Adonys Perez

P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 23 LHP 6'3" / 185 lbs AA peak 0.7 · 2030

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	AARI	22	21	96	6.63	4.25	21.7%	10.1%	—	K 16.1% · BB 11.9% · FIP 5.17
2025	21	MIX2 levels	23	13	91	6.06	4.10	15.9%	8.5%	—	K 11.9% · BB 10.5% · FIP 4.57
2026	22	MIX2 levels	17	6	47	4.44	4.66	17.7%	6.6%	—	K 13.8% · BB 7.3% · FIP 5.55
2027PROJ	23	MLBARI	9	9	52	5.85	5.85	10.4%	11.3%	-0.5
2028PROJ44% MLB	24	MLBARI	6	6	37	5.57	5.50	13.3%	10.8%	-0.2
2029PROJ67% MLB	25	MLBARI	10	10	57	5.36	5.29	15.1%	10.4%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff25Control45Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsIan Clarkin (age 23) · Evan Grills (age 23) · Brian Tallet (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128136vR 144

ERA5.85

FIP5.85

K%10.4%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%-0.9%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL4545

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	3	0	3	20	3	2	0	0%	1.1	15.0%	10.0%	5.0%	0.0%	10.80	3.10	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs Black	3	0	3	20	3	2	0	0%	1.1	15.0%	10.0%	5.0%	0.0%	10.80	3.10	—
2023	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	8	40	172	30	22	0	73%	3.6	12.2%	15.7%	-3.5%	0.0%	4.99	4.06	—
2023	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	8	40	172	30	22	0	73%	3.6	17.4%	12.8%	4.7%	0.0%	4.99	3.25	—
2024	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	22	21	96	437	95	44	13	95%	4.4	16.1%	11.9%	4.2%	3.5%	6.63	5.17	—
2024	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	22	21	96	437	95	44	13	95%	4.4	16.1%	11.9%	4.2%	3.5%	6.63	5.17	—
2024	20	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	22	21	96	437	95	44	13	95%	4.4	21.7%	10.1%	11.7%	3.0%	6.63	4.25	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	13	91	422	67	36	9	57%	3.9	11.9%	10.5%	1.4%	2.1%	6.06	4.57	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	13	91	422	67	36	9	57%	3.9	11.9%	10.5%	1.4%	2.1%	6.06	4.57	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	13	91	422	67	36	9	57%	3.9	15.9%	8.5%	7.3%	2.1%	6.06	4.10	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	6	47	198	35	13	8	35%	2.7	13.8%	7.3%	6.5%	4.9%	4.44	5.55	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	6	47	198	35	13	8	35%	2.7	13.8%	7.3%	6.5%	4.9%	4.44	5.55	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	6	47	198	35	13	8	35%	2.7	17.7%	6.6%	11.1%	4.0%	4.44	4.66	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	ARI	9	9	52	220	23	25	7	100%	5.8	10.4%	11.3%	-0.9%	3.3%	5.85	5.85	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	14	14	84	353	47	38	11	100%	6.0	13.3%	10.8%	2.5%	3.2%	5.57	5.50	-0.6
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	14	14	85	357	54	37	11	100%	6.0	15.1%	10.4%	4.7%	3.2%	5.36	5.29	-0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	ARI	14	14	85	357	57	37	11	100%	6.0	16.1%	10.2%	5.9%	3.2%	5.22	5.17	-0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	ARI	14	14	83	352	57	36	11	100%	6.0	16.2%	10.2%	6.0%	3.2%	5.19	5.19	-0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	ARI	13	13	81	341	55	35	11	100%	6.2	16.1%	10.4%	5.7%	3.3%	5.24	5.27	-0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	ARI	13	13	77	326	58	32	11	100%	5.9	17.8%	9.8%	8.0%	3.5%	5.18	5.13	-0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	ARI	12	12	73	307	54	31	11	100%	6.0	17.5%	10.1%	7.4%	3.7%	5.26	5.31	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	6	6	37	156	21	17	5	100%	6.2	13.3%	10.8%	2.5%	3.2%	5.57	5.50	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	10	10	57	241	36	25	8	100%	5.7	15.1%	10.4%	4.7%	3.2%	5.36	5.29	-0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	ARI	11	11	67	283	