Sebastian De Andrade

C ACL Mariners

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKSEA	186	.260/.380/.325	1	0	51	—	.200/.283/.248
2026	20	ASEA	36	.207/.361/.276	0	1	49	—	.200/.333/.267
2026	20	ROKSEA	81	.236/.321/.361	3	0	19	—	.147/.210/.227
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBSEA	227	.188/.260/.259	2	3	49	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBSEA	73	.192/.265/.273	1	1	55	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBSEA	156	.196/.269/.286	2	2	60	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO54

Chase%28

wRC+24

BB%21

Z-Con%18

wOBA17

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsMatt Kennelly (age 21) · Rudy van Heydoorn (age 21) · Franklin Tineo (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 116 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .258 / .257

PA116

HR1

K%31

BB%8

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	138	119	32	5	0	2	13	28	4	0	1	269	360	361	722	92	330	20	9	328	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	100	85	17	2	0	1	12	22	1	1	0	200	306	259	565	59	250	22	12	264	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	186	154	40	7	0	1	27	43	3	0	1	260	380	325	705	65	348	23	15	328	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	36	29	6	2	0	0	5	9	2	1	1	207	361	276	637	69	300	25	14	310	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	81	72	17	0	0	3	9	26	0	0	1	236	321	361	682	125	326	32	11	311	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	138	123	23	3	0	1	9	34	4	0	1	187	265	236	500	49	233	25	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	100	89	14	1	0	1	8	32	1	1	0	157	235	202	437	45	218	32	8	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	186	165	33	5	0	1	16	62	3	0	1	200	283	248	531	48	302	33	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	36	30	6	2	0	0	4	12	2	1	1	200	333	267	600	67	275	33	11	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	81	75	11	0	0	2	6	37	0	0	1	147	210	227	437	80	262	46	7	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	138	123	23	3	0	1	9	34	4	0	1	187	265	236	500	49	244	25	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	138	119	32	5	0	2	13	28	4	0	1	269	360	361	722	92	330	20	9	328	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	100	89	14	1	0	1	8	32	1	1	0	157	235	202	437	45	224	32	8	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	100	85	17	2	0	1	12	22	1	1	0	200	306	259	565	59	250	22	12	264	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	186	165	33	5	0	1	16	62	3	0	1	200	283	248	531	48	308	33	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	186	154	40	7	0	1	27	43	3	0	1	260	380	325	705	65	348	23	15	328	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	117	106	17	2	0	2	9	50	2	1	2	160	239	236	475	75	278	43	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	117	101	23	2	0	3	14	35	2	1	2	228	333	337	670	109	317	30	12	311	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	138	124	23	3	0	1	9	34	4	0	1	185	265	234	499	48	233	25	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	100	91	14	1	0	1	8	32	1	1	0	154	235	198	432	44	218	32	8	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	186	165	33	5	0	1	16	62	3	0	1	200	283	248	531	48	302	33	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	117	105	17	2	0	2	9	50	2	1	2	162	239	238	477	76	266	43	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	100	91	14	1	0	1	8	32	1	1	0	154	235	198	432	44	218	32	8	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	186	165	33	5	0	1	16	62	3	0	1	200	283	248	531	48	302	33	