Peyton Havard
P
Clearwater Threshers
Age 24
RHP
6'0" / 215 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119109vR 100
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%23.1%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.79 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 5.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 17 | 0 | 33 | 170 | 36 | 14 | 9 | 0% | 1.9 | 15.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.73 | 6.79 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PHI | 22 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.1% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.38 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 56 | 268 | 59 | 23 | 12 | — | — | 21.9% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 4.5% | 6.94 | 5.79 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 22 | 0 | 23 | 99 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.92 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 80 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 18 | 0 | 34 | 175 | 29 | 19 | 12 | 0% | 1.9 | 16.4% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.47 | 6.73 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 106 | 0 | 200 | 1029 | 168 | 109 | 69 | 0% | 1.9 | 16.4% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.47 | 6.73 | -3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Peyton Havard (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 23.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | — | 4.30 | 23.5% | 14.6% | 23 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 87 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 87 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 87 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 86 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.75 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .340 | 4.62 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.75 | 223 | 85 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 85 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 85 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.45 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.17 | 3.02 | 214 | 84 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2027 · 3.88 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.88 | 25.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .299 | 5.10 | 22.4% | 6.5% | 121 | +1.22 | 3.88 | 158 | 84 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 84 |
| Trey McLoughlin R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.89 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .295 | 4.73 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 95 | +0.84 | 3.78 | 217 | 84 |
| Josh Advocate R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.59 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 75 | +0.01 | 3.58 | 118 | 84 |
| Breckin Williams R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.74 | 22.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .282 | 2.79 | 23.4% | 15.8% | 48 | -0.95 | 2.72 | 107 | 83 |
| Zach Franklin R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 83 |
| Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.31 | 23.4% | 8.2% | 2.1% | .262 | 6.15 | 20.6% | 11.1% | 128 | +2.84 | 3.31 | 207 | 83 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 83 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 83 |
| Brian Hunter R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.18 | 24.5% | 10.1% | 1.6% | .245 | 3.31 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 41 | +0.13 | 2.99 | 112 | 82 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 82 |
| Cole Ayers R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.1% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .298 | 5.00 | 15.2% | -0.4% | 32 | +1.14 | 3.52 | 171 | 82 |