Peyton Havard — OGILVIE

Peyton Havard P Clearwater Threshers

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 215 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 22 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.12

FIP5.12

K%17.6%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%7.8%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	1	0	1	5	2	2	0	0%	1.0	40.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.79	—
2025	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	1	0	1	5	2	2	0	0%	1.0	40.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.79	—
2025	23	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	1	0	1	5	2	2	0	0%	1.0	40.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	5.10	—
2026	24	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	21	0	38	200	38	17	11	0%	1.8	14.1%	10.0%	4.0%	7.2%	9.32	7.11	—
2026	24	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	21	0	38	200	38	17	11	0%	1.8	14.1%	10.0%	4.0%	7.2%	9.32	7.11	—
2026	24	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	21	0	38	200	38	17	11	0%	1.8	19.0%	8.5%	10.5%	5.5%	9.32	6.23	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	PHI	21	0	22	93	16	9	3	0%	1.0	17.6%	9.9%	7.8%	3.4%	5.12	5.12	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	PHI	32	0	34	143	27	14	5	0%	1.1	18.9%	9.8%	9.2%	3.4%	5.00	4.98	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	PHI	13	0	14	59	11	6	2	0%	1.1	18.9%	9.8%	9.2%	3.4%	5.00	4.98	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	61	12	6	2	0%	1.0	18.9%	9.8%	9.2%	3.4%	5.00	4.60	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	166	83	28	0%	1.1	18.9%	9.8%	9.2%	3.4%	5.00	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		22	0	39	205	30	22	14	0%	1.8	14.7%	10.8%	3.9%	7.0%	9.08	7.05	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		114	0	200	1060	156	114	74	0%	1.8	14.7%	10.8%	3.9%	7.0%	9.08	7.05	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Peyton Havard (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.12	17.6%	9.9%	3.4%	—	4.98	18.9%	9.2%	34	-0.14	—	—	—
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	87
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	85
Luis Vizcaino R 2000 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	18.8%	11.5%	2.1%	.354	4.31	22.7%	14.9%	180	+0.20	3.07	564	85
Carlos Alvarado R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.3%	10.0%	3.5%	.342	4.15	24.3%	14.8%	78	-0.75	2.68	102	85
Josh Hejka R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	16.7%	10.8%	2.9%	.363	3.93	15.8%	8.7%	77	-0.72	2.91	202	84
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	84
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	84
Kyle Whitten R 2024 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	18.0%	9.9%	4.2%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	152	83
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	83
Jordan Milbrath R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	19.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.272	3.61	19.6%	9.7%	129	-0.44	3.19	386	83
Vinnie Chulk R 2004 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	17.7%	10.5%	2.4%	.308	3.95	16.9%	9.6%	171	-0.31	2.97	271	83
Woo-Suk Go R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	25	SU	4.80	17.3%	8.8%	3.7%	.359	4.16	21.5%	10.2%	64	-0.64	3.57	116	83
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	83
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	82
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	82
Luis Eusebio R 2019 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.2%	10.6%	3.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.79	131	82
Brian Glowicki R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	16.4%	8.3%	3.0%	.275	3.92	26.0%	14.1%	62	-0.49	2.31	189	82
Davison Palermo R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	24	SU	5.31	16.3%	11.2%	4.0%	.261	4.90	19.8%	7.4%	136	-0.41	4.32	220	82
Chris Hatcher R 2012 · 5.60 FIP	27	SU	5.60	15.2%	9.1%	4.8%	.298	2.68	26.4%	20.9%	95	-2.92	2.51	246	82
Jack Carey R 2024 · 5.32 FIP	24	SU	5.32	15.6%	11.3%	3.8%	.305	4.27	19.6%	5.3%	88	-1.05	3.79	250	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	18.4%	9.8%	1.32	5.05
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Jeff Manship ('16)	1.1	32	16.5%	9.3%	1.05	4.82