Michael Walsh — OGILVIE

Michael Walsh P Altoona Curve

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111102vR 94

ERA4.07

FIP4.07

K%18.2%

BB%6.2%

K-BB%12.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

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Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	0	3	20	2	5	0	0%	0.8	10.0%	25.0%	-15.0%	0.0%	10.80	5.42	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	0	3	20	2	5	0	0%	0.8	10.0%	25.0%	-15.0%	0.0%	10.80	6.40	—
2023	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	9	0	9	38	11	2	0	0%	1.0	28.9%	5.3%	23.7%	0.0%	1.93	1.32	—
2023	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	9	0	9	38	11	2	0	0%	1.0	28.9%	5.3%	23.7%	0.0%	1.93	1.32	—
2023	22	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	9	0	9	38	11	2	0	0%	1.0	28.9%	5.3%	23.7%	0.0%	1.93	1.39	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	41	159	38	11	1	0%	1.4	17.9%	8.0%	9.8%	0.7%	1.11	3.00	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	41	159	38	11	1	0%	1.4	17.9%	8.0%	9.8%	0.7%	1.11	3.00	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	41	159	38	11	1	0%	1.4	23.9%	6.9%	17.0%	0.6%	1.11	2.36	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	68	276	67	15	2	0%	1.4	18.9%	6.2%	12.7%	0.9%	2.93	2.76	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	68	276	67	15	2	0%	1.4	18.9%	6.2%	12.7%	0.9%	2.93	2.76	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	68	276	67	15	2	0%	1.4	24.3%	5.4%	18.8%	0.7%	2.93	2.17	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	33	1	47	207	51	12	7	3%	1.4	19.1%	5.8%	13.2%	4.9%	4.60	4.94	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	33	1	47	207	51	12	7	3%	1.4	19.1%	5.8%	13.2%	4.9%	4.60	4.94	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	PIT	2	1	2	8	2	1	0	50%	1.0	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	0.00	2.57	—
2026	25	A RAW	PIT	3	0	5	16	7	1	0	0%	1.7	43.8%	6.2%	37.5%	0.0%	0.00	0.20	—
2026	25	AA RAW	PIT	26	0	38	170	40	9	7	0%	1.5	23.5%	5.3%	18.2%	4.1%	5.45	4.04	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	PIT	2	0	2	13	2	1	0	0%	1.0	15.4%	7.7%	7.7%	0.0%	4.50	2.78	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	PIT	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	18.2%	6.2%	12.1%	2.5%	4.07	4.07	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	PIT	—	—	53	232	56	14	8	—	—	24.0%	5.8%	18.1%	3.3%	4.54	4.84	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PIT	67	0	70	296	56	19	7	0%	1.0	18.9%	6.4%	12.5%	2.5%	4.08	4.07	+0.4
2028	27	MLB MLE	PIT	66	0	69	291	56	20	8	0%	1.0	19.3%	6.7%	12.6%	2.6%	4.12	4.13	+0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	PIT	64	0	67	282	55	20	8	0%	1.0	19.4%	7.0%	12.4%	2.7%	4.19	4.22	+0.3
2030	29	MLB MLE	PIT	61	0	64	270	52	20	8	0%	1.0	19.2%	7.3%	11.9%	2.9%	4.29	4.36	+0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	PIT	30	0	31	131	25	8	3	0%	1.0	18.9%	6.4%	12.5%	2.5%	4.08	4.07	+0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	PIT	42	0	44	186	36	12	5	0%	1.0	19.3%	6.7%	12.6%	2.6%	4.12	4.13	+0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	PIT	49	0	51	215	42	15	6	0%	1.0	19.4%	7.0%	12.4%	2.7%	4.19	4.22	+0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	PIT	50	0	52	220	42	16	6	0%	1.0	19.2%	7.3%	11.9%	2.9%	4.29	4.36	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	0	177	748	144	52	20	0%	1.0	19.2%	6.9%	12.3%	2.7%	4.18	3.83	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	162	59	23	0%	1.1	19.2%	6.9%	12.3%	2.7%	4.18	3.83	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		125	1	168	700	133	49	14	1%	1.3	19.0%	7.0%	12.0%	2.0%	3.05	3.46	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		149	1	200	833	158	58	16	1%	1.3	19.0%	7.0%	12.0%	2.0%	3.05	3.46	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Walsh (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.07	18.2%	6.2%	2.5%	—	4.14	19.2%	12.5%	206	+0.07	—	—	—
Nelson Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.42 FIP	25	SU	3.42	19.6%	7.7%	1.8%	.293	4.98	17.7%	7.8%	115	+1.56	3.42	258	91
Andres Avila R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	16.0%	5.2%	2.9%	.316	4.13	20.3%	13.9%	73	+0.15	3.98	177	90
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	88
Joe Colón J R 2015 · 3.27 FIP	25	SU	3.27	19.4%	7.4%	1.6%	.312	4.07	20.7%	7.8%	65	+0.80	3.27	113	88
John Brebbia R 2016 · 4.11 FIP	26	SU	4.11	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.346	3.20	27.6%	21.4%	215	-0.91	2.89	575	88
Ronnie Shaban R 2015 · 3.02 FIP	25	SU	3.02	18.6%	5.0%	1.6%	.268	4.32	14.1%	8.8%	55	+1.30	3.02	104	87
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	87
Logan Cozart R 2018 · 3.47 FIP	25	SU	3.47	18.3%	5.6%	2.2%	.250	4.23	19.5%	10.1%	106	+0.76	3.47	316	87
Roman Mendez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	25	SU	4.31	19.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.275	4.52	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.21	4.12	230	87
Sam Runion R 2015 · 3.13 FIP	26	SU	3.13	18.0%	7.5%	1.1%	.303	3.17	12.6%	5.3%	49	+0.04	3.13	114	87
Johnny Magliozzi R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	25	SU	4.36	14.9%	5.6%	3.3%	.246	3.22	17.1%	11.2%	68	-1.14	3.22	131	86
T.J. Weir R 2017 · 3.15 FIP	25	SU	3.15	20.0%	6.7%	1.6%	.272	3.62	18.4%	7.1%	113	+0.47	3.15	349	86
Alex Phillips R 2019 · 3.26 FIP	24	SU	3.26	22.0%	8.0%	1.8%	.263	4.62	23.2%	14.6%	72	+1.36	3.26	139	86
Conor Mullee R 2015 · 3.26 FIP	27	SU	3.26	17.7%	7.2%	1.4%	.290	2.64	24.2%	16.3%	55	-0.62	2.17	110	86
Hunter McMahon R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	25	SU	4.25	16.4%	8.0%	2.8%	.301	5.84	5.7%	1.8%	14	+1.59	2.23	174	85
Pedro Rodriguez R 2015 · 3.21 FIP	27	SU	3.21	16.4%	4.5%	1.7%	.272	3.70	13.1%	5.2%	43	+0.49	3.21	145	85
Ryan Halstead R 2017 · 3.30 FIP	25	SU	3.30	18.6%	4.9%	2.1%	.343	3.63	17.0%	9.9%	120	+0.33	3.12	222	85
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	85
Cole Johnson R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	26	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.4%	1.5%	.311	3.61	14.0%	9.2%	49	+0.09	3.52	101	85
Matt Carasiti R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	22.2%	7.6%	2.7%	.313	3.36	23.4%	12.8%	93	-0.32	2.80	312	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	19.0%	6.7%	1.02	4.15
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Adam Cimber ('24)	1.6	52	18.3%	6.6%	0.75	3.75
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Alex Claudio ('21)	1.5	59	16.3%	6.1%	0.76	3.66
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Brandon Kintzler ('21)	1.5	50	16.2%	6.3%	0.91	3.57