Franco Zabaleta

P ACL Athletics

Age 20 LHP 6'2" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038 peak 0.8 · 2032

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKOAK	11	8	53	0.51	2.23	22.2%	7.1%	—	K 15.1% · BB 8.8% · FIP 2.94
2026	19	ROKOAK	13	8	50	7.74	4.52	19.9%	12.4%	—	K 13.5% · BB 15.4% · FIP 5.75
2027PROJ	20	MLBOAK	5	5	34	5.72	5.72	14.1%	14.4%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBOAK	4	4	24	5.40	5.31	16.0%	13.0%	-0.1
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLBOAK	6	6	38	5.12	4.99	17.7%	11.8%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control45Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 96%

CompsSalvador Montano (age 21) · Gabriel Agostini (age 19) · Carlos Meza (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126134vR 142

ERA5.72

FIP5.72

K%14.1%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%-0.3%

Proj IP34

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†3045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	11	5	33	161	39	20	0	45%	3.0	16.5%	15.5%	0.9%	0.0%	5.18	3.68	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	11	5	33	161	39	20	0	45%	3.0	16.5%	15.5%	0.9%	0.0%	5.18	3.68	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	11	5	33	161	39	20	0	45%	3.0	24.2%	12.4%	11.8%	0.0%	5.18	2.55	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	11	8	53	198	44	14	0	73%	4.8	15.1%	8.8%	6.3%	0.0%	0.51	2.94	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	11	8	53	198	44	14	0	73%	4.8	15.1%	8.8%	6.3%	0.0%	0.51	2.94	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	11	8	53	198	44	14	0	73%	4.8	22.2%	7.1%	15.2%	0.0%	0.51	2.23	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	13	8	50	251	50	31	6	62%	3.8	13.5%	15.4%	-1.9%	3.3%	7.74	5.75	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	13	8	50	251	50	31	6	62%	3.8	13.5%	15.4%	-1.9%	3.3%	7.74	5.75	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	13	8	50	251	50	31	6	62%	3.8	19.9%	12.4%	7.6%	2.4%	7.74	4.52	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	OAK	5	5	34	144	20	21	4	100%	6.8	14.1%	14.4%	-0.3%	2.9%	5.72	5.72	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	OAK	8	8	50	210	34	27	6	100%	6.2	16.0%	13.0%	3.0%	2.9%	5.44	5.35	-0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	OAK	8	8	52	221	39	26	6	100%	6.5	17.7%	11.8%	5.9%	2.8%	5.16	5.03	-0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	OAK	8	8	54	229	43	25	6	100%	6.8	18.7%	11.1%	7.6%	2.8%	4.95	4.83	+0.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	OAK	9	9	56	235	46	25	6	100%	6.2	19.4%	10.6%	8.8%	2.8%	4.80	4.70	+0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	OAK	9	9	56	238	47	25	7	100%	6.3	19.8%	10.4%	9.4%	2.7%	4.70	4.63	+0.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	OAK	9	9	56	238	48	25	7	100%	6.3	20.0%	10.3%	9.6%	2.7%	4.65	4.61	+0.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	OAK	9	9	56	235	47	24	7	100%	6.2	20.0%	10.4%	9.5%	2.8%	4.65	4.65	+0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	OAK	4	4	24	101	16	13	3	100%	6.0	16.0%	13.0%	3.0%	2.8%	5.40	5.31	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	OAK	6	6	38	160	28	19	4	100%	6.3	17.7%	11.8%	5.9%	2.8%	5.12	4.99	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	OAK	7	7	46	194	36	22	5	100%	6.6	18.7%	11.1%	7.6%	2.7%	4.91	4.79	+0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	OAK	8	8	50	211	41	22	6	100%	6.2	19.4%	10.6%	8.8%	2.7%	4.76	4.66	+0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	OAK	8	8	52	220	43	23	6	100%	6.5	19.8%	10.4%	9.4%	2.7%	4.66	4.59	+0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	OAK	8	8	53	224	45	23	6	100%	6.6	20.0%	10.3%	9.6%	2.7%	4.61	4.57	+0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	OAK	8	8	53	224	45	23	6	100%	6.6	20.0%	10.4%	9.5%	2.7%	4.61	4.61	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	49	315	1331	254	145	36	100%	6.4	19.1%	10.9%	8.2%	2.7%	4.81	4.36	+2.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		31	31	200	844	161	92	23	100%	6.4	19.1%	10.9%	8.2%	2.7%	4.81	4.36	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		35	21	136	610	90	81	8	60%	3.9	14.8%	13.3%	1.5%	1.4%	4.31	4.29	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	31	200	899	133	120	12	60%	3.9	14.8%	13.3%	1.5%	1.4%	4.31	4.29	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Franco Zabaleta (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.72	14.1%	14.4%	2.9%	—	5.06	17.5%	5.6%	156	-0.66	—	—	—
Salvador Montano L 2015 · 5.23 FIP	21	SP-	5.23	11.5%	15.9%	2.0%	.301	4.65	21.3%	-0.0%	71	-0.58	4.44	116	85
Gabriel Agostini L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	19	SP-	5.14	13.5%	12.4%	2.9%	.246	5.63	9.5%	-16.8%	12	+0.49	1.97	122	85
Carlos Meza L 2021 · 5.03 FIP	20	SP-	5.03	15.5%	12.2%	3.1%	.325	4.67	20.6%	4.4%	138	-0.36	3.72	229	84
Wilgenis Alvarado L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	19	SP-	4.88	10.5%	11.0%	2.3%	.289	5.43	14.8%	-3.3%	80	+0.55	4.70	122	82
Colin Schmid L 2018 · 4.81 FIP	20	SP-	4.81	11.8%	9.7%	2.7%	.298	4.10	15.2%	5.7%	125	-0.71	3.24	191	82
Gregory Reinoso L 2016 · 5.11 FIP	20	SP-	5.11	12.3%	15.6%	1.9%	.299	6.70	11.3%	-7.8%	29	+1.59	4.18	105	82
Maikel Sepulveda L 2017 · 4.78 FIP	20	SW	4.78	10.5%	11.5%	2.0%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.24	125	79
Ferrol Heredia L 2019 · 4.59 FIP	20	SW	4.59	13.6%	16.0%	1.1%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.59	127	78
Parker Rigler L 2017 · 6.33 FIP	22	SP-	6.33	13.8%	13.3%	5.0%	.318	4.59	14.5%	4.0%	140	-1.74	4.59	192	78
Julio Frias L 2018 · 4.70 FIP	20	SP-	4.70	10.9%	15.6%	1.0%	.324	5.64	17.2%	-7.0%	16	+0.94	3.61	164	77
Jaret Hellinger L 2017 · 4.79 FIP	20	SW	4.79	11.3%	12.4%	1.9%	.275	3.93	14.4%	7.4%	46	-0.86	3.08	209	77
Mike Gosling L 2004 · 5.85 FIP	23	SP-	5.85	12.5%	10.7%	4.5%	.259	4.56	14.4%	2.7%	65	-1.29	4.44	116	77
Luis Rico L 2015 · 4.61 FIP	21	SP-	4.61	17.2%	13.0%	2.4%	.303	5.03	17.8%	5.9%	105	+0.42	4.30	199	76
Luis Gutierrez L 2023 · 4.75 FIP	20	SW	4.75	14.7%	15.8%	1.6%	.374	4.08	16.2%	7.4%	210	-0.67	3.26	296	76
Ryan Feierabend L 2006 · 5.30 FIP	20	SP-	5.30	15.1%	9.6%	4.1%	.231	5.31	12.6%	4.3%	89	+0.01	4.97	174	76
Brandon Herbold L 2024 · 6.27 FIP	19	SP-	6.27	17.2%	17.6%	4.3%	.296	5.06	19.8%	-3.9%	44	-1.21	3.72	105	75
Lane Ratliff L 2017 · 6.08 FIP	22	SP-	6.08	12.0%	12.8%	4.3%	.344	3.25	15.9%	7.7%	80	-2.83	2.85	109	75
Travis Seabrooke L 2017 · 4.85 FIP	21	SP-	4.85	12.0%	14.1%	1.8%	.309	4.77	14.7%	3.7%	97	-0.08	3.99	198	75
Miguel Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.58 FIP	20	SP-	5.58	14.3%	21.8%	1.7%	.240	4.24	14.9%	-4.1%	64	-1.34	3.91	103	75
Julio Mendez L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	19	SP-	5.34	14.0%	13.7%	3.1%	.302	4.05	21.3%	8.0%	202	-1.29	3.83	290	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	52	18.4%	11.3%	1.08	4.96
Jesus Colome ('10)	2.1	53	17.3%	11.7%	1.03	4.69
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Jose Paniagua ('03)	1.8	60	17.3%	11.8%	1.01	4.49
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Mike Munoz ('89-'00, 1 WAR*)	1.8	46	17.6%*	10.2%*	0.93*	4.46*