Cam Walty — OGILVIE

Cam Walty P Lake County Captains

Age 24 RHP 5'11" / 213 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%12.7%

BB%7.4%

K-BB%5.3%

ROS IP57

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5555

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	16	11	48	209	38	11	2	69%	3.0	13.5%	6.2%	7.2%	1.1%	4.28	3.33	—
2025	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	16	11	48	209	38	11	2	69%	3.0	13.5%	6.2%	7.2%	1.1%	4.28	3.33	—
2025	23	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	16	11	48	209	38	11	2	69%	3.0	18.2%	5.3%	12.9%	1.0%	4.28	2.75	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	32	2	59	276	58	24	14	6%	1.9	17.0%	9.3%	7.7%	6.0%	5.61	6.12	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	32	2	59	276	58	24	14	6%	1.9	17.0%	9.3%	7.7%	6.0%	5.61	6.12	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	CLE	19	0	37	169	37	14	7	0%	2.0	21.9%	8.3%	13.6%	4.1%	5.54	4.57	—
2026	24	AA RAW	CLE	12	2	21	98	21	8	6	17%	1.8	21.4%	8.2%	13.3%	6.1%	4.29	5.69	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	CLE	1	0	1	9	0	2	1	0%	1.0	0.0%	22.2%	-22.2%	11.1%	36.00	12.01	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CLE	56	0	59	248	37	18	7	0%	1.1	14.9%	7.4%	7.5%	2.8%	4.75	4.70	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	CLE	56	0	59	248	40	19	7	0%	1.1	16.2%	7.5%	8.7%	2.8%	4.65	4.61	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	CLE	24	0	25	106	16	8	3	0%	1.0	14.9%	7.4%	7.5%	2.8%	4.75	4.70	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	CLE	37	0	39	165	27	12	5	0%	1.1	16.2%	7.5%	8.7%	2.8%	4.65	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		61	0	64	272	43	20	8	0%	1.1	15.7%	7.5%	8.2%	2.8%	4.69	4.26	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	134	62	25	0%	1.1	15.7%	7.5%	8.2%	2.8%	4.69	4.26	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		48	13	108	485	75	39	19	27%	2.2	15.5%	8.0%	7.5%	3.9%	5.02	4.92	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	24	200	901	140	72	35	27%	2.2	15.5%	8.0%	7.5%	3.9%	5.02	4.92	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cam Walty (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	12.7%	7.4%	2.8%	—	4.66	15.6%	8.1%	118	-0.21	—	—	—
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	92
Devin Burke R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	11.7%	7.0%	2.3%	.275	4.20	13.7%	8.8%	87	-0.07	4.20	149	91
Kevin Johnson R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	11.0%	8.5%	2.6%	.302	5.52	9.9%	-2.0%	26	+0.83	4.69	106	89
Kurt Heyer R 2015 · 3.75 FIP	24	SU	3.75	12.8%	6.2%	1.7%	.324	3.99	14.1%	7.4%	94	+0.24	3.75	178	86
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	84
Raul Carrillo R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	24	SW	4.86	13.4%	8.2%	3.4%	.295	4.50	12.2%	3.5%	246	-0.36	4.40	348	84
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	84
Tyler Barnette R 2016 · 4.46 FIP	24	SW	4.46	13.0%	10.0%	2.2%	.333	3.99	10.7%	-3.5%	13	-0.47	3.57	173	84
Michael Flynn R 2022 · 3.89 FIP	25	SW	3.89	14.2%	8.4%	1.7%	.362	4.45	24.0%	13.5%	98	+0.56	3.89	168	84
Mark Peterson R 2015 · 4.89 FIP	24	SU	4.89	11.5%	8.5%	3.1%	.277	4.71	15.9%	5.6%	112	-0.18	4.65	185	84
Connor Johnstone R 2019 · 3.78 FIP	24	SW	3.78	11.8%	6.1%	1.7%	.329	4.84	13.3%	7.6%	140	+1.06	3.78	319	83
Trevor Foss R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	25	SU	4.22	14.5%	5.9%	2.9%	.308	3.77	17.3%	13.8%	42	-0.45	3.77	120	83
Carlos Felix R 2019 · 4.92 FIP	23	SW	4.92	8.7%	6.3%	3.2%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	4.92	121	83
David Reid-Foley R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	24	SU	4.68	13.8%	8.8%	3.0%	.308	6.54	16.2%	7.6%	33	+1.86	4.68	110	82
Pedro Echemendia R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	25	SU	4.79	15.0%	8.0%	3.5%	.286	4.31	11.0%	5.9%	72	-0.48	4.31	141	82
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	82
Troy Neiman R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	13.1%	8.5%	2.7%	.287	4.47	19.7%	11.7%	135	-0.07	4.03	199	82
Eric Karch R 2016 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	16.0%	6.2%	2.3%	.324	4.70	20.3%	16.1%	35	+0.92	3.78	104	82
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	82
Robbie Aviles R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	24	SU	4.69	11.5%	8.7%	2.6%	.343	3.63	12.2%	6.5%	58	-1.06	3.63	172	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	14.6%	7.4%	1.08	4.76
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77
Alex Claudio ('21)	1.5	59	16.3%	6.1%	0.76	3.66