Jack Hurley — OGILVIE

Jack HurleyOF Reno Aces

Age 24 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs AAA HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION204 act + 26 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%4

BABIP291

ISO40

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	88	82	24	5	1	1	5	25	1	6	1	293	341	415	756	122	411	28	6	338	115	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	42	34	9	4	0	1	7	13	1	3	0	265	405	471	875	206	400	31	17	392	151	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	21	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	17	11	2	0	0	0	4	6	2	1	0	182	471	182	652		400	35	24	357	128	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	505	458	112	29	4	12	36	136	6	14	6	245	308	404	712	159	317	27	7	315	99	-1	+0	—	—	+11	1.1
2025	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	261	238	52	11	2	7	14	107	5	1	6	218	276	370	646	151	354	41	5	285	79	-7	-2	—	—	+6	-0.3
2025	23	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	50	42	6	0	0	1	7	23	0	0	0	143	265	214	480	71	263	46	14	230	42	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	59	50	13	3	1	2	7	17	1	4	0	260	362	480	842	220	344	29	12	366	134	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	88	84	20	4	1	1	3	35	1	6	1	238	273	345	618	107	373	40	3	247	53	-5	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	42	36	7	3	0	1	5	17	1	3	0	194	310	361	671	167	330	40	12	287	80	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	17	13	1	0	0	0	2	9	2	1	0	77	294	77	371		317	53	12	234	45	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	505	473	80	18	3	10	21	197	6	14	6	169	214	283	497	114	253	39	4	215	32	-41	+0	—	—	+11	-3.0
2025	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	261	242	40	8	2	4	10	134	5	1	6	165	214	264	478	99	314	51	4	201	22	-24	-2	—	—	+6	-2.1
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	50	44	3	0	0	1	5	35	0	0	0	68	163	136	300	68	200	70	10	125	-29	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2023	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	147	133	27	6	1	2	10	61	4	10	1	203	279	308	587	105	357	41	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	147	127	35	9	1	2	16	44	4	10	1	276	374	409	784	134	407	30	11	355	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	505	473	80	18	3	10	21	197	6	14	6	169	214	283	497	114	258	39	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	—	505	458	112	29	4	12	36	136	6	14	6	245	308	404	712	159	317	27	7	315	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	370	341	49	9	2	5	17	201	6	5	6	144	198	226	424	82	314	54	5	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	370	330	71	14	3	10	28	147	6	5	6	215	288	367	655	152	343	40	8	290	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	147	132	27	6	1	2	10	61	4	10	1	205	279	311	590	106	354	41	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	505	473	80	18	3	10	21	197	6	14	6	169	214	283	497	114	253	39	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	370	344	49	9	2	5	17	201	6	5	6	142	198	224	422	81	296	54	5	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	147	132	27	6	1	2	10	61	4	10	1	205	279	311	590	106	354	41	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	505	473	80	18	3	10	21	197	6	14	6	169	214	283	497	114	253	39	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	370	344	49	9	2	5	17	201	6	5	6	142	198	224	422	81	296	54	5	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	ARI	—	204	185	39	7	2	4	11	67	6	0	1	211	277	335	612	124	307	33	5	259	62	-9	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	ARI	—	82	75	16	1	0	4	5	25	1	0	1	213	272	387	658	173	261	30	6	290	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA RAW	ARI	—	122	106	30	8	2	1	10	28	5	0	0	283	372	425	796	142	377	23	8	356	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AAA MLE	ARI	10%	26	25	4	1	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	160	192	200	392	40	284	38	4	236	46	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	24	MLB CTX	ARI	10%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						291	33	0	226	46	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	MLB A+C	ARI	—	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0							33	0	226	60	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	AAA MLE	ARI	—	230	210	43	8	2	4	12	77	6	0	1	205	268	319	587	114	302	33	5	257	60	-11	-0	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ARI	35%	355	328	62	12	2	7	18	131	6	3	3	189	244	302	546	113	283	37	5	246	52	-20	-1	+0	-2	+8	-1.5
2028	26	MLB MLE	ARI	46%	397	365	70	14	2	8	22	142	7	3	3	192	251	307	558	115	284	36	6	253	58	-20	-1	+0	-2	+9	-1.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	ARI	50%	411	377	73	14	2	9	24	144	7	4	3	194	255	313	568	119	284	35	6	257	60	-20	-0	+0	-2	+9	-1.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	419	384	75	15	2	9	25	146	7	3	3	195	257	315	572	120	284	35	6	258	61	-20	-1	-1	-3	+9	-1.5
2027	25	MLB CTX	ARI	35%	123	114	21	4	1	2	6	45	2	1	1	184	238	289	527	105	289	37	5	236	52	-7	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	ARI	46%	184	169	33	7	1	4	10	66	3	2	1	195	253	320	572	124	290	36	5	244	58	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
2029	27	MLB CTX	ARI	50%	206	189	37	8	1	4	12	72	3	2	2	196	255	312	567	116	290	35	6	248	60	-10	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
2030	28	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	218	199	39	8	1	4	13	76	4	2	2	196	259	307	566	111	290	35	6	248	61	-10	-0	-0	-1	+5	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	734	674	130	27	4	14	41	260	12	7	6	193	252	307	559	114	287	35	6	245	47	-36	-1	-0	-4	+16	-2.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	115	24	4	12	36	230	11	6	5	193	252	307	558	114	287	35	6	245	47	-32	-1	-0	-4	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2630	2426	440	89	14	50	138	1032	43	42	25	181	238	291	530	110	286	39	5	237	47	-81	-2	-1	-10	+35	-6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	108	22	3	12	34	255	11	10	6	180	237	287	524	107	285	39	5	237	47	-33	-1	-0	-4	+14	-2.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.1	763	16	7	193	249	312	-5	+0	-2.3	-1.2
/162	664	14	6	-4.0	+0.0	-2.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Hurley (OGILVIE)	24	25	45	40	25	180/234/285	105	284	5	3	39%	5%	46	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Neil Medchill 2011 · A	24	35→28	43→50	44→45	34	176/234/281	106	301	12	7	44%	6%	45	-2.7	196/255/326	130	322	16	7	41%	7%	63	-1.4	195/254/325	130	312	17	5	41%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Greyson Jenista 2021 · AA	24	41→35	41→45	40→45	41	200/261/298	98	302	9	5	35%	8%	59	-1.7	187/251/337	150	300	20	7	42%	7%	65	-1.2	166/231/321	155	255	23	6	43%	7%	51	-1.3
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	36	43→45	47→50	36	183/253/291	109	286	12	12	38%	6%	55	-1.9	197/264/307	110	291	11	12	35%	6%	62	-1.4	178/246/285	108	255	13	12	34%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	39→38	42→50	46→55	38	194/256/302	108	290	9	11	35%	6%	57	-1.8	185/249/303	118	274	11	13	35%	6%	56	-1.9	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Ryan Kirby 2019 · A	24	37→34	44→45	46→40	37	187/253/306	119	285	11	4	37%	6%	58	-1.7	190/250/307	117	327	12	7	43%	6%	57	-1.8	94/150/192	98	197	15	7	59%	6%	-8	-1.2
✕Michael Harrington 2010 · A	24	38→34	41→45	45→40	39	189/237/289	101	266	8	3	32%	6%	47	-2.5	191/243/275	84	284	6	5	33%	6%	46	-2.6	150/206/197	46	230	3	0	34%	6%	13	-1.5
✕Courtney Hawkins 2018 · AA	24	34	45→50	36→50	32	181/223/298	117	274	13	2	38%	4%	45	-2.7	193/238/339	146	278	19	5	37%	5%	60	-1.6	180/226/344	164	240	24	4	36%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	39→34	44→50	46→50	34	194/238/310	117	291	11	11	36%	4%	53	-2.1	198/246/338	140	298	16	12	38%	5%	62	-1.4	166/224/312	146	239	20	14	39%	7%	46	-1.3
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA	25	37→36	44→40	47→50	37	181/259/288	107	301	13	8	42%	7%	57	-1.8	210/285/315	105	347	11	13	39%	8%	72	-0.7	215/296/309	95	358	10	19	39%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Brandon Dulin 2017 · A	24	40→30	44→45	46→40	35	202/245/311	109	285	12	4	33%	4%	55	-1.9	200/257/329	129	284	16	3	34%	6%	65	-1.2	174/238/312	138	234	20	0	35%	6%	51	-1.7
✕Pat Porter 2017 · A	24	31	43→45	47→45	37	167/234/276	110	252	11	7	37%	6%	44	-2.8	191/252/289	98	290	9	8	35%	6%	53	-2.1	175/236/244	69	267	7	5	35%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Jose Medina 2018 · A	23	39	44→45	40→45	36	194/248/310	116	287	12	4	36%	6%	57	-1.8	212/263/320	108	286	10	5	28%	6%	64	-1.3	215/262/318	104	266	9	2	23%	6%	59	-0.8
✕Mason Martin 2023 · AAA	24	34→33	49→55	48→45	33	180/234/333	153	290	17	8	43%	6%	57	-1.8	181/257/324	143	314	17	9	44%	8%	64	-1.3	147/244/284	137	251	19	8	46%	10%	49	-1.0
✕Brenden Webb 2015 · A	25	36→39	44→45	47→50	38	179/245/292	114	297	11	9	41%	7%	51	-2.2	193/248/296	103	300	10	12	37%	6%	53	-2.1	183/231/282	99	276	12	16	37%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Ben Johnson 2017 · A	23	36→30	40→50	43→45	32	176/227/268	93	303	7	6	42%	5%	38	-3.2	183/236/266	83	342	7	12	45%	5%	41	-3.0	126/179/161	35	264	5	26	51%	4%	-6	-1.5
✕Kyle Greene 2010 · A	24	41→43	42→45	40→30	35	199/253/302	103	311	10	2	38%	5%	57	-1.8	202/271/301	99	322	9	2	37%	7%	63	-1.4	194/269/287	92	313	8	0	37%	8%	58	-0.9
✕Shane Matheny 2019 · A	23	38→41	39→45	41→50	35	185/241/259	75	303	8	4	40%	6%	42	-2.9	186/247/281	95	297	10	4	38%	7%	49	-2.4	190/280/310	120	295	13	9	37%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Tristen Lutz 2022 · AA	23	39→37	44→45	39→40	34	193/250/304	111	310	12	5	40%	6%	56	-1.9	209/280/334	125	339	14	5	39%	8%	74	-0.5	197/277/321	124	323	16	1	41%	9%	68	-0.4
✕Gage Canning 2021 · A	24	40→36	39→40	50	34	190/241/275	84	312	6	11	39%	5%	45	-2.7	203/252/293	90	328	8	6	38%	5%	54	-2.0	221/272/313	92	333	8	3	34%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Robby Martin Jr. 2023 · A	23	36	40	42→50	32	176/221/267	91	296	7	7	42%	5%	36	-3.4	200/241/293	93	289	9	11	32%	5%	49	-2.4	200/239/287	87	276	9	13	30%	4%	44	-1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps