Darvin Cruz — OGILVIE

Darvin CruzOF DSL Royals Ventura

Age 21 L/L 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .278 / .272

PA79

HR0

K%24

BB%8

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Gold	—	181	143	29	8	0	0	34	41	0	9	3	203	356	259	615	56	279	23	19	293	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	171	142	28	3	0	0	22	32	2	14	4	197	313	218	532	21	248	19	13	253	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	173	138	37	5	2	0	28	24	4	6	2	268	406	333	739	65	319	14	16	343	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	181	152	21	5	0	0	25	50	0	9	3	138	260	171	431	33	193	28	14	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	171	149	21	2	0	0	15	38	2	14	4	141	229	154	383	13	173	22	9	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	173	149	26	3	1	0	17	31	4	6	2	174	276	208	485	34	211	18	10	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	181	152	21	5	0	0	25	50	0	9	3	138	260	171	431	33	202	28	14	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Gold	—	181	143	29	8	0	0	34	41	0	9	3	203	356	259	615	56	279	23	19	293	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	171	149	21	2	0	0	15	38	2	14	4	141	229	154	383	13	184	22	9	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	171	142	28	3	0	0	22	32	2	14	4	197	313	218	532	21	248	19	13	253	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	173	149	26	3	1	0	17	31	4	6	2	174	276	208	485	34	217	18	10	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	173	138	37	5	2	0	28	24	4	6	2	268	406	333	739	65	319	14	16	343	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	181	154	21	5	0	0	25	50	0	9	3	136	260	169	429	32	193	28	14	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	171	152	21	2	0	0	15	38	2	14	4	138	229	151	380	13	173	22	9	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	173	150	26	3	1	0	17	31	4	6	2	173	276	207	483	33	211	18	10	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	171	152	21	2	0	0	15	38	2	14	4	138	229	151	380	13	173	22	9	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	173	150	26	3	1	0	17	31	4	6	2	173	276	207	483	33	211	18	10	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	KC	0%	283	255	54	8	2	2	23	69	3	5	1	209	281	275	555	66	277	24	8	256	59	-14	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	KC	34%	120	108	23	3	1	1	10	29	1	2	0	213	285	290	575	77	279	24	8	264	65	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	KC	34%	41	38	7	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	212	284	287	571	76	277	24	7	262	65	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	38	7	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	184	244	211	454	26	250	24	7	262	36	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	111	16	0	0	48	159	0	16	0	184	245	211	456	27	251	24	7	262	36	-27	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	724	630	106	15	3	1	73	167	8	32	9	168	263	206	469	38	223	23	10	221	36	-9	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	95	13	3	1	66	150	7	29	8	168	263	207	470	39	223	23	10	221	36	-29	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Darvin Cruz (OGILVIE)	21	45	20	45	60	207/278/272	65	277	0	1	24%	8%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Scott 2013 · A	21	49	35→30	44→50	45	229/280/285	56	293	2	9	22%	6%	61	-1.5	229/284/303	74	299	2	14	22%	7%	67	-1.1	235/291/313	78	306	1	17	22%	7%	69	-0.6
