Edgar Lugo

SS DSL Tigers 2

Age 22 S/R 5'9" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ROKDSL Tigers 2	152	.326/.383/.400	1	8	40	—	.209/.262/.237
2025	20	INTLTucson Baseba…	126	.225/.277/.261	0	3	46	—
2026	21	ROKDSL Tigers 2	162	.230/.354/.341	2	16	21	—	.134/.236/.190
2026	21	INTLMayos de Navo…	24	.263/.391/.526	1	1	147	—
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLB—	272	.222/.282/.304	2	5	66	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLB—	69	.225/.286/.317	1	1	71	0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLB—	142	.228/.290/.328	2	3	75	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%92

Whiff%91

Z-Con%86

ISO47

Speed42

wOBA34

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsChesny Young (age 22) · Argenis Reyes (age 23) · Roger Tomas (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 135 proj PA

wRC+66

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .279 / .301

PA135

HR1

K%24

BB%6

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	142	121	33	11	1	3	18	25	2	5	2	273	376	455	830	182	323	18	13	368	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	22	20	3	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	150	227	150	377		214	27	9	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	152	135	44	7	0	1	9	18	4	8	5	326	383	400	783	74	364	12	6	348	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	INTL	Tucson Baseball Team	—	126	111	25	4	0	0	8	20	0	3	3	225	277	261	539	36	275	16	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	162	135	31	9	0	2	21	19	5	16	3	230	354	341	695	111	254	12	13	322	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	24	19	5	2	0	1	4	2	0	1	0	263	391	526	918	263	250	8	17	385	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	142	126	20	7	0	1	13	31	2	5	2	159	248	238	486	79	196	22	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	152	139	29	4	0	0	6	22	4	8	5	209	262	237	499	29	236	14	4	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	162	142	19	5	0	1	14	23	5	16	3	134	236	190	426	56	153	14	9	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	164	146	24	8	1	2	15	36	2	5	2	164	252	274	526	110	204	22	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	164	141	36	11	1	3	20	31	2	5	2	255	356	411	767	156	308	19	12	344	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	278	253	54	8	0	1	11	41	4	11	8	213	257	257	514	43	249	15	4	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	278	246	69	11	0	1	17	38	4	11	8	280	336	337	673	57	325	14	6	297	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	186	163	22	6	0	1	16	27	5	17	3	135	234	190	424	55	156	15	9	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	186	154	36	11	0	3	25	21	5	17	3	234	359	364	722	130	254	11	13	330	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	164	146	24	8	1	2	15	36	2	5	2	164	252	274	526	110	196	22	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	278	261	54	8	0	1	11	41	4	11	8	207	257	249	507	42	236	15	4	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	186	163	22	6	0	1	16	27	5	17	3	135	234	190	424	55	153	15	9	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	164	146	24	8	1	2	15	36	2	5	2	164	252	274	526	110	196	22	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	278	261	54	8	0	1	11	41	4	11	8	207	257	249	507	42	236	15	4	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	186	163	22	6	0	1	16	27	5	17	3	135	234	190	424	55	153	15	9	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	—	0%	272	249	56	11	2	2	18	66	3	5	1	222	282	304	585	82	290	24	7	266	66	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	—	34%	200	183	41	8	1	2	13	48	2	4	1	225	286	317	603	92	291	24	6	273	71	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	—	46%	308	280	64	12	2	4	21	73	4	6	1	228	290	328	618	100	292	24	7	279	75	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	—	52%	373	341	79	15	2	6	25	89	4	7	2	230	292	336	628	106	292	24	7	283	78	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	—	54%	415	378	88	17	2	7	29	98	5	8	2	231	294	342	636	111	292	24	7	286	80	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	—	54%	435	397	91	17	3	7	30	103	5	8	2	231	294	343	637	112	292	24	7	287	80	-10	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	—	54%	443	404	93	18	3	7	31	106	5	7	2	229	292	338	631	109	291	24	7	284	78	-11	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	442	403	91	17	2	7	31	107	5	7	2	227	290	333	622	105	290	24	7	281	76	-13	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	—	57%	437	400	89	17	2	6	30	107	4	6	2	225	286	326	612	101	289	24	7	276	73	-14	+0	-2	+5	+9	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	—	34%	69	63	14	3	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	225	286	317	603	92	291	25	7	273	71	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	—	46%	142	129	30	6	1	2	10	34	2	3	1	228	290	328	618	100	292	24	7	279	75	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	—	52%	193	176	41	8	1	3	13	46	2	4	1	230	292	336	628	106	292	24	7	283	78	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	—	54%	225	204	47	9	1	4	16	53	3	4	1	231	294	342	636	111	292	24	7	286	80	-5	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	—	54%	236	214	49	9	1	4	17	56	3	