Cam Walty

P Lake County Captains

Age 25 RHP 5'11" / 213 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	ALynchburg Hil…	16	11	48	4.28	2.75	18.2%	5.3%	—	K 13.5% · BB 6.2% · FIP 3.33
2026	24	MIX3 levels	32	2	59	5.61	5.43	21.0%	8.7%	—	K 17.0% · BB 9.3% · FIP 6.12
2027PROJ	25	MLBCLE	67	0	70	5.37	5.37	14.4%	9.2%	-0.6
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBCLE	29	0	30	5.23	5.21	16.0%	9.1%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBCLE	41	0	43	5.17	5.18	16.6%	9.2%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control55Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRoss Ohlendorf (age 25) · Jorge Reyes (age 27) · Donovan Hand (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.37

FIP5.37

K%14.4%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%5.3%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5555

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	16	11	48	209	38	11	2	69%	3.0	13.5%	6.2%	7.2%	1.1%	4.28	3.33	—
2025	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	16	11	48	209	38	11	2	69%	3.0	13.5%	6.2%	7.2%	1.1%	4.28	3.33	—
2025	23	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	16	11	48	209	38	11	2	69%	3.0	18.2%	5.3%	12.9%	1.0%	4.28	2.75	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	2	59	276	58	24	14	6%	1.9	17.0%	9.3%	7.7%	6.0%	5.61	6.12	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	2	59	276	58	24	14	6%	1.9	17.0%	9.3%	7.7%	6.0%	5.61	6.12	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	2	59	276	58	24	14	6%	1.9	21.0%	8.7%	12.3%	5.1%	5.61	5.43	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	CLE	67	0	70	296	43	27	11	0%	1.0	14.4%	9.2%	5.3%	3.6%	5.37	5.37	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CLE	67	0	70	296	47	27	10	0%	1.0	16.0%	9.1%	6.9%	3.5%	5.23	5.21	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	CLE	66	0	69	291	48	27	10	0%	1.0	16.6%	9.2%	7.4%	3.5%	5.17	5.18	-0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	CLE	64	0	67	282	47	26	10	0%	1.0	16.8%	9.3%	7.4%	3.6%	5.18	5.22	-0.5
2031	29	MLB MLE	CLE	61	0	64	270	45	26	10	0%	1.0	16.7%	9.6%	7.1%	3.7%	5.26	5.33	-0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	CLE	29	0	30	127	20	12	4	0%	1.0	16.0%	9.1%	6.9%	3.5%	5.23	5.21	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	CLE	41	0	43	182	30	17	6	0%	1.0	16.6%	9.2%	7.4%	3.5%	5.17	5.18	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	CLE	48	0	50	211	35	20	8	0%	1.0	16.8%	9.3%	7.4%	3.6%	5.18	5.22	-0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	CLE	50	0	52	220	37	21	8	0%	1.0	16.7%	9.6%	7.1%	3.7%	5.26	5.33	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	176	742	123	69	27	0%	1.1	16.6%	9.3%	7.2%	3.6%	5.21	4.86	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	140	78	31	0%	1.1	16.6%	9.3%	7.2%	3.6%	5.21	4.86	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		48	13	108	485	75	39	19	27%	2.2	15.5%	8.0%	7.5%	3.9%	5.02	4.92	-2.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	24	200	901	140	72	35	27%	2.2	15.5%	8.0%	7.5%	3.9%	5.02	4.92	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cam Walty (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.37	14.4%	9.2%	3.6%	—	5.20	16.4%	7.2%	206	-0.17	—	—	—
Ross Ohlendorf R 2008 · 4.73 FIP	25	SW	4.73	16.3%	9.3%	3.3%	.357	4.63	15.4%	7.7%	324	-0.10	3.30	617	89
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	88
Donovan Hand R 2013 · 4.72 FIP	27	SW	4.72	12.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.279	4.30	11.1%	6.8%	97	-0.42	4.30	305	87
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	86
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	86
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	86
Pedro Echemendia R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	25	SU	4.79	15.0%	8.0%	3.5%	.286	4.31	11.0%	5.9%	72	-0.48	4.31	141	86
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	85
Paul Clemens R 2013 · 5.60 FIP	25	SU	5.60	15.2%	7.7%	5.1%	.283	4.87	16.4%	6.1%	218	-0.73	4.58	345	85
Brian Bass R 2008 · 4.70 FIP	26	SU	4.70	11.6%	7.0%	3.1%	.283	4.70	13.5%	3.7%	86	+0.00	4.70	176	84
Scott Burke R 2019 · 5.27 FIP	25	SU	5.27	14.9%	8.2%	4.3%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	119	84
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	83
Fernando Nieve R 2006 · 5.18 FIP	24	SW	5.18	17.0%	8.8%	4.4%	.240	4.67	14.3%	3.1%	37	-0.51	1.96	287	83
Jack Jasiak R 2024 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	15.2%	8.6%	3.1%	.332	3.39	22.3%	15.0%	126	-1.20	3.24	262	83
Trevor Foss R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	25	SU	4.22	14.5%	5.9%	2.9%	.308	3.77	17.3%	13.8%	42	-0.45	3.77	120	82
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	82
D.J. Carrasco R 2003 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	16.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.291	4.66	10.5%	1.4%	150	+0.39	3.23	490	82
Dillon McNamara R 2017 · 5.01 FIP	25	SW	5.01	13.3%	11.1%	3.0%	.229	3.00	21.2%	12.3%	69	-2.01	1.73	244	82
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	82
Daury Torrez R 2018 · 4.28 FIP	25	SU	4.28	12.9%	6.5%	2.6%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	356	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	16.1%	9.3%	1.38	5.24
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Lance Painter ('03)	2.2	56	16.7%	9.0%	1.32	5.24
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Chuck Hartenstein ('66-'77, -1 WAR*)	1.5	59	13.7%*	7.2%*	1.50*	5.28*
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*