Jack Hurley

OF Reno Aces
Age 25 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs AAA HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422A+ARI505.245/.308/.404121444—.185/.234/.306
202523AA/ROK/INTL2 orgs370.215/.288/.36710534—.146/.199/.229
202624AAA/AAARI204.254/.332/.4095073—.228/.292/.357
2027PROJ10% MLB25MLBARI14.192/.246/.3030049-0.1
2028PROJ35% MLB26MLBARI68.195/.251/.3111153-0.3
Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Max EV91
K%49
Speed41
Whiff%31
BB%29
Chase%29
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsJameson Fisher (age 25) · Courtney Hawkins (age 25) · Seth Gray (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .246 / .303
PA14
HR0
K%36
BB%7
BABIP293
ISO77
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.6-0.32728
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 A+Hillsboro Hops — 8882 24511 5251 61 293341415756 122411 286 338 70 — — — — — —
202321 AVisalia Rawhide — 4234 9401 7131 30 265405471875 206400 3117 392 78 — — — — — —
202321 ROKACL D-backs Red — 1711 2000 462 10 182471182652 400 3524 357 43 — — — — — —
202422 A+Hillsboro Hops — 505458 11229412 361366 146 245308404712 159317 277 315 44 — — — — — —
202523 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles — 261238 521127 141075 16 218276370646 151354 415 285 24 — — — — — —
202523 ROKACL D-backs — 5042 6001 7230 00 143265214480 71263 4614 230 -31 — — — — — —
202523 INTLSalt River Rafters — 5950 13312 7171 40 260362480842 220344 2912 366 134 — — — — — —
202624 AAAReno Aces — 122106 30821 10285 00 283372425796 142377 238 356 95 — — — — — —
202624 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles — 8275 16104 5251 01 213272387658 173261 306 290 41 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 8883 21411 4341 61 253295361657 108403 395 272 70 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 4236 7301 5171 30 194310361671 167337 4012 284 78 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEACL D-backs Red — 1713 1000 292 10 7729477371 313 5312 232 43 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 505470 8721310 241906 146 185234306540 121271 385 233 44 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 261242 40824 101345 16 165214264478 99316 514 204 24 — — — — — —
202523 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 5045 2000 4350 00 4412244167 193 708 122 -31 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEReno Aces — 122109 28721 7345 00 257331385716 128357 286 308 95 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 8276 14103 4311 01 184235316550 132239 385 229 41 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLE3 teams — 147132 29712 11604 101 220299333633 114386 417 271 69 — — — — — —
202321 A+ RAW3 teams — 147127 35912 16444 101 276374409784 134407 3011 355 69 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 505470 8721310 241906 146 185234306540 121280 385 233 44 — — — — — —
202422 A+ RAWHillsboro Hops — 505458 11229412 361366 146 245308404712 159317 277 315 44 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE3 teams — 370341 49925 172016 56 144198226424 82314 545 191 15 — — — — — —
202523 AA RAW3 teams — 370330 7114310 281476 56 215288367655 152343 408 290 15 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 204185 42824 11646 01 227292357649 130325 315 276 73 — — — — — —
202624 AAA RAW2 teams — 204181 46925 15536 01 254332409741 155333 267 329 73 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLE3 teams — 147131 29712 11604 101 221299336635 115374 417 271 69 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 505470 8721310 241906 146 185234306540 121271 385 233 44 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE3 teams — 370344 49925 172016 56 142198224422 81296 545 191 15 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 204185 42824 11646 01 227292357649 130310 315 276 73 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 505470 8721310 241906 146 185234306540 121271 385 233 44 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE3 teams — 370344 49925 172016 56 142198224422 81296 545 191 15 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 204185 42824 11646 01 227292357649 130310 315 276 73 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEARI 10% 254235 44924 12935 22 186241292533 107282 375 241 49 -15 -0 +0 -2 +6 -0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXARI 10% 1413 3100 150 00 192246303549 111293 367 247 49 -1 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEARI 35% 197181 35714 10714 12 189246301547 112282 365 246 53 -11 -1 +0 -1 +4 -0.9
202826 MLB CTXARI 35% 6864 13311 3241 11 195251311562 116293 354 253 53 -4 -0 +0 -0 +1 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 6864 13311 3241 11 203250328578 125308 354 253 45 -4 -0 +0 -0 +1 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650612 125291010 2922910 1010 204252333586 129308 354 253 45 -36 -2 +0 -4 +14 -2.9
Career— MLE — 15591435 266571027 7963629 3117 185242295538 110305 415 235 45 -19 -1 +0 -2 +7 -1.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650598 11124411 3326512 137 186243294537 109306 415 235 45 -38 -2 +0 -4 +14 -3.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAReno Aces · 122 PAwOBA .347 → .308 (−39)K% 23.0% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.95%÷1.000×1.200——27.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.20%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0485.93%
