Jack Hurley — OGILVIE

Jack HurleyOF Reno Aces

Age 24 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION190 act + 126 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†33

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .231 / .280

PA126

HR2

K%40

BB%5

BABIP289

ISO102

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-14M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A+	3 teams	—	147	133	28	7	1	2	10	61	4	10	1	211	286	323	609	113	371	41	7	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	3 teams	—	147	127	35	9	1	2	16	44	4	10	1	276	374	409	784	134	407	30	11	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	505	475	76	17	2	11	19	206	6	14	6	160	202	274	476	114	247	41	4	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	505	458	112	29	4	12	36	136	6	14	6	245	308	404	712	159	317	27	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	3 teams	—	370	341	41	7	2	4	17	218	6	5	6	120	176	188	364	67	298	59	5	167	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	3 teams	—	370	330	71	14	3	10	28	147	6	5	6	215	288	367	655	152	343	40	8	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	ARI	—	190	172	36	7	2	2	10	62	6	0	1	209	277	308	585	99	315	33	5	257	55	-10	-0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
YTD	24	AAA	ARI	—	190	168	43	9	2	3	14	48	6	0	1	256	335	387	722	131	342	25	7	323	106	+1	-0	+0	-1	+5	0.5
ROS	24	AAA	ARI	10%	126	117	21	4	1	2	6	51	2	1	1	178	231	280	511	102	286	40	5	228	33	-10	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
ROS	24	MLB	ARI	10%	13	12	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	83	154	83	237		288	38	8	216	24	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
FULL	24	AAA	ARI	—	203	184	37	7	2	2	11	67	6	0	1	201	269	293	562	92	304	33	5	255	53	-11	-0	+0	-1	+6	-0.7
TOT	24	AAA	ARI	—	316	289	57	11	3	4	16	113	8	1	2	197	258	297	555	100	305	36	5	246	46	-19	-1	+0	-2	+9	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	ARI	35%	355	328	61	12	2	7	18	137	6	3	3	186	241	299	540	113	286	39	5	239	41	-24	-1	+0	-2	+10	-1.7
2028	26	MLB	ARI	46%	397	366	68	13	2	8	21	148	7	4	3	186	244	298	541	112	287	37	5	248	48	-23	-0	+0	-2	+11	-1.5
2029	27	MLB	ARI	50%	411	378	72	14	2	9	23	151	7	4	3	190	250	310	560	119	287	37	6	252	51	-23	-0	+0	-2	+12	-1.4
2030	28	MLB	ARI	52%	419	385	73	14	2	9	24	153	7	4	3	190	250	306	556	117	286	37	6	253	51	-23	-0	-1	-3	+12	-1.5
2027	25	MLB	ARI	35%	123	114	21	4	1	2	6	47	2	1	1	184	238	289	527	105	288	38	5	229	33	-9	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.7
2028	26	MLB	ARI	46%	184	169	32	6	1	4	10	69	3	2	1	189	247	308	555	118	289	38	5	238	40	-12	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
2029	27	MLB	ARI	50%	206	189	36	7	1	4	12	76	3	2	2	190	250	302	552	111	289	37	6	242	43	-13	-0	+0	-1	+6	-0.9
2030	28	MLB	ARI	52%	218	199	39	8	1	5	13	80	4	2	2	196	259	322	581	126	289	37	6	243	44	-14	-0	-0	-1	+6	-1.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	744	683	129	25	4	15	42	277	12	7	6	189	248	303	551	114	289	37	6	238	41	-50	-1	-0	-4	+21	-3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	112	22	3	13	37	242	10	6	5	188	247	300	547	112	287	37	6	238	41	-44	-1	-0	-4	+18	-3.1
Career	—			—	2730	2523	440	88	14	52	138	1125	45	45	26	174	230	282	512	108	284	41	5	229	34	-204	-1	-1	-16	+77	-14.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	104	21	3	12	33	268	11	11	6	173	230	278	508	105	282	41	5	229	34	-49	-0	-0	-4	+18	-3.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	88	82	24	5	1	1	5	25	1	6	1	293	341	415	756	122	411	28	6	338	117	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2023	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	42	34	9	4	0	1	7	13	1	3	0	265	405	471	875	206	400	31	17	392	158	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	21	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	17	11	2	0	0	0	4	6	2	1	0	182	471	182	652		400	35	24	357	131	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	505	458	112	29	4	12	36	136	6	14	6	245	308	404	712	159	317	27	7	315	99	-1	+0	—	—	+14	1.4
2025	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	261	238	52	11	2	7	14	107	5	1	6	218	276	370	646	151	354	41	5	285	76	-7	-2	—	—	+7	-0.2
