Logan McGuire

P Lake County Captains

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 204 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	ALynchburg Hil…	37	67	4.43	1.94	26.8%	3.9%	—	K 19.8% · BB 4.6% · FIP 2.66
2026	23	MIX2 levels	36	56	6.55	5.57	20.1%	12.9%	—	K 15.6% · BB 15.0% · FIP 6.57
2027PROJ	24	MLBCLE	64	67	5.16	5.16	16.7%	10.2%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBCLE	28	29	5.00	4.94	18.0%	9.6%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBCLE	43	45	4.91	4.87	18.7%	9.5%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control60Command55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsPedro Echemendia (age 25) · David Reid-Foley (age 24) · Brett McKinney (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.16

FIP5.16

K%16.7%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%6.5%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6060

CMD5555

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	37	0	67	280	75	11	3	0%	1.8	19.8%	4.6%	15.2%	1.2%	4.43	2.66	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	37	0	67	280	75	11	3	0%	1.8	19.8%	4.6%	15.2%	1.2%	4.43	2.66	—
2025	22	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	37	0	67	280	75	11	3	0%	1.8	26.8%	3.9%	22.9%	1.1%	4.43	1.94	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	56	264	53	34	11	0%	1.6	15.6%	15.0%	0.7%	5.3%	6.55	6.57	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	56	264	53	34	11	0%	1.6	15.6%	15.0%	0.7%	5.3%	6.55	6.57	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	56	264	53	34	11	0%	1.6	20.1%	12.9%	7.2%	4.2%	6.55	5.57	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CLE	64	0	67	283	47	29	9	0%	1.0	16.7%	10.2%	6.5%	3.3%	5.16	5.16	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CLE	65	0	68	287	52	27	9	0%	1.0	18.0%	9.6%	8.5%	3.2%	5.00	4.94	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	CLE	65	0	68	287	54	27	9	0%	1.0	18.7%	9.5%	9.2%	3.2%	4.91	4.87	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	CLE	64	0	67	283	53	27	9	0%	1.0	18.9%	9.6%	9.3%	3.3%	4.88	4.88	-0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	CLE	62	0	65	274	52	27	9	0%	1.0	18.9%	9.7%	9.2%	3.4%	4.92	4.95	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	CLE	28	0	29	122	22	12	4	0%	1.0	18.0%	9.6%	8.5%	3.2%	5.00	4.94	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CLE	43	0	45	190	35	18	6	0%	1.0	18.7%	9.5%	9.2%	3.2%	4.91	4.87	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	CLE	50	0	52	220	41	21	7	0%	1.0	18.9%	9.6%	9.3%	3.3%	4.88	4.88	-0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	CLE	52	0	55	232	44	23	8	0%	1.1	18.9%	9.7%	9.2%	3.4%	4.92	4.95	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	764	143	73	25	0%	1.1	18.7%	9.6%	9.1%	3.3%	4.92	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	158	81	28	0%	1.1	18.7%	9.6%	9.1%	3.3%	4.92	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		73	0	123	544	97	53	17	0%	1.7	17.8%	9.7%	8.1%	3.2%	5.40	4.56	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		118	0	200	882	157	85	28	0%	1.7	17.8%	9.7%	8.1%	3.2%	5.40	4.56	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Logan McGuire (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	16.7%	10.2%	3.3%	—	4.90	18.5%	9.0%	203	-0.26	—	—	—
Pedro Echemendia R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	25	SU	4.79	15.0%	8.0%	3.5%	.286	4.31	11.0%	5.9%	72	-0.48	4.31	141	89
David Reid-Foley R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	24	SU	4.68	13.8%	8.8%	3.0%	.308	6.54	16.2%	7.6%	33	+1.86	4.68	110	89
Brett McKinney R 2015 · 4.79 FIP	24	SU	4.79	17.1%	8.9%	3.6%	.335	4.02	18.1%	8.5%	129	-0.77	3.43	183	89
Rob Griswold R 2022 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	16.8%	8.3%	3.2%	.244	4.34	12.5%	6.2%	144	-0.13	3.57	203	89
Vinnie Chulk R 2004 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	17.7%	10.5%	2.4%	.308	3.95	16.9%	9.6%	171	-0.31	2.97	271	89
Brian Glowicki R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	16.4%	8.3%	3.0%	.275	3.92	26.0%	14.1%	62	-0.49	2.31	189	89
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	88
Troy Neiman R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	13.1%	8.5%	2.7%	.287	4.47	19.7%	11.7%	135	-0.07	4.03	199	88
Kyle Whitten R 2023 · 4.35 FIP	24	SU	4.35	18.0%	9.5%	2.9%	.296	5.14	18.0%	8.1%	37	+0.79	4.32	152	88
Jack Carey R 2024 · 5.32 FIP	24	SU	5.32	15.6%	11.3%	3.8%	.305	4.27	19.6%	5.3%	88	-1.05	3.79	250	88
Josh Uhen R 2016 · 4.09 FIP	24	SU	4.09	16.1%	9.7%	2.0%	.303	4.02	15.6%	1.2%	82	-0.07	3.17	185	88
Brady Choban R 2024 · 4.49 FIP	23	SU	4.49	16.1%	8.8%	3.0%	.262	4.02	13.3%	4.1%	80	-0.47	3.59	131	88
D.J. Carrasco R 2003 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	16.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.291	4.66	10.5%	1.4%	150	+0.39	3.23	490	87
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	87
Rhiner Cruz R 2012 · 4.80 FIP	25	SU	4.80	18.2%	11.5%	3.2%	.335	4.81	10.2%	-1.0%	21	+0.01	3.21	127	87
Matt Lollis R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	18.5%	12.2%	2.7%	.237	4.95	19.2%	4.7%	56	+0.39	4.56	120	87
Ryan Ledbetter R 2016 · 4.76 FIP	24	SU	4.76	18.5%	12.3%	3.0%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	4.76	124	87
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	87
Jeff Bennett R 2004 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	14.2%	7.6%	3.8%	.281	4.36	24.6%	21.1%	13	-0.58	3.62	228	87
Miguel Guerrero R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	18.1%	10.3%	3.1%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	171	87

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	18.2%	9.7%	1.26	4.97
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
J. C. Gutierrez ('07-'14, -0 WAR*)	1.4	57	19.8%*	8.5%*	1.19*	4.72*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*