Ben Peterson

P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 217 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	MIX2 levels	40	0	51	4.26	3.34	22.6%	7.4%	—	K 17.1% · BB 8.6% · FIP 4.11
2026	24	MIX3 levels	27	1	35	3.63	3.88	35.5%	12.5%	—	K 28.3% · BB 14.2% · FIP 5.17
2027PROJ	25	MLBSF	22	0	23	4.66	4.66	24.2%	11.3%	-0.0
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBSF	19	0	20	4.62	4.61	24.3%	11.1%	-0.0
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBSF	27	0	28	4.61	4.62	24.3%	11.0%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsGrant Balfour (age 25) · Michael Wuertz (age 25) · Shawn Tolleson (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 105

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

K%24.2%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%12.9%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	51	230	52	17	5	0%	1.3	17.1%	8.6%	8.5%	2.5%	4.26	4.11	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	51	230	52	17	5	0%	1.3	17.1%	8.6%	8.5%	2.5%	4.26	4.11	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	51	230	52	17	5	0%	1.3	22.6%	7.4%	15.2%	2.2%	4.26	3.34	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	1	35	152	54	19	6	4%	1.3	28.3%	14.2%	14.1%	4.9%	3.63	5.17	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	1	35	152	54	19	6	4%	1.3	28.3%	14.2%	14.1%	4.9%	3.63	5.17	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	1	35	152	54	19	6	4%	1.3	35.5%	12.5%	23.0%	3.9%	3.63	3.88	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	SF	22	0	23	97	24	11	3	0%	1.0	24.2%	11.3%	12.9%	3.3%	4.66	4.66	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SF	43	0	46	193	47	21	6	0%	1.1	24.3%	11.1%	13.3%	3.2%	4.62	4.61	-0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	SF	43	0	45	190	46	21	6	0%	1.0	24.3%	11.0%	13.2%	3.3%	4.61	4.62	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	SF	19	0	20	84	21	9	3	0%	1.1	24.3%	11.1%	13.3%	3.2%	4.62	4.61	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	SF	27	0	28	118	29	13	4	0%	1.0	24.3%	11.0%	13.2%	3.3%	4.61	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		46	0	48	205	50	23	7	0%	1.1	24.3%	11.0%	13.3%	3.3%	4.61	4.24	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	206	95	29	0%	1.1	24.3%	11.0%	13.3%	3.3%	4.61	4.24	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		67	1	85	382	82	41	13	1%	1.3	21.5%	10.8%	10.7%	3.4%	4.01	4.54	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		157	2	200	895	193	97	31	1%	1.3	21.5%	10.8%	10.7%	3.4%	4.01	4.54	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Peterson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	24.2%	11.3%	3.3%	—	4.61	24.3%	13.3%	90	-0.05	—	—	—
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	91
Michael Wuertz R 2004 · 4.46 FIP	25	SU	4.46	24.2%	12.9%	3.2%	.243	3.39	26.1%	16.6%	189	-1.07	2.27	414	89
Shawn Tolleson R 2012 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	24.4%	11.9%	2.4%	.265	3.47	24.4%	18.5%	144	-0.39	3.05	218	89
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	88
Brad Boxberger R 2013 · 4.40 FIP	25	SU	4.40	25.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.296	3.54	32.3%	22.2%	152	-0.86	2.63	478	88
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	88
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	87
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.56	20.2%	4.0%	131	+0.72	3.70	201	87
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	87
Scott Dohmann R 2004 · 4.44 FIP	26	SU	4.44	24.7%	9.6%	4.0%	.270	4.80	20.6%	8.5%	112	+0.36	4.28	173	87
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	87
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	86
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	86
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	85
Fernando Salas R 2010 · 4.27 FIP	25	SU	4.27	21.8%	9.8%	3.2%	.276	3.29	23.5%	16.8%	162	-0.98	2.60	539	85
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	85
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.35	22.4%	13.7%	185	+0.62	3.73	223	85
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	84
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	84
Logan Boyer R 2024 · 3.71 FIP	26	SU	3.71	25.0%	12.3%	2.1%	.267	4.65	17.5%	3.5%	54	+0.94	3.71	121	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	38	24.3%	11.1%	1.26	4.62
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
J.J. Hoover ('18)	1.4	57	23.8%	11.4%	1.42	4.17
José Ruiz ('25)	1.4	57	22.3%	10.4%	1.44	4.62
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*