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	117	105	17	2	0	2	9	50	2	1	2	162	239	238	477	76	266	43	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	227	205	39	7	1	2	18	71	2	3	1	188	260	259	520	72	273	31	8	240	49	-14	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	212	191	37	6	1	3	17	65	2	2	1	193	266	276	543	83	275	31	8	249	55	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	322	289	59	10	2	5	26	97	4	4	1	198	271	290	561	92	277	30	8	257	60	-15	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	399	360	73	13	2	6	32	118	4	4	2	202	275	301	576	98	278	30	8	263	64	-17	+0	+0	+7	+9	-0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	442	398	82	14	2	8	36	129	5	5	2	205	278	308	586	104	279	29	8	267	67	-17	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	469	423	87	15	2	9	38	136	5	5	2	207	280	314	594	107	280	29	8	270	69	-17	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	480	433	89	15	2	9	39	139	5	5	2	206	279	311	591	106	279	29	8	269	68	-18	+0	+0	+9	+10	0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	482	435	88	15	2	8	39	141	5	4	2	204	277	307	584	103	278	29	8	266	66	-19	+0	-1	+9	+10	-0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	SEA	58%	477	431	87	15	2	8	38	141	5	3	2	201	274	300	575	99	276	30	8	262	63	-21	-0	-1	+9	+10	-0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	SEA	60%	470	424	84	14	2	7	38	140	5	3	3	198	271	292	563	94	274	30	8	257	60	-22	-1	-2	+8	+10	-0.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	73	66	12	2	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	192	265	273	538	81	273	30	8	247	55	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	156	141	28	5	1	2	12	47	2	2	1	196	269	286	555	90	274	30	8	255	60	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	210	189	37	6	1	3	17	62	2	2	1	200	273	297	570	96	276	30	8	260	64	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	242	218	44	8	1	4	19	71	3	3	1	203	276	304	581	101	277	29	8	265	67	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	261	235	48	8	1	5	21	75	3	3	1	205	278	310	588	105	277	29	8	268	69	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	264	238	48	8	1	5	21	77	3	3	1	204	277	307	585	103	277	29	8	266	68	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	263	237	47	8	1	4	21	77	3	2	1	202	275	302	578	100	276	29	8	263	66	-11	+0	-0	+5	+6	-0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	SEA	58%	276	249	50	9	1	4	22	82	3	2	1	200	273	296	569	97	274	30	8	260	63	-12	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	SEA	60%	283	255	50	9	1	4	23	85	3	2	2	197	269	289	557	92	272	30	8	255	60	-13	-0	-1	+5	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2028	1828	364	63	8	32	162	598	23	20	9	199	273	295	568	96	275	29	8	261	61	-86	+0	-2	+36	+44	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	117	20	3	10	52	192	7	6	3	200	273	295	568	96	276	30	8	261	61	-27	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4410	3972	793	131	18	69	354	1320	51	38	21	200	274	294	568	94	278	30	8	258	61	-167	+0	-4	+69	+84	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	117	19	3	10	52	195	8	6	3	200	274	294	568	94	279	30	8	258	61	-28	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.2	2,145	34	20	203	273	302	+38	+24	0.5	0.7
/162	664	11	6	+11.9	+7.4	0.1	pk7: 1
#5Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian De Andrade (OGILVIE)	21	35	20	35	55	186/258/257	71	273	1	1	31%	8%	49	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Kennelly 2010 · A	21	42	37→40	34→40	37	203/244/271	68	288	5	3	30%	5%	45	-2.7	218/270/303	85	284	7	3	24%	6%	62	-1.4	224/280/310	86	279	7	2	21%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	31	39→40	40→50	43	157/245/233	76	238	7	8	35%	8%	39	-3.1	186/267/280	94	282	8	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	172/284/270	98	232	9	2	27%	12%	64	-0.5
