Nixson Cueche — OGILVIE

Nixson CuecheSS DSL Braves

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 156 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .277 / .290

PA6

HR0

K%26

BB%7

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	132	119	33	5	2	0	11	13	0	2	2	277	338	353	691	76	306	10	8	309	96	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	136	106	21	4	0	0	25	23	2	5	6	198	361	236	597	38	244	17	18	290	82	-3	-1	—	—	+3	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	132	123	27	4	1	0	7	19	0	2	2	220	262	268	530	49	254	14	5	239	48	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	136	115	17	3	0	0	16	32	2	5	6	148	263	174	437	26	187	24	12	208	27	-12	-1	—	—	+3	-1.0
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	132	123	27	4	1	0	7	19	0	2	2	220	262	268	530	49	255	14	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	132	119	33	5	2	0	11	13	0	2	2	277	338	353	691	76	306	10	8	309	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	136	115	17	3	0	0	16	32	2	5	6	148	263	174	437	26	198	24	12	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	136	106	21	4	0	0	25	23	2	5	6	198	361	236	597	38	244	17	18	290	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	132	124	27	4	1	0	7	19	0	2	2	218	262	266	528	48	254	14	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	136	117	17	3	0	0	16	32	2	5	6	145	263	171	434	26	187	24	12	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	132	124	27	4	1	0	7	19	0	2	2	218	262	266	528	48	254	14	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	136	117	17	3	0	0	16	32	2	5	6	145	263	171	434	26	187	24	12	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		286	33	0	261	63	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	120	109	25	4	1	2	9	30	1	2	1	229	294	339	634	110	287	25	8	273	71	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	22	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	265	240	54	9	2	4	20	66	3	4	1	225	293	329	622	104	289	25	8	282	77	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	369	333	76	13	2	7	29	90	4	5	2	228	298	342	640	114	290	24	8	288	81	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	440	399	92	16	3	9	34	107	4	6	2	231	297	353	651	123	291	24	8	292	84	-9	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2031	25	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	483	437	101	17	3	10	38	118	5	6	2	231	300	352	652	121	291	24	8	294	85	-9	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2032	26	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	508	458	106	18	3	11	40	124	5	7	2	231	300	356	656	124	291	24	8	295	86	-8	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2033	27	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	519	468	108	18	3	11	41	127	5	7	2	231	300	353	652	122	291	24	8	296	86	-9	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.9
2034	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	522	470	108	18	3	11	42	128	5	7	2	230	300	351	651	121	291	25	8	295	86	-9	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.8
2035	29	MLB MLE	ATL	58%	517	465	107	18	3	11	42	128	5	6	2	230	301	353	653	123	290	25	8	293	84	-10	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.6
2036	30	MLB MLE	ATL	60%	509	458	103	17	3	10	41	127	5	5	2	225	296	341	636	116	289	25	8	290	83	-10	+0	-2	+5	+11	0.4
2037	31	MLB MLE	ATL	62%	497	449	101	17	3	10	40	126	5	5	1	225	296	343	639	118	287	25	8	286	80	-12	+1	-3	+5	+11	0.2
2038	32	MLB MLE	ATL	63%	480	434	96	16	3	9	39	123	4	4	1	221	291	334	626	113	284	26	8	281	76	-13	+0	-4	+5	+10	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	41	38	8	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	211	268	316	584	105	287	24	7	267	71	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	128	116	26	4	1	2	10	32	1	2	1	224	291	328	619	103	289	25	8	275	77	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	200	180	41	7	1	4	16	49	2	3	1	228	298	344	642	117	290	24	8	281	81	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	244	221	52	9	2	5	19	59	2	3	1	235	302	362	664	127	291	24	8	285	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	270	244	58	10	2	6	21	66	3	4	1	238	306	369	675	131	291	24	8	287	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	286	259	60	10	2	6	22	70	3	4	1	232	299	355	655	124	291	24	8	288	86	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	287	259	60	10	2	6	23	70	3	4	1	232	302	355	657	124	291	24	8	288	86	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	286	258	60	10	2	6	23	70	3	4	1	233	303	357	659	124	291	24	8	287	86	-5	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	ATL	58%	300	270	61	10	2	6	24	74	3	4	1	226	296	344	641	119	290	25	8	286	84	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	ATL	60%	307	276	63	11	2	6	25	77	3	3	1	228	299	348	647	120	289	25	8	283	83	-6	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2037	31	MLB CTX	ATL	62%	307	276	62	10	2	6	25	78	3	3	1	225	296	341	637	116	287	25	8	280	80	-7	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.1
