Chandler Pollard

OF Hub City Spartanburgers
Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 173 lbs A+ HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420ADown East Woo…326.239/.322/.32633947—.198/.266/.259
202521A/INTL2 orgs286.265/.371/.32213663—.207/.284/.254
202622A+TEX303.220/.311/.31133132—.175/.241/.251
2027PROJMLE23MLBTEX1.186/.249/.2500042-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBTEX67.193/.257/.2731350-0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB25MLBTEX126.198/.263/.2892556-0.4
Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Speed97
Z-Con%52
Whiff%37
K%32
BB%27
ISO21
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsYhoswar Garcia (age 22) · Delvi Cid (age 23) · Terrance Gore (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†42
AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .249 / .250
PA1
HR0
K%32
BB%5
BABIP277
ISO58
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -12.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: +1.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.80-0.8WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.8-0.2-0.4272829
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202319 ROKACL Rangers — 220183 43953 247913 202 235364388752 153396 3611 344 15 — — — — — —
202420 ADown East Wood Ducks — 326285 681033 291066 395 239322326648 88359 339 293 47 — — — — — —
202521 AHickory Crawdads — 236207 54711 165313 287 261352319671 58346 227 314 46 — — — — — —
202521 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 5038 11200 10112 81 289460342802 53407 2220 383 145 — — — — — —
202622 A+Hub City Spartanburgers — 303264 581123 28847 312 220311311622 91307 289 285 32 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202319 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 220192 22421 1512113 202 115227172399 57289 557 191 15 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 326293 58822 211416 395 198266259525 61346 436 237 47 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 236213 44511 107313 287 207284254537 47300 314 236 46 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEHub City Spartanburgers — 303275 48823 171107 312 175241251492 76266 366 215 32 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 220192 22421 1512113 202 115227172399 57300 557 191 15 — — — — — —
202319 ROK RAWACL Rangers — 220183 43953 247913 202 235364388752 153396 3611 344 15 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 326293 58822 211416 395 198266259525 61361 436 237 47 — — — — — —
202420 A RAWDown East Wood Ducks — 326285 681033 291066 395 239322326648 88359 339 293 47 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 286259 53611 128915 368 205280247527 42308 314 236 46 — — — — — —
202521 A RAW2 teams — 286245 65911 266415 368 265371322693 57356 229 326 46 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEHub City Spartanburgers — 303275 48823 171107 312 175241251492 76274 366 215 32 — — — — — —
202622 A+ RAWHub City Spartanburgers — 303264 581123 28847 312 220311311622 91307 289 285 32 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 220190 22421 1512113 202 116227174401 58289 557 191 15 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 326296 58822 211416 395 196266257522 61346 436 237 47 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 286257 53611 128915 368 206280249529 43300 314 236 46 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEHub City Spartanburgers — 303276 48823 171107 312 174241250491 76266 366 215 32 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 326296 58822 211416 395 196266257522 61346 436 237 47 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 286257 53611 128915 368 206280249529 43300 314 236 46 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEHub City Spartanburgers — 303276 48823 171107 312 174241250491 76266 366 215 32 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLETEX 0% 413378 711223 2213510 203 186249249498 63277 335 231 42 -28 +3 +0 -2 +9 -0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXTEX 0% 11 0000 000 00 186249250499 64277 00 231 42 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLETEX 30% 221202 38612 12705 91 193257271528 78279 325 242 50 -13 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.8
202925 MLB MLETEX 44% 284259 50814 17896 112 197262286548 89280 316 251 56 -15 +1 +0 -2 +6 -0.9
202824 MLB CTXTEX 30% 6761 12201 4212 30 193257273530 80279 316 243 50 -4 +1 +0 -0 +1 -0.2
202925 MLB CTXTEX 44% 126115 24412 7393 51 198263289551 91280 316 252 56 -7 +1 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 193176 36613 11605 81 205271301572 97289 316 249 42 -11 +1 +0 -1 +4 -0.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 12120310 3720217 273 204270298569 94289 316 249 42 -36 +4 +0 -4 +14 -2.2
Career— MLE — 18281652 301451014 10468156 15521 182254247501 65297 376 230 42 -41 +4 +0 -4 +15 -2.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650587 1071645 3724220 557 182255249503 66297 376 230 42 -38 +4 +0 -4 +14 -2.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 303 PAwOBA .280 → .215 (−65)K% 27.7% → 36.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.72%÷1.000×1.310——36.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.24%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0125.61%
HBP% /PA2.31%—×0.770—×1.0121.80%
Singles /BIP23.33%÷1.000×0.870×1.007×1.01220.70%
Doubles /BIP6.11%÷1.000×0.780×1.007×1.0124.86%
Triples /BIP1.11%÷1.000×0.850×1.007×1.0120.96%
Home runs /BIP1.67%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0121.48%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .280 → .215; ISO .091 → .073; BABIP .307 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AHickory Crawdads · 236 PAwOBA .305 → .236 (−69)K% 22.5% → 31.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.46%÷0.981×1.360——31.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.36%÷1.051×0.690—×1.0154.24%
HBP% /PA5.51%—×0.780—×1.0154.36%
Singles /BIP29.22%÷1.002×0.920×0.957×1.01526.07%
Doubles /BIP4.55%÷1.123×0.830×0.957×1.0153.26%
Triples /BIP0.65%÷1.039×0.910×0.957×1.0150.55%
Home runs /BIP0.65%÷1.037×0.800—×1.0150.51%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 108, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .305 → .236; ISO .058 → .041; BABIP .346 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADown East Wood Ducks · 326 PAwOBA .291 → .237 (−54)K% 32.5% → 43.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.52%÷1.022×1.360——43.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.90%÷0.983×0.690—×1.0306.43%
HBP% /PA1.84%—×0.780—×1.0301.48%
Singles /BIP29.05%÷0.973×0.920×1.019×1.03028.82%
Doubles /BIP5.59%÷0.978×0.830×1.019×1.0304.98%
Triples /BIP1.68%÷1.150×0.910×1.019×1.0301.39%
Home runs /BIP1.68%÷1.008×0.800—×1.0301.37%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .291 → .237; ISO .088 → .066; BABIP .359 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Rangers · 220 PAwOBA .336 → .191 (−145)K% 35.9% → 55.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.91%÷0.940×1.440——55.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.91%÷0.973×0.620—×1.0087.00%
HBP% /PA5.91%—×0.720—×1.0084.29%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.003×0.820×0.950×1.00819.56%
Doubles /BIP8.65%÷1.032×0.720×0.950×1.0085.78%
Triples /BIP4.81%÷1.114×0.720×0.950×1.0082.97%
Home runs /BIP2.88%÷1.124×0.780—×1.0082.02%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 123, K 88, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .336 → .191; ISO .153 → .072; BABIP .396 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .