Nixson Cueche — OGILVIE

Nixson CuecheSS DSL Braves

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 156 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .277 / .291

PA69

HR1

K%26

BB%7

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.5M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$7M		$20M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	132	124	27	4	1	0	6	19	0	2	2	218	254	266	520	48	252	14	5	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	132	119	33	5	2	0	11	13	0	2	2	277	338	353	691	76	306	10	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	136	115	17	3	0	0	16	31	2	5	6	148	263	174	437	26	195	23	12	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	136	106	21	4	0	0	25	23	2	5	6	198	361	236	597	38	244	17	18	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	ATL	—	69	63	13	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	206	275	286	561	79	286	26	7	261	58	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	ATL	34%	120	109	25	4	1	2	9	30	1	2	1	229	294	339	634	110	288	25	8	273	67	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2028	22	MLB	ATL	48%	265	240	54	9	2	4	20	65	3	4	1	225	293	329	622	104	289	25	8	282	74	-8	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2029	23	MLB	ATL	54%	369	333	76	13	2	7	29	90	4	5	2	228	298	342	640	114	290	24	8	288	78	-9	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2030	24	MLB	ATL	55%	440	399	93	16	3	9	34	107	4	6	2	233	300	356	656	123	291	24	8	292	82	-9	+0	+0	+5	+12	0.9
2031	25	MLB	ATL	56%	483	437	101	17	3	10	38	117	5	6	2	231	300	352	652	121	292	24	8	294	83	-9	+0	+0	+5	+14	1.0
2032	26	MLB	ATL	56%	508	458	106	18	3	11	40	123	5	7	2	231	300	356	656	124	292	24	8	296	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.2
2033	27	MLB	ATL	55%	519	468	108	18	3	11	41	126	5	7	2	231	300	353	652	122	291	24	8	296	85	-9	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.2
2034	28	MLB	ATL	55%	522	470	108	18	3	11	42	128	5	7	2	230	300	351	651	121	291	25	8	295	84	-10	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.1
2035	29	MLB	ATL	53%	517	465	107	18	3	11	42	128	5	6	2	230	301	353	653	123	291	25	8	293	83	-10	+0	-1	+6	+15	0.9
2036	30	MLB	ATL	53%	509	458	105	18	3	10	41	127	5	5	2	229	300	347	647	118	290	25	8	291	81	-11	+0	-2	+5	+14	0.7
2027	21	MLB	ATL	34%	41	38	8	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	211	268	316	584	105	288	24	7	267	62	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	22	MLB	ATL	48%	128	116	26	4	1	2	10	32	1	2	1	224	291	328	619	103	289	25	8	275	69	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2029	23	MLB	ATL	54%	200	180	41	7	1	4	16	49	2	3	1	228	298	344	642	117	290	24	8	281	73	-6	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2030	24	MLB	ATL	55%	244	221	52	9	2	5	19	59	2	3	1	235	302	362	664	127	291	24	8	285	76	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2031	25	MLB	ATL	56%	270	244	58	10	2	6	21	66	3	4	1	238	306	369	675	131	292	24	8	287	78	-7	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2032	26	MLB	ATL	56%	286	258	60	10	2	6	23	69	3	4	1	233	303	357	659	124	292	24	8	288	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2033	27	MLB	ATL	55%	287	259	60	10	2	6	23	70	3	4	1	232	302	355	657	124	291	24	8	289	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2034	28	MLB	ATL	55%	286	258	60	10	2	6	23	70	3	4	1	233	303	357	659	124	291	24	8	288	78	-7	+0	-0	+3	+8	0.4
2035	29	MLB	ATL	53%	276	249	58	10	2	6	22	68	3	3	1	233	303	361	664	129	291	25	8	286	77	-7	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.3
2036	30	MLB	ATL	53%	268	241	55	9	2	5	22	67	3	3	1	228	301	344	645	116	290	25	8	284	75	-8	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2286	2064	478	80	16	47	182	560	23	31	9	232	301	354	655	123	294	24	8	285	76	-61	+3	-2	+24	+65	2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	136	23	5	13	52	159	7	9	3	232	302	354	657	123	294	24	8	285	76	-17	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	4589	4139	940	158	27	87	363	1109	45	63	26	227	296	341	638	114	287	24	8	287	78	-113	+2	-4	+49	+130	6.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	133	22	4	12	51	157	6	9	4	227	295	340	635	113	287	24	8	287	78	-16	+0	-1	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	132	119	33	5	2	0	11	13	0	2	2	277	338	353	691	76	306	10	8	309	95	-1	-0	—	—	+4	0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	136	106	21	4	0	0	25	23	2	5	6	198	361	236	597	38	244	17	18	290	80	-3	-1	—	—	+4	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,356	47	30	231	296	350	+25	+18	4.3	4.1
	/162	664	13	8	231	296	350	+7.1	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nixson Cueche (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	213/277/291	78	286	1	1	26%	7%	58	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Leo Jiménez 2021 · A	20	44→49	37→45	50→45	46	209/267/287	78	267	4	6	23%	7%	52	-1.6	236/347/327	91	303	7	8	22%	10%	99	+1.7	226/327/323	97	289	8	8	22%	9%	87	+0.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	40→55	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	59	-1.1	228/295/379	151	303	17	5	29%	7%	89	+1.0	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Yairo Muñoz 2015 · A	20	41→51	38→50	48→55	43	198/255/280	82	264	5	7	26%	6%	46	-2.0	218/253/322	104	271	10	9	23%	4%	55	-1.4	262/304/399	137	319	15	17	22%	5%	91	+0.7
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→47	39→55	49→30	44	205/276/287	82	282	6	6	28%	7%	56	-1.3	210/273/295	85	266	7	4	22%	7%	57	-1.2	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→45	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	47	-1.9	190/259/265	75	304	6	15	36%	7%	44	-2.1	192/271/270	78	293	5	32	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→55	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	207/248/334	127	286	13	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→42	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/356	142	321	16	4	36%	7%	76	+0.0	203/271/349	146	304	18	4	37%	7%	69	-0.3
●Cody Freeman 2021 · A	20	44→54	36→50	49→50	50	205/287/271	66	274	3	10	24%	9%	58	-1.2	201/265/303	102	247	10	9	22%	7%	56	-1.3	233/276/386	153	263	18	9	19%	5%	80	+0.3
✕David Bote 2013 · A	20	42→48	38→55	50→45	43	198/270/283	85	290	4	8	31%	8%	53	-1.5	186/260/267	81	263	5	6	29%	7%	45	-2.1	236/310/400	165	301	20	6	27%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Stone Garrett 2016 · A	20	41→37	35→55	49→50	38	198/237/257	59	280	3	7	29%	5%	30	-3.1	166/207/247	81	303	6	8	45%	4%	16	-4.1	219/280/389	170	298	21	11	33%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	204/258/281	77	261	3	10	22%	6%	46	-2.0	205/283/290	85	253	7	15	20%	9%	61	-1.0	194/284/274	80	231	8	20	19%	10%	56	-0.4
●Michael Wing 2009 · A	20	45→50	39→55	49→40	40	213/258/304	91	290	5	6	27%	5%	53	-1.5	231/278/348	117	308	10	4	27%	6%	73	-0.1	238/279/400	162	302	19	3	27%	4%	86	+0.5
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	53	-1.5	203/253/290	87	301	6	4	33%	4%	47	-1.9	213/250/309	96	311	7	2	33%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Gavin Cecchini 2014 · A	20	42→52	37→45	46→45	41	199/250/271	71	282	4	7	29%	6%	40	-2.4	233/284/333	100	284	7	5	19%	6%	71	-0.3	245/297/343	98	290	7	5	17%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Andres Melendez 2021 · A	20	43	37→50	46→40	46	203/263/280	77	259	4	5	22%	7%	49	-1.8	211/286/332	121	328	11	5	36%	9%	72	-0.2	192/279/332	140	298	14	2	37%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Michael Hermosillo 2015 · A	20	42→46	39→55	51→55	43	200/270/292	92	292	6	11	32%	8%	56	-1.3	215/291/294	79	285	6	17	24%	8%	66	-0.6	226/298/350	124	305	12	20	28%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Luke Williams 2017 · A	20	46	36→45	50→60	47	215/283/280	65	292	3	11	26%	8%	57	-1.2	193/244/262	69	260	5	17	26%	6%	36	-2.7	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	42	-2.3	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	-1	-1.2