2038	32	MLB CTX	ATL	63%	301	271	61	10	2	6	24	77	3	2	1	225	295	343	638	118	284	26	8	274	76	-8	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2957	2668	612	102	20	60	235	732	29	37	11	229	299	350	649	121	292	25	8	283	80	-61	+3	-6	+32	+64	3.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	134	22	4	13	52	161	6	8	2	229	298	346	644	118	292	25	8	283	80	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5503	4964	1122	188	33	105	438	1347	53	71	28	226	296	341	636	115	287	24	8	287	80	-109	+5	-10	+56	+113	5.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	132	22	4	12	52	159	6	8	3	225	295	338	633	113	286	24	8	287	80	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Darwin Barneylast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,729 PA	4.1	2,729	29	29	246	294	339	+10	+46	6.5	6.5
/162	664	7	7	+2.5	+11.2	1.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.6	3,027	59	36	229	295	347	+32	+24	5.2	4.7
/162	664	13	8	+7.1	+5.3	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nixson Cueche (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	212/277/290	78	286	1	1	26%	7%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Erick Gonzalez 2011 · A	20	38	34→40	43→50	42	182/243/237	55	268	2	7	31%	7%	37	-3.3	210/295/284	74	272	3	10	22%	10%	68	-1.0	214/322/287	73	261	2	14	16%	13%	77	-0.1
✕Rainer Nunez 2021 · A	20	37→47	38→45	39→30	41	183/233/262	79	235	6	4	25%	5%	39	-3.1	222/268/349	127	291	15	2	28%	5%	73	-0.6	223/262/347	125	295	16	0	30%	4%	67	-0.7
✕Joey Curletta 2013 · A	19	39→48	36→50	48→45	35	180/239/242	62	304	3	5	40%	6%	37	-3.3	213/263/301	88	293	7	5	28%	6%	59	-1.6	207/272/364	156	289	20	4	34%	8%	77	-0.3
✕Juan Kelly 2013 · A	19	38→48	35→45	47→45	45	182/245/240	58	244	2	6	25%	7%	39	-3.1	201/274/271	70	258	4	8	22%	9%	57	-1.8	214/276/340	126	294	11	3	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Matt Dean 2013 · A	20	40→49	38→45	48→40	31	181/228/264	83	330	5	6	44%	5%	38	-3.2	218/260/327	109	337	9	5	36%	4%	64	-1.3	216/260/330	114	328	10	3	36%	4%	61	-1.0
✕Luis Tejada 2015 · A	22	40→44	37→45	51→50	36	193/234/261	68	269	4	10	29%	4%	39	-3.1	217/262/318	101	275	9	8	24%	5%	63	-1.4	217/264/324	108	265	10	7	22%	5%	62	-0.7
✕David Medina 2009 · A	20	35→42	36→45	45→40	41	169/243/235	66	277	4	5	38%	8%	38	-3.2	203/262/301	98	313	8	4	35%	7%	59	-1.6	198/249/305	107	301	9	2	36%	6%	52	-1.2
✕Jimmy Paredes 2008 · A	19	41→51	37→45	46→55	36	198/228/273	75	253	4	6	24%	3%	39	-3.1	217/248/300	83	275	4	12	22%	3%	53	-2.1	251/280/375	124	344	12	15	30%	4%	80	-0.1
✕Raynay Guerrero 2013 · A	20	36	38→40	48→40	35	179/229/260	81	264	6	4	34%	5%	38	-3.2	190/235/264	74	255	5	4	27%	4%	40	-3.0	176/218/238	61	230	5	3	25%	3%	28	-1.2
✕Dalton Smith 2014 · A	20	38	37→40	44→30	36	183/231/255	71	277	5	5	34%	5%	36	-3.3	193/250/279	86	277	7	5	31%	6%	50	-2.3	164/225/246	82	226	8	1	30%	6%	32	-1.3
✕Mario Gonzalez 2010 · A	18	42	34→40	46→40	41	197/238/251	54	258	2	7	24%	5%	38	-3.2	203/281/267	64	256	3	5	20%	9%	59	-1.6	192/291/251	59	236	4	3	18%	10%	61	-0.5
●Balbino Fuenmayor 2009 · A	19	39→49	38→50	40→30	31	185/230/263	78	309	5	3	40%	4%	38	-3.2	194/224/286	92	312	8	2	39%	3%	40	-3.0	277/304/419	143	324	17	0	20%	3%	100	+0.8
✕Freddvil Chevez 2019 · A	19	35	39→40	48→30	39	177/232/258	81	240	7	4	29%	5%	38	-3.2	207/257/290	83	261	7	3	23%	4%	55	-2.0	195/240/265	70	248	7	0	24%	4%	41	-0.9
✕Manuel Nuno 2009 · A	20	33	39→40	46→40	39	161/242/237	77	278	7	4	41%	8%	38	-3.2	172/263/265	93	294	8	5	40%	9%	53	-2.1	128/248/226	98	220	10	4	42%	11%	40	-1.3
✕Marcos Vargas 2006 · A	20	41	35→45	43→45	33	188/232/250	62	311	2	6	39%	5%	36	-3.4	198/249/298	100	287	9	6	33%	5%	54	-2.0	178/228/291	113	240	13	6	31%	4%	43	-1.1
✕K.J. Woods 2015 · A	20	41→39	36→45	45→30	33	181/242/244	63	341	4	6	45%	6%	39	-3.1	193/261/305	112	336	12	3	43%	7%	61	-1.5	179/252/297	117	308	13	0	43%	7%	53	-1.2
✕Telvin Nash 2010 · A	19	39→23	37→55	44→30	34	183/231/257	75	305	4	5	40%	6%	37	-3.3	190/252/331	141	328	17	3	44%	7%	63	-1.3	171/258/352	181	270	27	1	45%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Griffin Benson 2018 · A	20	39→25	35→45	48→30	39	185/241/238	54	281	3	4	34%	6%	36	-3.3	179/247/282	103	306	10	4	42%	7%	50	-2.3	151/228/273	122	263	13	2	45%	7%	39	-1.5
✕Miguel Guzman 2015 · A	20	41	36→30	46→40	38	198/233/261	63	255	3	5	23%	3%	38	-3.2	210/244/287	77	273	4	5	24%	4%	48	-2.5	189/208/263	73	257	0	3	26%	2%	26	-0.7
✕Joel Diaz 2015 · A	19	43	33→40	43→40	41	201/240/243	42	243	1	4	18%	3%	37	-3.3	207/247/288	81	261	6	5	22%	4%	50	-2.3	205/244/286	82	259	6	4	23%	4%	46	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps