Jhoanjel Saez — OGILVIE

Jhoanjel SaezSS DSL Brewers Blue

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 150 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .278 / .293

PA100

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.2M
Totals		$14M		$31M	+$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	50	46	8	1	1	0	3	9	1	4	2	174	240	239	479	65	216	18	6	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	50	44	11	1	2	0	5	6	1	4	2	250	340	364	704	114	289	12	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	118	102	15	3	1	1	13	35	1	11	4	147	250	225	475	78	206	30	11	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	118	94	19	4	1	1	21	27	1	11	4	202	353	298	651	96	265	23	18	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	MIL	—	100	91	19	3	1	1	8	28	1	2	0	209	280	297	577	88	288	28	8	263	59	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIL	34%	189	170	36	6	2	2	15	51	2	4	1	212	283	306	589	94	290	27	8	274	68	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2028	21	MLB	MIL	48%	324	290	64	11	3	5	27	85	4	7	1	221	296	331	627	110	291	26	8	282	74	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2029	22	MLB	MIL	54%	423	380	85	15	4	7	35	110	5	9	2	224	298	339	637	116	292	26	8	287	78	-11	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.7
2030	23	MLB	MIL	57%	489	441	99	17	4	9	40	126	5	11	2	224	296	342	639	118	293	26	8	291	81	-11	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.0
2031	24	MLB	MIL	57%	532	477	108	18	5	10	44	137	6	12	2	226	300	348	648	122	294	26	8	293	83	-10	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.2
2032	25	MLB	MIL	57%	557	500	113	19	5	11	46	143	6	12	2	226	299	350	649	124	294	26	8	295	84	-10	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.3
2033	26	MLB	MIL	56%	571	511	117	20	5	12	48	147	7	13	2	229	304	358	662	129	294	26	8	296	85	-10	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.4
2034	27	MLB	MIL	55%	575	514	118	20	5	12	49	148	7	13	2	230	305	358	663	128	294	26	9	296	85	-10	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.5
2035	28	MLB	MIL	55%	573	512	117	20	5	12	49	149	7	12	2	229	305	357	662	129	294	26	9	295	84	-10	+2	-1	+6	+16	1.3
2036	29	MLB	MIL	53%	564	504	114	19	5	11	49	148	6	11	2	226	302	349	652	123	293	26	9	293	83	-11	+1	-1	+6	+16	1.1
2037	30	MLB	MIL	53%	555	496	112	19	5	11	48	147	6	10	2	226	302	351	653	125	292	26	9	291	81	-12	+1	-2	+6	+16	0.9
2038	31	MLB	MIL	52%	541	483	108	18	5	10	47	145	6	8	1	224	300	344	644	120	290	27	9	287	78	-14	+1	-3	+6	+15	0.6
2039	32	MLB	MIL	56%	523	467	101	17	4	9	45	142	6	7	1	216	293	328	621	111	287	27	9	282	74	-15	+1	-4	+6	+15	0.2
2040	33	MLB	MIL	54%	494	444	94	15	4	8	42	136	5	5	1	212	287	318	605	106	284	28	9	275	69	-17	+1	-4	+5	+14	-0.2
2027	20	MLB	MIL	34%	65	59	13	2	1	1	5	17	1	1	0	220	292	339	631	119	288	26	8	264	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	MIL	48%	157	141	30	5	1	2	13	41	2	3	1	213	288	305	593	92	289	26	8	272	66	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2029	22	MLB	MIL	54%	229	205	46	8	2	4	19	60	3	5	1	224	300	341	641	117	290	26	8	277	70	-8	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2030	23	MLB	MIL	57%	277	249	56	9	3	5	23	72	3	6	1	225	298	345	644	120	291	26	8	280	73	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2031	24	MLB	MIL	57%	301	270	61	10	3	6	25	78	3	7	1	226	299	352	651	126	292	26	8	283	74	-9	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2032	25	MLB	MIL	57%	315	282	64	11	3	6	26	81	4	7	1	227	301	351	652	124	292	26	8	284	76	-9	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2033	26	MLB	MIL	56%	323	289	65	11	3	6	27	83	4	7	1	225	300	346	646	121	292	26	8	285	76	-9	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2034	27	MLB	MIL	55%	319	285	65	11	3	6	27	82	4	7	1	228	304	351	655	123	292	26	8	285	76	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2035	28	MLB	MIL	55%	315	281	64	11	3	6	27	82	4	7	1	228	304	352	657	125	291	26	9	284	76	-9	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.4
2036	29	MLB	MIL	53%	302	270	61	10	3	6	26	79	3	6	1	226	301	352	653	126	291	26	9	283	75	-9	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.3
2037	30	MLB	MIL	53%	292	262	58	10	3	5	25	77	3	5	1	221	297	340	636	118	290	26	9	280	73	-9	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.2
2038	31	MLB	MIL	52%	282	253	55	9	2	5	24	75	3	4	1	217	293	328	621	111	288	27	9	277	70	-10	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.0
2039	32	MLB	MIL	56%	294	264	56	9	2	5	25	80	3	4	1	212	288	318	606	106	285	27	9	272	66	-11	+0	-2	+3	+8	-0.1
2040	33	MLB	MIL	54%	268	240	50	8	2	4	23	74	3	3	0	208	286	308	594	100	281	28	9	266	62	-12	+1	-2	+3	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3739	3350	744	124	34	67	315	981	43	72	12	222	297	339	637	117	292	26	8	279	72	-118	+10	-8	+40	+106	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	130	22	6	12	55	171	7	13	2	223	298	344	641	120	294	26	8	279	72	-21	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	7178	6428	1428	241	64	131	608	1886	81	151	29	222	297	341	638	119	292	26	8	287	78	-178	+19	-15	+77	+203	10.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	130	22	6	12	55	171	7	14	3	223	298	344	641	120	294	26	8	287	78	-16	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	50	44	11	1	2	0	5	6	1	4	2	250	340	364	704	114	289	12	10	320	103	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	118	94	19	4	1	1	21	27	1	11	4	202	353	298	651	96	265	23	18	305	92	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,837	71	75	224	296	344	+41	+24	6.5	5.7
	/162	664	12	13	224	296	344	+7.1	+4.2	1.1	pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhoanjel Saez (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	207/278/293	86	288	1	2	28%	8%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	48	-1.9	215/267/306	91	282	7	10	25%	6%	56	-1.3	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→41	40→55	51→50	44	201/267/302	101	282	7	12	30%	7%	56	-1.3	197/248/287	90	281	7	11	31%	5%	44	-2.1	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	40→50	40→45	50→65	41	196/253/282	87	272	8	16	30%	6%	45	-2.1	225/290/327	102	307	8	38	27%	7%	72	-0.2	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	40	38→55	49→45	43	195/258/270	75	266	5	11	28%	7%	44	-2.1	205/253/318	113	280	11	7	30%	5%	55	-1.4	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Oswald Peraza 2019 · A	19	43→52	35→50	54→60	41	201/265/263	62	286	2	12	29%	6%	46	-2.0	222/277/311	89	292	8	20	26%	5%	63	-0.9	228/285/371	143	284	18	30	26%	6%	78	+0.2
●Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	37→47	38→45	50→55	44	183/245/265	82	243	5	12	26%	7%	37	-2.6	233/283/341	108	299	5	13	22%	6%	72	-0.2	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	37→47	37→55	52→50	43	181/245/254	73	265	4	14	32%	7%	35	-2.8	201/256/305	104	305	6	9	33%	7%	52	-1.6	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2021 · A	19	45→47	37→50	49→50	43	209/275/287	78	306	4	12	31%	8%	56	-1.3	231/269/358	127	281	13	15	22%	4%	72	-0.2	227/264/372	145	291	16	11	28%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	211/276/297	86	310	7	9	32%	8%	59	-1.1	239/285/329	90	301	8	17	22%	5%	70	-0.3	252/302/359	107	305	10	17	20%	6%	82	+0.4
●Óscar Mercado 2014 · A	19	38→48	37→55	52→60	40	182/239/254	73	261	3	13	30%	6%	32	-3.0	192/241/259	67	240	4	23	21%	5%	33	-2.9	240/303/397	157	276	16	22	19%	7%	94	+1.0
✕Cristian Inoa 2018 · A	19	44→43	39→45	51→45	46	211/281/297	86	269	5	12	23%	7%	61	-1.0	208/280/291	83	281	4	8	25%	8%	59	-1.1	222/273/340	119	270	12	5	22%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→48	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	45	-2.1	206/254/321	115	262	11	14	25%	5%	56	-1.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	42→41	39→55	47→50	50	201/285/293	92	282	6	8	29%	10%	63	-0.9	187/257/303	116	284	10	9	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	50	-1.7	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	63	-0.9	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	69	-0.1
✕Eguy Rosario 2019 · A	19	40→50	41→50	47→55	38	197/248/296	99	280	8	13	32%	5%	46	-2.0	223/270/347	124	311	11	16	30%	5%	69	-0.4	219/282/363	144	293	15	21	29%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Juan Lagares 2008 · A	19	40→50	39→45	52→50	39	194/239/288	94	268	5	12	29%	5%	40	-2.4	218/247/301	83	286	5	12	25%	3%	46	-2.0	261/302/366	105	316	7	13	19%	4%	83	+0.3