Felipe Bello — OGILVIE

Felipe Bello P FCL Blue Jays

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 197 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 10 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.32

FIP4.32

K%22.8%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%14.0%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	3	2	9	37	10	5	1	67%	3.0	27.0%	13.5%	13.5%	2.7%	5.00	4.01	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	3	2	9	37	10	5	1	67%	3.0	27.0%	13.5%	13.5%	2.7%	5.00	3.99	—
2023	23	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	18	0	31	128	19	11	1	0%	1.7	11.0%	10.1%	0.8%	0.8%	2.61	3.89	—
2023	23	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	18	0	31	128	19	11	1	0%	1.7	14.8%	8.6%	6.2%	0.8%	2.61	3.36	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	26	115	13	9	3	0%	1.5	9.3%	6.8%	2.5%	6.2%	6.58	6.59	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	26	115	13	9	3	0%	1.5	9.3%	6.8%	2.5%	6.2%	6.58	6.59	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	26	115	13	9	3	0%	1.5	11.3%	7.8%	3.5%	2.6%	6.58	4.64	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	TOR	10	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	8.7%	14.0%	3.0%	4.32	4.32	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	TOR	19	0	20	84	19	8	3	0%	1.1	22.7%	8.9%	13.8%	3.1%	4.37	4.40	+0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	TOR	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	8.9%	13.8%	3.1%	4.37	4.40	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	8.9%	13.8%	3.1%	4.37	4.02	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	83	28	0%	1.1	22.7%	8.9%	13.8%	3.1%	4.37	4.02	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		38	2	66	280	35	26	9	5%	1.7	12.4%	9.2%	3.2%	3.3%	4.50	5.02	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		115	6	200	848	105	78	28	5%	1.7	12.4%	9.2%	3.2%	3.3%	4.50	5.02	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Felipe Bello (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.32	22.8%	8.7%	3.0%	—	4.40	22.7%	13.8%	20	+0.08	—	—	—
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	83
Josh Lueke R 2011 · 3.24 FIP	26	SU	3.24	20.4%	8.5%	1.4%	.323	4.75	18.7%	12.4%	52	+1.51	2.29	191	82
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	82
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2011 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	22.1%	9.6%	1.5%	.253	3.18	22.9%	13.4%	218	-0.10	2.72	398	82
Santiago Casilla R 2007 · 3.58 FIP	27	SU	3.58	23.7%	7.8%	2.7%	.257	3.60	19.8%	10.7%	154	+0.02	2.76	647	82
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	82
Brad Deppermann R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	22.7%	9.4%	3.4%	.417	2.87	19.5%	13.2%	71	-1.38	1.94	143	81
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	81
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	81
Marcos Mateo R 2011 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	25.5%	10.2%	2.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	104	81
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	81
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	81
Brian Sanches R 2006 · 5.30 FIP	27	SU	5.30	22.4%	10.2%	5.1%	.295	4.52	19.0%	10.1%	82	-0.78	3.39	229	81
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	80
Anthony Varvaro R 2012 · 3.66 FIP	27	SU	3.66	27.6%	10.5%	2.8%	.311	3.30	17.7%	11.0%	139	-0.36	3.02	208	80
Matt Pushard R 2024 · 3.87 FIP	26	SU	3.87	24.1%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	3.29	22.2%	14.0%	115	-0.58	2.84	220	80
Jose Veras R 2008 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	24.9%	9.1%	2.8%	.281	4.10	23.8%	11.7%	169	+0.43	3.37	422	80
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	80
Taylor Williams R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	24.2%	8.9%	2.4%	.309	4.35	22.5%	12.7%	108	+0.83	2.51	309	80
Jack Hartman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	26	SU	4.34	20.9%	8.8%	3.4%	.310	4.29	17.6%	5.6%	46	-0.05	3.46	161	80