Braden Holcomb

OF Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 22 R/R A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

Scout OFP40ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	ACWS	57	.333/.439/.667	2	2	124	—	.260/.351/.500
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBCWS	167	.205/.276/.359	4	3	77	0.0
2028PROJ25% MLB	23	MLBCWS	42	.209/.280/.367	1	1	80	-0.0
2029PROJ36% MLB	24	MLBCWS	102	.212/.283/.372	2	2	82	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

wOBA99

wRC+99

ISO98

Speed82

Chase%80

Z-Con%71

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 90%

CompsBrandon Bayardi (age 23) · Jose Medina (age 22) · Alex Real (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 74 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .274 / .356

PA74

HR2

K%31

BB%8

ISO154

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	57	48	16	6	2	2	8	15	1	2	0	333	439	667	1.105	333	452	26	14	471	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	57	50	13	5	2	1	6	20	1	2	0	260	351	500	851	240	392	35	11	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	57	50	13	5	2	1	6	20	1	2	0	260	351	500	851	240	414	35	11	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	57	48	16	6	2	2	8	15	1	2	0	333	439	667	1.105	333	452	26	14	471	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	57	50	13	5	2	1	6	20	1	2	0	260	351	500	851	240	392	35	11	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	57	50	13	5	2	1	6	20	1	2	0	260	351	500	851	240	392	35	11	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	167	150	30	7	2	4	13	52	2	3	1	205	276	359	635	154	281	31	8	283	77	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CWS	25%	168	151	31	7	2	4	13	51	2	3	1	208	279	365	644	156	283	30	8	286	80	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	CWS	36%	283	256	55	13	4	7	22	85	3	5	1	211	282	369	652	158	284	30	8	290	82	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	CWS	43%	354	319	68	16	4	9	28	105	4	7	1	213	285	373	657	160	285	30	8	292	84	-7	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	CWS	47%	401	362	78	18	5	10	32	118	4	7	2	215	286	375	661	160	285	29	8	294	85	-7	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	CWS	48%	423	382	83	19	5	11	34	123	4	8	2	215	287	374	661	159	285	29	8	294	85	-8	+1	+0	-3	+9	0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	CWS	48%	434	392	84	19	5	11	35	127	4	7	2	213	285	369	654	156	283	29	8	291	83	-9	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	CWS	25%	42	39	8	2	1	1	3	13	0	1	0	209	280	367	648	158	284	31	7	288	80	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	CWS	36%	102	92	19	5	1	2	8	31	1	2	0	212	283	372	655	160	285	30	8	291	82	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	CWS	43%	151	136	30	7	2	4	12	45	2	3	1	214	285	376	661	162	286	30	8	294	84	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	CWS	47%	187	168	36	8	2	5	15	55	2	3	1	216	287	378	665	162	286	29	8	295	85	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	CWS	48%	201	181	39	9	2	5	16	59	2	4	1	216	288	377	665	161	286	29	8	295	85	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	CWS	48%	209	188	39	9	2	5	17	61	2	4	1	214	286	372	658	158	284	29	8	293	83	-4	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	892	804	171	40	10	22	71	264	9	17	4	213	284	369	653	157	285	30	8	294	84	-17	+2	-0	-5	+19	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	124	29	7	16	52	192	7	12	3	212	284	367	651	155	283	30	8	294	84	-13	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2194	1979	426	100	28	55	176	652	23	40	9	215	287	377	664	162	289	30	8	293	84	-42	+4	+0	-13	+46	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	126	30	8	16	52	193	7	12	3	215	287	375	662	160	289	30	8	293	84	-13	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Larry Stahl'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	36	22	235*	297*	387*	-16	+11	2.4	2.9
/162	664	13	8	-5.5	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.5	966	24	18	214	282	373	-6	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	16	12	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braden Holcomb (OGILVIE)	22	40	55	50	—	203/274/356	153	281	2	1	31%	8%	77	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brandon Bayardi 2014 · A	23	39	43→50	49→45	38	197/251/302	105	257	11	8	27%	4%	56	-1.9	219/273/344	125	290	13	7	28%	5%	74	-0.6	223/280/362	139	292	16	7	28%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Jose Medina 2017 · A	22	39	41→45	48→45	38	193/240/299	106	262	8	6	29%	5%	51	-2.3	204/256/314	110	286	11	4	31%	6%	60	-1.6	200/256/307	107	270	12	1	29%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Alex Real 2015 · A	22	44	38→40	46→40	36	208/253/286	78	310	5	6	34%	5%	52	-2.2	216/258/309	93	280	8	3	25%	5%	59	-1.7	215/254/310	95	269	9	0	23%	4%	56	-0.7
✕Sean Buckley 2013 · A	23	37→33	47→45	42→45	33	190/240/318	129	289	15	4	39%	5%	55	-1.9	198/248/309	111	291	12	5	35%	5%	56	-1.9	202/251/298	96	282	10	5	31%	4%	52	-1.1
✕Yermín Mercedes 2015 · A	22	43→53	37→50	45	49	201/271/269	68	241	4	7	18%	7%	56	-1.9	233/271/374	141	281	16	3	23%	5%	79	-0.2	242/292/392	150	282	20	3	21%	6%	92	+0.5
✕John Silviano 2017 · A	23	38→34	45→50	48→40	31	185/234/307	122	324	12	5	45%	5%	51	-2.3	188/246/323	135	299	16	4	40%	7%	59	-1.7	172/232/303	131	263	17	2	40%	7%	47	-1.4
✕Luis Nieblas 2009 · AAA	24	43	37→45	50→45	39	207/260/276	69	293	5	9	30%	6%	53	-2.1	250/298/342	92	322	7	9	23%	5%	82	-0.0	256/303/354	98	334	9	6	25%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Jeyson Sanchez 2017 · A	23	41	37→50	46→50	47	191/257/270	78	233	3	7	19%	6%	51	-2.3	188/258/307	119	251	13	4	30%	7%	61	-1.5	158/237/281	123	201	16	3	30%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Rick Taloa 2006 · A	21	44	40→45	45→30	28	201/243/294	94	348	7	5	43%	4%	51	-2.3	195/230/305	110	257	12	3	29%	3%	49	-2.4	175/205/287	112	218	14	0	27%	2%	33	-1.3
✕Lance Durham 2012 · A	24	37→34	43→45	50→30	39	183/246/291	108	298	10	7	40%	8%	51	-2.2	182/254/303	121	307	11	4	41%	8%	57	-1.8	166/240/280	113	278	11	2	41%	8%	45	-1.7
✕Ashley Graeter 2014 · A	24	45	37→40	46→45	38	212/255/287	74	297	4	6	29%	5%	53	-2.1	222/263/315	93	295	7	9	26%	4%	62	-1.4	226/268/315	89	294	7	9	25%	4%	62	-0.7
●Joey Meneses 2013 · A	21	45→55	35→55	44→40	40	211/257/275	64	289	2	5	27%	5%	51	-2.3	219/260/311	92	309	6	3	29%	5%	60	-1.6	262/300/435	173	316	22	1	24%	5%	104	+1.4
✕Matt Tellor 2015 · A	23	39	42→40	47→40	36	191/245/290	99	304	10	6	39%	6%	51	-2.3	182/216/259	77	299	6	3	39%	4%	32	-3.7	174/203/246	72	273	5	0	37%	4%	21	-2.8
★Marcell Ozuna 2011 · A	20	41→51	41→65	47→45	39	201/251/296	95	287	8	6	32%	6%	54	-2.0	221/265/374	153	296	17	8	30%	5%	78	-0.3	268/358/500	232	311	32	0	24%	12%	142	+4.6
✕Alexander Simon 2014 · A	21	44→53	36→40	49→50	43	205/258/273	68	284	2	12	28%	6%	51	-2.3	222/252/299	77	319	4	7	30%	4%	54	-2.0	226/250/303	77	321	5	6	30%	3%	51	-1.6
●Evan Gattis 2011 · A	24	44→47	39→70	47→30	35	214/258/293	79	284	7	3	27%	3%	56	-1.9	251/297/463	212	278	27	3	21%	4%	111	+2.1	247/295/481	233	269	34	1	23%	5%	115	+2.1
✕Francisco Rodriguez 2015 · A	20	40	36→40	45→50	48	184/276/257	73	265	2	9	29%	9%	56	-1.9	174/264/260	86	262	7	7	33%	9%	53	-2.1	146/249/239	93	205	10	6	31%	10%	41	-1.0
✕Freddvil Chevez 2021 · A	21	42	38→30	46→30	41	202/253/279	76	244	6	3	20%	4%	51	-2.3	201/249/284	83	281	7	4	30%	5%	50	-2.3	173/217/244	72	243	7	0	31%	4%	29	-0.8
✕Eddie Lora 2009 · A	20	35	38→30	43→40	49	168/270/240	72	271	6	4	36%	12%	51	-2.3	177/246/268	91	320	7	4	43%	8%	47	-2.6	136/180/250	113	233	11	0	45%	5%	14	-0.9
✕Luis Grullon 2008 · A	20	37	39→30	45→40	41	172/273/255	83	288	6	5	38%	8%	55	-1.9	179/242/251	72	325	4	4	43%	5%	41	-3.0	148/192/204	56	288	3	0	47%	4%	9	-1.0

Braden Holcomb

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps