Michael Walsh

P Altoona Curve

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX2 levels	30	0	41	1.11	2.36	23.9%	6.9%	—	K 17.9% · BB 8.0% · FIP 3.00
2025	24	MIX2 levels	49	0	68	2.93	2.17	24.3%	5.4%	—	K 18.9% · BB 6.2% · FIP 2.76
2026	25	MIX4 levels	33	1	47	4.60	3.63	24.6%	5.8%	—	K 19.1% · BB 5.8% · FIP 4.94
2027PROJ	26	MLBPIT	57	0	60	4.33	4.33	18.6%	5.8%	0.2
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBPIT	22	0	23	4.35	4.36	19.0%	6.2%	0.1
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBPIT	33	0	35	4.41	4.44	19.2%	6.6%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control55Command55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsMike Adams (age 26) · Andrew Robinson (age 27) · Shawn Camp (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.33

FIP4.33

K%18.6%

BB%5.8%

K-BB%12.8%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	0	3	20	2	5	0	0%	0.8	10.0%	25.0%	-15.0%	0.0%	10.80	5.42	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	0	3	20	2	5	0	0%	0.8	10.0%	25.0%	-15.0%	0.0%	10.80	6.40	—
2023	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	9	0	9	38	11	2	0	0%	1.0	28.9%	5.3%	23.7%	0.0%	1.93	1.32	—
2023	22	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	9	0	9	38	11	2	0	0%	1.0	28.9%	5.3%	23.7%	0.0%	1.93	1.39	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	41	159	38	11	1	0%	1.4	17.9%	8.0%	9.8%	0.7%	1.11	3.00	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	41	159	38	11	1	0%	1.4	17.9%	8.0%	9.8%	0.7%	1.11	3.00	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	41	159	38	11	1	0%	1.4	23.9%	6.9%	17.0%	0.6%	1.11	2.36	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	68	276	67	15	2	0%	1.4	18.9%	6.2%	12.7%	0.9%	2.93	2.76	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	68	276	67	15	2	0%	1.4	18.9%	6.2%	12.7%	0.9%	2.93	2.76	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	68	276	67	15	2	0%	1.4	24.3%	5.4%	18.8%	0.7%	2.93	2.17	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	33	1	47	207	51	12	7	3%	1.4	19.1%	5.8%	13.2%	4.9%	4.60	4.94	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	33	1	47	207	51	12	7	3%	1.4	19.1%	5.8%	13.2%	4.9%	4.60	4.94	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	33	1	47	207	51	12	7	3%	1.4	24.6%	5.8%	18.8%	3.4%	4.60	3.63	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	PIT	57	0	60	253	47	15	8	0%	1.1	18.6%	5.8%	12.8%	3.1%	4.33	4.33	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	PIT	57	0	60	253	48	16	8	0%	1.1	19.0%	6.2%	12.8%	3.1%	4.35	4.36	+0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55	0	58	246	47	16	8	0%	1.1	19.2%	6.6%	12.6%	3.2%	4.41	4.44	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	PIT	22	0	23	97	18	6	3	0%	1.0	19.0%	6.2%	12.8%	3.1%	4.35	4.36	+0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	PIT	33	0	35	148	28	10	5	0%	1.1	19.2%	6.6%	12.6%	3.2%	4.41	4.44	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	241	46	16	8	0%	1.1	19.1%	6.4%	12.7%	3.2%	4.39	4.03	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	56	28	0%	1.1	19.1%	6.4%	12.7%	3.2%	4.39	4.03	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		125	1	168	700	133	49	14	1%	1.3	19.0%	7.0%	12.0%	2.0%	3.05	3.46	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		149	1	200	833	158	58	16	1%	1.3	19.0%	7.0%	12.0%	2.0%	3.05	3.46	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Walsh (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.33	18.6%	5.8%	3.1%	—	4.40	19.1%	12.7%	118	+0.07	—	—	—
Mike Adams R 2004 · 3.53 FIP	26	SU	3.53	17.3%	5.3%	2.2%	.266	4.83	23.0%	8.2%	13	+1.30	1.36	405	91
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	90
Shawn Camp R 2004 · 4.18 FIP	28	SU	4.18	17.8%	5.2%	3.5%	.305	3.88	15.5%	10.5%	164	-0.30	2.79	589	89
John Brebbia R 2016 · 4.11 FIP	26	SU	4.11	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.346	3.20	27.6%	21.4%	215	-0.91	2.89	576	89
J.J. Putz R 2004 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	17.1%	7.3%	3.6%	.283	2.58	28.5%	23.0%	210	-1.99	1.43	563	88
Ryan Halstead R 2018 · 4.08 FIP	26	SU	4.08	18.0%	6.7%	3.0%	.296	3.24	16.1%	8.7%	64	-0.84	3.12	222	87
Shay Schanaman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	21.0%	7.6%	3.7%	.292	6.05	16.4%	2.8%	90	+1.71	4.34	148	86
Johnny Magliozzi R 2017 · 3.22 FIP	26	SU	3.22	17.1%	5.9%	1.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	131	86
Pedro Rodriguez R 2015 · 3.21 FIP	27	SU	3.21	16.4%	4.5%	1.7%	.272	3.70	13.1%	5.2%	43	+0.49	3.21	145	86
Jim Johnson R 2009 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	16.3%	6.7%	2.7%	.291	3.01	16.0%	11.2%	186	-1.02	2.56	700	86
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	85
Ryan Kelly R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	20.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.241	3.21	20.8%	14.2%	43	-0.31	2.49	131	85
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	85
Seth Frankoff R 2015 · 4.01 FIP	26	SU	4.01	19.6%	7.4%	2.9%	.312	4.29	20.0%	11.3%	177	+0.28	2.88	263	85
Micah Dallas R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	24	SU	4.04	18.7%	7.1%	3.0%	.273	4.34	17.8%	8.2%	104	+0.30	3.60	202	85
Sean Donatello R 2017 · 3.64 FIP	26	SU	3.64	17.8%	7.4%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	141	85
Ronnie Shaban R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	26	SU	4.32	14.1%	5.3%	3.2%	.263	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	104	85
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	85
Esmerling De La Rosa R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	26	SU	3.40	20.5%	7.2%	2.0%	.313	4.86	14.1%	5.8%	66	+1.46	2.89	237	84
Geoff Geary R 2004 · 4.85 FIP	27	SU	4.85	15.0%	6.5%	4.0%	.295	3.65	15.0%	9.5%	217	-1.20	3.16	345	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	18.9%	6.2%	1.21	4.36
Blas Minor ('97)	1.1	75	19.2%	7.3%	1.16	4.40
James Russell ('16)	1.7	56	17.0%	7.0%	1.16	4.09
Tim Crews ('87-'92, 3 WAR*)	2.1	71	20.8%*	6.2%*	1.09*	4.11*
Casey Fien ('17)	1.4	58	21.0%	5.1%	1.46	4.42
Cris Carpenter ('88-'96, 2 WAR*)	2.1	69	18.3%*	7.4%*	1.15*	4.29*
Bobby Tiefenauer ('52-'68, 0 WAR*)	1.6	63	20.4%*	6.7%*	1.10*	4.53*