2025	23	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	50	42	6	0	0	1	7	23	0	0	0	143	265	214	480	71	263	46	14	230	34	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	59	50	13	3	1	2	7	17	1	4	0	260	362	480	842	220	344	29	12	366	138	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	763	15	7	189	244	303	-5	+0	-3.0	-1.5
	/162	664	13	6	189	244	303	-4.0	+0.0	-2.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Hurley (OGILVIE)	24	25	45	40	25	197/258/297	100	305	4	1	36%	5%	46	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Neil Medchill 2011 · A	24	36→29	44→50	43→45	34	180/237/293	113	299	13	7	43%	6%	42	-2.3	198/257/337	139	322	17	7	41%	7%	62	-0.9	194/252/334	139	310	18	5	41%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Travis Maezes 2017 · A	23	32	44→45	41→45	31	166/216/275	109	289	12	3	45%	6%	28	-3.2	188/246/312	124	317	14	6	43%	7%	51	-1.7	162/227/290	128	263	17	4	44%	7%	36	-1.2
✕Brandon Dulin 2017 · A	24	40→30	43→45	46→40	35	203/245/307	105	286	11	4	33%	4%	48	-1.9	202/258/338	136	287	17	3	35%	5%	63	-0.8	176/240/328	152	235	23	0	36%	6%	50	-1.3
✕Max Burt 2021 · AA	24	39	40→45	44→55	34	192/239/277	84	280	9	6	34%	4%	38	-2.6	202/254/321	119	291	13	16	34%	5%	56	-1.3	193/249/316	123	274	14	21	34%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Michael Harrington 2010 · A	24	38→34	41→45	45→40	39	189/237/289	101	266	8	3	32%	6%	40	-2.4	191/242/275	84	287	6	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	149/205/195	45	234	3	0	35%	6%	0	-1.6
✕Pat Porter 2017 · A	24	31	44→45	47→45	37	165/231/277	113	250	12	7	38%	6%	36	-2.7	189/250/287	98	292	9	8	36%	6%	46	-2.0	170/232/237	67	267	6	5	37%	6%	23	-1.3
✕Courtney Hawkins 2018 · AA	24	34→33	47→50	36→50	31	182/224/312	131	283	16	2	41%	4%	41	-2.3	193/239/346	153	282	20	5	38%	5%	57	-1.2	179/227/349	170	239	25	4	37%	5%	51	-0.8
✕Leandro Emiliani 2023 · A	23	35	44→45	48→30	37	181/242/296	115	280	12	3	38%	6%	45	-2.1	192/250/291	99	312	9	4	39%	6%	46	-2.0	162/220/236	74	276	5	0	41%	6%	20	-1.6
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	34→27	41→45	45→40	34	174/219/271	97	274	8	4	39%	5%	27	-3.3	190/236/303	113	293	12	4	38%	5%	43	-2.2	180/226/293	113	272	14	3	38%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Agustin Ruiz 2022 · AA	22	34→33	47→50	42→40	37	183/242/306	123	272	16	4	38%	6%	48	-1.9	187/257/332	145	265	18	4	36%	7%	62	-0.9	168/245/307	139	232	18	2	35%	7%	49	-1.1
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	37→31	40	43→50	37	182/237/266	85	290	8	8	38%	7%	34	-2.8	216/287/322	106	294	11	19	28%	8%	70	-0.3	228/308/337	109	285	13	25	23%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Tristen Lutz 2022 · AA	23	38→37	44→45	39→40	33	188/244/300	112	313	13	5	42%	6%	47	-1.9	201/271/330	129	350	15	5	43%	8%	67	-0.5	182/263/311	129	324	17	1	45%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Reynaldo Rivera 2021 · A	24	38→32	43→50	50→30	36	188/242/300	112	301	11	5	40%	6%	46	-2.0	193/253/371	178	360	24	4	50%	6%	70	-0.3	149/214/350	201	255	31	0	54%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Robby Martin Jr. 2023 · A	23	35	39→40	42→50	31	172/216/258	86	296	6	7	43%	5%	23	-3.6	198/238/286	88	290	8	11	33%	5%	40	-2.4	198/236/280	82	276	8	13	30%	4%	34	-1.4
✕Vince Fernandez 2019 · A	24	36→37	43→55	46→45	35	172/238/279	107	313	10	9	46%	7%	39	-2.5	186/252/335	149	316	17	6	44%	7%	59	-1.1	176/248/349	173	274	22	4	42%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Craig Dedelow 2019 · A	24	38→34	45→50	44→45	35	198/232/325	126	263	12	4	30%	4%	47	-1.9	184/229/307	123	276	13	4	37%	5%	42	-2.3	161/224/296	135	264	16	7	44%	6%	36	-2.3
✕David Harris 2016 · A	24	39	42→45	47→50	32	195/235/294	99	289	10	9	35%	4%	40	-2.4	198/245/293	95	308	8	10	36%	5%	44	-2.1	157/197/226	69	262	5	10	40%	3%	4	-0.9
✕Ben Johnson 2017 · A	23	37→31	39→50	43→45	31	177/225/266	89	301	7	6	42%	5%	29	-3.2	182/234/262	80	334	6	12	45%	5%	32	-3.0	122/174/152	31	251	4	26	50%	4%	-24	-1.6
✕James Robbins 2015 · AA	24	39→40	43→45	39→40	27	186/220/293	107	326	10	3	45%	3%	33	-2.9	198/231/291	93	300	8	5	35%	3%	37	-2.6	190/215/259	69	274	5	3	32%	2%	18	-2.7
✕Carlos Herrera 2021 · AA	24	37→41	40→45	47→50	35	185/226/276	91	274	7	11	34%	4%	31	-3.0	214/251/332	118	296	10	16	30%	4%	57	-1.2	213/241/342	129	290	10	21	30%	2%	52	-0.9