45	29	9	100%	6.1	16.1%	10.2%	5.9%	3.2%	5.22	5.17	-0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	ARI	12	12	71	300	49	31	10	100%	5.9	16.2%	10.2%	6.0%	3.2%	5.19	5.19	-0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	ARI	12	12	72	304	49	32	10	100%	6.0	16.1%	10.4%	5.7%	3.3%	5.24	5.27	-0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	ARI	12	12	70	296	53	29	10	100%	5.8	17.8%	9.8%	8.0%	3.5%	5.18	5.13	-0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	ARI	11	11	67	283	49	29	10	100%	6.1	17.5%	10.1%	7.4%	3.7%	5.26	5.31	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		74	74	441	1861	302	190	62	100%	6.0	16.2%	10.2%	6.0%	3.4%	5.27	4.87	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	137	86	28	100%	6.0	16.2%	10.2%	6.0%	3.4%	5.27	4.87	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		76	48	277	1249	172	140	34	63%	3.6	13.8%	11.2%	2.6%	2.7%	5.89	4.84	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	35	200	903	124	101	24	63%	3.6	13.8%	11.2%	2.6%	2.7%	5.89	4.84	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adonys Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.85	10.4%	11.3%	3.3%	—	5.32	14.8%	4.4%	253	-0.53	—	—	—
Ian Clarkin L 2018 · 5.33 FIP	23	SP-	5.33	9.3%	11.2%	2.9%	.290	6.01	8.1%	-4.9%	82	+0.68	3.79	335	83
Evan Grills L 2015 · 5.42 FIP	23	SP-	5.42	13.0%	8.6%	4.2%	.335	4.02	16.1%	11.6%	221	-1.40	3.41	309	82
Brian Tallet L 2003 · 4.65 FIP	25	SP-	4.65	10.3%	9.2%	2.3%	.309	4.43	16.2%	4.4%	54	-0.22	2.59	443	82
Mike Gosling L 2004 · 5.85 FIP	23	SP-	5.85	12.5%	10.7%	4.5%	.259	4.56	14.4%	2.7%	65	-1.29	4.44	116	82
Estevan Gonzalez L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	23	SW	4.77	14.1%	10.7%	2.8%	.322	4.86	14.7%	0.1%	130	+0.09	4.58	195	79
John Koronka L 2005 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP-	4.77	13.2%	10.5%	2.6%	.304	4.81	10.5%	2.2%	135	+0.04	3.99	151	78
Doug Davis L 2000 · 5.12 FIP	24	SW	5.12	14.7%	12.2%	3.1%	.302	4.41	13.0%	4.1%	355	-0.71	3.47	1,713	77
Jaime Arias L 2022 · 5.00 FIP	23	SP-	5.00	15.6%	9.9%	3.6%	.332	5.53	15.8%	4.8%	77	+0.53	4.38	243	76
Bryce Hubbart L 2024 · 5.45 FIP	23	SP-	5.45	15.5%	13.8%	3.5%	.313	5.14	19.9%	6.3%	82	-0.31	4.79	194	76
Dan Meyer L 2007 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	13.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.316	4.35	20.6%	11.8%	86	-0.41	3.73	112	76
Cole Kirschsieper L 2023 · 5.07 FIP	22	SP-	5.07	15.2%	12.0%	3.2%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	5.07	105	75
Edwin Escobar L 2015 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	9.6%	11.9%	3.9%	.268	4.28	13.7%	4.9%	122	-1.68	4.28	218	75
Pedro Hernandez L 2013 · 5.31 FIP	24	SP	5.31	11.0%	8.4%	3.8%	.347	4.09	13.1%	4.2%	68	-1.22	4.09	124	75
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	12.3%	8.5%	4.0%	.327	4.78	10.7%	3.9%	181	-0.55	3.68	322	74
Luke French L 2009 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	13.5%	8.7%	3.5%	.328	5.15	10.0%	2.7%	88	+0.16	4.99	155	73
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	73
Jeff Malm L 2015 · 6.46 FIP	24	SW	6.46	12.1%	9.0%	5.9%	.339	3.13	22.0%	14.8%	48	-3.33	3.13	101	72
Shane Dawson L 2017 · 5.77 FIP	23	SP-	5.77	9.8%	10.3%	4.0%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	373	70
Jake Zokan L 2015 · 4.89 FIP	24	SP	4.89	12.5%	9.9%	2.9%	.292	1.79	24.2%	22.5%	37	-3.10	1.79	120	70
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	77	15.5%	10.4%	1.29	5.34
Julio Santana ('06)	2.4	80	14.4%	10.8%	1.32	5.30
Victor Santos ('07)	3.0	86	15.6%	10.2%	1.29	5.21
Les Webber ('42-'48, -1 WAR*)	2.2	86	17.0%*	10.4%*	1.30*	5.13*
Rocky Biddle ('04)	1.9	76	15.3%	9.9%	1.40	5.47
Galen Cisco ('61-'69, -2 WAR*)	3.3	94	14.7%*	10.4%*	1.22*	5.30*
John Montague ('73-'80, -2 WAR*)	2.7	91	17.0%*	9.3%*	1.23*	4.98*