Brian Fitzpatrick

P Nashville Sounds

Age 27 LHP 6'7" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

AAARPD6040-MANROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	A+MIL	20	7	70	2.69	2.66	26.2%	7.9%	—	K 20.2% · BB 9.1% · FIP 3.52
2025	25	MIX3 levels	38	0	58	3.59	2.98	26.1%	10.9%	—	K 21.2% · BB 10.8% · FIP 3.45
2026	26	MIX2 levels	20	0	23	1.19	1.82	27.2%	7.6%	0.7	K 27.7% · BB 5.8% · FIP 1.49
2027PROJ	27	MLBMIL	34	0	36	4.15	4.15	22.9%	10.0%	0.2
2028PROJ55% MLB	28	MLBMIL	30	0	32	4.22	4.25	22.9%	10.0%	0.1
2029PROJ68% MLB	29	MLBMIL	35	0	37	4.32	4.39	22.7%	10.2%	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.7 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command40FB velo45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsChris Nunn (age 27) · Colton Johnson (age 26) · Jackson Lancaster (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 96104vR 112

ERA4.15

FIP4.15

K%22.9%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%13.0%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CMD4040

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Blue	2	1	4	13	7	1	0	50%	1.8	53.8%	7.7%	46.2%	0.0%	2.45	-0.47	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers Blue	2	1	4	13	7	1	0	50%	1.8	53.8%	7.7%	46.2%	0.0%	2.45	0.10	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	7	31	139	33	18	2	64%	2.8	14.5%	12.8%	1.7%	0.0%	6.46	3.50	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	7	31	139	33	18	2	64%	2.8	23.7%	12.9%	10.8%	1.4%	6.46	3.56	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	20	7	70	290	76	23	4	35%	3.5	20.2%	9.1%	11.1%	1.8%	2.69	3.52	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	20	7	70	290	76	23	4	35%	3.5	20.2%	9.1%	11.1%	1.8%	2.69	3.52	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	20	7	70	290	76	23	4	35%	3.5	26.2%	7.9%	18.3%	1.4%	2.69	2.66	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	58	238	62	26	3	0%	1.5	21.2%	10.8%	10.4%	1.4%	3.59	3.45	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	58	238	62	26	3	0%	1.5	21.2%	10.8%	10.4%	1.4%	3.59	3.45	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	58	238	62	26	3	0%	1.5	26.1%	10.9%	15.1%	1.3%	3.59	2.98	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	23	92	25	7	0	0%	1.1	27.7%	5.8%	21.9%	0.0%	1.19	1.49	+0.8
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	23	92	25	7	0	0%	1.1	27.7%	5.8%	21.9%	0.0%	1.19	1.49	+0.8
2026	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	23	92	25	7	0	0%	1.1	27.2%	7.6%	19.6%	0.0%	1.19	1.82	+0.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			5	0	7	30	5	3	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	10.0%	6.7%	0.0%	1.35	2.95	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	MIL	34	0	36	152	35	15	4	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.0%	13.0%	2.4%	4.15	4.15	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIL	55	0	58	244	56	24	6	0%	1.0	22.9%	10.0%	12.8%	2.6%	4.22	4.25	+0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIL	52	0	55	233	53	24	6	0%	1.1	22.7%	10.2%	12.5%	2.8%	4.32	4.39	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIL	30	0	32	135	31	14	4	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.0%	12.8%	2.6%	4.22	4.25	+0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIL	35	0	37	156	35	16	4	0%	1.1	22.7%	10.2%	12.5%	2.8%	4.32	4.39	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		71	0	76	321	71	32	8	0%	1.1	22.2%	10.1%	12.1%	2.4%	4.02	3.85	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		187	0	200	849	188	85	21	0%	1.1	22.2%	10.1%	12.1%	2.4%	4.02	3.85	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		91	15	185	772	162	76	8	16%	2.0	20.9%	9.9%	11.0%	1.1%	3.41	3.19	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		98	16	200	835	175	83	9	16%	2.0	20.9%	9.9%	11.0%	1.1%	3.41	3.19	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brian Fitzpatrick (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.15	22.9%	10.0%	2.4%	—	4.32	22.8%	12.7%	113	+0.17	—	—	—
Chris Nunn L 2018 · 3.30 FIP	27	SU	3.30	23.0%	10.9%	1.4%	.367	4.35	23.9%	9.2%	95	+1.05	3.30	180	78
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	78
Jackson Lancaster L 2024 · 4.48 FIP	25	SU	4.48	24.0%	11.1%	3.6%	.355	5.36	18.3%	4.9%	93	+0.88	4.15	142	76
Andrew Barbosa L 2015 · 3.14 FIP	27	SW	3.14	22.8%	12.2%	0.8%	.292	3.73	20.2%	11.3%	127	+0.59	2.70	175	75
Jorge Ibarra L 2015 · 2.97 FIP	27	SW	2.97	20.2%	8.4%	0.9%	.407	2.81	21.0%	14.5%	99	-0.16	2.55	146	75
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	75
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	75
Fabian Williamson L 2016 · 3.39 FIP	27	SU	3.39	23.8%	9.0%	2.1%	.259	5.26	16.5%	-3.3%	54	+1.87	3.39	154	74
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	74
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	74
Luis Perez L 2012 · 3.32 FIP	27	SU	3.32	22.3%	9.1%	1.7%	.299	4.00	15.2%	2.6%	66	+0.68	3.32	173	74
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	74
James Reeves L 2019 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	22.4%	10.3%	2.2%	.226	5.11	27.0%	10.8%	51	+1.37	2.02	280	73
Giovanni Soto L 2017 · 4.18 FIP	26	SU	4.18	25.6%	10.5%	3.5%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	128	73
Chris Narveson L 2009 · 4.01 FIP	27	SW	4.01	22.4%	7.3%	3.4%	.277	4.00	18.5%	10.0%	329	-0.01	4.00	625	73
Jordan Mills L 2019 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	23.2%	9.3%	1.8%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	210	73
Colton Turner L 2018 · 3.27 FIP	27	SU	3.27	21.1%	8.4%	1.6%	.235	4.23	22.4%	13.2%	94	+0.96	2.79	325	73
Dan Jennings L 2014 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	20.9%	8.8%	1.7%	.336	3.56	18.6%	9.5%	180	+0.16	2.60	344	73
Bryan Harper L 2016 · 4.13 FIP	26	SU	4.13	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.197	4.63	14.9%	1.0%	46	+0.50	4.13	133	73
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	53	22.6%	10.1%	0.97	4.12
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Ed Vosberg ('86-'02, 1 WAR*)	1.2	47	21.0%*	9.6%*	0.86*	4.06*
Scott Oberg ('19)	1.3	51	21.5%	9.3%	0.91	3.85
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Gary Wayne ('89-'94, 2 WAR*)	1.2	62	19.9%*	9.4%*	1.05*	3.88*