Justin Storm

P Beloit Sky Carp

Age 25 LHP 6'7" / 232 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX3 levels	32	50	1.97	2.17	34.4%	13.4%	—	K 26.5% · BB 14.9% · FIP 3.14
2025	23	A+MIA	43	62	3.21	3.98	20.2%	15.4%	—	K 15.6% · BB 17.7% · FIP 4.79
2026	24	MIX2 levels	41	64	4.36	4.19	24.4%	13.7%	—	K 19.8% · BB 13.5% · FIP 3.74
2027PROJ	25	MLBMIA	67	70	5.63	5.63	17.3%	17.5%	-0.8
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBMIA	29	30	5.48	5.47	18.1%	16.6%	-0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBMIA	41	43	5.41	5.42	18.5%	16.1%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control25Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsFabian Williamson (age 26) · Nick Lee (age 25) · Chris Reed (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124132vR 140

ERA5.63

FIP5.63

K%17.3%

BB%17.5%

K-BB%-0.2%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	4	0	4	23	4	6	0	0%	1.1	17.4%	26.1%	-8.7%	0.0%	6.23	4.94	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	4	0	4	23	4	6	0	0%	1.1	17.4%	26.1%	-8.7%	0.0%	6.23	5.41	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	0	50	209	72	28	1	0%	1.6	26.5%	14.9%	11.6%	0.7%	1.97	3.14	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	0	50	209	72	28	1	0%	1.6	26.5%	14.9%	11.6%	0.7%	1.97	3.14	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	0	50	209	72	28	1	0%	1.6	34.4%	13.4%	21.1%	0.5%	1.97	2.17	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	43	0	62	267	54	41	3	0%	1.4	15.6%	17.7%	-2.1%	1.4%	3.21	4.79	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	43	0	62	267	54	41	3	0%	1.4	15.6%	17.7%	-2.1%	1.4%	3.21	4.79	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	43	0	62	267	54	41	3	0%	1.4	20.2%	15.4%	4.9%	1.1%	3.21	3.98	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	64	271	66	37	7	0%	1.6	19.8%	13.5%	6.3%	1.1%	4.36	3.74	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	64	271	66	37	7	0%	1.6	19.8%	13.5%	6.3%	1.1%	4.36	3.74	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	64	271	66	37	7	0%	1.6	24.4%	13.7%	10.7%	2.6%	4.36	4.19	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	MIA	67	0	70	296	51	52	8	0%	1.0	17.3%	17.5%	-0.2%	2.5%	5.63	5.63	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIA	67	0	70	296	54	49	8	0%	1.0	18.1%	16.6%	1.5%	2.6%	5.48	5.47	-0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIA	66	0	69	291	54	47	8	0%	1.0	18.5%	16.1%	2.4%	2.7%	5.41	5.42	-0.7
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIA	64	0	67	282	53	45	8	0%	1.0	18.6%	15.9%	2.7%	2.8%	5.42	5.45	-0.7
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIA	61	0	64	270	50	43	8	0%	1.0	18.5%	16.0%	2.5%	2.9%	5.49	5.56	-0.7
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIA	29	0	30	127	23	21	3	0%	1.0	18.1%	16.6%	1.5%	2.6%	5.48	5.47	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIA	41	0	43	182	34	29	5	0%	1.0	18.5%	16.1%	2.4%	2.7%	5.41	5.42	-0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIA	48	0	50	211	39	34	6	0%	1.0	18.6%	15.9%	2.7%	2.8%	5.42	5.45	-0.5
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIA	50	0	52	220	41	35	6	0%	1.0	18.5%	16.0%	2.5%	2.9%	5.49	5.56	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	176	742	137	120	21	0%	1.1	18.5%	16.1%	2.3%	2.8%	5.45	5.10	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	156	136	24	0%	1.1	18.5%	16.1%	2.3%	2.8%	5.45	5.10	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		120	0	180	770	155	121	8	0%	1.5	20.1%	15.7%	4.4%	1.1%	3.34	3.98	-2.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	0	200	854	171	134	9	0%	1.5	20.1%	15.7%	4.4%	1.1%	3.34	3.98	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Justin Storm (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.63	17.3%	17.5%	2.5%	—	5.45	18.4%	2.2%	206	-0.18	—	—	—
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	91
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	89
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	88
Chris Nunn L 2015 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	13.9%	16.8%	2.6%	.350	3.92	19.3%	6.7%	37	-1.57	3.30	180	85
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	84
Matt Mikulski L 2024 · 6.18 FIP	25	SU	6.18	15.3%	17.1%	4.0%	.275	4.98	19.5%	-8.3%	18	-1.20	4.92	223	84
Chandler Jozwiak L 2024 · 5.33 FIP	25	SU	5.33	16.9%	15.3%	3.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	161	83
Seth Clark L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	18.9%	16.2%	3.9%	.267	4.56	17.7%	-2.7%	32	-1.10	4.23	128	83
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	82
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	82
Sean Keselica L 2018 · 5.33 FIP	25	SU	5.33	15.9%	18.5%	2.2%	.226	4.47	18.0%	3.5%	52	-0.86	2.79	235	82
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	81
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	80
Davis Schwab L 2022 · 5.70 FIP	25	SU	5.70	20.3%	18.7%	3.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	114	80
Joey DeNato L 2017 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.3%	15.1%	1.4%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	2.90	167	79
R.C. Orlan L 2016 · 5.25 FIP	25	SU	5.25	14.8%	20.2%	1.5%	.243	4.48	18.2%	9.9%	81	-0.77	1.71	206	79
Aaron Brown L 2017 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	15.0%	17.6%	1.6%	.348	4.38	19.8%	5.2%	127	-0.58	4.04	269	78
Juan Pichardo L 2021 · 4.83 FIP	23	SU	4.83	17.7%	17.1%	1.9%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	103	78
Trevor Seidenberger L 2016 · 6.29 FIP	24	SU	6.29	13.1%	14.9%	4.4%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	101	78
Fred Schlichtholz L 2021 · 4.63 FIP	25	SU	4.63	15.5%	13.4%	2.1%	.343	3.49	22.3%	16.4%	35	-1.14	3.49	175	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	18.2%	16.4%	1.04	5.49
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*