Jack Young

P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 25 RHP 5'11" / 188 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	MIX2 levels	36	1	53	2.72	3.18	22.9%	12.1%	—	K 17.3% · BB 14.1% · FIP 4.08
2026	24	MIX2 levels	43	0	53	5.30	4.66	15.9%	11.2%	—	K 12.6% · BB 12.5% · FIP 5.50
2027PROJ	25	MLBCWS	34	0	36	5.36	5.36	15.9%	12.6%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBCWS	20	0	21	5.20	5.17	17.6%	12.2%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBCWS	29	0	30	5.14	5.14	18.1%	12.1%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRafael Dolis (age 24) · Tyler Burch (age 25) · Casey Fien (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.36

FIP5.36

K%15.9%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%3.3%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	1	53	231	53	28	2	3%	1.5	17.3%	14.1%	3.1%	1.2%	2.72	4.08	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	1	53	231	53	28	2	3%	1.5	17.3%	14.1%	3.1%	1.2%	2.72	4.08	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	1	53	231	53	28	2	3%	1.5	22.9%	12.1%	10.8%	0.9%	2.72	3.18	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	53	232	37	26	6	0%	1.2	12.6%	12.5%	0.1%	3.4%	5.30	5.50	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	53	232	37	26	6	0%	1.2	12.6%	12.5%	0.1%	3.4%	5.30	5.50	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	53	232	37	26	6	0%	1.2	15.9%	11.2%	4.7%	2.6%	5.30	4.66	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	CWS	34	0	36	152	24	19	4	0%	1.1	15.9%	12.6%	3.3%	3.0%	5.36	5.36	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CWS	45	0	48	201	36	25	6	0%	1.1	17.6%	12.2%	5.4%	3.0%	5.20	5.17	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	CWS	45	0	47	198	36	24	6	0%	1.0	18.1%	12.1%	6.0%	3.0%	5.14	5.14	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	CWS	20	0	21	89	16	11	3	0%	1.1	17.6%	12.2%	5.4%	3.0%	5.20	5.17	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	CWS	29	0	30	127	23	15	4	0%	1.0	18.1%	12.1%	6.0%	3.0%	5.14	5.14	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		48	0	50	211	38	26	6	0%	1.0	17.9%	12.1%	5.7%	3.0%	5.16	4.77	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	152	104	24	0%	1.1	17.9%	12.1%	5.7%	3.0%	5.16	4.77	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		79	1	106	463	69	62	11	1%	1.3	14.9%	13.3%	1.6%	2.3%	4.00	4.79	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	2	200	876	131	117	20	1%	1.3	14.9%	13.3%	1.6%	2.3%	4.00	4.79	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Young (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.36	15.9%	12.6%	3.0%	—	5.16	17.8%	5.7%	95	-0.20	—	—	—
Rafael Dolis R 2012 · 5.19 FIP	24	SU	5.19	13.9%	12.7%	3.0%	.287	4.02	15.8%	1.5%	66	-1.17	2.80	200	90
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	90
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	88
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	88
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	88
Rhiner Cruz R 2012 · 4.80 FIP	25	SU	4.80	18.2%	11.5%	3.2%	.335	4.81	10.2%	-1.0%	21	+0.01	3.21	127	88
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	87
Vinnie Chulk R 2004 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	17.7%	10.5%	2.4%	.308	3.95	16.9%	9.6%	171	-0.31	2.97	271	87
Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	16.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	111	87
Scott Oberg R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	17.0%	11.2%	3.4%	.273	2.92	22.8%	15.6%	188	-2.04	2.54	302	87
Carlos Alvarado R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.3%	10.0%	3.5%	.342	4.15	24.3%	14.8%	78	-0.75	2.68	102	87
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	87
El'Hajj Muhammad R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	25	SU	4.58	13.6%	10.0%	2.5%	.285	5.01	7.1%	-2.5%	11	+0.43	4.58	113	86
Davison Palermo R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	24	SU	5.31	16.3%	11.2%	4.0%	.261	4.90	19.8%	7.4%	136	-0.41	4.32	220	86
Owen Holt R 2024 · 4.52 FIP	25	SU	4.52	15.1%	12.1%	2.1%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	145	86
Jonathan Brand R 2024 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	13.6%	10.6%	2.4%	.284	4.87	22.0%	11.9%	115	+0.26	3.34	198	86
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	85
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	85
Isrrael De La Cruz R 2022 · 4.36 FIP	25	SU	4.36	16.7%	12.5%	2.0%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.36	100	85
Billy Seidl R 2024 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	18.3%	14.2%	2.2%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	102	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	44	17.3%	12.3%	1.15	5.22
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*