18.7%	6.9%	11.9%	4.1%	5.01	5.00	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		191	0	201	847	148	60	33	0%	1.0	17.4%	7.1%	10.4%	3.9%	5.01	4.66	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	148	60	33	0%	1.1	17.4%	7.1%	10.4%	3.9%	5.01	4.66	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		40	15	139	587	91	40	29	38%	3.5	15.6%	6.8%	8.8%	4.9%	3.56	5.32	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	22	200	845	132	57	41	38%	3.5	15.6%	6.8%	8.8%	4.9%	3.56	5.32	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dominic Niman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	16.1%	6.7%	3.8%	—	5.04	16.9%	9.8%	256	+0.01	—	—	—
Pat Misch L 2008 · 5.05 FIP	26	SW	5.05	16.5%	5.7%	4.8%	.268	4.53	10.8%	5.4%	100	-0.52	3.50	265	85
Brian Duensing L 2009 · 3.98 FIP	26	SW	3.98	14.8%	8.4%	1.9%	.286	3.90	15.2%	9.3%	401	-0.08	2.57	799	79
Ben Holmes L 2018 · 4.02 FIP	26	SW	4.02	19.1%	9.3%	2.5%	.264	5.57	19.7%	8.6%	61	+1.55	3.09	451	79
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	79
Eric DuBose L 2003 · 3.92 FIP	27	SP-	3.92	14.4%	7.5%	2.0%	.233	5.49	13.7%	0.4%	104	+1.57	3.92	178	76
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	75
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	74
Matt Tracy L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SW	3.96	14.4%	9.8%	1.5%	.306	4.10	14.7%	5.5%	208	+0.14	3.24	298	74
Eric Wooten L 2015 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	14.6%	7.5%	2.2%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	116	73
Ryan Kellogg L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	25	SW	3.99	12.4%	5.8%	2.2%	.359	4.33	12.3%	7.1%	64	+0.34	3.65	446	73
Nick Dombkowski L 2024 · 4.92 FIP	25	SW	4.92	16.5%	10.9%	3.3%	.273	5.17	18.2%	10.6%	183	+0.25	3.71	425	72
Matt Tomshaw L 2015 · 3.91 FIP	26	SP-	3.91	13.8%	6.0%	2.2%	.318	3.57	16.0%	10.7%	401	-0.34	3.04	681	72
Austin Hamilton L 2019 · 4.02 FIP	25	SW	4.02	17.3%	7.9%	2.5%	.374	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	135	72
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	72
Dan Meyer L 2007 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	13.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.316	4.35	20.6%	11.8%	86	-0.41	3.73	112	71
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.34 FIP	23	SW	4.34	17.3%	12.1%	2.1%	.314	6.07	19.2%	3.4%	165	+1.73	4.34	244	71
Jason Wheeler L 2017 · 4.40 FIP	26	SP-	4.40	16.1%	5.8%	3.5%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	401	71
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	70
John Rheinecker L 2006 · 4.14 FIP	27	SP-	4.14	8.7%	5.9%	1.9%	.364	5.13	16.7%	5.8%	50	+0.99	4.14	121	70
Wesley Wright L 2010 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	19.6%	8.8%	4.2%	.310	3.38	23.9%	16.5%	106	-1.47	3.03	375	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	78	17.1%	7.0%	1.49	5.01
Nelson Cruz ('03)	1.7	58	18.2%	7.2%	1.52	5.04
Bill Trotter ('37-'44, -3 WAR*)	2.4	97	15.3%*	7.0%*	1.43*	4.99*
Paul Reuschel ('75-'79, 1 WAR*)	2.0	79	16.8%*	7.6%*	1.29*	4.76*
Xavier Rescigno ('43-'45, 0 WAR*)	1.7	112	18.7%*	7.8%*	1.47*	4.78*
Bob Wells ('02)	3.2	79	15.0%	7.2%	1.43	5.03
Travis Harper ('06)	2.1	69	15.0%	7.5%	1.33	4.94