Logan Clayton

P Hillsboro Hops

Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 188 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	23	MIX2 levels	34	1	50	4.71	3.42	22.0%	11.4%	—	K 16.7% · BB 13.2% · FIP 4.28
2024	24	MIX2 levels	26	20	109	4.80	4.15	18.6%	7.6%	—	K 14.4% · BB 8.7% · FIP 4.93
2025	25	MIX2 levels	14	11	48	9.00	4.91	14.2%	12.6%	—	K 11.2% · BB 14.1% · FIP 5.06
2027PROJ	27	MLBARI	36	0	38	5.26	5.26	15.3%	11.4%	-0.3
2028PROJ37% MLB	28	MLBARI	12	0	13	5.22	5.25	16.0%	11.3%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsTyler Yates (age 26) · Alfonso Sanchez (age 27) · Colby Morris (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.26

FIP5.26

K%15.3%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%3.9%

Proj IP38

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	1	50	236	52	27	3	3%	1.5	16.7%	13.2%	3.5%	1.7%	4.71	4.28	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	1	50	236	52	27	3	3%	1.5	22.0%	11.4%	10.6%	1.3%	4.71	3.42	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	20	109	474	88	36	14	77%	4.2	14.4%	8.7%	5.7%	3.6%	4.80	4.93	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	20	109	474	88	36	14	77%	4.2	14.4%	8.7%	5.7%	3.6%	4.80	4.93	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	20	109	474	88	36	14	77%	4.2	18.6%	7.6%	11.0%	3.0%	4.80	4.15	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	11	48	239	34	30	5	79%	3.4	11.2%	14.1%	-2.8%	2.0%	9.00	5.06	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	11	48	239	34	30	5	79%	3.4	11.2%	14.1%	-2.8%	2.0%	9.00	5.06	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	11	48	239	34	30	5	79%	3.4	14.2%	12.6%	1.7%	2.1%	9.00	4.91	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	ARI	36	0	38	160	25	18	5	0%	1.1	15.3%	11.4%	3.9%	3.0%	5.26	5.26	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	ARI	35	0	36	154	25	17	5	0%	1.0	16.0%	11.3%	4.6%	3.1%	5.22	5.25	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	ARI	12	0	13	55	9	6	2	0%	1.1	16.0%	11.3%	4.6%	3.1%	5.22	5.25	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	56	9	6	2	0%	1.0	16.0%	11.3%	4.6%	3.1%	5.22	4.88	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	135	90	30	0%	1.1	16.0%	11.3%	4.6%	3.1%	5.22	4.88	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		74	32	206	949	135	106	26	43%	2.8	14.2%	11.2%	3.0%	2.7%	5.76	4.80	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	31	200	920	131	103	25	43%	2.8	14.2%	11.2%	3.0%	2.7%	5.76	4.80	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Logan Clayton (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.26	15.3%	11.4%	3.0%	—	5.25	16.0%	4.6%	36	-0.01	—	—	—
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	86
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	84
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	80
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	80
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	80
Jon Leicester R 2007 · 4.44 FIP	28	SP-	4.44	11.0%	9.0%	2.1%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	80
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	79
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	78
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	77
Jared Fernandez R 2001 · 4.66 FIP	29	SW	4.66	8.8%	10.5%	1.8%	.267	3.95	14.0%	5.6%	89	-0.71	3.57	101	77
Andres Santiago R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	27	SW	4.16	16.3%	9.1%	2.3%	.384	5.26	13.1%	3.2%	159	+1.10	3.76	291	77
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	77
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	76
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	76
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	76
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	75
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	75
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	345	75
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	75
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	15.6%	11.4%	1.17	5.24
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Tom Martin ('07)	1.6	53	15.8%	10.1%	1.02	4.92
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*