Rikuu Nishida

2B Charlotte Knights

Age 26 L/R 5'6" / 150 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILForty Man (40M)

Overview

AAA40M40-MANROOKIEPre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	ACWS	418	.290/.415/.367	1	35	93	—	.263/.357/.324
2025	24	AACWS	502	.273/.404/.308	0	40	94	—	.279/.374/.311
2026	25	MLBCWS	30	.241/.241/.241	0	0	29	0.0
2027PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBCWS	75	.250/.347/.290	0	3	88	0.1
2028PROJ48% MLB	27	MLBCWS	190	.249/.345/.293	1	9	88	0.3
2029PROJ58% MLB	28	MLBCWS	232	.247/.342/.295	1	9	87	0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.0 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$2M2030Arb-2$2M2031Arb-3$2M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

BB%93

Chase%93

Whiff%86

Speed79

Z-Con%71

K%69

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%

CompsYonny Hernández (age 26) · Kyle Wren (age 26) · Luis Durango (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .347 / .290

PA75

HR0

K%20

BB%11

BABIP319

ISO30

MLB%30%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT55

xAVG

580.258

POWER25

Avg EV

3487.9

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

Sprint

6328.0

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.8M		$4M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	87	72	16	0	2	0	8	9	2	5	2	222	317	278	595	56	246	10	9	264	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	50	45	15	0	0	0	4	0	1	4	1	333	400	333	733		333	0	8	342	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	119	98	33	0	1	0	16	13	2	10	3	337	440	357	797	20	384	11	13	363	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	418	341	99	13	5	1	66	51	7	35	8	290	415	367	782	76	338	12	16	360	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	502	403	110	8	3	0	75	69	14	40	12	273	404	308	712	35	327	14	15	333	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	30	29	7	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	241	241	241	483		292	17	0	211	29	-3	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.0
2026	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	485	381	110	6	2	1	83	89	7	25	10	289	425	323	747	34	371	18	17	345	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	54	40	10	4	0	0	11	5	2	6	0	250	434	350	784	100	286	9	20	365	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	30	29	7	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	241	241	241	483		292	17	0	211	29	-3	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	87	74	16	0	2	0	6	12	2	5	2	216	293	270	563	54	238	14	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	50	46	16	0	0	0	3	0	1	4	1	348	400	348	748		338	0	6	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	119	104	33	0	1	0	10	18	2	10	3	317	388	337	724	19	360	15	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	418	361	95	11	4	1	46	70	7	35	8	263	357	324	682	61	317	17	11	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	502	427	119	8	3	0	51	82	14	40	12	279	374	311	685	33	333	16	10	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	30	29	7	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	241	241	241	483		292	17	0	211	29	-3	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.0
2026	25	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	485	405	118	6	2	1	59	107	7	25	10	291	391	323	714	32	372	22	12	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	54	44	10	4	0	0	7	6	2	6	0	227	358	318	677	91	261	11	13	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	87	74	16	0	2	0	6	12	2	5	2	216	293	270	563	54	250	14	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	87	72	16	0	2	0	8	9	2	5	2	222	317	278	595	56	246	10	9	264	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	587	511	144	11	5	1	59	88	10	49	12	282	367	329	696	47	337	15	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	3 teams	—	587	484	147	13	6	1	86	64	10	49	12	304	419	362	781	58	347	11	15	359	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	502	427	119	8	3	0	51	82	14	40	12	279	374	311	685	33	343	16	10	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	—	502	403	110	8	3	0	75	69	14	40	12	273	404	308	712	35	327	14	15	333	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	569	477	135	10	2	1	67	118	9	31	10	283	382	319	700	36	371	21	12	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	569	450	127	10	2	1	94	99	9	31	10	282	416	320	736	38	357	17	17	340	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	87	79	16	0	2	0	6	12	2	5	2	203	293	253	546	51	238	14	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	587	513	144	11	5	1	59	88	10	49	12	281	367	327	695	47	328	15	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	502	432	119	8	3	0	51	82	14	40	12	275	374	308	682	32	333	16	10	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	569	488	135	10	2	1	67	118	9	31	10	277	382	311	693	35	357	21	12	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	587	513	144	11	5	1	59	88	10	49	12	281	367	327	695	47	328	15	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	502	432	119	8	3	0	51	82	14	40	12	275	374	308	682	32	333	16	10	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	569	488	135	10	2	1	67	118	9	31	10	277	382	311	693	35	357	21	12	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CWS	30%	380	328	83	8	2	1	43	75	6	18	4	250	347	289	636	39	319	20	11	298	88	-5	+2	+0	+1	+8	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	CWS	30%	75	66	16	2	0	0	8	15	1	3	1	250	347	290	637	39	319	20	11	298	88	-1	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CWS	48%	395	342	86	9	2	1	44	79	6	18	4	249	345	293	637	44	317	20	11	298	88	-6	+2	+0	+1	+9	0.6
2029	28	MLB MLE	CWS	58%	403	350	86	9	2	1	44	82	6	16	4	247	341	294	635	47	315	20	11	297	87	-6	+2	-1	+1	+9	0.5
2030	29	MLB MLE	CWS	60%	398	346	85	9	2	2	43	83	6	14	4	244	337	293	630	49	313	21	11	294	85	-7	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.3
2031	30	MLB MLE	CWS	62%	394	343	83	9	1	2	42	83	6	12	3	241	333	291	624	50	310	21	11	291	83	-8	+1	-2	+1	+9	0.1
2032	31	MLB MLE	CWS	63%	379	332	79	9	1	2	39	82	5	8	2	237	327	287	614	50	306	22	10	286	80	-9	+1	-3	+1	+8	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	CWS	48%	190	164	42	4	1	1	21	38	3	9	2	249	345	293	638	44	318	20	11	298	88	-3	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	CWS	58%	232	201	50	5	1	1	25	47	4	9	2	247	342	295	636	47	316	20	11	297	87	-4	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	CWS	60%	240	208	51	5	1	1	26	50	4	9	2	245	338	294	632	49	313	21	11	295	85	-4	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.2
2031	30	MLB CTX	CWS	62%	244	213	52	6	1	1	26	52	3	7	2	242	333	292	625	50	310	21	11	291	83	-5	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.1
2032	31	MLB CTX	CWS	63%	239	209	50	6	1	1	25	52	3	5	2	237	328	287	615	50	307	22	10	287	80	-6	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1175	1024	252	26	5	5	123	244	17	39	10	246	337	296	633	50	317	21	10	291	89	-24	+4	-4	+6	+25	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	139	14	3	3	68	135	9	22	6	246	335	297	632	51	316	21	10	291	89	-13	+2	-2	+3	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3964	3418	886	79	21	10	423	758	68	205	56	259	352	303	656	44	328	19	11	300	89	-42	+8	-7	+10	+49	1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	560	145	13	3	2	69	124	11	34	9	259	351	304	655	45	327	19	11	300	89	-12	+2	-2	+3	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ralph Young'13-'22 * career totals — 8 seasons, 4,336 PA	6.5	4,336	4	92	233*	324*	337*	+16	+8	7.3	8.4
/162	664	1	14	+2.5	+1.2	1.1	pk7: 9
#2Jon Bertilast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,716 PA	2.6	1,716	24	107	256	333	356	+11	+5	7.1	7.1
/162	664	9	41	+4.3	+1.8	2.8	pk7: 7
#3Fred Haney'22-'29 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,372 PA	3.6	2,372	8	51	243*	333*	350*	+8	+13	7.1	7.1
/162	664	2	14	+2.3	+3.8	2.0	pk7: 7
#4Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.8	1,219	5	42	245	334	292	+4	+3	1.9	1.9
