Jose CedenoC ACL Guardians
Age 21 L/R 5'7" / 140 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj PA
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .269 / .280
PA59
HR1
K%30
BB%7
ISO80
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.20.50.70.70.70.60.50.3+$30M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.6$1M+$1.0M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2035Arb-1$0.4M+0.3$0.6M+$0.5M
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $5M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL CLE Blue — 159134 35711 16267 00 261369351720 90312 1610 318 102 — — — — — —
202217 ROKDSL CLE Blue — 159123 39811 27177 00 317465423888 106355 1117 404 167 — — — — — —
202318 ROKACL Guardians — 3230 5010 1101 00 167219233452 67250 313 198 10 — — — — — —
202318 ROKACL Guardians — 3229 7010 271 00 241312310623 69318 226 287 78 — — — — — —
202419 ROKACL Guardians — 10289 14101 7355 00 157257202460 45241 347 230 34 — — — — — —
202419 ROKACL Guardians — 10284 19202 12245 00 226356321678 95288 2412 317 101 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBCLE — 5954 10101 4181 10 185254259513 74288 317 254 52 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBCLE 34% 115104 22312 8342 10 212281317598 106289 307 264 60 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
202823 MLBCLE 48% 251227 48724 18724 21 211281313594 101291 297 272 66 -10 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.2
202924 MLBCLE 53% 349315 671026 25996 31 213283314598 102292 287 277 70 -12 +0 +0 +6 +10 0.5
203025 MLBCLE 55% 410370 811238 301167 41 219290332622 114292 287 279 72 -13 +0 +0 +7 +12 0.7
203126 MLBCLE 56% 448405 881339 331267 41 217288331619 114292 287 280 73 -14 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.7
203227 MLBCLE 55% 466421 921439 351327 42 219289330620 112292 288 281 73 -14 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.7
203328 MLBCLE 55% 474427 931439 361358 42 218291328619 110291 288 279 72 -15 +0 -1 +8 +13 0.6
203429 MLBCLE 58% 472426 911339 361357 41 214286322607 108290 298 278 71 -16 +0 -1 +8 +13 0.5
203530 MLBCLE 60% 466420 891338 361347 31 212285314599 102289 298 275 68 -17 +0 -2 +8 +13 0.3
202722 MLBCLE 34% 4036 8101 3121 00 222300333633 111290 308 252 51 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202823 MLBCLE 48% 122110 23312 9352 10 209281309590 100291 297 260 57 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
202924 MLBCLE 53% 184166 35513 13523 21 211280307587 96292 287 265 61 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
203025 MLBCLE 55% 224202 45724 16634 21 223293337629 114293 287 268 63 -9 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
203126 MLBCLE 56% 249225 49725 18704 21 218287333621 116292 287 269 64 -10 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.1
203227 MLBCLE 55% 256231 50725 19724 21 216287329616 113292 287 269 64 -10 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.1
203328 MLBCLE 55% 259233 51725 20744 21 219292330622 112292 298 268 63 -11 +0 -0 +5 +7 0.1
203429 MLBCLE 58% 273246 53825 21784 21 215288325613 110291 298 266 62 -12 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.0
203530 MLBCLE 60% 280253 54825 21814 21 213284320604 107289 298 263 60 -13 +0 -1 +5 +8 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 18871702 368531435 14053730 157 216287325613 109293 287 266 62 -81 +0 -2 +34 +53 0.4
/ 162G— — 650586 12718512 4818510 52 217287326613 109293 287 266 62 -28 +0 -1 +12 +18 0.1
Career— — 38033422 7351082567 285107269 3010 215288320608 105290 287 277 70 -129 +2 -4 +68 +108 4.6
/ 162G— — 650585 12418411 4918312 52 212286313599 101287 288 277 70 -22 +0 -1 +12 +18 0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL CLE Blue — 159123 39811 27177 00 317465423888 106355 1117 404 167 +12 +0 — — +5 1.7
202318 ROKACL Guardians — 3229 7010 271 00 241312310623 69318 226 287 78 -1 +0 — — +1 0.0
202419 ROKACL Guardians — 10284 19202 12245 00 226356321678 95288 2412 317 101 +0 +0 — — +3 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#5Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
61,9473616217285325+35+242.42.4
/162664125+11.9+8.20.8pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jose Cedeno (OGILVIE) 21 — — — — 201/269/280 79288 11 30% 7% 52 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Rubel Cespedes
2022 · A 		21 34→44 39→45 49→40 36 170/224/255 86263 76 37% 6% 26 -3.4 215/264/318 103309 94 32% 6% 59 -1.1 218/267/32210430210330%6%59-0.8
✕Leandro Pineda
2023 · A 		21 36→39 39→45 47→45 42 172/250/266 95272 56 36% 8% 41 -2.3 201/268/322 121279 126 31% 7% 63 -0.9 202/271/32212026112626%7%62-0.5
✕Luis Valenzuela
2015 · A 		21 41 37→45 55→45 39 197/236/272 76265 47 27% 5% 34 -2.8 241/267/333 92304 57 22% 3% 63 -0.9 257/280/3581003165720%2%71-0.1
✕Raynel Delgado
2022 · A 		22 37→47 39→40 47→60 37 183/237/265 83279 713 36% 6% 34 -2.8 212/279/307 95299 818 30% 7% 63 -0.8 242/304/3369433383228%7%76+0.1
✕Argenis Aldazoro
2014 · A 		21 36 40→55 47→50 37 182/225/273 91248 77 29% 4% 30 -3.1 210/243/318 108279 108 28% 4% 50 -1.8 218/245/34112327912927%4%53-0.5
✕Travis Swaggerty
2019 · A 		21 39→44 41→45 50→55 39 190/249/286 95278 87 33% 6% 45 -2.1 210/274/308 98300 915 31% 8% 61 -1.0 203/269/30310029781932%8%54-0.9
✕Vicmal De La Cruz
2014 · A 		20 39 38→40 47→50 39 189/242/268 78269 65 31% 6% 37 -2.7 186/245/258 72280 36 32% 6% 36 -2.7 147/214/205582250632%6%7-1.5
✕Francisco Santana
2008 · A 		20 37 38→50 52→55 39 182/227/269 87246 57 28% 5% 30 -3.1 203/247/310 107265 812 26% 5% 50 -1.8 192/231/30811624891426%5%40-0.9
✕Jorge Quiterio
2015 · A 		20 36 40→45 46→45 39 183/234/269 86255 88 31% 5% 33 -2.9 194/235/279 85299 69 35% 5% 36 -2.7 177/200/2598327361237%2%14-1.1
✕Shane Mardirosian
2017 · A 		21 40→39 36→40 46→45 39 194/238/261 67262 39 26% 4% 33 -2.9 201/254/280 79291 68 31% 6% 45 -2.1 196/265/280833017735%7%50-0.6
✕Isan Díaz
2015 · A 		19 34→42 39→55 47→45 39 169/233/258 89267 68 37% 7% 31 -3.0 206/271/341 135300 138 33% 8% 69 -0.4 208/287/37316427521531%9%79+0.2
✕Je'Von Ward
2021 · A 		21 42→35 36→45 47→50 43 196/259/266 70298 48 34% 8% 43 -2.2 198/247/286 88325 710 39% 6% 43 -2.2 189/272/31612728915837%10%63-0.4
✕Emilio King
2011 · A 		21 37 36→45 45→40 37 178/245/248 70273 36 34% 5% 34 -2.8 215/257/310 95317 74 33% 4% 54 -1.4 252/282/37111934011328%2%76+0.0
✕Miguel Rodriguez
2007 · A 		20 35 37→45 48→45 34 175/223/246 71263 56 34% 4% 23 -3.6 209/264/290 81278 55 25% 5% 52 -1.6 217/275/301852804323%5%58-0.5
✕Aaron Bracho
2023 · A 		22 30→37 41→50 44→40 38 156/224/248 92251 94 40% 7% 25 -3.5 196/259/332 136263 175 31% 7% 62 -0.9 193/255/33714424419429%7%59-0.6
✕Jacob Pearson
2019 · A 		21 38→39 39→40 45→50 40 188/239/268 81267 68 31% 6% 36 -2.7 192/246/285 93267 811 29% 7% 43 -2.2 173/239/278105242101932%7%37-1.0
✕Josh Sale
2012 · A 		21 37 40→45 46→40 43 186/236/281 95239 76 25% 6% 37 -2.6 204/274/310 106303 96 33% 9% 62 -0.9 192/271/30811630412438%9%60-0.5
✕J.C. Millan
2018 · A 		22 40 37→45 45→30 36 194/235/268 74277 48 31% 4% 33 -2.9 221/267/321 100274 96 22% 6% 61 -1.0 227/273/32710126611419%6%61-0.4
✕Trey Cabbage
2018 · A 		21 38→43 39→60 41→55 36 176/237/257 81313 74 43% 7% 32 -3.0 178/228/281 103326 95 45% 5% 34 -2.8 214/276/412198342272243%7%87+0.5
✕Tucker Neuhaus
2016 · A 		21 40→43 36→45 45 39 194/240/261 67282 45 31% 6% 33 -2.9 198/241/298 100303 85 35% 5% 43 -2.2 166/208/28511927411542%4%25-2.0