HBP% /PA4.10%—×0.940—×1.0484.04%
Singles /BIP24.36%÷1.000×0.930×1.004×1.04823.83%
Doubles /BIP10.26%÷1.000×0.830×1.004×1.0488.95%
Triples /BIP2.56%÷1.000×0.970×1.004×1.0482.62%
Home runs /BIP1.28%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0480.94%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .347 → .308; ISO .142 → .122; BABIP .377 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 82 PAwOBA .282 → .229 (−53)K% 30.5% → 37.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.49%÷1.000×1.220——37.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.10%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0124.32%
HBP% /PA1.22%—×0.870—×1.0121.07%
Singles /BIP22.00%÷1.000×0.920×1.008×1.01220.65%
Doubles /BIP2.00%÷1.000×0.840×1.008×1.0121.71%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.940×1.008×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP8.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0126.48%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .282 → .229; ISO .173 → .133; BABIP .261 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 261 PAwOBA .280 → .204 (−77)K% 41.0% → 51.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA41.00%÷0.972×1.220——51.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.36%÷0.994×0.700—×1.0273.88%
HBP% /PA1.92%—×0.870—×1.0271.71%
Singles /BIP24.43%÷1.041×0.920×1.042×1.02723.08%
Doubles /BIP8.40%÷1.119×0.840×1.042×1.0276.75%
Triples /BIP1.53%÷0.985×0.940×1.042×1.0271.56%
Home runs /BIP5.34%÷1.333×0.800—×1.0273.29%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 108, 2B 124, 3B 97, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.

Result: wOBA .280 → .204; ISO .151 → .093; BABIP .354 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL D-backs · 50 PAwOBA .229 → .122 (−107)K% 46.0% → 69.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA46.00%÷0.952×1.440——69.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.00%÷0.942×0.620—×0.9658.89%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Singles /BIP26.32%÷1.030×0.820—×0.96520.22%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.945×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.939×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Home runs /BIP5.26%÷0.862×0.780—×0.9654.59%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 106, 2B 89, 3B 88, K 90, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .229 → .122; ISO .071 → .035; BABIP .263 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Hillsboro Hops · 505 PAwOBA .309 → .233 (−76)K% 26.9% → 37.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.93%÷0.964×1.350——37.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.13%÷1.086×0.710—×1.0124.72%
HBP% /PA1.19%—×0.810—×1.0120.97%
Singles /BIP20.81%÷1.049×0.910×1.014×1.01218.52%
Doubles /BIP9.01%÷1.066×0.830×1.014×1.0127.19%
Triples /BIP1.24%÷1.150×0.820×1.014×1.0120.91%
Home runs /BIP3.73%÷0.875×0.830—×1.0123.58%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 110, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 93, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .309 → .233; ISO .159 → .123; BABIP .317 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Hillsboro Hops · 88 PAwOBA .329 → .272 (−57)K% 28.4% → 38.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.41%÷0.987×1.350——38.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.68%÷1.038×0.710—×1.0273.99%
HBP% /PA1.14%—×0.810—×1.0270.95%
Singles /BIP29.82%÷0.980×0.910×1.045×1.02729.73%
Doubles /BIP8.77%÷0.947×0.830×1.045×1.0278.25%
Triples /BIP1.75%÷0.900×0.820×1.045×1.0271.72%
Home runs /BIP1.75%÷0.952×0.830—×1.0271.57%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .329 → .272; ISO .122 → .099; BABIP .411 → .403. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AVisalia Rawhide · 42 PAwOBA .382 → .284 (−99)K% 31.0% → 41.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.95%÷1.019×1.360——41.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷0.987×0.690—×1.01511.82%
HBP% /PA2.38%—×0.780—×1.0151.88%
Singles /BIP19.05%÷1.060×0.920—×1.01516.78%
Doubles /BIP19.05%÷1.029×0.830—×1.01515.60%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP4.76%÷1.003×0.800—×1.0153.85%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 112, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .382 → .284; ISO .206 → .151; BABIP .400 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL D-backs Red · 17 PAwOBA .351 → .232 (−119)K% 35.3% → 50.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.29%÷1.005×1.440——50.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.53%÷1.023×0.620—×0.98514.04%
HBP% /PA11.76%—×0.720—×0.9858.34%
Singles /BIP40.00%÷1.033×0.820—×0.98531.26%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.987×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.918×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .351 → .232; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .400 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .