Angel Mata

C Clearwater Threshers

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ROKPHI	162	.204/.294/.296	1	0	15	—	.150/.219/.218
2026	21	A+PHI	33	.207/.303/.241	0	0	9	—	.161/.212/.194
2026	21	APHI	131	.202/.295/.237	0	0	29	—	.179/.256/.205
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBPHI	274	.194/.254/.266	2	3	48	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBPHI	78	.200/.261/.284	1	1	53	-0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBPHI	151	.204/.266/.297	2	2	58	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

K%76

Whiff%54

Z-Con%52

Chase%37

BB%29

Max EV26

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsGerardo Bustamante (age 22) · Matt Kennelly (age 22) · Rudy van Heydoorn (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 154 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .252 / .264

PA154

HR1

K%27

BB%6

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	85	75	19	3	0	1	8	8	1	1	0	253	333	333	667	80	269	9	9	304	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	169	141	39	10	1	0	22	23	3	3	4	277	383	362	745	85	325	14	13	339	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	162	142	29	10	0	1	15	33	3	0	0	204	294	296	590	92	257	20	9	271	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	33	29	6	1	0	0	4	12	0	0	0	207	303	241	544	34	353	36	12	261	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	131	114	23	4	0	0	11	25	4	0	0	202	295	237	531	35	256	19	8	251	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	85	77	14	2	0	1	6	10	1	1	0	182	250	247	497	65	189	12	7	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	169	149	29	7	1	0	15	29	3	3	4	195	281	255	536	60	226	17	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	162	147	22	7	0	1	10	47	3	0	0	150	219	218	436	68	202	29	6	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	33	31	5	1	0	0	2	16	0	0	0	161	212	194	406	32	310	48	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	131	117	21	3	0	0	8	34	4	0	0	179	256	205	461	26	242	26	6	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	85	77	14	2	0	1	6	10	1	1	0	182	250	247	497	65	194	12	7	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	85	75	19	3	0	1	8	8	1	1	0	253	333	333	667	80	269	9	9	304	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	169	149	29	7	1	0	15	29	3	3	4	195	281	255	536	60	238	17	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	169	141	39	10	1	0	22	23	3	3	4	277	383	362	745	85	325	14	13	339	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	162	147	22	7	0	1	10	47	3	0	0	150	219	218	436	68	210	29	6	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	162	142	29	10	0	1	15	33	3	0	0	204	294	296	590	92	257	20	9	271	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	164	148	26	4	0	0	10	50	4	0	0	176	247	203	450	27	263	30	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	164	143	29	5	0	0	15	37	4	0	0	203	296	238	534	35	271	23	9	253	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	85	78	14	2	0	1	6	10	1	1	0	179	250	244	494	64	189	12	7	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	169	149	29	7	1	0	15	29	3	3	4	195	281	255	536	60	226	17	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	162	148	22	7	0	1	10	47	3	0	0	149	219	216	435	68	202	29	6	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	164	149	26	4	0	0	10	50	4	0	0	174	247	201	448	27	256	30	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	162	148	22	7	0	1	10	47	3	0	0	149	219	216	435	68	202	29	6	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	164	149	26	4	0	0	10	50	4	0	0	174	247	201	448	27	256	30	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	274	252	48	9	1	2	17	75	3	3	1	194	254	266	521	72	265	27	6	238	48	-17	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	228	208	41	8	1	2	15	61	3	3	1	199	260	282	542	82	267	27	7	247	53	-13	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	PHI	46%	328	300	62	12	2	4	21	87	4	4	1	203	265	294	559	91	269	27	6	254	58	-16	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	386	353	72	14	2	5	26	101	4	5	1	206	269	303	572	97	270	26	7	259	62	-18	+1	+0	+7	+8	-0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	424	387	81	15	2	7	29	111	5	5	2	208	272	310	582	102	271	26	7	263	64	-18	+0	+0	+8	+9	-0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	441	403	84	16	2	7	30	115	5	5	2	209	273	312	585	103	272	26	7	265	65	-18	+0	+0	+8	+10	-0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	447	408	84	16	2	7	31	117	5	4	1	207	271	308	579	100	271	26	7	262	64	-19	+0	-1	+8	+10	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	78	72	14	3	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	200	261	284	544	84	267	27	6	248	53	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	PHI	46%	151	138	28	5	1	2	10	40	2	2	1	204	266	297	563	93	269	26	7	256	58	-8	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	199	182	38	7	1	3	13	52	2	2	1	207	270	307	576	99	271	26	7	261	62	-9	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	230	209	44	8	1	4	16	60	3	3	1	209	273	314	586	104	271	26	7	265	64	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	239	218	45	8	1	4	16	62	3	3	1	210	274	316	590	106	272	26	7	267	65	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	243	221	47	9	1	4	17	64	3	2	1	208	272	311	583	103	271	26	7	264	64	-11	+0	-0	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1140	1040	216	40	5	18	77	299	14	13	5	208	271	308	579	100	272	26	7	262	55	-51	+1	-0	+20	+25	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	123	23	3	10	44	170	8	7	3	207	271	307	578	99	272	26	7	262	55	-29	+0	-0	+12	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2988	2721	542	106	13	35	203	770	39	32	13	199	265	286	551	87	262	26	7	249	55	-112	+2	-1	+43	+52	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	118	23	3	8	44	168	8	7	3	199	264	289	553	90	262	26	7	249	55	-30	+1	-0	+12	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#4Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#5Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,295	18	15	206	266	301	+23	+16	0.1	0.2
/162	664	9	7	+11.9	+8.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Mata (OGILVIE)	22	30	25	35	35	192/252/264	72	265	1	2	27%	6%	48	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2008 · A	22	38	39→40	42→50	40	189/236/271	83	258	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	198/259/276	78	270	5	5	27%	7%	53	-2.1	219/256/297	79	272	10	12	23%	4%	52	-0.7
✕Matt Kennelly 2011 · A	22	42	40	34→40	41	209/253/296	87	273	8	3	26%	6%	54	-2.0	223/278/305	82	285	6	4	22%	6%	66	-1.1	232/288/295	62	293	2	2	20%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	31	39→40	40→50	43	157/245/233	76	238	7	8	35%	8%	39	-3.1	186/267/280	94	282	8	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	172/284/270	98	232	9	2	27%	12%	64	-0.5
✕David Rodríguez 2018 · A	22	41→44	37→40	40	41	199/257/271	72	272	5	3	28%	6%	51	-2.3	216/269/317	101	292	8	5	28%	6%	65	-1.2	203/261/320	118	275	14	4	30%	7%	61	-0.5
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→40	45→30	36	195/236/271	76	279	4	8	31%	4%	42	-2.9	220/267/316	96	272	9	6	22%	6%	64	-1.3	226/273/320	94	265	9	4	18%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Chuck Moorman 2017 · A	23	37	37→40	39→30	36	184/216/254	69	253	4	4	29%	4%	30	-3.8	195/239/282	87	280	7	3	31%	5%	46	-2.6	186/232/268	82	270	7	0	32%	5%	37	-1.5
✕Kyle Overstreet 2016 · A	22	40→45	37→40	42→30	44	190/254/259	69	264	4	4	28%	7%	47	-2.6	223/279/316	93	282	8	3	22%	7%	69	-0.9	224/268/313	89	272	9	1	21%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Devin Lohman 2011 · A	22	40→46	36→40	40→50	42	190/247/255	65	256	3	4	26%	6%	42	-2.9	213/272/303	90	273	8	13	24%	6%	63	-1.3	210/270/300	90	262	8	16	22%	6%	60	-1.3
✕David Masters 2016 · A	23	38→37	35→45	38→40	43	184/244/241	57	248	3	5	26%	6%	39	-3.1	180/242/261	81	245	8	3	28%	7%	43	-2.8	187/256/313	125	256	16	1	32%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	34	36→40	41→50	50	164/251/229	65	218	4	7	25%	9%	40	-3.0	171/250/245	74	225	5	10	24%	8%	43	-2.8	151/236/222	71	188	5	13	21%	9%	31	-1.3
✕David Narodowski 2011 · A	22	37	39→40	42→45	47	184/261/266	82	248	8	7	28%	8%	52	-2.2	202/262/288	86	282	6	8	29%	7%	57	-1.8	189/242/263	74	261	4	7	28%	7%	40	-0.7
✕Brian Serven 2017 · A	22	38	37→50	39→30	40	186/225/255	70	239	4	4	24%	4%	34	-3.5	200/255/299	99	259	8	4	25%	5%	57	-1.8	212/290/326	114	302	11	1	31%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Erick Castillo 2015 · A	22	42	37→30	41→30	45	198/248/269	71	235	4	4	17%	5%	47	-2.6	199/240/252	53	255	2	3	22%	4%	38	-3.2	188/246/227	39	232	3	0	20%	4%	34	-0.9
✕Narbe Cruz 2023 · A	22	40	38→45	44→45	40	194/247/270	77	262	5	7	27%	5%	47	-2.6	210/262/301	91	296	8	6	30%	5%	59	-1.6	208/262/300	93	295	9	6	31%	5%	55	-1.0
✕Gilbert Gomez 2014 · A	22	44→39	36→40	40→50	44	202/273/268	66	310	3	7	34%	8%	56	-1.9	184/265/264	80	287	4	8	34%	10%	53	-2.1	159/251/242	83	245	4	8	33%	11%	41	-1.4
✕Edgar Garzon 2009 · A	22	44	37→40	41→40	42	208/269/280	72	284	4	4	27%	6%	57	-1.8	236/279/332	96	300	7	3	23%	5%	72	-0.7	263/295/376	113	314	10	0	19%	3%	85	+0.1
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2016 · A	22	43	36→30	41→45	34	206/238/268	63	296	3	7	31%	3%	42	-2.9	207/252/271	64	299	4	7	30%	5%	48	-2.5	212/260/277	64	301	3	7	29%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Gabriel Lino 2015 · A	22	39	40	36→30	36	190/244/280	90	301	8	3	38%	6%	48	-2.5	206/255/293	87	299	7	2	32%	5%	55	-2.0	206/255/293	86	293	6	0	30%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Eduardo Torrealba 2021 · A	22	44	36→30	43→50	40	210/265/276	66	292	4	6	28%	6%	55	-2.0	219/273/295	76	269	6	14	20%	6%	62	-1.4	210/266/272	62	255	5	17	19%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Dereck Salom 2023 · A	22	42	35→30	43→40	45	199/257/256	57	261	2	6	24%	6%	47	-2.6	196/277/252	56	263	3	5	24%	9%	55	-2.0	183/277/227	44	246	3	4	24%	11%	49	-1.4

Angel Mata

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps