Armando Cruz — OGILVIE

Armando CruzSS Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 160 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†18

AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .205 / .224

PA1

HR0

K%29

BB%4

BABIP240

ISO63

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	197	177	41	8	1	1	16	27	0	11	4	232	295	305	600	73	265	14	8	270	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	17	15	4	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	267	353	333	686	67	308	12	12	317	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	226	207	57	8	2	2	11	39	3	6	5	275	321	362	684	87	329	17	5	302	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	372	331	63	9	1	3	31	67	4	7	7	190	268	251	519	60	228	18	8	240	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	70	66	15	1	1	1	2	14	0	1	0	227	250	318	568	91	275	20	3	246	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	315	286	64	9	0	1	17	39	2	18	5	224	272	266	538	42	251	12	5	241	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	333	305	54	8	3	1	17	75	1	5	3	177	223	233	456	56	230	23	5	204	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	197	182	30	5	1	1	11	33	0	11	4	165	212	220	432	55	183	17	6	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	17	16	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	250	294	312	607	62	298	18	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	226	211	43	6	1	2	7	56	3	6	5	204	240	270	510	66	254	25	3	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	372	342	56	7	1	3	20	93	4	7	7	164	219	216	435	53	206	25	5	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	70	67	13	1	1	1	1	19	0	1	0	194	206	284	489	90	233	27	1	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	315	291	58	8	0	1	12	51	2	18	5	199	236	237	473	38	225	16	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	333	311	43	6	2	1	11	102	1	5	3	138	170	180	350	42	196	31	3	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	197	182	30	5	1	1	11	33	0	11	4	165	212	220	432	55	193	17	6	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	197	177	41	8	1	1	16	27	0	11	4	232	295	305	600	73	265	14	8	270	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	243	226	47	7	1	2	9	59	3	6	5	208	248	274	522	66	271	24	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	243	222	61	9	2	2	13	41	3	6	5	275	324	360	684	86	328	17	5	303	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	372	342	56	7	1	3	20	93	4	7	7	164	219	216	435	53	214	25	5	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	372	331	63	9	1	3	31	67	4	7	7	190	268	251	519	60	228	18	8	240	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	385	358	71	9	1	2	13	70	2	19	5	198	231	246	476	47	237	18	3	204	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	385	352	79	10	1	2	19	53	2	19	5	224	268	276	544	51	255	14	5	242	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	333	311	43	6	2	1	11	102	1	5	3	138	170	180	350	42	201	31	3	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	333	305	54	8	3	1	17	75	1	5	3	177	223	233	456	56	230	23	5	204	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	197	184	30	5	1	1	11	33	0	11	4	163	212	217	430	54	183	17	6	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	243	229	47	7	1	2	9	59	3	6	5	205	248	271	519	66	257	24	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	372	345	56	7	1	3	20	93	4	7	7	162	219	214	433	52	206	25	5	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	385	367	71	9	1	2	13	70	2	19	5	193	231	240	470	46	226	18	3	204	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	333	318	43	6	2	1	11	102	1	5	3	135	170	176	346	41	196	31	3	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	385	367	71	9	1	2	13	70	2	19	5	193	231	240	470	46	226	18	3	204	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	333	318	43	6	2	1	11	102	1	5	3	135	170	176	346	41	196	31	3	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	443	423	74	13	2	2	15	127	2	8	3	173	206	226	431	52	241	29	3	195	18	-43	+0	+0	+5	+10	-1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	WSH	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	173	205	224	429	51	240	0	0	195	18	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	WSH	30%	183	173	31	5	1	1	7	52	1	3	1	180	214	246	460	66	244	28	4	208	27	-16	+0	+0	+2	+4	-1.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	WSH	44%	295	280	52	9	2	3	12	82	1	5	2	185	222	264	486	78	247	28	4	219	34	-23	+0	+0	+3	+6	-1.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	WSH	30%	55	53	9	2	0	0	2	16	0	1	0	179	214	244	458	64	244	29	4	207	27	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	WSH	44%	131	124	23	4	1	1	5	36	1	2	1	185	222	262	484	77	246	27	4	218	34	-10	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	186	177	32	6	1	1	7	52	1	3	1	181	216	243	459	62	248	28	4	215	19	-15	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	619	111	21	3	3	24	182	3	10	3	179	213	237	451	58	247	28	4	215	19	-53	+1	+0	+7	+14	-3.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2176	2031	359	53	10	14	89	539	13	59	28	177	216	233	450	57	231	25	4	196	19	-55	+1	+0	+7	+14	-3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	607	107	16	3	4	27	161	4	18	8	176	217	232	449	56	231	25	4	196	19	-56	+1	+0	+7	+14	-3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Armando Cruz (OGILVIE)	23	25	25	45	20	172/204/224	52	241	1	3	29%	3%	18	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Neil Walton 2007 · A	23	36→32	35→30	48→50	35	176/222/234	57	271	3	12	35%	5%	28	-3.9	197/242/272	75	290	4	11	31%	5%	44	-2.8	199/243/273	74	286	3	10	30%	5%	42	-1.7
✕Henrry Pedra 2016 · A	22	36	34→30	45→50	41	172/234/219	47	244	1	12	28%	6%	30	-3.8	181/256/239	58	238	3	13	23%	7%	45	-2.7	154/230/206	52	200	3	16	23%	5%	25	-1.5
✕Jonathan Guzmán 2023 · AA	23	32→42	37→30	50	36	165/205/235	71	236	5	12	32%	4%	22	-4.3	185/238/255	70	276	6	10	33%	6%	40	-3.1	171/236/211	40	265	4	9	35%	7%	26	-1.0
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	23	33	36→40	47→30	37	163/220/228	65	260	3	7	37%	6%	27	-4.0	169/245/243	74	277	6	4	38%	8%	40	-3.0	134/222/195	60	221	7	1	39%	9%	20	-1.7
✕George Soto 2010 · A	24	34	33→40	44→45	37	163/212/208	45	233	1	8	29%	4%	19	-4.6	161/236/226	65	216	4	8	26%	8%	33	-3.6	123/213/184	60	156	5	7	23%	9%	16	-1.6
✕Sandy Mota 2019 · A	22	36	36→30	48→55	40	176/230/241	65	247	3	14	29%	6%	33	-3.6	195/248/281	86	306	6	11	36%	6%	49	-2.4	160/209/259	99	268	10	13	42%	5%	27	-0.8
✕Tyler Moore 2016 · A	23	39	34→30	50→45	40	186/236/241	55	259	2	15	28%	5%	35	-3.4	199/250/260	61	284	3	9	29%	6%	45	-2.7	191/239/233	42	272	2	5	29%	5%	32	-1.5
✕Nick Lovullo 2017 · A	23	38	36→30	45→40	38	187/231/253	66	265	4	6	30%	5%	36	-3.4	200/254/264	64	266	4	5	25%	6%	47	-2.5	191/247/244	54	255	3	3	25%	6%	37	-1.6
✕Javier Guevara 2021 · A	23	39	38→30	48→45	37	190/224/266	76	253	5	5	27%	4%	36	-3.4	194/264/292	98	350	9	6	43%	8%	59	-1.7	134/227/219	85	265	11	0	49%	10%	28	-1.1
✕Chais Fuller 2008 · A	23	38	35→30	41→40	38	182/238/245	63	269	3	6	32%	5%	38	-3.2	196/240/272	76	267	4	4	27%	4%	44	-2.8	189/229/261	72	253	4	2	26%	3%	35	-1.4
✕Juan Moreno 2017 · A	22	37	34→30	44→50	39	180/216/220	40	236	2	10	24%	4%	22	-4.3	172/216/222	50	235	3	7	27%	5%	23	-4.3	133/180/157	24	183	1	5	27%	5%	-7	-3.6
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	36	38→30	46→50	37	180/220/257	76	248	6	7	30%	4%	32	-3.6	208/248/279	71	283	4	6	26%	4%	48	-2.5	215/244/266	51	284	2	3	24%	3%	39	-1.2
✕Warren Schaeffer 2008 · A	23	38	34→30	48→40	41	182/237/236	53	238	2	7	24%	5%	35	-3.4	198/241/269	71	267	4	6	26%	4%	43	-2.8	198/240/262	64	271	3	2	27%	4%	38	-1.3
✕Jesus Graterol 2018 · A	21	36	34→30	47→45	36	172/217/226	54	251	1	9	31%	4%	24	-4.2	192/247/263	71	296	4	8	34%	6%	45	-2.7	168/227/222	55	268	4	5	37%	5%	27	-0.7
✕Francisco Contreras 2015 · A	23	37	37→40	45	42	182/239/253	70	248	5	8	28%	6%	40	-3.1	187/231/261	74	272	4	6	31%	5%	38	-3.2	150/181/209	59	217	0	2	30%	3%	5	-1.9
✕Ricardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	23	41	36→30	47→30	40	198/247/263	65	264	4	5	26%	5%	45	-2.7	214/276/311	97	287	8	6	27%	6%	67	-1.1	198/268/286	88	260	8	0	26%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Ben Verlander 2015 · A	23	39→34	37→40	44→40	35	190/218/258	68	263	5	7	29%	3%	31	-3.7	189/234/265	76	265	5	4	29%	5%	40	-3.1	182/230/253	71	253	5	2	29%	5%	35	-1.9
✕Kyle Dhanani 2011 · A	23	38	35→30	46→45	35	180/232/240	60	290	2	9	37%	5%	34	-3.5	198/242/268	70	293	4	8	32%	5%	44	-2.8	188/225/240	52	271	3	7	31%	3%	27	-1.7
✕Randy Gress 2008 · A	23	36	38→30	50→40	39	176/231/252	76	256	5	7	32%	6%	36	-3.3	175/216/246	71	272	5	5	36%	5%	29	-3.8	162/202/227	65	245	5	2	35%	4%	17	-1.5
✕Santiago Chávez 2018 · A	22	35	35→30	45→30	34	174/210/232	58	258	3	4	33%	4%	23	-4.3	184/225/249	65	285	4	5	35%	5%	33	-3.6	143/205/196	53	222	4	1	36%	5%	12	-1.6