Michael Walsh
P
Altoona Curve
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION20 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112103vR 94
ERA4.09
FIP4.09
K%18.2%
BB%6.4%
K-BB%11.8%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 10.0% | 25.0% | -15.0% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 5.42 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 10.0% | 25.0% | -15.0% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 6.40 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.9% | 5.3% | 23.7% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 1.32 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.9% | 5.3% | 23.7% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 1.39 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 41 | 159 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 0.6% | 1.11 | 2.96 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 41 | 159 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.9% | 6.9% | 17.0% | 0.6% | 1.11 | 2.36 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 68 | 276 | 67 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.9% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 0.8% | 2.93 | 2.74 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 68 | 276 | 67 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.3% | 5.4% | 18.8% | 0.7% | 2.93 | 2.17 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 16 | 1 | 20 | 86 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 6% | 1.2 | 19.1% | 6.0% | 13.1% | 2.2% | 4.05 | 3.44 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PIT | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 54 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 2.4% | 4.09 | 4.09 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PIT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 2.4% | 4.09 | 4.09 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 90 | 382 | 75 | 24 | 8 | — | — | 19.6% | 6.3% | 13.4% | 2.2% | 4.08 | 3.95 | +1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 18.2% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 2.4% | 4.09 | 3.71 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 56 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 2.5% | 4.10 | 4.09 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 56 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 2.6% | 4.14 | 4.15 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 55 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 4.20 | 4.24 | +0.4 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 2.5% | 4.10 | 4.09 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 36 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 2.6% | 4.14 | 4.15 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 42 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 4.20 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 120 | 0 | 126 | 534 | 103 | 37 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 4.15 | 3.79 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 163 | 59 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 4.15 | 3.79 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 108 | 1 | 141 | 579 | 110 | 42 | 5 | 1% | 1.3 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 0.9% | 2.68 | 2.90 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 153 | 1 | 200 | 821 | 156 | 60 | 7 | 1% | 1.3 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 0.9% | 2.68 | 2.90 | +5.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Walsh (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.09 | 18.2% | 6.4% | 2.4% | — | 4.16 | 19.2% | 12.3% | 206 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.33 | 19.6% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .293 | 4.70 | 17.7% | 7.8% | 115 | +1.37 | 3.33 | 258 | 91 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .275 | 4.62 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.50 | 4.12 | 230 | 89 |
| Andres Avila R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.01 | 16.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | .316 | 4.13 | 20.3% | 13.9% | 73 | +0.12 | 4.01 | 177 | 89 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.28 | 19.4% | 7.4% | 1.6% | .312 | 3.96 | 20.7% | 7.8% | 65 | +0.68 | 3.28 | 113 | 88 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.58 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | .246 | 3.53 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.05 | 2.96 | 160 | 88 |
| John Brebbia R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.03 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .346 | 3.14 | 27.6% | 21.4% | 215 | -0.89 | 2.81 | 574 | 88 |
| J.R. Graham R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 18.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | .317 | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 61 | -0.83 | 3.30 | 125 | 87 |
| Johnny Magliozzi R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.21 | 14.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | .246 | 3.31 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 68 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 131 | 87 |
| Sam Runion R 2027 · 3.08 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.08 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 1.0% | .303 | 3.12 | 12.6% | 5.3% | 49 | +0.04 | 3.08 | 114 | 87 |
| Logan Cozart R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.30 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% | .250 | 4.04 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 106 | +0.74 | 3.30 | 316 | 87 |
| Ronnie Shaban R 2026 · 2.93 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.93 | 18.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% | .268 | 4.11 | 14.1% | 8.8% | 55 | +1.18 | 2.93 | 104 | 86 |
| T.J. Weir R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.21 | 20.0% | 6.7% | 1.7% | .272 | 3.63 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 113 | +0.42 | 3.21 | 349 | 86 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.61 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 1.9% | .286 | 4.26 | 19.6% | 13.6% | 91 | +0.65 | 3.08 | 210 | 86 |
| Alex Phillips R 2025 · 3.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.26 | 22.0% | 8.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.49 | 23.2% | 14.6% | 72 | +1.23 | 3.26 | 139 | 86 |
| Cole Johnson R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.56 | 17.4% | 8.4% | 1.6% | .311 | 3.48 | 14.0% | 9.2% | 49 | -0.08 | 3.48 | 101 | 86 |
| Hunter McMahon R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.6% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .301 | 6.46 | 5.7% | 1.8% | 14 | +2.43 | 2.23 | 174 | 86 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.55 | 22.2% | 7.6% | 2.5% | .313 | 3.38 | 23.4% | 12.8% | 93 | -0.17 | 2.88 | 312 | 86 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.06 | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.62 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 44 | +0.56 | 4.06 | 101 | 85 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2028 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .325 | 4.53 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 279 | +0.65 | 3.88 | 500 | 85 |
| Brad Schreiber R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.95 | 16.5% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .304 | 4.10 | 17.3% | 4.6% | 57 | +0.15 | 3.91 | 171 | 85 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 0.99 | 4.13 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |
| Trevor Gott ('23) | 4 | 51 | 22.0% | 7.4% | 0.79 | 3.97 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |