Jeffery Heard

OF Rancho Cucamonga Quakes
Age 24 L/L A K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2207ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202623A/ROKLAA187.308/.454/.521415103—.232/.352/.379
2027PROJMLE24MLBLAA237.211/.288/.32948750.0
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBLAA39.212/.290/.3341178-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB26MLBLAA81.214/.291/.3402380-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed98
Z-Con%93
wOBA88
ISO88
wRC+87
BB%80
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%
CompsLance Durham (age 24) · John Silviano (age 23) · Nick Thurman (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 86 proj PA
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .286 / .326
PA86
HR1
K%29
BB%8
ISO118
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.00.0272829
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202623 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 11290 25723 18254 120 278420500920 222355 2216 408 97 — — — — — —
202623 ROKACL Angels — 7556 20421 11156 31 3575075541.060 196452 2015 457 112 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202623 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 11296 20522 12344 120 208321365686 156307 3011 311 97 — — — — — —
202623 ROK MLEACL Angels — 7560 16311 7226 31 267397400797 133343 299 334 112 — — — — — —
202623 A MLE2 teams — 187156 36833 195610 151 231351378730 147333 3010 320 103 — — — — — —
202623 A RAW2 teams — 187146 451144 294010 151 308454521975 212394 2116 428 103 — — — — — —
202623 A MLE2 teams — 187156 36833 195610 151 231351378730 147321 3010 320 103 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202623 A MLE2 teams — 187156 36833 195610 151 231351378730 147321 3010 320 103 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLELAA 0% 237212 44824 19704 81 211288329617 118290 308 279 75 -7 +1 +0 -1 +5 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLELAA 30% 129116 24512 10372 51 213291336627 123291 298 283 78 -3 +1 +0 -1 +3 -0.1
202926 MLB MLELAA 44% 184164 36724 15533 71 215293342634 127290 298 286 80 -4 +1 +0 -1 +4 -0.1
202825 MLB CTXLAA 30% 3935 7101 3111 10 212290334624 122288 288 282 78 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.0
202926 MLB CTXLAA 44% 8173 16312 7231 31 214291340631 126288 289 285 80 -2 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 120108 23413 10342 41 213292352644 139282 288 284 86 -3 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 12422516 5418411 225 212291349639 137281 288 284 86 -16 +2 +0 -4 +14 -0.4
Career— MLE — 586513 11223710 5117117 303 218310349659 131304 299 295 86 -10 +2 +0 -2 +9 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650569 12526811 5719019 333 220312351663 132306 299 295 86 -17 +4 +0 -4 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 112 PAwOBA .398 → .311 (−87)K% 22.3% → 30.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.32%÷1.000×1.360——30.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.07%÷1.000×0.690—×0.99010.98%
HBP% /PA3.57%—×0.780—×0.9902.76%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.000×0.920×0.993×0.99018.08%
Doubles /BIP10.77%÷1.000×0.830×0.993×0.9908.78%
Triples /BIP3.08%÷1.000×0.910×0.993×0.9902.75%
Home runs /BIP4.62%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9903.66%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .398 → .311; ISO .222 → .176; BABIP .355 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Angels · 75 PAwOBA .459 → .334 (−124)K% 20.0% → 28.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷1.000×1.440——28.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.67%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9658.78%
HBP% /PA8.00%—×0.720—×0.9655.56%
Singles /BIP31.71%÷1.000×0.820—×0.96525.09%
Doubles /BIP9.76%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9656.78%
Triples /BIP4.88%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9653.39%
Home runs /BIP2.44%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9651.84%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .459 → .334; ISO .196 → .145; BABIP .452 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).