Cam Walty
P
Lake County Captains
Age 24
RHP
5'11" / 213 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.98
FIP4.98
K%12.7%
BB%8.3%
K-BB%4.4%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 95 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 16 | 11 | 48 | 209 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 69% | 3.0 | 13.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 0.9% | 4.28 | 3.25 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 16 | 11 | 48 | 209 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 69% | 3.0 | 18.2% | 5.3% | 12.9% | 1.0% | 4.28 | 2.75 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 20 | 0 | 38 | 178 | 37 | 16 | 8 | 0% | 1.9 | 16.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.34 | 5.73 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CLE | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.98 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 95 | 419 | 68 | 36 | 15 | — | — | 16.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 5.53 | 5.28 | +0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 4.79 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 40 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 40 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 4.72 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 4.72 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 102 | 0 | 108 | 454 | 73 | 38 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.35 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 136 | 71 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 36 | 11 | 87 | 387 | 58 | 30 | 11 | 31% | 2.4 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 5.19 | 4.39 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 25 | 200 | 893 | 134 | 69 | 26 | 31% | 2.4 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 5.19 | 4.39 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cam Walty (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.98 | 12.7% | 8.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.74 | 15.9% | 7.6% | 172 | -0.24 | — | — | — |
| Kevin Johnson R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.59 | 11.0% | 8.5% | 2.5% | .302 | 5.48 | 9.9% | -2.0% | 26 | +0.89 | 4.59 | 106 | 91 |
| Scott Burke R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.84 | 14.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | .316 | 5.01 | 14.9% | 6.7% | 61 | +0.17 | 4.84 | 119 | 90 |
| Devin Burke R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.61 | 11.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | .275 | 3.97 | 13.7% | 8.8% | 87 | -0.64 | 3.97 | 149 | 90 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.50 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .286 | 4.16 | 16.1% | 7.8% | 91 | -0.34 | 3.28 | 252 | 86 |
| Tyler Barnette R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.53 | 13.0% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .333 | 3.99 | 10.7% | -3.5% | 13 | -0.54 | 3.53 | 173 | 86 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 85 |
| Raul Carrillo R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.93 | 13.4% | 8.2% | 3.5% | .295 | 4.43 | 12.2% | 3.5% | 246 | -0.50 | 4.33 | 348 | 83 |
| Connor Johnstone R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.90 | 11.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% | .329 | 4.85 | 13.3% | 7.6% | 140 | +0.95 | 3.90 | 319 | 83 |
| Dylan Cumming R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.25 | 16.0% | 10.7% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.09 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 274 | -0.16 | 3.69 | 366 | 83 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.02 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 2.1% | .277 | 3.65 | 19.4% | 11.4% | 83 | -0.37 | 3.43 | 167 | 82 |
| Carlos Felix R 2025 · 4.97 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.97 | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.97 | 121 | 82 |
| Daniel Concepcion R 2024 · 5.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.38 | 13.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 110 | 82 |
| Kelvis Valerio R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.14 | 11.1% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.03 | 11.7% | 4.6% | 100 | -0.11 | 4.03 | 266 | 82 |
| Mark Peterson R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.15 | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .277 | 4.72 | 15.9% | 5.6% | 112 | -0.43 | 4.62 | 185 | 81 |
| Robert Kwiatkowski R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.28 | 9.6% | 7.9% | 1.8% | .277 | 4.38 | 16.2% | 6.7% | 164 | +0.10 | 4.01 | 254 | 81 |
| Conor Steinbaugh R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.77 | 16.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 6.87 | 14.3% | 0.8% | 39 | +2.10 | 4.77 | 107 | 81 |
| Raymar Navarro R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.12 | 13.1% | 11.7% | 1.2% | .332 | 4.29 | 11.8% | 1.0% | 41 | +0.17 | 4.12 | 108 | 81 |
| Brady Dragmire R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.71 | 8.9% | 9.4% | 2.1% | .304 | 4.32 | 11.9% | 5.8% | 173 | -0.39 | 3.04 | 391 | 81 |
| Zach Nuding R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.09 | 12.5% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .236 | 4.99 | 12.6% | 3.3% | 106 | -0.10 | 4.99 | 146 | 81 |
| David Reid-Foley R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.89 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.4% | .308 | 6.53 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 33 | +1.64 | 4.89 | 110 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 57 | 15.1% | 8.3% | 1.09 | 4.82 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |