Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| YTD | 23 | A | CIN | — | 158 | 129 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 81 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 124 | 271 | 240 | 511 | 116 | 298 | 51 | 12 | 234 | 37 | -11 | -1 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.5 |
| YTD | 23 | A | CIN | — | 158 | 122 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 57 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 172 | 348 | 336 | 684 | 164 | 286 | 36 | 16 | 316 | 100 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | A | CIN | 0% | 162 | 142 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 64 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 273 | 296 | 569 | 120 | 290 | 40 | 9 | 260 | 57 | -8 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CIN | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 292 | — | — | 244 | 45 | — | — | +0 | +0 | — | — | |||
| FULL | 23 | A | CIN | — | 158 | 130 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 81 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 123 | 271 | 238 | 509 | 115 | 292 | 51 | 12 | 234 | 37 | -11 | -1 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.5 |
| TOT | 23 | A | CIN | — | 320 | 271 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 145 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 151 | 272 | 269 | 542 | 118 | 293 | 45 | 11 | 247 | 48 | -19 | -1 | +0 | +6 | +9 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CIN | 30% | 432 | 379 | 69 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 40 | 162 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 182 | 277 | 306 | 583 | 124 | 288 | 38 | 9 | 267 | 63 | -18 | -0 | +0 | +8 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 44% | 509 | 446 | 83 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 47 | 185 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 186 | 280 | 312 | 591 | 126 | 289 | 36 | 9 | 273 | 67 | -19 | -0 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 51% | 520 | 456 | 88 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 48 | 186 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 193 | 285 | 325 | 610 | 132 | 289 | 36 | 9 | 277 | 70 | -18 | -0 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 52% | 520 | 455 | 88 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 184 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 193 | 287 | 325 | 613 | 132 | 289 | 35 | 9 | 278 | 71 | -17 | -0 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 53% | 520 | 455 | 87 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 185 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 191 | 285 | 321 | 606 | 130 | 288 | 36 | 9 | 277 | 70 | -17 | -0 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 53% | 520 | 454 | 86 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 186 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 189 | 285 | 319 | 605 | 130 | 287 | 36 | 10 | 275 | 69 | -18 | -0 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 52% | 520 | 454 | 85 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 50 | 187 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 187 | 283 | 311 | 594 | 123 | 285 | 36 | 10 | 272 | 67 | -20 | -0 | -2 | +9 | +15 | 0.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CIN | 30% | 130 | 114 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 184 | 279 | 298 | 577 | 114 | 291 | 38 | 9 | 253 | 52 | -7 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 44% | 225 | 197 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 82 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 188 | 283 | 320 | 602 | 132 | 292 | 36 | 9 | 260 | 57 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 51% | 264 | 231 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 94 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 195 | 290 | 329 | 619 | 134 | 292 | 36 | 9 | 264 | 60 | -12 | -0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 52% | 273 | 239 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 97 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 197 | 292 | 335 | 626 | 138 | 292 | 36 | 10 | 265 | 61 | -12 | -0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 53% | 277 | 243 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 99 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 193 | 287 | 329 | 616 | 136 | 291 | 36 | 9 | 264 | 60 | -12 | -0 | -0 | +5 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 53% | 273 | 239 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 98 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 288 | 322 | 610 | 130 | 290 | 36 | 10 | 262 | 59 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 52% | 271 | 237 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 98 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 190 | 286 | 321 | 607 | 131 | 288 | 36 | 10 | 259 | 57 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | — | 1713 | 1501 | 288 | 69 | 9 | 37 | 162 | 617 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 192 | 287 | 324 | 611 | 132 | 294 | 36 | 9 | 262 | 58 | -80 | -1 | -2 | +31 | +49 | -0.5 | ||
| / 162G | — | — | 650 | 570 | 109 | 26 | 3 | 14 | 61 | 234 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 191 | 285 | 321 | 606 | 130 | 292 | 36 | 9 | 262 | 58 | -30 | -1 | -1 | +12 | +18 | -0.2 | ||
| Career | — | — | 3703 | 3241 | 611 | 145 | 22 | 75 | 348 | 1339 | 80 | 33 | 22 | 189 | 283 | 316 | 599 | 128 | 290 | 36 | 9 | 274 | 68 | -135 | -2 | -4 | +66 | +105 | 3.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | — | 650 | 569 | 107 | 25 | 4 | 13 | 61 | 235 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 188 | 283 | 315 | 597 | 127 | 289 | 36 | 9 | 274 | 68 | -24 | -0 | -1 | +12 | +18 | 0.5 | ||
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).
| PLAYER · career totals + /162 games | YRS | PA | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | POS | FLD | WAR | JAWS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA | 11 | 4,009 | 134 | 6 | 234 | 301 | 398 | +72 | +7 | 16.9 | 15.7 |
| /162 | 664 | 22 | 1 | +11.9 | +1.2 | 2.8 | pk7: 14 | ||||
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA | 7 | 2,832 | 62 | 34 | 238 | 305 | 374 | +28 | +33 | 11.6 | 11.6 |
| /162 | 664 | 15 | 8 | +6.7 | +7.7 | 2.7 | pk7: 12 | ||||
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA | 8 | 3,267 | 98 | 64 | 221 | 297 | 378 | +16 | +36 | 11.0 | 11.4 |
| /162 | 664 | 20 | 13 | +3.2 | +7.3 | 2.2 | pk7: 12 | ||||
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA | 7 | 2,830 | 45 | 2 | 244 | 301 | 351 | +21 | +31 | 7.2 | 7.2 |
| /162 | 664 | 11 | 0 | +4.9 | +7.2 | 1.7 | pk7: 7 | ||||
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA | 9 | 1,648 | 31 | 1 | 209 | 276 | 313 | +29 | +56 | 6.4 | 6.7 |
| /162 | 664 | 12 | 0 | +11.9 | +22.4 | 2.6 | pk7: 7 | ||||
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA | 5 | 1,650 | 78 | 2 | 213 | 260 | 414 | +29 | -4 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| /162 | 664 | 31 | 1 | +11.9 | -1.7 | 1.7 | pk7: 4 | ||||
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons | 4 | 2,032 | 41 | 19 | 191 | 280 | 318 | +36 | +16 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| /162 | 664 | 13 | 6 | +11.9 | +5.2 | 0.6 | pk7: 2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Henry Hunter (OGILVIE) | 23 | — | — | — | — | 151/272/269 | 118 | 293 | 5 | 1 | 45% | 11% | 48 | -0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A |
23 | 36→43 | 44→50 | 52→40 | 42 | 187/249/306 | 120 | 252 | 12 | 7 | 30% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | 207/278/346 | 139 | 286 | 15 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | 222/289/402 | 180 | 281 | 22 | 1 | 28% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Sean Coughlin 2008 · A |
23 | 40→37 | 41→50 | 43→30 | 41 | 194/262/294 | 99 | 288 | 9 | 3 | 34% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | 213/283/342 | 129 | 261 | 14 | 2 | 23% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | 209/281/339 | 130 | 248 | 15 | 1 | 22% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A |
22 | 39→42 | 46→55 | 45 | 43 | 196/268/326 | 129 | 288 | 14 | 8 | 35% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | 209/275/354 | 145 | 294 | 16 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | 208/287/373 | 164 | 275 | 21 | 5 | 31% | 9% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A |
23 | 41→40 | 43→50 | 50→45 | 46 | 204/274/320 | 117 | 274 | 10 | 7 | 28% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | 211/268/334 | 123 | 297 | 13 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | 195/247/325 | 130 | 268 | 17 | 1 | 33% | 6% | 52 | -0.7 |
|
✕Bryan Holaday 2011 · A |
23 | 41 | 44→45 | 47→40 | 42 | 201/283/317 | 116 | 296 | 12 | 5 | 34% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | 206/259/296 | 90 | 269 | 8 | 6 | 25% | 5% | 51 | -1.7 | 223/289/353 | 130 | 256 | 14 | 2 | 19% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A |
23 | 40 | 44→55 | 46→45 | 37 | 202/247/323 | 121 | 282 | 12 | 7 | 32% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | 194/256/297 | 103 | 298 | 10 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | 163/228/254 | 91 | 247 | 10 | 10 | 36% | 8% | 25 | -0.9 |
|
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A |
23 | 41→39 | 42→50 | 44→55 | 44 | 196/272/305 | 109 | 295 | 9 | 6 | 34% | 9% | 60 | -1.0 | 191/297/306 | 115 | 253 | 10 | 15 | 26% | 13% | 72 | -0.2 | 226/317/363 | 137 | 277 | 12 | 28 | 21% | 11% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A |
23 | 34 | 41→50 | 42→40 | 41 | 176/240/273 | 97 | 255 | 9 | 4 | 33% | 7% | 38 | -2.6 | 207/260/304 | 97 | 277 | 8 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | 221/281/340 | 119 | 284 | 13 | 0 | 26% | 7% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A |
23 | 35→40 | 45→55 | 45→50 | 43 | 180/260/303 | 123 | 268 | 12 | 7 | 36% | 9% | 55 | -1.4 | 206/284/377 | 171 | 294 | 20 | 9 | 35% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | 195/265/371 | 176 | 262 | 22 | 12 | 34% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Carlos Soto 2022 · A |
23 | 40 | 46→50 | 45→30 | 47 | 200/276/328 | 128 | 267 | 13 | 3 | 29% | 9% | 68 | -0.5 | 198/272/313 | 115 | 288 | 10 | 5 | 32% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | 146/236/243 | 98 | 222 | 7 | 0 | 35% | 10% | 29 | -1.0 |
|
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A |
23 | 37 | 40→50 | 47→45 | 41 | 183/247/269 | 86 | 275 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 8% | 40 | -2.4 | 197/245/284 | 87 | 262 | 8 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | 183/224/259 | 76 | 232 | 7 | 4 | 24% | 5% | 25 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A |
23 | 39→35 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 45 | 196/278/309 | 113 | 276 | 13 | 10 | 32% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | 190/263/303 | 113 | 285 | 10 | 13 | 34% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | 175/248/290 | 115 | 270 | 9 | 16 | 36% | 8% | 43 | -1.1 |
|
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A |
23 | 39 | 45→55 | 47→45 | 45 | 200/277/324 | 124 | 256 | 13 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | 216/273/378 | 162 | 292 | 20 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | 212/264/396 | 184 | 278 | 26 | 0 | 33% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Patrick Winkel 2023 · A |
23 | 44 | 43→45 | 48→40 | 41 | 208/273/320 | 112 | 324 | 11 | 5 | 37% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | 210/269/319 | 109 | 315 | 11 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | 200/258/305 | 105 | 298 | 11 | 2 | 35% | 7% | 50 | -0.8 |
|
✕Mark Fleury 2011 · A |
23 | 39 | 46→45 | 48→45 | 41 | 202/258/331 | 130 | 269 | 13 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | 203/275/301 | 98 | 305 | 7 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | 189/278/266 | 77 | 293 | 4 | 6 | 33% | 10% | 51 | -0.6 |
|
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A |
24 | 37 | 44→50 | 45→30 | 40 | 186/252/307 | 121 | 288 | 11 | 6 | 38% | 8% | 52 | -1.6 | 203/274/338 | 135 | 336 | 14 | 3 | 40% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | 193/269/328 | 135 | 322 | 14 | 1 | 41% | 9% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A |
23 | 42→40 | 44→50 | 46→30 | 45 | 208/280/323 | 115 | 292 | 11 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | 218/291/365 | 147 | 292 | 17 | 3 | 30% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | 217/295/377 | 160 | 283 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 9% | 86 | +0.4 |
|
✕Steven Lerud 2008 · A |
23 | 37→41 | 42→45 | 43→40 | 37 | 185/249/288 | 103 | 277 | 9 | 4 | 35% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | 206/271/312 | 106 | 282 | 10 | 4 | 29% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | 199/291/280 | 82 | 290 | 7 | 2 | 31% | 9% | 60 | -0.3 |
|
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A |
22 | 41→40 | 44→55 | 49→50 | 45 | 201/281/320 | 119 | 294 | 11 | 8 | 33% | 9% | 68 | -0.5 | 192/266/342 | 150 | 282 | 16 | 11 | 36% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | 213/286/393 | 179 | 309 | 20 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Raul Beracierta 2022 · A |
23 | 42 | 45→50 | 50 | 38 | 204/261/333 | 129 | 310 | 11 | 8 | 36% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | 221/267/351 | 130 | 335 | 15 | 5 | 37% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | 222/262/357 | 135 | 329 | 19 | 1 | 37% | 4% | 65 | -0.4 |