Andru Arthur — OGILVIE

Andru ArthurOF FCL Cardinals

Age 21 L/L 6'1" / 176 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .261 / .241

PA68

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	91	78	17	3	2	0	9	15	4	6	1	218	330	308	637	90	270	16	10	298	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	156	119	31	5	0	2	23	36	12	11	4	261	429	353	782	92	349	23	15	366	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	156	117	21	4	0	1	30	48	9	13	3	179	385	239	624	60	294	31	19	316	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	72	59	7	5	0	0	10	21	2	2	2	119	268	203	471	85	179	29	14	232	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	91	81	9	1	1	0	6	19	4	6	1	111	209	148	357	37	159	21	7	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	156	127	21	3	0	1	15	44	12	11	4	165	312	213	524	47	224	28	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	156	129	14	2	0	1	18	69	9	13	3	109	263	147	410	39	222	44	12	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	72	63	4	3	0	0	6	30	2	2	2	63	169	111	280	48	125	42	8	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	91	81	9	1	1	0	6	19	4	6	1	111	209	148	357	37	145	21	7	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	91	78	17	3	2	0	9	15	4	6	1	218	330	308	637	90	270	16	10	298	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	156	127	21	3	0	1	15	44	12	11	4	165	312	213	524	47	238	28	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	156	119	31	5	0	2	23	36	12	11	4	261	429	353	782	92	349	23	15	366	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	156	129	14	2	0	1	18	69	9	13	3	109	263	147	410	39	220	44	12	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	156	117	21	4	0	1	30	48	9	13	3	179	385	239	624	60	294	31	19	316	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	72	63	4	3	0	0	6	30	2	2	2	63	169	111	280	48	118	42	8	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	72	59	7	5	0	0	10	21	2	2	2	119	268	203	471	85	179	29	14	232	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	91	81	9	1	1	0	6	19	4	6	1	111	209	148	357	37	159	21	7	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	156	128	21	3	0	1	15	44	12	11	4	164	312	211	523	47	224	28	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	156	128	14	2	0	1	18	69	9	13	3	109	263	148	411	39	222	44	12	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	72	64	4	3	0	0	6	30	2	2	2	62	169	109	278	47	125	42	8	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	156	128	21	3	0	1	15	44	12	11	4	164	312	211	523	47	224	28	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	156	128	14	2	0	1	18	69	9	13	3	109	263	148	411	39	222	44	12	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	72	64	4	3	0	0	6	30	2	2	2	62	169	109	278	47	125	42	8	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	STL	0%	182	161	28	5	1	1	15	55	4	4	1	177	263	243	506	66	257	30	8	238	47	-11	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	STL	34%	153	136	25	5	1	1	13	46	3	3	1	183	269	261	530	78	260	30	8	247	53	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	STL	34%	53	47	8	2	0	0	5	16	1	1	0	184	270	261	531	77	262	30	9	247	53	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	53	47	8	2	0	0	5	16	1	1	0	170	264	213	477	43	258	30	9	247	32	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	99	25	0	0	61	196	12	12	0	172	265	215	480	43	261	30	9	247	32	-36	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	696	597	83	16	2	3	64	229	31	36	11	139	257	188	445	49	217	33	9	215	32	-13	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	78	15	2	3	60	214	29	34	10	140	259	190	448	50	217	33	9	215	32	-38	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andru Arthur (OGILVIE)	21	20	20	60	60	175/261/241	65	257	0	1	30%	8%	47	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jaden Rudd 2024 · A	21	39→36	37→30	52→50	48	179/290/250	70	276	4	14	32%	10%	61	-1.5	193/286/269	76	307	5	13	35%	9%	63	-1.4	155/260/202	47	253	3	16	35%	10%	36	-0.9
✕Roberto Reyes 2010 · A	21	35	37→40	55	44	168/249/240	72	256	4	15	33%	8%	42	-2.9	189/249/265	76	287	4	8	33%	6%	46	-2.6	179/233/246	67	261	5	2	32%	5%	34	-1.2
✕Dionis Paulino 2015 · A	21	40	36→40	51→50	48	189/267/252	64	257	3	15	26%	9%	51	-2.3	202/263/272	70	293	3	12	30%	7%	53	-2.1	206/248/291	84	301	9	11	33%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Shard Munroe 2017 · A	21	39	36→40	58→50	51	184/262/257	74	236	3	16	22%	9%	49	-2.4	195/264/288	93	277	8	13	30%	8%	57	-1.8	173/247/267	94	252	9	14	33%	8%	45	-0.9
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	33	36→40	54→50	51	159/256/227	68	220	2	11	26%	10%	42	-2.9	182/263/253	71	238	3	14	23%	8%	49	-2.4	139/229/187	48	171	0	27	17%	8%	19	-1.2
✕Yonki Hernandez 2012 · A	21	37	35→30	53→55	51	174/277/233	60	240	2	17	26%	10%	52	-2.2	190/257/261	71	301	4	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	175/224/210	35	295	3	27	40%	6%	19	-1.1
✕Dan Arcila 2011 · A	21	33	37→40	53→50	42	166/231/239	73	242	5	12	32%	7%	34	-3.5	196/250/324	128	265	13	6	30%	6%	61	-1.5	174/233/338	164	215	19	3	29%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Fernando Diaz 2016 · A	21	38	34→30	50→45	53	178/276/232	54	231	1	9	22%	10%	51	-2.3	193/290/257	64	248	3	10	21%	10%	61	-1.5	134/289/155	21	159	2	16	15%	14%	40	-0.6
✕Andry Arias 2021 · A	21	38	39→40	51→40	42	186/255/269	83	272	6	8	32%	8%	50	-2.3	190/255/289	99	292	8	6	35%	7%	55	-2.0	163/234/264	101	246	9	3	35%	7%	39	-1.0
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	37	38→40	49→50	44	181/259/263	83	253	5	11	29%	8%	51	-2.3	186/256/284	98	256	7	9	28%	7%	54	-2.0	123/201/242	119	154	9	9	26%	8%	23	-1.1
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	53→50	46	189/269/285	96	280	8	13	33%	9%	59	-1.6	194/280/279	85	302	5	15	34%	10%	62	-1.4	185/278/271	86	290	5	16	34%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	38	38→45	53→50	51	181/272/260	79	252	4	15	28%	10%	55	-2.0	185/255/278	93	317	6	13	40%	8%	52	-2.2	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Ifran Becerra 2012 · A	21	38	35→30	49→55	50	179/272/235	56	248	2	13	27%	10%	50	-2.3	193/275/269	76	267	5	14	27%	9%	58	-1.7	163/260/237	74	214	5	22	24%	11%	49	-0.7
✕Alfredo Angarita 2018 · A	21	40	35→30	51→55	51	186/269/244	58	251	2	16	25%	10%	49	-2.4	199/263/254	55	285	2	10	28%	7%	49	-2.4	192/256/235	43	276	1	9	28%	7%	39	-1.4
✕Junior Amarante 2015 · A	20	39	33→30	55	45	184/252/228	44	256	1	18	27%	7%	39	-3.1	198/256/252	54	281	2	13	28%	6%	46	-2.6	173/227/195	22	249	0	14	29%	4%	19	-1.2
✕Yeniel Laboy 2024 · A	20	43	37→30	52→45	47	200/283/268	68	287	5	8	29%	9%	61	-1.5	199/274/263	64	285	4	7	29%	8%	55	-1.9	166/248/183	18	241	0	3	28%	9%	26	-1.3
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Brenny Escanio 2024 · A	21	38	37→30	53→55	46	181/261/252	72	275	4	15	33%	9%	49	-2.4	186/253/256	70	298	4	15	36%	8%	45	-2.7	167/233/225	58	272	3	18	37%	8%	28	-1.6
✕Dreily Guerrero 2012 · A	21	35	35→30	54→55	43	169/233/230	61	248	1	13	31%	7%	32	-3.7	175/222/238	63	300	3	9	40%	5%	29	-3.8	149/190/211	62	271	5	12	45%	5%	9	-1.6
✕Kelvin Duran 2012 · A	21	40	38→40	53→55	43	193/246/270	77	260	5	15	27%	6%	46	-2.6	193/238/264	71	290	5	9	33%	5%	41	-3.0	145/174/180	36	215	3	12	34%	3%	-5	-1.3