Dayson Croes

IF Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 27 L/R 5'10" / 199 lbs AA HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	A+SF	204	.283/.383/.416	1	2	80	—	.233/.313/.339
2025	25	INTLCaneros de lo…	119	.301/.363/.456	4	1	121	—
2026	26	AAASF	87	.280/.349/.387	1	2	80	—	.260/.313/.351
2026	26	AASF	307	.277/.337/.371	2	6	75	—	.260/.304/.344
2027PROJ2% MLB	27	MLBSF	5	.243/.295/.325	0	0	77	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	28	MLBSF	89	.242/.294/.324	1	1	77	-0.1
2029PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBSF	131	.239/.292/.321	1	1	76	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

K%95

Whiff%93

Z-Con%92

Speed38

Max EV31

BB%16

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsCarlos Penuelas (age 27) · Alec Keller (age 27) · Kevin Kaczmarski (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .295 / .325

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%5

BABIP290

ISO91

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	48	43	15	3	1	0	2	5	3	0	0	349	417	465	882	116	395	10	4	396	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	83	75	23	2	1	1	5	15	1	0	0	307	358	400	758	93	367	18	6	334	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	204	173	49	18	1	1	24	30	4	2	1	283	383	416	799	133	336	15	12	357	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	ROK	ACL Giants	—	30	26	8	1	0	1	4	5	0	0	1	308	400	462	862	154	350	17	13	386	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	119	103	31	4	0	4	9	16	1	1	2	301	363	456	819	155	318	13	8	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	87	75	21	5	0	1	5	9	3	2	2	280	349	387	736	107	299	10	6	319	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	307	278	77	14	3	2	21	38	4	6	4	277	337	371	707	94	314	12	7	316	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	ROK	ACL Giants	—	27	24	3	1	0	0	2	4	1	2	0	125	222	167	389	42	150	15	7	193	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	48	44	14	3	1	0	1	6	3	0	0	318	375	432	807	114	365	12	2	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	83	76	23	2	1	1	4	18	1	0	0	303	346	395	740	92	349	22	5	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	204	180	42	14	1	1	17	38	4	2	1	233	313	339	652	106	284	19	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	30	28	6	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	1	214	267	357	624	143	251	23	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	87	77	20	4	0	1	3	11	3	2	2	260	313	351	664	91	269	13	3	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	307	285	74	12	3	2	14	46	4	6	4	260	304	344	647	84	298	15	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	27	25	2	1	0	0	1	6	1	2	0	80	148	120	268	40	111	22	4	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	5 teams	—	484	432	112	26	4	3	32	91	9	3	4	259	323	359	682	100	319	19	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	5 teams	—	484	420	126	28	3	7	44	71	9	3	4	300	378	431	809	131	344	15	9	356	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	421	386	95	17	3	2	19	63	8	10	6	246	295	321	617	75	287	15	5	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA RAW	3 teams	—	421	377	101	20	3	3	28	51	8	10	6	268	332	361	692	93	301	12	7	309	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	5 teams	—	484	440	112	26	4	3	32	91	9	3	4	255	323	352	676	98	307	19	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	421	391	95	17	3	2	19	63	8	10	6	243	295	317	613	74	280	15	5	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	25	A+ MLE	5 teams	—	484	440	112	26	4	3	32	91	9	3	4	255	323	352	676	98	307	19	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	421	391	95	17	3	2	19	63	8	10	6	243	295	317	613	74	280	15	5	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SF	2%	380	351	87	17	3	2	19	64	7	5	3	247	298	329	627	83	293	17	5	283	77	-10	-0	+0	+0	+8	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	SF	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	243	295	325	619	81	290	20	0	280	77	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	SF	27%	333	307	74	14	2	2	17	58	6	4	2	245	297	328	625	84	292	17	5	282	77	-9	+0	-1	+0	+7	-0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	SF	37%	352	324	79	15	2	3	19	63	6	3	2	242	295	326	621	84	291	18	5	281	76	-10	-0	-1	+0	+8	-0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	SF	27%	89	83	21	4	1	1	5	16	1	1	1	242	294	324	617	82	289	18	6	279	77	-2	-0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	SF	37%	131	121	30	6	1	1	7	24	2	1	1	239	292	321	613	82	288	18	5	277	76	-4	-0	-1	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	220	204	51	10	2	2	12	40	3	2	2	250	301	348	649	98	301	18	5	278	77	-6	-0	-1	+0	+5	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	603	151	30	6	6	35	118	9	6	6	250	301	350	651	100	301	18	5	278	77	-18	-1	-2	+0	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	1840	1681	418	83	13	12	99	317	33	24	16	249	303	335	638	86	298	17	5	283	77	-26	-0	-2	+0	+20	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	148	29	5	4	35	112	12	8	6	249	304	335	639	86	299	17	5	283	77	-18	-0	-1	+0	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3John Kerr'23-'34 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,631 PA	2.5	1,631	6	26	238*	297*	338*	+7	+3	0.7	1.1
/162	664	2	11	+2.9	+1.3	0.3	pk7: 2
#4Walter Barbare'14-'22 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,954 PA	2.9	1,954	1	37	239*	286*	346*	+10	-7	-0.8	0.0
/162	664	0	13	+3.5	-2.4	-0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	225	2	2	245	293	329	+0	+0	-0.0	-0.0
/162	664	5	6	+0.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Kevin Jordan'95-'01 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,508 PA	2.3	1,508	23	2	246*	282*	350*	-5	-1	-2.5	-2.5
/162	664	10	1	-2.2	-0.4	-1.1	pk7: -2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dayson Croes (OGILVIE)	27	55	35	45	50	244/295/326	82	293	2	4	17%	5%	77	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Penuelas 2015 · AAA	27	51	39→30	43→50	46	243/296/325	83	296	6	10	20%	6%	77	-0.3	249/291/312	63	302	4	11	18%	5%	72	-0.7	255/291/297	42	306	2	9	17%	4%	65	-0.5
✕Alec Keller 2019 · AA	27	57→55	38→40	48→50	43	268/305/353	86	328	5	8	20%	5%	86	+0.3	255/298/338	83	312	6	11	19%	5%	80	-0.1	255/292/319	63	318	3	12	20%	4%	71	-0.5
✕Kevin Kaczmarski 2019 · AAA	27	53→56	37→40	47→50	47	248/311/326	78	321	3	11	23%	7%	82	+0.0	228/294/318	90	312	7	11	27%	8%	75	-0.5	201/273/269	68	277	6	11	28%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Jésus Feliciano 2006 · AAA	27	55→62	37→40	46→50	44	257/284/337	80	290	4	12	13%	4%	74	-0.5	254/289/324	70	286	5	11	12%	4%	74	-0.6	282/318/340	57	319	2	10	11%	4%	86	+0.2
✕Darius Hill 2024 · AAA	26	54→60	40	47→45	45	256/298/355	99	305	6	6	18%	5%	84	+0.2	225/275/315	90	290	5	6	23%	6%	67	-1.1	213/264/290	77	280	4	3	24%	6%	55	-1.0
✕Ryan Lollis 2014 · AAA	27	52→60	41→40	43→45	48	248/298/347	98	289	7	6	17%	6%	82	+0.0	243/289/330	87	282	6	8	15%	6%	75	-0.5	244/290/318	75	283	5	8	15%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Leonardo Reginatto 2017 · AAA	27	51→61	36→30	45	44	241/284/305	63	293	3	7	18%	5%	68	-1.0	228/271/303	75	292	5	6	23%	5%	62	-1.4	225/268/292	67	290	5	3	23%	5%	57	-0.8
✕Shawn Pleffner 2016 · AA	26	53→56	37→40	45	46	248/296/326	79	309	4	6	21%	6%	77	-0.3	234/284/315	81	298	5	5	22%	6%	70	-0.8	230/280/297	67	294	3	1	21%	6%	63	-0.8
✕Hector Hernandez 2010 · AAA	27	53	38→40	45→50	45	252/285/329	77	281	6	8	13%	4%	73	-0.6	250/280/329	79	283	5	8	13%	4%	71	-0.8	251/285/299	48	286	3	3	13%	4%	65	-0.5
✕Jose Salazar 2011 · AAA	27	51	36→40	42→45	45	238/279/302	64	281	3	8	16%	5%	65	-1.2	235/273/319	84	287	6	8	19%	5%	66	-1.1	238/273/316	78	295	5	4	20%	4%	63	-0.6
✕Will Maddox 2019 · AA	27	55→59	37→30	47→50	40	258/290/330	72	325	4	12	22%	4%	75	-0.5	223/264/309	86	287	6	11	23%	5%	61	-1.5	159/192/208	49	206	4	13	24%	4%	9	-1.2
✕Clay Timpner 2010 · AAA	27	47→57	39→40	45→50	46	227/272/315	88	263	7	11	17%	6%	65	-1.2	232/278/319	87	274	7	9	17%	6%	69	-0.9	251/293/321	69	299	5	6	17%	5%	72	-0.5
✕James Rapoport 2011 · AAA	26	52→55	37→40	49→55	50	245/304/320	74	291	4	11	17%	7%	78	-0.3	230/302/298	68	268	5	9	15%	9%	74	-0.6	216/301/254	38	247	3	7	13%	9%	61	-1.2
✕Alan Sanchez 2017 · AAA	28	54→58	37→40	50	45	253/295/329	76	310	3	11	19%	6%	77	-0.3	251/285/338	87	300	7	10	18%	4%	76	-0.4	257/284/338	81	302	7	8	17%	3%	73	-0.3
✕Mitch Hilligoss 2011 · AA	26	50→59	36→40	44→50	46	235/277/302	67	281	3	8	18%	6%	64	-1.3	225/263/306	81	276	5	6	20%	5%	59	-1.6	220/249/294	75	268	4	4	19%	3%	49	-1.9
✕Jordan Smith 2016 · AA	26	50→58	38→40	49→50	46	237/287/322	85	294	5	12	21%	6%	73	-0.6	219/269/310	91	286	7	14	24%	6%	63	-1.3	209/259/297	87	275	7	15	25%	6%	54	-1.3
✕Braxton Lee 2021 · MLB	27	47→57	38→30	45→50	45	224/279/302	78	296	5	10	25%	7%	65	-1.2	213/266/295	82	300	4	9	28%	6%	59	-1.7	199/249/257	59	286	0	5	29%	6%	40	-1.5
✕Roberto Valencia 2015 · AAA	27	52→62	37→30	47→45	43	244/277/313	70	275	4	8	13%	3%	66	-1.1	248/279/326	78	282	6	11	14%	4%	70	-0.8	264/288/325	61	298	4	10	13%	3%	70	-0.2
✕Jose Perez 2006 · AAA	27	52	39→30	43→40	44	249/298/332	83	306	6	6	20%	6%	79	-0.2	237/281/311	74	300	5	7	22%	5%	68	-1.0	246/275/288	42	309	0	2	20%	4%	57	-0.6
✕Eder Salcedo 2011 · AAA	28	54→60	38→40	43→50	44	257/292/337	81	298	4	9	16%	4%	78	-0.3	255/292/345	90	304	7	15	18%	5%	80	-0.2	262/296/355	93	312	7	18	18%	4%	80	-0.1

Dayson Croes

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps