Luis Germán
P
Fort Wayne TinCaps
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 160 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 168159vR 150
ERA6.69
FIP6.69
K%14.9%
BB%23.2%
K-BB%-8.3%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 83 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Padres | 7 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.0% | 21.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 10.50 | 3.76 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Padres | 7 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.0% | 21.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 10.50 | 3.93 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | 11 | 0 | 11 | 56 | 18 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 31.2% | -9.4% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 5.21 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | 11 | 0 | 11 | 56 | 18 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.1% | 25.0% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 3.66 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 34 | 0 | 42 | 215 | 47 | 56 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.2% | 30.7% | -14.6% | 0.0% | 6.26 | 5.63 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 34 | 0 | 42 | 215 | 47 | 56 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.9% | 26.0% | -4.2% | 0.0% | 6.26 | 4.88 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 37 | 0 | 44 | 217 | 45 | 37 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.0% | 19.6% | -3.6% | 2.6% | 5.77 | 5.67 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 37 | 0 | 44 | 217 | 45 | 37 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.7% | 17.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 5.77 | 4.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 23 | 0 | 26 | 130 | 26 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.2% | 22.6% | -10.3% | 5.8% | 6.92 | 8.13 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | SD | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 36 | 56 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.9% | 23.2% | -8.3% | 2.8% | 6.69 | 6.69 | -1.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.9% | 23.2% | -8.3% | 2.8% | 6.69 | 6.69 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | SD | — | — | 83 | 371 | 62 | 80 | 12 | — | — | 16.7% | 21.5% | -4.8% | 3.2% | 6.76 | 7.14 | -2.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 14.9% | 23.2% | -8.3% | 2.8% | 6.69 | 6.31 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SD | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 40 | 49 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 20.0% | -3.4% | 2.8% | 6.27 | 6.14 | -1.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SD | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 43 | 47 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 19.1% | -1.7% | 2.8% | 6.04 | 5.97 | -1.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SD | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 43 | 45 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 18.7% | -1.0% | 2.9% | 5.94 | 5.93 | -0.9 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SD | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 17 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 20.0% | -3.4% | 2.8% | 6.27 | 6.14 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SD | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 28 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 19.1% | -1.7% | 2.8% | 6.04 | 5.97 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SD | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 33 | 35 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 18.7% | -1.0% | 2.9% | 5.94 | 5.93 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 102 | 0 | 108 | 454 | 79 | 87 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 19.1% | -1.8% | 2.8% | 6.05 | 5.61 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 147 | 162 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 19.1% | -1.8% | 2.8% | 6.05 | 5.61 | -0.5 | ||
| Career | — | 112 | 0 | 128 | 650 | 106 | 162 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 25.0% | -8.8% | 2.0% | 6.19 | 6.01 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 175 | 0 | 200 | 1016 | 165 | 254 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 25.0% | -8.8% | 2.0% | 6.19 | 6.01 | -1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Germán (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.69 | 14.9% | 23.2% | 2.8% | — | 6.01 | 17.2% | -2.0% | 172 | -0.68 | — | — | — |
| Josh Harlow R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 91 |
| CJ Weins R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.54 | 17.8% | 23.0% | 1.9% | .302 | 5.65 | 15.5% | 0.6% | 32 | +0.11 | 4.42 | 113 | 89 |
| Kelvin Vasquez R 2026 · 6.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.27 | 15.0% | 23.2% | 2.7% | .247 | 5.23 | 14.5% | -0.2% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.80 | 180 | 86 |
| Luke Savage R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.70 | 15.0% | 17.7% | 3.0% | .358 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 117 | 85 |
| Jacob Morris R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.72 | 18.0% | 19.6% | 3.0% | .218 | 4.72 | 18.7% | -2.4% | 46 | -1.00 | 4.72 | 102 | 85 |
| Jake Gozzo R 2026 · 7.15 FIP | 24 | SU | 7.15 | 14.3% | 30.2% | 2.6% | .200 | 5.29 | 15.8% | -0.7% | 129 | -1.86 | 4.29 | 162 | 84 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.65 | 15.1% | 20.3% | 2.3% | .357 | 4.02 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 143 | -1.63 | 3.42 | 161 | 84 |
| Leandro Linares R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.59 | 16.2% | 22.0% | 2.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.93 | 134 | 84 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 84 |
| Darvin Garcia R 2026 · 5.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.93 | 13.4% | 19.6% | 2.7% | .277 | 4.87 | 15.5% | -3.1% | 80 | -1.06 | 2.97 | 212 | 82 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.62 | 17.4% | 15.1% | 3.8% | .263 | 4.25 | 18.6% | 4.4% | 59 | -1.37 | 3.67 | 108 | 82 |
| Jonathan Teaney R 2025 · 6.06 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.06 | 16.4% | 15.7% | 4.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.70 | 108 | 81 |
| Abel Brito R 2025 · 6.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.54 | 14.0% | 23.6% | 3.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 147 | 81 |
| Roman Phansalkar R 2026 · 6.68 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.68 | 13.5% | 18.4% | 4.3% | .245 | 4.87 | 17.4% | 4.0% | 147 | -1.81 | 4.31 | 164 | 81 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.61 | 21.4% | 22.3% | 2.7% | .278 | 5.16 | 19.4% | 2.8% | 102 | -0.45 | 3.73 | 203 | 81 |
| Dylan Rheault R 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.57 | 6.5% | 14.9% | 2.1% | .288 | 4.14 | 14.1% | 4.8% | 96 | -1.43 | 3.96 | 198 | 80 |
| Jake Ehret R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.62 | 12.3% | 15.8% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 173 | 80 |
| Conner O'Neil R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.58 | 12.8% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .340 | 7.24 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 26 | +1.66 | 2.90 | 115 | 80 |
| Nicholas Regalado R 2025 · 5.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.62 | 15.0% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 132 | 80 |
| Dallas Woolfolk R 2026 · 6.39 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.39 | 12.9% | 21.9% | 2.9% | .324 | 5.21 | 14.0% | 0.7% | 50 | -1.18 | 5.21 | 100 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 57 | 16.7% | 20.2% | 1.09 | 6.23 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |