Luis Germán — OGILVIE

Luis Germán P Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 160 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 157149vR 141

ERA6.52

FIP6.52

K%13.9%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-6.1%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	7	0	6	32	8	7	0	0%	0.9	25.0%	21.9%	3.1%	0.0%	10.50	3.76	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	7	0	6	32	8	7	0	0%	0.9	25.0%	21.9%	3.1%	0.0%	10.50	3.93	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	11	0	11	56	18	14	0	0%	1.0	21.9%	31.2%	-9.4%	0.0%	3.38	5.21	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	11	0	11	56	18	14	0	0%	1.0	32.1%	25.0%	7.1%	0.0%	3.38	3.66	—
2024	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	34	0	42	215	47	56	0	0%	1.2	16.2%	30.7%	-14.6%	0.0%	6.26	5.63	—
2024	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	34	0	42	215	47	56	0	0%	1.2	16.2%	30.7%	-14.6%	0.0%	6.26	5.63	—
2024	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	34	0	42	215	47	56	0	0%	1.2	21.9%	26.0%	-4.2%	0.0%	6.26	4.88	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	37	0	44	217	45	37	4	0%	1.2	16.0%	19.6%	-3.6%	2.4%	5.77	5.58	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	37	0	44	217	45	37	4	0%	1.2	16.0%	19.6%	-3.6%	2.4%	5.77	5.58	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	37	0	44	217	45	37	4	0%	1.2	20.7%	17.1%	3.7%	1.8%	5.77	4.77	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	32	163	34	32	5	0%	1.2	13.8%	23.8%	-10.1%	4.5%	7.24	7.41	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	32	163	34	32	5	0%	1.2	13.8%	23.8%	-10.1%	4.5%	7.24	7.41	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	32	163	34	32	5	0%	1.2	20.9%	19.6%	1.2%	3.1%	7.24	5.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	SD	57	0	60	253	35	51	8	0%	1.1	13.9%	20.0%	-6.1%	3.1%	6.52	6.52	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SD	57	0	60	251	39	47	8	0%	1.0	15.6%	18.9%	-3.3%	3.0%	6.25	6.23	-1.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	SD	56	0	59	247	40	45	8	0%	1.0	16.2%	18.2%	-2.0%	3.1%	6.11	6.12	-1.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	SD	25	0	26	110	17	21	3	0%	1.0	15.6%	18.9%	-3.3%	3.0%	6.25	6.23	-0.5
2029	27	MLB CTX	SD	35	0	37	156	25	28	5	0%	1.1	16.2%	18.2%	-2.0%	3.1%	6.11	6.12	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	264	42	49	8	0%	1.1	15.9%	18.5%	-2.6%	3.1%	6.17	5.78	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	134	157	26	0%	1.1	15.9%	18.5%	-2.6%	3.1%	6.17	5.78	-2.9
Career	—	MLE		117	0	134	683	112	172	13	0%	1.1	16.4%	25.2%	-8.8%	1.8%	6.30	5.92	-2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		174	0	200	1017	167	256	19	0%	1.1	16.4%	25.2%	-8.8%	1.8%	6.30	5.92	-3.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Germán (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.52	13.9%	20.0%	3.1%	—	6.18	15.9%	-2.7%	118	-0.34	—	—	—
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	84
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	83
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	83
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	83
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	82
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	81
Yunior Thibo R 2023 · 5.32 FIP	25	SU	5.32	14.3%	15.6%	2.7%	.231	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	110	81
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	81
Will McAffer R 2022 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	14.5%	20.2%	1.7%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	4.68	133	80
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	79
Hunter Breault R 2024 · 5.98 FIP	25	SU	5.98	17.1%	17.6%	3.8%	.336	5.59	7.6%	-3.2%	45	-0.39	2.90	186	79
Tim Elliott R 2023 · 6.21 FIP	25	SU	6.21	15.5%	16.1%	4.3%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	5.54	138	79
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	79
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	79
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	78
Jake Ehret R 2017 · 5.64 FIP	24	SU	5.64	12.3%	15.8%	2.9%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	173	78
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	78
Jonathan Sprinkle R 2023 · 6.20 FIP	25	SU	6.20	17.4%	22.9%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	77
Edward Baram R 2022 · 6.38 FIP	25	SU	6.38	11.8%	18.3%	3.6%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	5.05	119	77
Dallas Woolfolk R 2021 · 6.62 FIP	24	SU	6.62	12.9%	21.9%	3.3%	.324	5.12	14.0%	0.7%	50	-1.50	5.12	100	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	15.2%	19.0%	1.19	6.29
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52