Kevin Davis — OGILVIE

Kevin Davis P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

+0.3 WAR

Age 27 RHP 6'9" / 280 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2026

ERA4.33

FIP4.33

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%23.8%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%13.0%

IP38

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2026

K†5555

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2025	26	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	33	0	45	202	69	27	0	24.8%	15.9%	0.0%	4.57	3.02	+1.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	CWS	38	—	38	163	39	17	4	23.8%	10.7%	2.7%	4.33	4.33	+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	28	MLB	CWS	38	—	38	160	38	17	4	23.7%	10.6%	2.8%	4.34	4.35	+0.3
2028	29	MLB	CWS	37	—	37	156	37	17	4	23.5%	10.6%	2.8%	4.37	4.40	+0.2
2029	30	MLB	CWS	36	—	36	152	35	16	4	23.3%	10.6%	2.9%	4.42	4.46	+0.2
2030	31	MLB	CWS	35	—	35	146	34	16	4	23.1%	10.7%	3.0%	4.48	4.53	+0.2
2031	32	MLB	CWS	33	—	33	140	32	15	4	22.8%	10.9%	3.1%	4.56	4.61	+0.1
2032	33	MLB	CWS	32	—	32	134	30	15	4	22.5%	11.1%	3.2%	4.65	4.71	+0.1
2033	34	MLB	CWS	30	—	30	127	28	14	4	22.1%	11.2%	3.3%	4.75	4.82	+0.0
2034	35	MLB	CWS	28	—	28	120	26	14	4	21.8%	11.5%	3.4%	4.87	4.94	+0.0
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			33	0	45	202	50	32	0	24.8%	15.9%	0.0%	4.57	3.02	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—			146	0	200	891	221	141	0	24.8%	15.9%	0.0%	4.57	3.02	+5.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kevin Davis (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.33	23.8%	10.7%	2.7%	—	4.40	23.5%	12.9%	111	+0.07	—	—	—
Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.21 FIP	27	SU	3.21	24.2%	9.6%	1.7%	.330	3.20	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.01	2.42	125	90
Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP	27	SU	4.30	20.4%	12.1%	2.5%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	113	84
Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.18 FIP	27	SW	3.18	23.3%	10.5%	1.3%	.290	3.63	22.4%	13.8%	71	+0.45	3.18	124	84
Jason Adam R 2026 · 3.37 FIP	27	SU	3.37	24.2%	9.0%	2.1%	.237	2.63	33.1%	24.9%	88	-0.74	2.40	362	83
Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.48 FIP	27	SW	3.48	24.2%	8.9%	2.4%	.309	4.33	22.5%	12.7%	108	+0.85	2.36	309	83
Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 3.29 FIP	27	SU	3.29	22.9%	9.1%	1.8%	.276	6.26	27.5%	9.3%	50	+2.97	2.80	155	83
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	26.4%	14.3%	2.3%	.274	4.99	22.1%	8.9%	69	+1.06	3.83	181	83
Collin Baumgartner R 2025 · 3.76 FIP	26	SW	3.76	23.9%	12.3%	2.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	117	82
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.08	3.70	187	82
Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.42 FIP	27	SU	3.42	27.9%	9.9%	2.6%	.301	3.61	23.6%	14.3%	70	+0.19	2.59	156	82
Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.33 FIP	29	SU	4.33	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.99	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.34	3.47	149	81
Trevin Michael R 2026 · 3.82 FIP	27	SW	3.82	23.0%	9.1%	2.8%	.230	—	—	—	—	—	2.68	149	81
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 5.00 FIP	27	SU	5.00	22.2%	11.4%	4.2%	.256	4.51	23.3%	9.7%	39	-0.49	2.65	315	81
Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.34 FIP	28	SW	3.34	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.07	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.73	3.25	150	81
Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.54 FIP	27	SW	3.54	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.87	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.39	509	81
Peyton Gray R 2025 · 4.26 FIP	26	SU	4.26	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	4.26	104	81
Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	3.0%	.339	3.39	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.73	3.11	166	81
Kaleb Fleck R 2026 · 3.60 FIP	27	SU	3.60	21.6%	9.7%	2.0%	.340	3.98	21.8%	13.6%	94	+0.38	2.68	177	81
Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.86 FIP	27	SW	3.86	27.3%	10.0%	3.3%	.280	4.05	28.5%	17.2%	107	+0.19	3.02	363	81
Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.62 FIP	27	SW	3.62	25.2%	11.3%	2.2%	.252	4.15	23.5%	10.8%	108	+0.53	3.07	307	81

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.