Chandler Pollard

Chandler PollardOF Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 173 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION222 act + 148 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .252 / .252

PA148

HR1

SB9

K%35

BB%5

BABIP289

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	220	191	20	4	2	1	16	129	13	20	2	105	223	162	385	58	311	59	7	175	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	220	183	43	9	5	3	24	79	13	20	2	235	364	388	752	153	396	36	11	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	326	295	58	8	2	2	19	144	6	39	5	197	259	258	517	61	364	44	6	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	326	285	68	10	3	3	29	106	6	39	5	239	322	326	648	88	359	33	9	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	286	261	51	5	1	1	10	95	15	36	8	195	266	234	499	38	303	33	3	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	286	245	65	9	1	1	26	64	15	36	8	265	371	322	693	57	356	22	9	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	TEX	—	222	200	38	5	2	2	14	76	5	19	1	190	260	265	525	75	290	34	6	235	38	-16	+3	+0	-1	+6	-0.7
YTD	22	A+	TEX	—	222	193	45	7	2	3	21	57	5	19	1	233	324	337	661	104	311	26	9	300	88	-3	+3	+0	-1	+6	0.5
ROS	22	A+	TEX	0%	148	135	25	4	1	1	8	52	4	9	1	185	252	252	504	67	284	35	5	230	34	-11	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
ROS	22	MLB	TEX	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						286	0	0	211	20	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	TEX	—	223	201	38	5	2	2	14	76	5	19	1	189	259	264	523	75	288	34	6	235	38	-16	+3	+0	-1	+6	-0.7
TOT	22	A+	TEX	—	370	335	63	9	3	3	22	128	9	28	2	188	257	260	517	72	290	35	6	233	37	-27	+5	+0	-2	+10	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	TEX	35%	344	313	60	9	2	4	20	116	8	15	2	192	258	272	530	80	285	34	6	247	47	-21	+2	+0	-2	+10	-1.1
2028	24	MLB	TEX	46%	412	374	74	11	2	7	26	134	9	16	2	198	267	294	561	96	287	33	6	258	55	-21	+2	+0	-2	+12	-0.9
2029	25	MLB	TEX	52%	446	404	82	13	2	8	29	142	10	16	2	203	273	304	578	101	288	32	7	264	60	-20	+2	+0	-3	+13	-0.8
2030	26	MLB	TEX	54%	466	422	86	13	3	9	31	147	10	15	2	204	274	313	587	109	288	32	7	267	63	-20	+2	+0	-3	+13	-0.7
2031	27	MLB	TEX	54%	471	426	87	13	3	9	32	149	10	14	2	204	276	312	588	108	287	32	7	267	63	-20	+2	+0	-3	+13	-0.8
2027	23	MLB	TEX	35%	119	108	22	3	1	2	7	40	3	5	1	204	271	306	577	102	287	34	6	230	34	-9	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.6
2028	24	MLB	TEX	46%	190	172	34	5	1	3	12	62	4	7	1	198	266	291	557	93	289	33	6	242	44	-12	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
2029	25	MLB	TEX	52%	231	209	43	7	1	4	15	74	5	8	1	206	275	306	581	100	289	32	6	249	49	-13	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.7
2030	26	MLB	TEX	54%	253	228	46	7	1	5	17	80	6	8	1	202	275	307	582	105	289	32	7	252	51	-14	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.7
2031	27	MLB	TEX	54%	256	231	47	7	1	5	17	81	6	8	1	203	276	307	583	104	289	32	7	252	51	-14	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1050	949	192	29	5	19	68	337	24	36	5	202	273	303	576	101	289	32	6	247	47	-62	+5	+0	-6	+30	-3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	119	18	3	12	42	209	15	22	3	203	273	305	578	102	290	32	6	247	47	-39	+3	+0	-4	+18	-2.1
Career	—			—	3119	2821	543	80	18	42	191	1108	85	180	26	192	264	278	543	86	297	36	6	248	48	-184	+26	+0	-19	+88	-9.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	114	17	4	9	40	231	18	38	5	194	266	282	549	88	299	36	6	248	48	-38	+6	+0	-4	+18	-1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	220	183	43	9	5	3	24	79	13	20	2	235	364	388	752	153	396	36	11	344	121	+5	+3	—	—	+6	1.5
2024	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	326	285	68	10	3	3	29	106	6	39	5	239	322	326	648	88	359	33	9	293	83	-6	+6	—	—	+9	0.9
2025	21	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	236	207	54	7	1	1	16	53	13	28	7	261	352	319	671	58	346	22	7	314	99	-0	+3	—	—	+7	0.9
2025	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	50	38	11	2	0	0	10	11	2	8	1	289	460	342	802	53	407	22	20	383	151	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.7
	/162	664	4	56	245	312	332	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,050	19	37	203	270	306	-6	+0	-2.0	-1.0
	/162	664	12	23	203	270	306	-4.0	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chandler Pollard (OGILVIE)	22	40	20	60	25	188/257/260	72	290	3	28	35%	6%	37	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kenny Wilson 2012 · A	22	37→47	35→40	56→60	40	174/248/231	57	283	2	27	36%	7%	30	-3.1	205/269/282	77	294	5	28	30%	6%	53	-1.5	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Dionis Hinojosa 2013 · A	22	44	36→30	54→60	41	204/267/268	64	302	3	21	32%	6%	47	-1.9	203/255/272	69	284	4	12	28%	6%	43	-2.2	192/240/249	57	257	3	13	25%	5%	27	-0.8
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	184/272/253	69	286	2	24	33%	10%	47	-1.9	206/292/291	85	310	6	17	32%	9%	65	-0.7	198/299/263	65	296	5	23	31%	10%	59	-0.3
✕Johnni Turbo 2011 · A	22	45→48	37→40	55	35	213/251/291	78	315	4	17	33%	4%	45	-2.1	224/258/307	83	301	6	17	27%	4%	53	-1.5	240/277/304	64	298	3	18	20%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Daniel Carroll 2010 · A	21	43→44	35→45	55→60	35	195/257/257	62	314	3	26	36%	5%	41	-2.3	210/279/320	110	322	12	28	36%	7%	67	-0.5	211/283/332	120	323	14	33	36%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2023 · A	21	41	38→30	62→70	39	194/261/276	82	302	5	38	35%	7%	47	-1.9	201/252/267	66	276	3	38	27%	5%	40	-2.4	195/242/247	52	259	1	51	24%	5%	28	-1.5
✕Reggie Pruitt 2019 · A	22	37→44	36→30	56→60	36	175/239/241	66	293	4	26	39%	6%	30	-3.1	184/246/253	69	334	3	27	42%	7%	34	-2.8	166/231/226	60	317	2	32	45%	7%	19	-2.2
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→40	39→45	52→55	39	205/259/290	85	285	6	20	29%	5%	50	-1.8	206/268/333	127	294	13	23	33%	7%	66	-0.6	198/265/322	124	280	13	27	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Aaron Whitefield 2019 · A	22	39→47	39→40	54→60	38	192/245/272	80	286	7	24	34%	6%	39	-2.5	183/234/255	72	308	5	26	39%	6%	30	-3.1	209/268/310	101	317	9	38	35%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Bladimir Restituyo 2023 · A	22	43→44	37→40	54→55	32	207/230/279	72	294	5	21	31%	2%	33	-2.9	207/231/300	93	264	10	20	25%	3%	40	-2.4	197/221/284	88	246	10	22	25%	2%	29	-2.2
✕Felix Sanchez 2012 · A	22	39→36	34→30	58→60	35	182/236/232	50	297	2	28	37%	5%	24	-3.5	189/242/242	53	321	3	32	40%	5%	30	-3.1	175/226/209	34	311	2	44	42%	3%	13	-1.6
✕D.J. Burt 2018 · A	22	44→51	35→40	54→65	44	206/269/268	62	295	2	24	29%	7%	48	-1.9	210/266/290	80	300	6	26	30%	7%	53	-1.5	213/281/285	72	298	5	46	28%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Nick Hill 2017 · A	22	43	35→30	56→55	33	200/251/264	64	311	2	16	34%	4%	40	-2.4	198/263/265	67	351	2	17	41%	5%	45	-2.1	194/252/237	43	417	2	20	50%	4%	30	-1.1
✕Jon Matthews 2013 · A	22	37	36→40	56→60	38	178/236/244	66	265	3	23	32%	6%	28	-3.2	222/288/295	73	305	4	21	26%	7%	63	-0.8	233/305/297	64	314	3	21	24%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Delvi Cid 2012 · A	23	44→52	35→30	57→60	36	206/258/257	51	313	3	33	33%	5%	40	-2.4	205/257/296	91	316	8	28	36%	5%	50	-1.7	199/248/300	101	312	9	34	37%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40	38→45	58→60	36	190/243/268	78	298	5	24	36%	6%	37	-2.6	197/256/307	110	301	11	29	36%	7%	53	-1.5	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Eddy Diaz 2023 · A	23	45→53	36→30	56→65	38	211/265/278	67	296	4	32	28%	5%	49	-1.8	193/252/269	76	269	6	15	29%	6%	42	-2.3	131/201/175	43	180	4	2	28%	6%	-5	-1.8
✕Shane Sasaki 2022 · A	22	44→54	38→40	58→60	39	204/265/285	80	328	6	22	37%	7%	51	-1.7	232/295/336	104	351	9	27	34%	8%	77	+0.1	232/299/329	97	349	8	32	33%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Adam Hall 2022 · A	23	46→51	38→40	57→60	36	210/278/285	75	332	5	23	36%	6%	58	-1.2	214/288/278	64	339	3	22	35%	6%	60	-1.0	218/297/264	45	358	1	33	35%	6%	57	-0.5