David Tiburcio

P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	20	ROKLAD	8	3	21	3.80	4.08	23.0%	5.0%	—	K 15.6% · BB 6.2% · FIP 5.94
2023	21	MIX2 levels	20	1	30	4.25	5.02	17.0%	12.6%	—	K 12.1% · BB 15.3% · FIP 6.18
2024	22	ALAA	28	1	45	6.35	5.44	17.5%	12.0%	—	K 13.0% · BB 14.1% · FIP 6.25
2027PROJ	25	MLBLAA	26	0	27	4.80	4.80	21.1%	11.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBLAA	11	0	12	4.74	4.73	21.5%	11.1%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsFrancisco Del Rosario (age 25) · Garrett Apker (age 24) · Luis Vizcaino (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.80

FIP4.80

K%21.1%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%9.7%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	15	0	30	122	27	10	2	0%	2.0	15.0%	10.2%	4.8%	2.2%	3.94	4.36	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	15	0	30	122	27	10	2	0%	2.0	22.1%	8.2%	13.9%	1.6%	3.94	3.17	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	8	3	21	100	23	5	4	38%	2.7	15.6%	6.2%	9.4%	6.1%	3.80	5.94	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	8	3	21	100	23	5	4	38%	2.7	23.0%	5.0%	18.0%	4.0%	3.80	4.08	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	1	30	135	23	17	4	5%	1.5	12.1%	15.3%	-3.2%	3.9%	4.25	6.18	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	1	30	135	23	17	4	5%	1.5	17.0%	12.6%	4.4%	3.0%	4.25	5.02	—
2024	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	1	45	217	38	26	8	4%	1.6	13.0%	14.1%	-1.2%	4.5%	6.35	6.25	—
2024	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	1	45	217	38	26	8	4%	1.6	13.0%	14.1%	-1.2%	4.5%	6.35	6.25	—
2024	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	1	45	217	38	26	8	4%	1.6	17.5%	12.0%	5.5%	3.7%	6.35	5.44	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	LAA	26	0	27	114	24	13	3	0%	1.0	21.1%	11.3%	9.7%	3.0%	4.80	4.80	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAA	26	0	27	114	24	13	3	0%	1.0	21.5%	11.1%	10.4%	3.0%	4.74	4.73	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAA	11	0	12	51	11	6	2	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.1%	10.4%	3.0%	4.74	4.73	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	49	10	5	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	11.1%	10.4%	3.0%	4.74	4.35	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	87	17	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.1%	10.4%	3.0%	4.74	4.35	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		71	5	126	574	78	70	24	7%	1.8	13.7%	12.2%	1.5%	4.2%	4.86	5.78	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		113	8	200	911	124	111	38	7%	1.8	13.7%	12.2%	1.5%	4.2%	4.86	5.78	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
David Tiburcio (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	21.1%	11.3%	3.0%	—	4.73	21.5%	10.4%	27	-0.07	—	—	—
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	88
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	86
Luis Vizcaino R 2000 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	18.8%	11.5%	2.1%	.354	4.31	22.7%	14.9%	180	+0.20	3.07	564	86
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.24	23.5%	12.2%	22	+0.82	4.42	152	86
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	85
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	85
Jordan Milbrath R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	19.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.272	3.61	19.6%	9.7%	129	-0.44	3.19	386	85
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	85
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	85
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	84
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	84
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	84
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	84
Luke Bell R 2024 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	20.4%	9.9%	1.8%	.295	5.69	13.1%	1.3%	66	+2.07	3.62	110	84
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	84
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	84
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	84
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	84
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	84
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	21.3%	11.2%	1.17	4.77
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*