Tyler Uberstine

P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 200 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.7 · 2027

Overview

AAARP40-MANROOKIEFG #533MiLBFA 2034

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	A+BOS	3	3	5	1.93	1.17	30.0%	5.0%	—	K 30.0% · BB 5.0% · FIP 1.20
2025	26	MIX2 levels	25	21	121	3.58	3.79	26.9%	8.0%	—	K 22.8% · BB 7.4% · FIP 4.27
2026	27	MIX3 levels	34	4	59	3.20	2.96	28.2%	8.7%	1.1	K 23.9% · BB 7.7% · FIP 2.98
2027PROJ	28	MLBBOS	56	0	59	4.15	4.15	22.4%	7.2%	0.3
2028PROJ50% MLB	29	MLBBOS	27	0	28	4.21	4.26	22.3%	7.7%	0.1
2029PROJ65% MLB	30	MLBBOS	32	0	34	4.34	4.43	22.0%	8.1%	0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$3M2032Ext$5M2033Ext$7M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff48Control50Command55FB velo40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsEdwin Quirarte (age 28) · Connor Schultz (age 25) · Nelson Gonzalez (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.15

FIP4.15

K%22.4%

BB%7.2%

K-BB%15.2%

Proj IP59

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5055

K†5555

CH+0.5 (11%)

CT (20%)

SI (22%)

SL (24%)

FB-0.8 (44%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	5	1	8	30	8	1	0	20%	1.5	26.7%	3.3%	23.3%	0.0%	1.17	1.27	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	5	1	8	30	8	1	0	20%	1.5	26.7%	3.3%	23.3%	0.0%	1.17	1.40	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	15	92	388	101	35	7	71%	4.4	19.5%	10.5%	9.0%	2.6%	3.83	4.19	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	15	92	388	101	35	7	71%	4.4	26.0%	9.0%	17.0%	1.8%	3.83	3.03	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	3	3	5	20	6	1	0	100%	1.6	30.0%	5.0%	25.0%	0.0%	1.93	1.20	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	3	3	5	20	6	1	0	100%	1.6	30.0%	5.0%	25.0%	0.0%	1.93	1.20	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	3	3	5	20	6	1	0	100%	1.6	30.0%	5.0%	25.0%	0.0%	1.93	1.17	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	21	121	510	137	41	18	84%	4.8	22.8%	7.4%	15.4%	3.9%	3.58	4.27	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	21	121	510	137	41	18	84%	4.8	22.8%	7.4%	15.4%	3.9%	3.58	4.27	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	21	121	510	137	41	18	84%	4.8	26.9%	8.0%	18.8%	3.5%	3.58	3.79	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	4	59	241	68	21	5	12%	1.7	23.9%	7.7%	16.2%	1.7%	3.20	2.98	+1.1
2026	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	4	59	241	68	21	5	12%	1.7	23.9%	7.7%	16.2%	1.7%	3.20	2.98	+1.1
2026	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	34	4	59	241	68	21	5	12%	1.7	28.2%	8.7%	19.5%	2.1%	3.20	2.96	+1.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	3	11	2	1	1	0%	2.7	18.2%	9.1%	9.1%	9.1%	3.38	7.60	-0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	BOS	56	0	59	249	56	18	7	0%	1.1	22.4%	7.2%	15.2%	3.0%	4.15	4.15	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	BOS	54	0	56	237	53	18	7	0%	1.0	22.3%	7.7%	14.6%	3.1%	4.25	4.30	+0.2
2029	30	MLB MLE	BOS	50	0	53	223	49	18	7	0%	1.1	22.0%	8.1%	13.9%	3.3%	4.39	4.48	+0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	BOS	27	0	28	118	26	9	4	0%	1.0	22.3%	7.7%	14.6%	3.1%	4.21	4.26	+0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	BOS	32	0	34	144	32	12	5	0%	1.1	22.0%	8.1%	13.9%	3.3%	4.34	4.43	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		60	0	65	275	60	22	9	0%	1.1	22.0%	7.9%	14.0%	3.4%	4.24	4.12	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		186	0	200	844	184	68	28	0%	1.1	22.0%	7.9%	14.0%	3.4%	4.24	4.12	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		88	44	284	1189	263	99	34	50%	3.2	22.2%	8.3%	13.8%	2.9%	3.49	3.86	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	31	200	838	186	70	24	50%	3.2	22.2%	8.3%	13.8%	2.9%	3.49	3.86	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Uberstine (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.15	22.4%	7.2%	3.0%	—	4.39	22.1%	14.3%	109	+0.24	—	—	—
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	71
Connor Schultz R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	25	SU	3.88	19.7%	5.3%	3.2%	.283	4.02	18.8%	10.4%	156	+0.14	3.53	203	70
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	70
Mayckol Guaipe R 2019 · 4.18 FIP	28	SW	4.18	26.0%	7.6%	4.2%	.432	—	—	—	—	—	1.88	136	69
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	69
Sam Lewis R 2019 · 3.41 FIP	27	SP-	3.41	21.0%	10.8%	1.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	224	68
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	66
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	66
Jose Contreras R 2003 · 3.03 FIP	31	SP-	3.03	24.6%	9.9%	1.4%	.255	4.30	17.9%	9.5%	571	+1.27	2.43	1,279	66
Brian Sweeney R 2004 · 3.03 FIP	30	SW	3.03	15.9%	3.2%	1.6%	.380	4.26	9.7%	5.1%	56	+1.23	3.03	108	66
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	65
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	65
Erik Hiljus R 2001 · 3.35 FIP	28	SP-	3.35	23.1%	6.9%	2.4%	.321	6.07	14.1%	4.4%	46	+2.72	3.35	112	65
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	63
Tristan Beck R 2024 · 4.17 FIP	28	SP-	4.17	21.7%	5.1%	4.1%	.348	3.66	19.5%	11.3%	147	-0.51	3.48	501	63
Asher Wojciechowski R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SW	3.99	23.4%	6.5%	3.7%	.299	5.06	21.5%	13.1%	323	+1.07	3.15	678	63
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	63
Tiago Da Silva R 2015 · 3.10 FIP	30	SW	3.10	19.6%	4.5%	2.0%	.278	2.38	21.4%	18.5%	98	-0.72	2.21	287	62
Dustin Nippert R 2009 · 4.09 FIP	28	SP-	4.09	18.0%	9.7%	2.3%	.271	4.49	17.9%	6.1%	57	+0.40	3.83	268	62
Ryan Glynn R 2004 · 5.23 FIP	29	SW	5.23	15.7%	7.9%	4.5%	.234	5.98	18.3%	9.8%	17	+0.75	5.23	226	62

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	22.2%	7.7%	1.26	4.25
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Michael Tonkin ('25)	1.6	55	23.2%	8.1%	1.28	4.23
Shawn Tolleson ('16)	1.1	54	23.1%	8.3%	1.28	3.92
Barney Schultz ('55-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	58	24.6%*	8.3%*	1.28*	3.93*
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Julio Navarro ('62-'70, 1 WAR*)	1.1	53	21.7%*	7.8%*	1.55*	4.13*