4	1	231	294	343	637	112	292	24	7	287	80	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	—	54%	240	218	50	10	1	4	17	57	3	4	1	229	292	338	631	109	291	24	7	284	78	-6	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	235	215	49	9	1	4	16	57	2	4	1	227	290	333	622	105	290	24	7	281	76	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	—	57%	248	226	51	10	1	4	17	61	3	3	1	225	286	326	612	101	289	25	7	276	73	-8	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1588	1445	331	64	7	26	111	381	19	27	7	229	293	337	630	108	292	24	7	282	69	-44	+3	-2	+17	+34	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	136	26	3	11	45	156	8	11	3	230	293	340	633	110	293	24	7	282	69	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3816	3471	763	148	19	51	261	868	47	89	28	220	283	317	601	98	277	23	7	271	69	-90	+5	-4	+34	+69	1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	130	25	3	9	44	148	8	15	5	220	283	318	601	98	277	23	7	271	69	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.6	1,723	25	30	229	288	334	+18	+15	1.9	1.9
/162	664	10	11	+7.1	+5.8	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Jimmy Cooney'17-'28 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,722 PA	2.6	1,722	2	30	235*	281*	341*	+17	+8	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	12	+6.7	+3.0	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edgar Lugo (OGILVIE)	22	60	20	50	20	220/279/301	81	290	1	3	24%	6%	66	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chesny Young 2015 · A	22	51→61	38→30	50	38	239/273/327	89	329	5	8	28%	4%	68	-1.0	271/320/338	67	321	3	12	15%	6%	88	+0.4	273/324/332	59	321	2	11	15%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Argenis Reyes 2006 · A	23	54→58	36→30	51→55	40	255/279/325	70	309	4	14	19%	3%	69	-0.9	248/282/310	62	299	3	17	17%	4%	68	-1.0	254/294/306	52	299	2	14	15%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Roger Tomas 2009 · A	23	51	37→30	47→45	44	242/285/306	64	298	5	8	20%	5%	68	-1.0	211/254/284	73	273	5	7	23%	5%	51	-2.2	122/148/161	39	159	0	0	22%	3%	-16	-1.2
✕Gabriel Maciel 2021 · A	22	50→54	37→40	50→55	47	236/296/307	71	303	4	15	22%	7%	73	-0.6	217/275/293	76	281	4	16	23%	7%	62	-1.4	212/270/279	67	272	3	18	22%	7%	54	-0.9
✕Jeremy Arocho 2021 · A	22	48→44	36→30	48→60	47	224/284/295	71	288	3	10	22%	7%	65	-1.2	228/321/282	54	318	2	26	25%	12%	78	-0.3	221/328/267	46	302	1	34	24%	13%	75	-0.3
✕Yefri Pérez 2013 · A	22	46→56	36→30	51→60	41	218/264/287	69	295	3	9	26%	6%	55	-1.9	229/269/284	55	284	2	24	19%	5%	57	-1.8	237/277/271	34	302	1	39	21%	5%	54	-1.6
✕Louis Ott 2007 · A	22	44→48	36→30	52→45	40	203/263/271	68	301	3	10	32%	6%	53	-2.1	225/294/293	68	316	4	6	28%	8%	70	-0.9	229/306/286	56	325	4	5	28%	9%	70	-0.4
✕Danny Woodrow 2017 · A	22	49→59	37→30	53→55	45	226/289/308	82	313	3	11	27%	8%	71	-0.8	242/293/301	59	325	2	19	24%	6%	70	-0.9	254/301/314	60	340	2	23	25%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Darren Baker 2022 · A	23	51→58	38→30	47→60	44	241/283/326	85	299	5	9	21%	5%	72	-0.7	251/297/317	66	325	3	19	22%	6%	75	-0.5	258/312/308	50	335	1	32	22%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Carlos Garcia 2014 · A	22	49→50	36→40	52→55	45	233/281/301	68	287	4	13	20%	6%	65	-1.2	235/283/308	73	297	4	22	21%	5%	68	-1.0	234/282/306	72	294	4	26	21%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Mel Rojas Jr. 2012 · A	22	47→55	37→45	49→50	40	221/264/296	74	306	4	13	28%	5%	58	-1.7	228/271/323	95	314	6	12	28%	5%	67	-1.1	250/298/357	107	333	7	11	26%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Ramón Torres 2015 · A	22	52→57	39→40	49→55	43	248/279/336	88	286	6	12	16%	4%	72	-0.7	243/275/321	78	285	6	16	16%	4%	67	-1.1	244/276/315	70	284	5	19	16%	4%	63	-1.1
✕Jonathan Herrera 2006 · A	21	50→59	36→40	47→55	44	237/284/301	64	292	4	12	20%	5%	67	-1.1	256/304/336	80	303	5	18	16%	6%	82	+0.0	264/313/343	78	309	5	20	15%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2021 · A	22	49	38→30	53→55	42	226/284/306	80	330	5	11	31%	7%	68	-1.0	204/264/264	60	321	3	7	34%	7%	51	-2.3	187/250/219	32	299	0	6	34%	8%	34	-0.8
✕Nick Allen 2021 · A	22	46→56	38→40	52→50	44	219/270/303	84	277	4	14	22%	6%	62	-1.4	232/283/326	94	288	8	14	21%	6%	72	-0.7	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Randy Ventura 2019 · A	22	53→56	34→30	50→60	41	244/286/288	44	331	2	19	26%	5%	63	-1.3	210/262/259	49	314	2	13	31%	6%	49	-2.4	179/237/200	21	281	0	12	34%	7%	25	-2.5
✕Bengie González 2012 · A	22	44→54	34→40	48→50	43	205/257/255	51	273	2	14	25%	6%	46	-2.6	215/269/279	64	287	2	15	24%	6%	56	-1.9	252/303/348	96	305	4	12	18%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Isaias Velasquez 2010 · A	22	50→58	38→40	53→55	43	235/282/323	88	298	3	12	22%	5%	71	-0.8	246/297/332	86	306	3	19	19%	6%	78	-0.3	259/315/343	83	320	2	24	18%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Brandon Wikoff 2010 · A	22	50→58	36→30	44→45	44	236/273/301	66	285	4	8	18%	5%	62	-1.4	238/289/277	39	277	3	5	14%	6%	63	-1.4	247/301/268	21	285	2	3	13%	7%	62	-1.0
✕Jose Gomez 2019 · A	22	50→56	35→40	46→50	39	236/270/296	59	301	3	11	22%	4%	59	-1.6	216/256/284	68	305	4	8	29%	4%	52	-2.2	209/253/289	80	298	5	8	30%	4%	50	-1.5

Edgar Lugo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps