Tyler Schweitzer

P Charlotte Knights

Age 26 LHP 6'0" / 185 lbs AAA ILForty Man (40M)

Overview

AAARP40M40-MANROOKIEFG #587

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX2 levels	25	25	132	4.02	3.15	24.6%	7.4%	—	K 19.6% · BB 8.3% · FIP 4.12
2025	24	MIX2 levels	27	10	100	4.61	4.40	18.9%	9.6%	—	K 15.8% · BB 9.3% · FIP 4.34
2026	25	MIX2 levels	43	4	89	3.83	3.98	15.3%	6.9%	0.6	K 13.8% · BB 6.5% · FIP 4.14
2027PROJ	26	MLBCWS	54	0	57	4.75	4.78	15.5%	7.6%	-0.1
2028PROJ64% MLB	27	MLBCWS	56	0	59	4.73	4.76	16.1%	7.7%	-0.1
2029PROJ76% MLB	28	MLBCWS	67	0	70	4.76	4.81	16.4%	7.8%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.6 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo43

Whiff%22

K%10

xwOBA vs10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsIrwin Delgado (age 26) · Dan Meyer (age 26) · Brian Duensing (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 129

ERA4.75

FIP4.78

K%15.5%

BB%7.6%

K-BB%7.8%

Proj IP57

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD4550

K†3040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4394.0

Whiff%

p2221.3%

p1011.7%

xwOBA vs

p100.359

FB+0.5 (42%)

CH (10%)

SI (4%)

CU (7%)

SL-1.5 (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	107	463	121	45	10	96%	4.7	19.6%	11.3%	8.3%	3.0%	3.94	4.50	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	22	107	463	121	45	10	96%	4.7	26.1%	9.7%	16.4%	2.2%	3.94	3.31	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	132	552	136	41	12	100%	5.3	19.6%	8.3%	11.3%	3.0%	4.02	4.12	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	132	552	136	41	12	100%	5.3	19.6%	8.3%	11.3%	3.0%	4.02	4.12	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	132	552	136	41	12	100%	5.3	24.6%	7.4%	17.2%	2.2%	4.02	3.15	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	10	100	428	81	41	13	37%	3.7	15.8%	9.3%	6.5%	2.5%	4.61	4.34	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	10	100	428	81	41	13	37%	3.7	15.8%	9.3%	6.5%	2.5%	4.61	4.34	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	10	100	428	81	41	13	37%	3.7	18.9%	9.6%	9.3%	3.0%	4.61	4.40	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	4	89	379	58	26	9	9%	2.1	13.8%	6.5%	7.3%	2.5%	3.83	4.14	+0.4
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	4	89	379	58	26	9	9%	2.1	13.8%	6.5%	7.3%	2.5%	3.83	4.14	+0.4
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	4	89	379	58	26	9	9%	2.1	15.3%	6.9%	8.4%	2.4%	3.83	3.98	+0.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			18	0	37	154	18	12	3	0%	2.1	11.7%	7.8%	3.9%	1.9%	3.13	4.14	+0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	CWS	54	0	57	241	37	18	7	0%	1.1	15.5%	7.6%	7.8%	3.0%	4.75	4.78	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CWS	88	0	92	390	63	30	12	0%	1.1	16.1%	7.7%	8.4%	3.0%	4.73	4.76	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	CWS	88	0	92	390	64	31	12	0%	1.1	16.4%	7.8%	8.6%	3.1%	4.76	4.81	-0.3
2030	29	MLB MLE	CWS	84	0	88	372	60	30	12	0%	1.1	16.1%	8.1%	8.1%	3.3%	4.85	4.94	-0.4
2031	30	MLB MLE	CWS	79	0	83	350	54	29	12	0%	1.0	15.6%	8.4%	7.2%	3.5%	5.01	5.13	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	CWS	56	0	59	249	40	19	8	0%	1.1	16.1%	7.7%	8.4%	3.0%	4.73	4.76	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	CWS	67	0	70	296	49	23	9	0%	1.0	16.4%	7.8%	8.6%	3.1%	4.76	4.81	-0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	CWS	69	0	72	304	49	25	10	0%	1.0	16.1%	8.1%	8.1%	3.3%	4.85	4.94	-0.3
2031	30	MLB CTX	CWS	68	0	71	300	47	25	10	0%	1.0	15.6%	8.4%	7.2%	3.5%	5.01	5.13	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		278	0	310	1307	203	104	40	0%	1.1	15.5%	8.0%	7.6%	3.1%	4.64	4.49	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		179	0	200	842	131	67	26	0%	1.1	15.5%	8.0%	7.6%	3.1%	4.64	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		118	61	428	1822	319	163	50	52%	3.6	17.5%	8.9%	8.6%	2.8%	4.10	4.27	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	28	200	851	149	76	24	52%	3.6	17.5%	8.9%	8.6%	2.8%	4.10	4.27	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Schweitzer (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	15.5%	7.6%	3.0%	—	4.84	16.2%	8.4%	273	+0.06	—	—	—
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	79
Dan Meyer L 2007 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	13.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.316	4.35	20.6%	11.8%	86	-0.41	3.73	112	76
Brian Duensing L 2009 · 3.98 FIP	26	SW	3.98	14.8%	8.4%	1.9%	.286	3.90	15.2%	9.3%	401	-0.08	2.57	799	76
Ben Holmes L 2018 · 4.02 FIP	26	SW	4.02	19.1%	9.3%	2.5%	.264	5.57	19.7%	8.6%	61	+1.55	3.09	451	76
Pat Misch L 2008 · 5.05 FIP	26	SW	5.05	16.5%	5.7%	4.8%	.268	4.53	10.8%	5.4%	100	-0.52	3.50	265	76
Matt Tracy L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SW	3.96	14.4%	9.8%	1.5%	.306	4.10	14.7%	5.5%	208	+0.14	3.24	298	74
Yohan Flande L 2014 · 3.65 FIP	28	SP-	3.65	14.1%	5.8%	1.8%	.266	3.90	14.1%	7.9%	312	+0.25	3.18	394	73
Eric DuBose L 2003 · 3.92 FIP	27	SP-	3.92	14.4%	7.5%	2.0%	.233	5.49	13.7%	0.4%	104	+1.57	3.92	178	72
Brian Tallet L 2003 · 4.65 FIP	25	SP-	4.65	10.3%	9.2%	2.3%	.309	4.43	16.2%	4.4%	54	-0.22	2.59	443	71
Ryan Kellogg L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	25	SW	3.99	12.4%	5.8%	2.2%	.359	4.33	12.3%	7.1%	64	+0.34	3.65	446	71
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.34 FIP	23	SW	4.34	17.3%	12.1%	2.1%	.314	6.07	19.2%	3.4%	165	+1.73	4.34	244	71
Nick Dombkowski L 2024 · 4.92 FIP	25	SW	4.92	16.5%	10.9%	3.3%	.273	5.17	18.2%	10.6%	183	+0.25	3.71	425	71
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	70
Wesley Wright L 2010 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	19.6%	8.8%	4.2%	.310	3.38	23.9%	16.5%	106	-1.47	3.03	375	70
Matt Walker L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	25	SP-	4.73	12.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	156	70
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	70
John Rheinecker L 2006 · 4.14 FIP	27	SP-	4.14	8.7%	5.9%	1.9%	.364	5.13	16.7%	5.8%	50	+0.99	4.14	121	69
Austin Hamilton L 2019 · 4.02 FIP	25	SW	4.02	17.3%	7.9%	2.5%	.374	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	135	69
Chaz Hebert L 2017 · 4.46 FIP	24	SP-	4.46	15.6%	8.7%	2.9%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	167	68
Billy Traber L 2006 · 4.17 FIP	26	SP-	4.17	12.4%	5.9%	2.5%	.300	4.11	14.5%	8.4%	56	-0.06	3.75	211	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.2	75	15.6%	7.9%	1.20	4.68
Alfredo Simon ('16)	3.9	111	15.7%	8.0%	1.22	4.56
Randy O'Neal ('84-'90, 1 WAR*)	2.2	73	17.4%*	7.8%*	1.21*	4.65*
Al Sima ('50-'54, -1 WAR*)	1.5	77	15.8%*	8.0%*	1.37*	4.76*
Chad Bettis ('19)	3.0	86	16.2%	7.9%	1.18	5.12
Cisco Carlos ('67-'70, 1 WAR*)	1.2	79	14.8%*	7.7%*	1.05*	4.67*
Ryan Rowland-Smith ('14)	1.8	92	14.2%	8.5%	1.24	4.57