Player 822261 — OGILVIE

Player 8222611B DSL Rays

Age — —/— ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .273 / .329

PA60

HR0

K%23

BB%6

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Rays	—	15	13	3	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	231	286	385	670	154	231	7	7	275	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	15	13	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	154	214	308	522	154	152	7	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	15	13	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	154	214	308	522	154	154	7	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	15	13	3	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	231	286	385	670	154	231	7	7	275	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	15	14	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	143	214	286	500	143	152	7	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	15	14	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	143	214	286	500	143	152	7	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TB	0%	200	185	42	4	6	1	12	46	1	2	1	226	275	332	607	106	291	23	6	270	69	-7	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TB	0%	103	95	22	2	3	1	6	23	1	1	0	227	277	335	613	109	290	22	6	273	71	-4	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	TB	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	231	281	342	623	111	296	—	—	277	71	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	178	165	36	3	6	1	10	38	1	1	2	218	267	327	594	109	273	21	6	266	66	-6	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	132	11	22	4	37	139	4	4	7	219	269	330	599	111	274	21	6	266	66	-23	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 822261 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	224/273/329	105	291	0	0	23%	6%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Rotondo 2024 · A	25	44→40	41→45	57→50	45	204/294/311	108	309	7	12	33%	9%	75	-0.5	207/276/301	94	329	8	13	37%	7%	65	-1.2	194/256/265	71	324	7	16	40%	6%	46	-1.6
✕Duke Sardinha 2006 · A	25	42→33	40→50	46→45	45	206/264/301	94	266	8	8	25%	7%	60	-1.6	199/246/325	126	276	14	6	32%	5%	59	-1.6	191/239/324	133	257	16	5	32%	5%	54	-1.1
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	39	39→45	49→45	40	188/257/278	90	253	6	7	27%	5%	53	-2.1	195/250/270	75	280	3	6	30%	5%	48	-2.5	165/211/221	56	238	0	2	29%	3%	19	-1.1
✕Sam Praytor 2024 · A	25	37	42→45	49→55	40	187/249/289	101	268	10	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	203/271/315	112	272	11	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/298	107	248	11	9	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Michael Helman 2021 · A	25	42	39→50	45→55	43	204/247/289	85	247	6	8	20%	5%	50	-2.3	211/270/356	145	257	17	21	24%	7%	76	-0.4	215/276/356	141	263	17	28	25%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Wagner Lagrange 2021 · A	25	45	41→45	48→40	41	218/261/320	102	281	7	5	25%	5%	63	-1.4	224/267/334	110	287	11	7	25%	5%	68	-1.0	222/260/327	105	278	12	5	24%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Cody Roberts 2021 · A	25	44	37→45	49→40	42	208/265/277	69	296	4	6	30%	7%	55	-2.0	211/274/316	105	315	10	4	34%	7%	68	-1.0	208/265/306	98	299	9	3	32%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Wynston Sawyer 2016 · A	24	43	39→45	52→45	45	209/265/297	88	267	6	7	24%	6%	59	-1.6	223/297/330	107	286	9	6	24%	8%	80	-0.2	223/309/335	112	282	10	2	23%	8%	83	+0.0
✕T.J. White 2017 · AA	25	43→45	39→45	51→45	43	207/269/295	88	267	6	10	24%	6%	61	-1.5	210/269/336	126	273	12	6	27%	6%	70	-0.8	202/262/345	143	255	15	2	27%	5%	68	-0.5
✕Chris Emanuele 2009 · A	25	44	40→45	49→50	43	212/278/311	99	286	7	9	27%	7%	68	-1.0	213/273/316	103	296	9	13	30%	6%	67	-1.1	206/261/305	100	289	10	17	31%	5%	57	-1.3
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	43→38	39→40	47→45	45	207/262/298	91	262	6	8	23%	6%	58	-1.7	196/248/273	77	272	4	7	28%	6%	47	-2.5	176/222/238	61	248	2	5	28%	5%	26	-2.5
✕Chris Paul 2017 · A	24	40→37	38→40	52→40	36	194/241/271	78	282	5	5	32%	4%	44	-2.8	218/260/314	96	295	7	4	27%	4%	61	-1.5	228/265/331	103	298	8	2	26%	3%	65	-0.7
✕Donny Sands 2021 · A	25	41	38→45	45→40	40	197/249/279	82	279	5	5	30%	6%	49	-2.4	230/288/350	120	280	13	4	22%	7%	80	-0.1	226/288/339	113	276	12	2	22%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45→44	40→45	46→45	42	216/281/312	96	287	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.9	238/297/375	137	293	13	8	23%	5%	90	+0.6	243/303/387	143	295	14	8	22%	5%	91	+0.4
✕T.J. Olesczuk 2016 · A	24	43	41→50	51→45	38	206/254/317	111	282	6	6	29%	5%	60	-1.6	207/257/303	96	294	7	7	30%	5%	58	-1.7	166/209/208	42	245	4	4	33%	4%	14	-0.9
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	35	42→50	52→40	39	182/228/283	101	243	10	7	29%	5%	42	-2.9	209/254/329	120	292	12	5	31%	5%	63	-1.4	190/235/299	108	268	11	1	32%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Tim Smalling 2013 · A	25	47→43	39→40	51→45	45	223/277/312	88	292	5	8	24%	7%	67	-1.1	210/261/290	80	274	5	8	24%	6%	56	-1.9	203/253/276	73	260	5	8	23%	5%	47	-1.4
✕Chris Denove 2008 · A	25	40	38→40	47→40	42	194/251/271	78	264	6	5	28%	6%	49	-2.4	230/285/319	89	285	5	4	20%	6%	72	-0.7	242/298/332	90	292	6	3	18%	6%	77	-0.1