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	41→39	35→30	44→50	49	190/271/250	60	279	2	9	30%	10%	52	-2.2	227/310/295	68	314	2	16	25%	10%	76	-0.4	246/336/306	60	332	1	21	23%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Alain Camou 2024 · A	20	46	35→30	44→50	50	215/284/281	66	275	2	7	21%	8%	63	-1.4	198/249/265	67	258	3	5	23%	6%	45	-2.7	142/168/182	41	171	0	0	16%	3%	-6	-1.2
✕Cesar Berbesi 2021 · A	21	45	36→30	44→55	47	211/277/280	69	276	2	7	23%	7%	60	-1.6	198/291/285	87	334	5	13	37%	11%	68	-1.0	160/268/227	67	317	3	21	44%	12%	45	-0.7
✕Oswal Leones 2022 · A	21	45	35→30	46→50	45	211/269/277	65	291	2	7	27%	7%	55	-1.9	194/259/264	70	300	4	9	33%	8%	50	-2.3	151/225/205	55	241	3	13	36%	8%	22	-1.8
✕Pin-Chieh Chen 2012 · A	21	48→51	35→40	46→55	48	223/280/282	58	271	2	11	18%	7%	61	-1.5	225/288/293	68	284	2	18	20%	8%	66	-1.1	227/288/313	85	276	3	14	18%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2014 · A	21	44	37→40	49→45	47	205/270/287	81	260	4	11	22%	7%	59	-1.7	216/260/296	80	306	4	12	29%	5%	57	-1.8	240/273/329	88	342	5	9	30%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Michael Smith 2019 · A	22	46	36→30	48→50	44	214/276/278	64	287	3	9	25%	6%	59	-1.6	211/275/277	66	311	3	13	31%	7%	59	-1.7	213/282/273	60	303	3	17	28%	7%	58	-1.2
✕Rashad Brown 2015 · A	21	48	35→30	50→55	40	221/278/279	58	304	2	9	27%	5%	60	-1.6	230/275/286	56	307	1	14	24%	5%	59	-1.6	235/277/282	47	314	0	17	24%	5%	56	-1.0
✕Wendell Fairley 2009 · A	21	45→55	37→30	48→45	45	211/294/282	70	277	4	8	24%	7%	68	-1.0	224/283/287	63	323	3	6	30%	6%	63	-1.3	230/285/280	50	323	2	7	27%	5%	60	-0.9
✕Sam McDonnell 2017 · A	21	43→42	37→40	48→45	48	202/274/285	83	277	3	9	26%	8%	60	-1.6	207/273/291	84	288	5	7	28%	8%	61	-1.5	199/268/277	79	272	6	6	27%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Exicardo Cayones 2013 · A	21	45	37→40	46→45	41	210/276/288	78	303	2	8	30%	6%	61	-1.5	215/291/291	76	323	3	10	31%	8%	68	-1.0	218/295/291	73	326	3	10	31%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Angel Rodriguez 2008 · A	21	44	34→30	46→45	47	204/266/257	54	264	1	9	22%	7%	51	-2.3	210/267/287	77	264	6	11	21%	6%	58	-1.7	196/257/271	74	224	8	16	16%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Yeltsin Encarnacion 2019 · A	21	45	37→30	47→45	47	212/264/286	74	259	3	9	19%	6%	56	-1.9	207/257/267	60	295	3	7	29%	6%	49	-2.4	188/241/230	42	277	2	6	31%	6%	33	-1.6
✕Elias Arias 2015 · A	21	45	35→30	47→55	51	207/281/263	56	254	3	16	19%	8%	58	-1.7	191/249/261	70	271	4	11	29%	7%	45	-2.7	157/205/239	82	247	7	9	38%	5%	20	-0.9
✕Darryl Collins 2022 · A	20	45	38→40	50→45	51	212/292/289	77	265	5	11	21%	9%	68	-1.0	209/287/289	80	273	4	11	23%	9%	66	-1.1	198/286/277	79	269	1	9	24%	11%	64	-0.7
✕Jose Crisotomo 2010 · A	21	45	37→30	48→50	48	212/278/290	78	281	3	12	24%	8%	62	-1.4	237/273/308	71	286	3	10	17%	5%	63	-1.3	258/288/325	67	302	3	11	15%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Branden Cogswell 2015 · A	22	44→46	36→30	50→45	47	207/275/273	66	270	4	8	24%	8%	58	-1.7	217/279/277	60	300	3	6	26%	8%	59	-1.6	221/282/269	48	303	1	5	25%	8%	56	-1.3
✕Kleininger Teran 2010 · A	21	48	34→30	41→45	52	219/285/277	58	260	1	4	16%	8%	62	-1.4	226/270/301	75	284	3	5	20%	6%	61	-1.5	236/267/312	76	292	2	1	19%	4%	59	-0.5
✕Deivi Estrada 2022 · A	21	43	36→30	46→50	47	200/276/265	66	284	3	8	29%	9%	57	-1.8	184/240/252	68	328	3	8	42%	6%	40	-3.1	144/185/202	58	313	3	4	52%	4%	4	-1.2