/162	664	2	23	+2.4	+1.6	1.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rikuu Nishida (OGILVIE)	26	55	25	60	60	248/344/287	39	319	0	12	20%	11%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yonny Hernández 2024 · MLB	26	49→59	37→30	55→60	56	225/324/301	75	291	4	29	22%	11%	83	+0.1	248/317/318	70	304	4	18	18%	8%	84	+0.1	266/328/324	58	317	2	17	16%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Kyle Wren 2017 · AAA	26	56→62	35→40	56→60	48	259/311/323	64	320	2	28	19%	7%	81	-0.1	241/297/323	82	311	5	21	22%	7%	77	-0.3	239/296/320	81	306	4	22	22%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Luis Durango 2012 · MLB	26	56→65	33→30	56→60	51	260/322/301	40	317	1	35	18%	8%	80	-0.1	251/299/307	56	318	2	34	20%	6%	73	-0.6	264/304/315	51	330	1	39	19%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Evan Frey 2012 · AAA	26	52→59	36→40	53→55	50	241/304/310	69	301	2	22	20%	8%	76	-0.4	224/288/285	61	282	2	23	20%	8%	65	-1.2	218/283/265	48	272	1	24	19%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Joey Gathright 2008 · MLB	27	59→66	35→30	57→60	54	274/349/338	64	324	2	34	15%	9%	100	+1.3	256/313/304	48	301	2	30	14%	7%	78	-0.3	251/292/287	36	309	0	27	18%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Myles Straw 2021 · MLB	26	54→60	36→40	61→60	50	253/316/320	67	324	3	36	22%	8%	83	+0.1	245/316/316	71	303	3	24	18%	9%	82	+0.0	240/313/303	63	295	2	24	17%	9%	79	-0.2
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2010 · MLB	27	54→57	36→40	55→60	52	255/316/323	69	299	3	22	16%	8%	84	+0.1	240/303/327	87	288	4	27	17%	8%	80	-0.2	246/299/321	75	304	2	27	18%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Matt Angle 2011 · AAA	25	55→57	35→40	57→60	49	257/310/315	57	311	3	26	18%	7%	79	-0.2	239/299/316	77	310	5	25	23%	7%	76	-0.4	232/297/313	81	310	6	25	25%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Brad Coon 2009 · AAA	26	53→58	37→40	54→60	49	251/313/321	70	306	4	28	19%	7%	82	+0.0	238/301/312	74	299	5	19	20%	8%	76	-0.4	231/296/301	70	293	4	18	21%	8%	69	-0.7
✕J.C. Holt 2009 · AAA	26	54→63	36→40	55	45	254/302/329	74	321	2	22	21%	6%	79	-0.2	233/277/303	70	300	4	20	22%	5%	64	-1.3	227/267/277	50	293	2	21	22%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Travis Jankowski 2017 · MLB	26	56→63	38→40	58→65	51	262/329/345	84	332	4	34	21%	9%	94	+0.9	247/319/321	74	326	4	29	23%	9%	85	+0.2	259/334/328	70	329	4	29	20%	10%	91	+0.3
✕Greg Miclat 2013 · AAA	26	56→61	37→30	58→60	46	259/317/337	78	340	4	28	24%	7%	87	+0.4	214/277/278	64	280	3	19	23%	8%	59	-1.6	196/262/237	41	256	1	19	22%	8%	41	-1.5
✕Andrew Aplin 2016 · AAA	25	53→60	39→40	55	57	249/328/334	84	294	6	25	16%	10%	91	+0.7	216/288/307	91	280	7	18	23%	9%	71	-0.8	196/268/288	91	256	7	13	25%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Jerry Owens 2007 · AAA	26	57→67	37→40	57→65	48	271/315/349	78	317	4	32	16%	6%	88	+0.5	261/311/324	63	312	4	36	16%	7%	82	-0.0	263/316/315	52	315	3	39	16%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jordan Henry 2012 · AA	24	59→66	33→30	54→55	54	272/339/313	41	340	1	24	19%	10%	90	+0.6	252/315/309	57	306	3	16	17%	8%	80	-0.1	267/329/295	28	313	0	12	13%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Justin Henry 2012 · AAA	27	56→64	36→40	53→55	53	260/325/337	77	309	1	20	16%	8%	90	+0.6	243/300/312	69	293	2	16	16%	7%	75	-0.5	236/291/295	59	284	2	15	16%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Danny Woodrow 2021 · AAA	26	53→63	37→30	54→55	45	249/302/323	74	325	4	23	24%	7%	78	-0.3	210/256/300	90	298	7	12	30%	6%	57	-1.8	159/183/203	44	239	0	4	33%	3%	2	-1.2
●Emilio Bonifácio 2011 · MLB	26	55→64	36→40	57→65	48	255/307/330	75	321	2	24	20%	7%	82	-0.0	265/326/355	90	338	5	36	21%	8%	95	+0.9	266/328/353	87	339	4	42	21%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Tyler Holt 2015 · MLB	26	54→60	36→40	56→55	49	250/312/319	70	319	2	24	21%	8%	82	-0.0	246/313/312	66	319	2	23	21%	8%	80	-0.1	257/326/315	59	328	0	23	20%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Carl Loadenthal 2008 · AA	26	56→61	37→40	54→60	48	263/319/337	74	324	4	26	19%	7%	88	+0.4	242/298/301	59	311	3	24	22%	7%	72	-0.7	235/292/273	38	308	2	28	22%	7%	61	-0.7

Rikuu Nishida

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps