Andru Arthur — OGILVIE

Andru ArthurOF FCL Cardinals

Age 20 L/L 6'1" / 176 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 69 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.145 / .232 / .177

PA69

HR0

K%30

BB%9

BABIP220

ISO32

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	91	81	10	1	1	0	6	23	4	6	1	123	220	160	380	37	172	25	7	181	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	91	78	17	3	2	0	9	15	4	6	1	218	330	308	637	90	270	16	10	298	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	156	129	24	4	0	1	13	53	12	11	4	186	318	240	558	54	299	34	8	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	156	119	31	5	0	2	23	36	12	11	4	261	429	353	782	92	349	23	15	366	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	156	129	14	2	0	1	18	70	9	13	3	109	263	147	410	39	224	45	12	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	156	117	21	4	0	1	30	48	9	13	3	179	385	239	624	60	294	31	19	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	STL	—	61	53	3	2	0	0	6	26	1	2	2	57	167	94	261	38	107	43	10	135	-38	-10	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.9
YTD	20	ROK	STL	—	61	50	5	3	0	0	9	18	1	2	2	100	250	160	410	60	152	30	15	208	17	-6	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.5
ROS	20	ROK	STL	0%	69	62	9	2	0	0	6	21	1	2	1	145	232	177	409	32	243	30	9	230	34	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.4
ROS	20	MLB	STL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		243	—	—	215	23	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	STL	—	61	54	3	2	0	0	6	26	1	2	2	56	167	93	259	37	103	43	10	135	-38	-10	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.9
TOT	20	ROK	STL	—	130	115	12	4	0	0	12	47	2	4	3	104	202	139	341	35	174	36	9	185	0	-15	-0	+0	-1	+4	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	STL	34%	212	187	34	7	1	2	19	62	4	5	2	182	271	262	533	80	250	29	9	246	47	-13	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.8
2028	22	MLB	STL	48%	335	297	56	11	2	5	29	96	6	8	3	189	274	290	564	101	255	29	9	257	55	-17	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.9
2027	21	MLB	STL	34%	73	66	11	2	0	1	6	21	1	2	1	167	247	242	489	76	250	29	8	232	36	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.4
2028	22	MLB	STL	48%	162	144	26	5	1	2	14	46	3	4	1	181	267	271	538	90	255	28	9	243	44	-10	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	235	211	37	7	1	3	20	67	4	6	2	175	261	261	521	85	239	29	9	240	42	-16	+0	+0	-1	+7	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	102	19	3	8	55	185	11	17	6	175	260	259	518	84	239	28	8	240	42	-43	+1	+0	-4	+18	-2.8
Career	—			—	1019	885	147	27	4	9	91	325	36	45	14	166	271	236	507	70	248	32	9	236	39	-71	+3	+0	-6	+29	-4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	94	17	3	6	58	207	23	29	9	166	271	239	510	73	248	32	9	236	39	-45	+2	+0	-4	+18	-2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	91	78	17	3	2	0	9	15	4	6	1	218	330	308	637	90	270	16	10	298	87	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	156	119	31	5	0	2	23	36	12	11	4	261	429	353	782	92	349	23	15	366	139	+7	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	156	117	21	4	0	1	30	48	9	13	3	179	385	239	624	60	294	31	19	316	100	-0	+1	—	—	+4	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	365	4	8	185	269	267	-2	+0	-1.2	-0.6
	/162	664	7	15	185	269	267	-4.0	+0.0	-2.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andru Arthur (OGILVIE)	20	20	20	60	60	104/202/139	35	174	0	4	36%	9%	45	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	40→36	40→30	50	49	191/283/285	94	262	7	12	28%	10%	60	-1.0	181/291/247	66	292	3	14	35%	10%	56	-1.3	157/284/207	50	266	2	16	36%	11%	41	-1.2
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	40	-2.4	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	49	-1.8	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	23	-0.9
✕Hector Hernandez 2015 · A	19	36	35→30	50→45	39	172/233/229	57	260	2	8	33%	6%	23	-3.6	188/259/249	61	277	2	8	30%	7%	40	-2.4	176/255/229	53	257	1	8	29%	8%	31	-1.1
✕Junior Amarante 2015 · A	20	42	34→30	55	42	197/259/243	46	293	1	18	31%	7%	37	-2.6	209/265/265	56	315	2	13	32%	6%	46	-2.0	195/245/220	25	304	0	14	34%	4%	22	-1.0
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2016 · A	19	34	36→30	51→50	43	168/238/234	66	250	4	10	33%	8%	27	-3.3	179/237/253	74	242	5	9	27%	6%	31	-3.0	164/220/234	70	213	4	8	24%	5%	17	-1.4
✕Roberto Reyes 2009 · A	20	36	35→40	52→55	39	168/240/232	64	278	2	8	37%	7%	27	-3.3	188/254/272	84	309	5	11	38%	7%	43	-2.2	180/243/261	81	275	6	10	35%	6%	33	-1.1
✕Darryl Collins 2022 · A	20	43	37→40	50→45	50	205/282/277	72	258	5	11	21%	8%	57	-1.2	203/275/281	78	270	4	11	24%	8%	55	-1.4	189/266/265	76	262	1	9	26%	9%	47	-1.1
✕Edwin Mateo 2019 · A	20	40	37→40	52→55	48	192/265/260	67	249	4	15	23%	8%	45	-2.1	213/290/299	86	290	7	14	27%	8%	66	-0.6	208/281/291	83	293	6	14	29%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Fernando Diaz 2015 · A	20	42	35→30	50→45	53	192/296/252	60	254	2	8	22%	10%	58	-1.2	195/292/256	61	260	3	10	24%	10%	57	-1.2	163/305/196	33	199	4	16	18%	13%	48	-0.4
✕Steven De La Mota 2013 · A	19	39	36→30	52→50	43	187/246/254	67	243	3	10	24%	6%	35	-2.8	206/272/271	65	289	3	10	28%	7%	50	-1.7	202/274/242	40	284	2	13	27%	7%	40	-0.8
✕Alfredo Angarita 2017 · A	20	40	36→30	50→55	52	189/279/255	65	254	3	16	25%	10%	50	-1.7	201/269/258	57	287	2	12	28%	8%	46	-2.0	194/260/238	44	282	1	11	29%	7%	33	-1.1
✕Nelson Molina 2015 · A	20	39	34→40	51→40	44	182/228/228	47	225	2	12	20%	5%	20	-3.8	214/258/273	59	265	3	7	19%	5%	44	-2.1	223/264/283	60	275	4	5	20%	5%	46	-0.9
✕Shard Munroe 2017 · A	21	41	38→40	58→50	49	194/268/275	81	255	4	16	24%	8%	50	-1.8	197/265/292	95	283	8	13	31%	8%	53	-1.5	174/247/268	94	256	9	14	34%	8%	37	-0.9
✕Shane Mardirosian 2016 · A	20	42→39	37→40	50→45	39	199/247/278	79	276	4	13	28%	5%	41	-2.3	196/245/264	68	276	4	8	29%	5%	37	-2.6	187/239/249	62	261	3	7	28%	5%	28	-1.7
✕Darwin Alvarado 2019 · A	20	38	35→30	49→50	39	183/243/233	50	274	3	9	33%	6%	28	-3.2	192/245/262	70	260	4	10	26%	6%	37	-2.7	154/205/201	47	198	3	14	23%	6%	1	-1.3
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	45→42	39→40	54→50	49	212/301/304	92	297	6	15	28%	10%	72	-0.2	195/269/291	96	274	7	11	29%	9%	55	-1.4	181/270/264	83	253	5	13	28%	11%	47	-0.9
✕Jordan Viars 2023 · A	20	39	39→40	52→45	41	191/262/272	80	279	8	7	32%	7%	47	-1.9	179/257/278	99	298	9	5	40%	7%	48	-1.9	155/238/255	100	269	11	4	43%	7%	31	-1.3
✕Juan Batista 2021 · A	20	40	36→40	51→55	45	190/261/264	74	271	3	16	29%	8%	44	-2.1	183/243/264	81	368	5	13	48%	6%	37	-2.7	91/156/145	54	282	2	18	64%	5%	-32	-1.9
✕Danny Contreras 2018 · A	20	36	36→40	49→50	47	175/249/244	69	249	4	8	29%	9%	34	-2.8	204/260/292	88	288	8	6	30%	7%	51	-1.7	193/232/275	82	256	14	2	30%	5%	32	-0.6
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4