Aaron Graeber — OGILVIE

Aaron GraeberCF Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 24 L/R A+ K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .252 / .297

PA1

HR0

K%34

BB%6

BABIP286

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	151	145	26	4	0	4	6	63	0	0	0	179	212	290	502	110	282	42	4	225	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK	ACL Angels	—	24	21	8	2	0	2	3	4	0	0	0	381	458	762	1.220	381	400	17	12	518	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	151	147	18	3	0	2	4	85	0	0	0	122	146	184	329	61	260	56	3	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	24	22	5	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	227	292	409	701	182	291	25	8	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	175	169	24	4	0	4	6	91	0	0	0	142	171	237	408	95	270	52	3	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	175	166	34	6	0	6	9	67	0	0	0	205	246	349	595	145	301	38	5	265	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	175	167	24	4	0	4	6	91	0	0	0	144	171	240	411	96	264	52	3	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	175	167	24	4	0	4	6	91	0	0	0	144	171	240	411	96	264	52	3	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	225	207	41	7	1	4	14	76	2	1	0	198	253	299	552	101	288	34	6	249	55	-12	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	LAA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	197	252	297	549	100	286	0	0	248	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAA	30%	180	166	33	6	1	3	11	60	1	1	0	201	257	307	564	106	288	33	6	254	58	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAA	30%	55	52	10	2	0	1	3	18	0	0	0	200	256	306	562	106	286	33	5	253	58	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	55	52	10	2	0	1	3	18	0	0	0	192	236	288	525	96	273	33	5	253	38	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	615	119	24	0	12	35	213	0	0	0	193	237	291	528	98	274	33	5	253	38	-32	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	471	442	79	14	2	9	24	190	2	2	0	179	224	281	505	102	286	40	5	224	38	-15	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	610	109	19	3	12	33	262	3	3	0	179	224	279	503	100	286	40	5	224	38	-33	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aaron Graeber (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	196/251/296	100	288	2	1	34%	6%	55	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Seth Gray 2022 · A	24	36→37	42→40	49→50	39	178/256/274	96	282	10	6	38%	7%	53	-2.1	198/274/304	106	324	12	11	40%	8%	65	-1.2	193/273/299	105	322	13	14	41%	8%	61	-1.1
✕Kyle McCann 2022 · AA	24	34	43→50	48→40	38	168/245/274	106	297	12	4	44%	8%	49	-2.4	205/277/355	150	324	19	4	40%	8%	78	-0.3	209/282/367	158	320	22	2	39%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Michael Harrington 2010 · A	24	37→33	41→45	45→40	38	185/232/284	99	261	8	3	32%	6%	44	-2.8	189/240/272	83	281	6	5	33%	6%	45	-2.7	147/201/192	45	225	3	0	34%	5%	10	-1.6
✕Neil Medchill 2011 · A	24	35→28	43→45	44→45	34	175/233/280	105	299	12	7	44%	6%	45	-2.7	195/254/324	129	320	15	7	41%	7%	62	-1.4	194/253/324	129	310	16	5	41%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Ryan Gold 2022 · AA	24	39→36	42→45	47→40	39	190/258/303	113	292	8	3	36%	7%	59	-1.7	204/277/342	138	292	14	5	33%	8%	75	-0.5	172/255/339	167	214	22	0	31%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Leandro Emiliani 2023 · A	23	35	45	48→30	38	182/244/301	119	271	13	3	36%	7%	53	-2.1	192/252/293	101	301	9	4	37%	7%	54	-2.0	162/224/237	75	264	6	0	38%	7%	32	-1.6
✕Cody Morissette 2024 · AA	24	35→31	46→45	44→55	40	187/242/313	126	243	15	5	30%	6%	55	-1.9	190/243/309	119	252	13	15	29%	6%	55	-2.0	184/241/305	121	240	14	19	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Ryan Kirby 2019 · A	24	37→33	44→45	46→40	37	186/250/304	118	283	11	4	37%	6%	57	-1.8	189/248/306	117	325	12	7	43%	6%	56	-1.9	93/148/190	97	194	15	7	59%	5%	-10	-1.2
✕Kamren James 2024 · A	24	36→30	44→50	45	34	183/242/295	112	285	12	8	39%	5%	51	-2.2	183/241/281	98	279	11	8	37%	5%	47	-2.5	164/223/254	90	241	11	7	35%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Ryan Aguilar 2019 · A	24	35→40	39→45	51→50	40	173/237/256	83	269	6	6	36%	8%	40	-3.1	183/260/276	93	303	9	9	39%	8%	54	-2.0	181/274/286	106	291	12	12	39%	10%	59	-1.1
✕Jameson Fisher 2018 · A	24	41→36	41→40	44→45	42	201/268/306	104	280	8	7	30%	7%	63	-1.3	188/257/281	93	285	8	6	34%	8%	53	-2.1	188/255/286	98	278	9	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6
✕Logan Farrar 2019 · A	24	40→35	45	48→45	42	203/260/322	119	263	13	3	28%	6%	63	-1.3	197/261/283	86	283	8	6	31%	7%	55	-2.0	167/242/206	39	254	3	6	33%	8%	30	-1.8
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	39	42→50	46→55	38	193/254/300	107	288	9	11	35%	6%	57	-1.8	186/250/305	119	275	12	13	35%	6%	57	-1.8	197/259/326	130	285	15	24	35%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Brandon Dulin 2017 · A	24	39→29	43→45	46→40	35	198/241/305	107	280	11	4	33%	4%	53	-2.1	197/253/323	126	279	15	3	34%	5%	61	-1.5	169/232/304	134	227	19	0	35%	5%	47	-1.9
✕Ross Adolph 2021 · A	24	41→33	40→45	46→50	40	185/271/279	95	324	7	9	41%	8%	59	-1.6	206/298/326	120	344	12	10	40%	9%	80	-0.1	195/302/317	122	330	12	11	39%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	43→45	51→40	36	174/246/284	110	279	11	7	40%	6%	51	-2.3	198/254/306	108	309	9	5	37%	5%	58	-1.7	198/252/314	115	294	9	0	34%	4%	55	-0.7
✕Garrett Kennedy 2017 · A	24	35	40→45	45→30	41	178/233/270	92	251	7	4	31%	7%	41	-3.0	183/249/280	97	265	9	3	32%	7%	50	-2.3	162/235/253	91	230	9	0	32%	7%	37	-1.3
✕Craig Dedelow 2019 · A	24	38→35	45→50	44→45	35	197/229/322	125	259	12	4	29%	4%	52	-2.2	186/231/312	126	273	13	4	36%	5%	51	-2.3	164/227/301	137	259	17	7	42%	6%	45	-2.2