Jared Beck

P Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 27 LHP 7'0" / 225 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	MIX2 levels	33	46	4.86	4.03	29.4%	20.2%	—	K 22.0% · BB 24.3% · FIP 5.17
2025	25	MIX2 levels	23	23	4.24	6.01	25.0%	25.0%	—	K 21.5% · BB 26.9% · FIP 6.70
2026	26	AWSH	19	28	7.48	6.46	22.7%	30.0%	—	K 16.8% · BB 35.4% · FIP 7.12
2027PROJ	27	MLBWSH	14	15	5.90	5.90	20.2%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ36% MLB	28	MLBWSH	7	7	5.79	5.83	20.4%	19.1%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsNick Lee (age 25) · Andrew Mitchell (age 27) · Graeme Stinson (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129137vR 145

ERA5.90

FIP5.90

K%20.2%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%0.2%

Proj IP15

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	4	0	10	45	10	5	0	0%	2.5	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	3.60	2.63	—
2022	22	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	4	0	10	45	10	5	0	0%	2.5	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	3.60	2.60	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	12	75	347	98	47	4	52%	3.3	21.1%	15.9%	5.2%	1.5%	4.30	4.15	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	12	75	347	98	47	4	52%	3.3	28.2%	13.5%	14.7%	1.2%	4.30	3.06	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	46	218	64	44	3	0%	1.4	22.0%	24.3%	-2.3%	1.6%	4.86	5.17	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	46	218	64	44	3	0%	1.4	22.0%	24.3%	-2.3%	1.6%	4.86	5.17	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	46	218	64	44	3	0%	1.4	29.4%	20.2%	9.2%	1.4%	4.86	4.03	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	23	116	29	29	3	0%	1.0	21.5%	26.9%	-5.3%	3.7%	4.24	6.70	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	23	116	29	29	3	0%	1.0	21.5%	26.9%	-5.3%	3.7%	4.24	6.70	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	23	116	29	29	3	0%	1.0	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	2.6%	4.24	6.01	—
2026	26	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	19	0	28	150	34	45	2	0%	1.5	16.8%	35.4%	-18.6%	1.7%	7.48	7.12	—
2026	26	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	19	0	28	150	34	45	2	0%	1.5	16.8%	35.4%	-18.6%	1.7%	7.48	7.12	—
2026	26	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	19	0	28	150	34	45	2	0%	1.5	22.7%	30.0%	-7.3%	1.3%	7.48	6.46	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	WSH	14	0	15	63	13	13	2	0%	1.1	20.2%	20.0%	0.2%	2.9%	5.90	5.90	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	WSH	19	0	20	84	17	16	3	0%	1.1	20.4%	19.1%	1.3%	3.0%	5.79	5.83	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	WSH	7	0	7	30	6	6	1	0%	1.0	20.4%	19.1%	1.3%	3.0%	5.79	5.83	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	6	1	0%	1.0	20.4%	19.1%	1.3%	3.0%	5.79	5.45	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	165	28	0%	1.1	20.4%	19.1%	1.3%	3.0%	5.79	5.45	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		102	12	183	876	181	197	15	12%	1.8	20.7%	22.5%	-1.8%	1.8%	4.88	5.17	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		112	13	200	959	198	216	17	12%	1.8	20.7%	22.5%	-1.8%	1.8%	4.88	5.17	-2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jared Beck (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.90	20.2%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.83	20.4%	1.3%	20	-0.07	—	—	—
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	77
Andrew Mitchell L 2022 · 6.04 FIP	27	SU	6.04	18.2%	17.0%	4.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	119	77
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	77
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	76
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	76
Stephen Randolph L 2003 · 4.83 FIP	29	SU	4.83	18.5%	14.8%	2.6%	.247	5.69	15.8%	-3.0%	82	+0.86	4.83	155	75
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	75
Nick Hagadone L 2013 · 4.75 FIP	27	SU	4.75	22.6%	15.0%	3.0%	.253	3.34	25.9%	19.0%	51	-1.41	2.97	141	75
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	74
Hunter Cervenka L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	27	SU	5.91	18.9%	15.0%	4.6%	.282	3.10	25.9%	15.0%	81	-2.81	3.08	194	74
Chandler Jozwiak L 2024 · 5.33 FIP	25	SU	5.33	16.9%	15.3%	3.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	161	73
Davis Schwab L 2022 · 5.70 FIP	25	SU	5.70	20.3%	18.7%	3.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	114	73
Kit Scheetz L 2021 · 5.08 FIP	27	SU	5.08	16.2%	13.6%	2.9%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.34	195	72
Matt Mikulski L 2024 · 6.18 FIP	25	SU	6.18	15.3%	17.1%	4.0%	.275	4.98	19.5%	-8.3%	18	-1.20	4.92	223	72
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	72
Anderson Polanco L 2019 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	18.9%	16.3%	2.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	71
Cody Beckman L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	26	SU	5.27	19.3%	14.9%	3.5%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	189	71
Jacob Kroeger L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	24	SU	5.71	20.1%	34.0%	0.0%	.346	4.20	19.1%	6.7%	141	-1.51	3.94	154	71
Evan Lee L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	26	SU	5.38	17.2%	25.3%	0.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	129	71
David Rollins L 2017 · 5.58 FIP	27	SU	5.58	18.0%	12.1%	4.5%	.260	5.68	15.9%	12.5%	20	+0.10	3.59	132	70