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	34	36→40	41→50	50	164/251/229	65	218	4	7	25%	9%	40	-3.0	171/250/245	74	225	5	10	24%	8%	43	-2.8	151/236/222	71	188	5	13	21%	9%	31	-1.3
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	45	179/256/239	60	261	4	7	31%	8%	44	-2.8	203/263/257	54	283	2	4	27%	7%	49	-2.4	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Diego Gonzalez 2024 · A	21	43	37→40	41→40	43	203/259/272	68	273	4	6	26%	6%	51	-2.2	192/262/262	70	275	6	4	30%	8%	51	-2.3	164/244/217	52	234	5	2	30%	8%	33	-1.2
✕Randy César 2016 · A	21	39→49	38→40	40	40	191/243/266	75	268	6	2	30%	6%	44	-2.8	214/255/298	84	323	8	3	34%	5%	55	-1.9	237/283/328	91	347	8	2	32%	6%	69	-0.6
✕J.J. D'Orazio 2023 · A	21	42→49	38→40	41→30	43	199/266/279	80	295	5	3	32%	8%	56	-1.9	216/265/310	94	296	8	3	28%	6%	62	-1.4	197/245/276	79	263	9	1	28%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Yeison Santana 2022 · A	21	43	37→30	45→55	39	200/262/271	71	316	5	10	36%	7%	52	-2.2	221/289/285	64	313	3	15	28%	8%	66	-1.1	229/310/271	42	311	2	22	24%	10%	67	-0.6
✕Darwin Rivera 2013 · A	21	42	40	37→30	38	206/249/294	88	289	8	2	31%	5%	53	-2.1	199/249/282	83	281	6	4	30%	5%	49	-2.4	155/200/218	63	212	5	0	29%	4%	14	-1.4
✕Kyle Overstreet 2016 · A	22	40→45	37→40	42→30	44	190/254/259	69	264	4	4	28%	7%	47	-2.6	223/279/316	93	282	8	3	22%	7%	69	-0.9	224/268/313	89	272	9	1	21%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A	21	39	38→40	45→55	39	187/243/268	81	270	4	8	31%	6%	45	-2.7	194/262/265	71	270	4	15	28%	7%	51	-2.2	186/265/247	62	244	4	22	24%	8%	47	-0.7
✕David Rodríguez 2018 · A	22	41→44	37→40	40	41	199/257/271	72	272	5	3	28%	6%	51	-2.3	216/269/317	101	292	8	5	28%	6%	65	-1.2	203/261/320	118	275	14	4	30%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Gilbert Gomez 2014 · A	22	44→39	36→40	40→50	44	202/273/268	66	310	3	7	34%	8%	56	-1.9	184/265/264	80	287	4	8	34%	10%	53	-2.1	159/251/242	83	245	4	8	33%	11%	41	-1.4
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2008 · A	22	38	39→40	42→50	40	189/236/271	83	258	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	198/259/276	78	270	5	5	27%	7%	53	-2.1	219/256/297	79	272	10	12	23%	4%	52	-0.7
✕Jose Rivera 2010 · A	20	40	35→40	39→45	44	189/246/244	56	252	2	6	25%	6%	40	-3.1	189/229/246	57	244	3	5	23%	4%	33	-3.6	193/239/260	66	266	2	4	27%	4%	38	-0.9
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	43	35→30	42→30	47	201/278/262	61	281	3	4	27%	8%	57	-1.8	219/272/282	63	305	3	6	27%	6%	58	-1.7	247/310/316	70	302	6	1	19%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Erick Castillo 2014 · A	21	40	37→30	39→30	46	188/246/259	71	222	4	4	17%	6%	44	-2.8	196/238/253	57	243	3	4	20%	4%	38	-3.2	188/246/227	39	232	3	0	20%	4%	34	-0.9
✕Juan Beltran 2007 · A	21	42	38→30	43→50	38	203/245/277	73	278	5	7	28%	5%	47	-2.6	213/266/286	73	298	5	10	28%	5%	57	-1.8	210/265/269	59	293	4	15	28%	4%	51	-0.9
✕Claudio Finol 2021 · A	21	43	37→30	43→45	41	206/253/279	74	271	4	5	25%	5%	51	-2.3	193/250/276	83	271	6	8	29%	6%	49	-2.4	183/252/261	78	263	7	10	31%	7%	45	-0.6
✕Anderson De Los Santos 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	43→50	40	192/247/282	89	269	7	8	30%	6%	49	-2.4	183/261/280	97	274	9	12	34%	9%	55	-1.9	173/266/275	101	253	10	13	33%	10%	53	-1.5

Sebastian De Andrade

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps