Chandler Pollard

Chandler PollardOF Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 173 lbs A+ K +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .238 / .235

PA222

HR2

SB12

K%42

BB%5

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

20→20

SPD

60→60

EYE

39↘25

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.6peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-3M		$-26M	-$22M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$22M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	220	191	21	4	2	1	16	125	13	20	2	.110	.227	.168	.395	.058	.308	57	7	.182	-2	-25	+3	+0	-1	+6	-1.8
2024	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	326	295	55	7	2	2	19	148	6	39	5	.186	.250	.244	.494	.058	.353	45	6	.224	30	-26	+6	+0	-2	+9	-1.3
2025	21	A	2 teams	286	260	51	5	1	1	11	93	15	36	8	.196	.269	.235	.504	.038	.301	33	4	.231	35	-21	+4	+0	-2	+8	-1.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	47	44	10	1	1	1	3	17	0	4	0	.227	.277	.364	.640	.136	.346	36	6	.244	45	-3	+1	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
ROS	22	MLB	TEX	175	158	28	4	1	2	10	72	5	8	1	.177	.249	.253	.502	.076	.299	41	6	.228	33	-13	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
TOT	22	MLB	TEX	222	202	38	5	2	3	13	89	5	12	1	.188	.255	.277	.532	.089	.315	40	6	.232	36	-16	+2	+0	-1	+6	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 11%	TEX	279	252	47	7	2	4	18	99	7	11	2	.187	.260	.278	.538	.091	.285	35	6	.250	49	-16	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.9
2028	24	MLB 26%	TEX	366	329	65	10	2	7	25	125	9	13	2	.198	.273	.304	.577	.106	.287	34	7	.261	58	-18	+2	+0	-2	+10	-0.8
2029	25	MLB 44%	TEX	415	372	73	11	2	8	30	139	10	14	2	.196	.274	.301	.575	.105	.288	33	7	.267	63	-18	+2	+0	-2	+12	-0.6
2030	26	MLB 59%	TEX	445	398	80	12	3	9	33	147	11	14	2	.201	.281	.314	.595	.113	.289	33	7	.270	65	-18	+2	+0	-3	+13	-0.6
2031	27	MLB 76%	TEX	458	410	82	13	3	9	34	152	11	13	2	.200	.279	.312	.591	.112	.289	33	7	.270	65	-18	+2	+0	-3	+13	-0.6
2032	28	MLB 84%	TEX	462	413	83	13	3	9	35	154	11	12	1	.201	.281	.312	.593	.111	.288	33	8	.269	64	-19	+2	-1	-3	+13	-0.7
2033	29	MLB 90%	TEX	457	408	80	12	2	9	35	154	11	11	1	.196	.278	.301	.579	.105	.287	34	8	.267	63	-19	+2	-1	-3	+13	-0.9
2034	30	MLB	TEX	450	402	78	12	2	9	34	153	11	10	1	.194	.275	.301	.576	.107	.286	34	8	.264	60	-20	+2	-2	-3	+13	-1.1
2035	31	MLB	TEX	438	392	74	11	2	8	33	151	10	9	0	.189	.269	.288	.557	.099	.284	34	8	.260	57	-21	+2	-3	-3	+12	-1.3
2036	32	MLB	TEX	421	376	71	11	2	7	32	147	10	8	0	.189	.270	.285	.555	.096	.282	35	8	.256	54	-22	+2	-4	-3	+12	-1.5
2037	33	MLB	TEX	392	351	65	10	2	6	29	140	9	7	0	.185	.265	.276	.541	.091	.281	36	7	.250	50	-22	+1	-4	-2	+11	-1.7
2038	34	MLB	TEX	348	311	56	8	2	5	26	127	8	6	0	.180	.261	.267	.528	.087	.279	36	7	.244	45	-22	+1	-5	-2	+10	-1.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5938	5318	1009	150	33	96	420	2126	157	231	29	.190	.269	.285	.554	.095	.292	36	7	.254	53	-317	+35	-20	-36	+168	-17.3
/ 162G	—			650	582	111	16	4	11	46	233	17	25	3	.191	.270	.289	.558	.098	.293	36	7	.254	53	-35	+4	-2	-4	+18	-1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	220	183	43	9	5	3	24	79	13	20	2	.235	.364	.388	.752	.153	.396	36	11	.344	121	+5	+3	—	—	+6	1.5
2024	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	326	285	68	10	3	3	29	106	6	39	5	.239	.322	.326	.648	.088	.359	33	9	.293	83	-6	+6	—	—	+9	0.9
2025	21	A	Hickory Crawdads	236	207	54	7	1	1	16	53	13	28	7	.261	.352	.319	.671	.058	.346	22	7	.314	99	-0	+3	—	—	+7	0.9
2025	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	50	38	11	2	0	0	10	11	2	8	1	.289	.460	.342	.802	.053	.407	22	20	.383	151	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chandler Pollard (OGILVIE)	22	40	20	60	25	.167/.238/.235	.068	.293	2	10	42%	5%	29	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kenny Wilson 2012 · A	22	38→48	35→40	56→60	41	.179/.254/.239	.059	.283	2	27	35%	7%	35	-2.8	.210/.278/.287	.077	.296	4	28	28%	7%	57	-1.2	.199/.267/.293	.094	.305	8	22	35%	7%	52	-0.6
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2023 · A	21	42	38→30	61→70	39	.197/.263/.279	.082	.306	5	36	35%	7%	49	-1.8	.204/.255/.272	.068	.280	3	37	27%	5%	43	-2.2	.203/.249/.256	.053	.266	2	51	23%	5%	33	-1.4
✕Dionis Hinojosa 2013 · A	22	44	36→30	54→60	41	.205/.269/.269	.064	.299	3	20	31%	7%	49	-1.8	.203/.255/.270	.067	.285	4	13	28%	6%	43	-2.2	.192/.240/.248	.056	.257	3	13	25%	5%	27	-0.8
✕Reggie Pruitt 2019 · A	22	39→45	36→30	56→60	38	.184/.247/.250	.066	.291	4	25	36%	6%	35	-2.8	.191/.253/.262	.071	.323	3	28	39%	7%	40	-2.4	.174/.238/.237	.063	.312	2	32	41%	7%	24	-2.0
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40→41	38→45	57→60	36	.188/.243/.264	.076	.303	6	23	38%	6%	36	-2.7	.199/.258/.305	.106	.306	10	30	36%	7%	53	-1.5	.194/.256/.310	.116	.294	12	32	36%	7%	52	-1.3
✕Johnni Turbo 2011 · A	22	43→49	38→40	54→55	35	.206/.242/.283	.077	.298	5	17	32%	4%	40	-2.4	.225/.259/.309	.084	.303	6	17	27%	4%	53	-1.5	.238/.275/.302	.064	.295	3	18	19%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Daniel Carroll 2011 · A	22	44→50	40→45	55→60	35	.207/.265/.296	.089	.314	8	24	35%	5%	55	-1.4	.224/.298/.344	.120	.336	13	30	34%	8%	81	+0.4	.206/.291/.310	.104	.316	10	35	35%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Shane Sasaki 2022 · A	22	44→54	39→45	57→60	39	.204/.264/.285	.081	.331	6	21	38%	7%	50	-1.7	.232/.295/.340	.108	.347	9	27	33%	7%	78	+0.2	.230/.297/.331	.101	.343	9	32	33%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Casio Grider 2010 · A	22	45→41	37→40	56→55	35	.204/.276/.277	.074	.330	5	19	37%	5%	55	-1.4	.198/.252/.280	.082	.298	4	19	33%	5%	44	-2.1	.198/.263/.280	.082	.290	3	24	30%	6%	46	-1.1
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	63→65	42	.205/.267/.282	.077	.295	2	25	29%	7%	51	-1.7	.219/.282/.293	.074	.330	4	28	32%	7%	60	-1.0	.230/.297/.289	.060	.352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Miguel Hiraldo 2023 · A	22	40→47	42→45	56→55	37	.197/.248/.304	.107	.299	10	21	36%	6%	49	-1.8	.209/.256/.315	.106	.331	10	20	38%	5%	55	-1.4	.212/.260/.311	.099	.339	10	22	38%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Aaron Whitefield 2019 · A	22	41→45	39→40	54→60	38	.199/.249/.282	.083	.288	7	25	33%	6%	43	-2.2	.183/.232/.256	.073	.300	5	26	38%	5%	30	-3.1	.204/.263/.306	.102	.311	9	38	35%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	41	36→30	57→55	46	.190/.272/.257	.067	.287	2	24	32%	9%	47	-1.9	.201/.288/.281	.080	.308	5	17	33%	9%	61	-1.0	.189/.290/.248	.059	.290	4	23	32%	10%	52	-0.4
✕Mikey Edie 2019 · A	22	47	35→30	51→50	35	.214/.264/.277	.063	.323	2	15	33%	4%	48	-1.9	.207/.258/.278	.071	.287	4	8	28%	4%	46	-2.0	.193/.240/.251	.058	.266	3	7	27%	3%	27	-1.7
✕Todd Hankins 2013 · A	22	42→48	40	59→55	40	.199/.261/.292	.094	.305	7	22	35%	7%	51	-1.7	.197/.256/.287	.090	.294	7	24	33%	6%	48	-1.9	.199/.253/.286	.086	.288	7	25	32%	6%	42	-1.5
✕Ruben Martinez 2008 · A	21	41	36→30	56→60	42	.182/.269/.248	.066	.314	3	21	39%	9%	44	-2.1	.177/.244/.242	.065	.285	2	14	36%	7%	31	-3.0	.141/.183/.193	.052	.214	0	10	32%	4%	-12	-1.9
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	42→30	38→45	56→50	41	.197/.266/.279	.082	.311	5	16	36%	8%	50	-1.7	.214/.271/.343	.129	.318	13	13	35%	6%	69	-0.4	.203/.261/.318	.115	.298	12	16	35%	6%	54	-0.8
✕Brandol Mezquita 2022 · A	21	44→51	38→30	51→50	37	.200/.264/.277	.077	.336	6	14	40%	7%	49	-1.8	.204/.265/.277	.073	.345	4	11	39%	6%	50	-1.8	.194/.255/.259	.064	.333	4	11	40%	6%	38	-1.3
✕Champ Stuart 2015 · A	22	43→39	38→30	58→60	39	.196/.263/.272	.076	.330	5	20	39%	8%	47	-1.9	.171/.236/.240	.069	.324	5	25	45%	7%	27	-3.3	.170/.237/.248	.078	.301	7	36	43%	7%	27	-1.9
✕Reidy Mercado 2023 · A	22	41	35→30	54→60	38	.191/.247/.246	.055	.302	3	17	36%	6%	33	-2.9	.190/.239/.247	.057	.309	3	22	37%	6%	30	-3.1	.169/.213/.213	.045	.279	1	36	38%	5%	6	-1.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)