Ben Simon

P Syracuse Mets

Age 25 RHP 5'11" / 197 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECTFG #548

Scout OFP40ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	A+NYM	22	1	36	4.04	2.79	23.0%	7.2%	—	K 17.7% · BB 8.3% · FIP 3.33
2025	23	MIX2 levels	38	0	54	2.98	2.84	26.5%	8.0%	—	K 20.8% · BB 9.0% · FIP 3.62
2026	24	MIX2 levels	47	1	56	3.56	4.30	15.5%	8.8%	—	K 13.0% · BB 8.4% · FIP 4.61
2027PROJ	25	MLBNYM	67	0	70	4.87	4.87	15.8%	9.1%	-0.3
2028PROJ48% MLB	26	MLBNYM	32	0	34	4.74	4.69	18.0%	9.0%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	27	MLBNYM	44	0	46	4.70	4.70	18.4%	9.1%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Command45FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsPedro Echemendia (age 25) · Vinnie Chulk (age 25) · D.J. Carrasco (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%15.8%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%6.7%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4555

CMD4045

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	6	32	9	2	2	0%	1.1	28.1%	6.2%	21.9%	6.2%	7.11	4.95	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	0	6	32	9	2	2	0%	1.1	28.1%	6.2%	21.9%	6.2%	7.11	5.31	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	22	1	36	152	35	11	2	5%	1.6	17.7%	8.3%	9.4%	1.2%	4.04	3.33	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	22	1	36	152	35	11	2	5%	1.6	17.7%	8.3%	9.4%	1.2%	4.04	3.33	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	22	1	36	152	35	11	2	5%	1.6	23.0%	7.2%	15.8%	1.3%	4.04	2.79	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	54	226	60	18	4	0%	1.4	20.8%	9.0%	11.7%	2.1%	2.98	3.62	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	54	226	60	18	4	0%	1.4	20.8%	9.0%	11.7%	2.1%	2.98	3.62	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	54	226	60	18	4	0%	1.4	26.5%	8.0%	18.6%	1.8%	2.98	2.84	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	1	56	238	37	21	6	2%	1.2	13.0%	8.4%	4.6%	2.8%	3.56	4.61	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	1	56	238	37	21	6	2%	1.2	13.0%	8.4%	4.6%	2.8%	3.56	4.61	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	1	56	238	37	21	6	2%	1.2	15.5%	8.8%	6.7%	2.5%	3.56	4.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	NYM	67	0	70	296	47	27	8	0%	1.0	15.8%	9.1%	6.7%	2.9%	4.87	4.87	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	NYM	67	0	70	296	53	27	9	0%	1.0	18.0%	9.0%	9.0%	2.9%	4.74	4.69	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	NYM	66	0	69	291	54	27	9	0%	1.0	18.4%	9.1%	9.2%	2.9%	4.70	4.70	-0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	NYM	64	0	67	282	52	26	9	0%	1.0	18.5%	9.3%	9.2%	3.0%	4.73	4.76	-0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	NYM	61	0	64	270	50	26	9	0%	1.0	18.4%	9.5%	8.9%	3.2%	4.82	4.88	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	NYM	32	0	34	144	26	13	4	0%	1.1	18.0%	9.0%	9.0%	2.9%	4.74	4.69	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	NYM	44	0	46	194	36	18	6	0%	1.0	18.4%	9.1%	9.2%	2.9%	4.70	4.70	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	NYM	50	0	52	220	41	20	7	0%	1.0	18.5%	9.3%	9.2%	3.0%	4.73	4.76	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	NYM	50	0	53	224	41	21	7	0%	1.1	18.4%	9.5%	8.9%	3.2%	4.82	4.88	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		175	0	184	777	142	72	24	0%	1.1	18.3%	9.3%	9.1%	3.0%	4.75	4.39	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	154	78	26	0%	1.1	18.3%	9.3%	9.1%	3.0%	4.75	4.39	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		113	2	152	648	114	55	15	2%	1.3	17.6%	8.5%	9.1%	2.3%	3.61	3.98	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		149	3	200	853	150	72	20	2%	1.3	17.6%	8.5%	9.1%	2.3%	3.61	3.98	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Simon (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	15.8%	9.1%	2.9%	—	4.72	18.3%	9.1%	206	-0.15	—	—	—
Pedro Echemendia R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	25	SU	4.79	15.0%	8.0%	3.5%	.286	4.31	11.0%	5.9%	72	-0.48	4.31	141	92
Vinnie Chulk R 2004 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	17.7%	10.5%	2.4%	.308	3.95	16.9%	9.6%	171	-0.31	2.97	271	91
D.J. Carrasco R 2003 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	16.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.291	4.66	10.5%	1.4%	150	+0.39	3.23	490	91
David Goforth R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	26	SU	3.98	17.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.287	4.58	14.1%	3.6%	184	+0.60	3.98	256	91
Jeff Bennett R 2004 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	14.2%	7.6%	3.8%	.281	4.36	24.6%	21.1%	13	-0.58	3.62	228	90
Hunter McMahon R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	16.5%	8.0%	2.8%	.301	5.84	5.7%	1.8%	14	+1.60	2.23	174	89
Logan Ondrusek R 2010 · 4.21 FIP	25	SU	4.21	16.3%	7.9%	2.7%	.240	4.16	17.9%	9.5%	171	-0.05	3.57	409	89
Bryan Morris R 2013 · 4.78 FIP	26	SU	4.78	13.7%	8.5%	3.2%	.243	3.90	17.7%	9.2%	145	-0.88	3.48	231	88
Raul Fernandez R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	25	SU	4.03	14.2%	9.4%	1.7%	.285	4.79	16.1%	5.0%	103	+0.76	4.03	165	88
Brady Choban R 2024 · 4.49 FIP	23	SU	4.49	16.1%	8.8%	3.0%	.262	4.02	13.3%	4.1%	80	-0.47	3.59	131	88
Stephen Kohlscheen R 2015 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	15.6%	8.1%	1.9%	.311	3.98	22.8%	15.0%	90	+0.15	2.52	167	88
Greg Burke R 2009 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	16.2%	8.8%	2.0%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	139	88
Logan Bawcom R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	26	SU	3.85	15.8%	9.1%	1.7%	.320	4.35	15.9%	6.2%	259	+0.50	3.73	399	88
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	25	SU	4.59	15.1%	10.4%	2.6%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	218	88
Stephen Villines R 2019 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.8%	8.5%	2.2%	.280	3.15	20.6%	14.7%	40	-0.81	2.14	156	88
Alex Hermeling R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	127	87
Brad Schreiber R 2016 · 4.06 FIP	25	SU	4.06	16.5%	7.9%	2.5%	.304	4.23	17.3%	4.6%	57	+0.17	3.81	171	87
Brian Glowicki R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	16.4%	8.3%	3.0%	.275	3.92	26.0%	14.1%	62	-0.49	2.31	189	87
Scott Oberg R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	17.0%	11.2%	3.4%	.273	2.92	22.8%	15.6%	188	-2.04	2.54	302	87
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	87

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	17.8%	9.2%	1.15	4.77
J. C. Gutierrez ('07-'14, -0 WAR*)	1.4	57	19.8%*	8.5%*	1.19*	4.72*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Trevor Gott ('15-'23, -1 WAR*)	1.2	61	18.5%*	8.4%*	1.01*	4.85*
Vinnie Chulk ('12)	1.4	57	16.0%	9.0%	0.98	4.51
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*