Moises Alcala — OGILVIE

Moises AlcalaC ACL D-backs

Age 23 S/R 5'9" / 155 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION79 act + 7 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .286 / .167

PA7

HR0

K%43

BB%14

BABIP296

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL D-backs 2	—	69	59	12	2	1	0	7	16	2	0	0	203	309	271	580	68	273	23	10	271	69	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	19	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	114	99	30	5	0	4	13	24	2	2	2	303	395	475	869	172	366	21	11	388	149	+7	-0	—	—	+2	0.9
2023	20	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	34	25	3	0	1	0	9	11	0	0	0	120	353	200	553	80	214	32	26	285	79	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	—	69	62	9	1	1	0	4	23	2	0	0	145	221	194	414	48	211	33	6	187	13	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	—	114	103	21	3	0	3	9	35	2	2	2	204	281	320	601	117	276	31	8	266	66	-5	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	—	34	28	2	0	1	0	6	15	0	0	0	71	235	143	378	71	163	44	18	183	10	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	—	69	62	9	1	1	0	4	23	2	0	0	145	221	194	414	48	225	33	6	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 2	—	69	59	12	2	1	0	7	16	2	0	0	203	309	271	580	68	273	23	10	271	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	—	114	103	21	3	0	3	9	35	2	2	2	204	281	320	601	117	277	31	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs Black	—	114	99	30	5	0	4	13	24	2	2	2	303	395	475	869	172	366	21	11	388	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	—	34	28	2	0	1	0	6	15	0	0	0	71	235	143	378	71	154	44	18	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Black	—	34	25	3	0	1	0	9	11	0	0	0	120	353	200	553	80	214	32	26	285	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	—	69	63	9	1	1	0	4	23	2	0	0	143	221	190	411	48	211	33	6	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	—	114	102	21	3	0	3	9	35	2	2	2	206	281	324	604	118	276	31	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	—	34	28	2	0	1	0	6	15	0	0	0	71	235	143	378	71	163	44	18	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	—	34	28	2	0	1	0	6	15	0	0	0	71	235	143	378	71	163	44	18	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	ROK MLE	ARI	—	79	72	13	2	1	3	6	36	0	0	0	181	244	361	605	181	294	46	8	249	55	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	ROK RAW	ARI	—	60	52	14	2	1	2	7	21	0	0	0	269	356	462	817	192	400	35	12	356	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A RAW	ARI	—	19	17	4	1	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	235	316	647	963	412	182	21	11	408	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	ROK MLE	ARI	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		289	43	14	256	59	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	ROK MLE	ARI	—	86	78	14	2	1	3	7	39	0	0	0	179	247	346	593	167	297	45	8	249	55	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ARI	30%	141	128	25	4	1	3	11	50	1	1	0	195	264	312	577	117	288	35	8	263	64	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	44%	247	223	44	7	2	6	20	84	2	2	1	197	269	327	597	130	289	34	8	269	68	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	ARI	51%	323	292	60	10	3	8	26	109	2	2	1	205	275	342	617	137	289	34	8	272	70	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	363	328	67	11	3	9	30	121	2	3	1	204	275	338	613	134	289	33	8	274	71	-12	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	388	350	71	12	3	9	32	130	3	3	1	203	275	331	607	129	288	34	8	273	71	-14	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	395	356	71	12	3	9	33	133	3	3	1	199	273	326	599	126	287	34	8	271	69	-14	+0	-1	+7	+9	0.0
2033	30	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	398	359	71	12	3	9	33	135	3	2	1	198	271	323	594	125	285	34	8	268	67	-15	+0	-2	+7	+9	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	ARI	30%	42	39	7	1	0	1	3	15	0	0	0	179	238	282	520	103	295	36	7	262	64	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	44%	109	98	20	4	1	2	9	37	1	1	0	204	278	327	604	122	295	34	8	267	68	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	ARI	51%	164	149	31	5	2	4	13	55	1	1	0	208	276	349	625	141	295	34	8	270	70	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	190	171	35	6	2	4	16	63	1	1	1	205	277	333	610	129	295	33	8	271	71	-6	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	207	187	39	7	2	5	17	69	1	1	1	209	278	348	626	139	294	33	8	270	71	-7	-0	-0	+4	+4	0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	208	188	39	7	2	5	17	70	1	1	1	207	277	346	622	138	293	34	8	269	69	-8	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	207	187	38	7	2	4	17	70	1	1	0	203	273	326	599	123	292	34	8	266	67	-8	+0	-1	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1127	1019	209	37	11	25	92	379	6	6	3	205	275	337	611	132	296	34	8	269	67	-41	+0	-2	+20	+24	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	119	21	6	14	53	219	3	3	2	202	271	330	601	128	293	34	8	269	67	-24	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2479	2235	442	72	20	56	205	838	20	18	8	198	271	323	594	125	285	34	8	267	67	-83	+1	-4	+40	+49	0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	116	19	5	15	54	220	5	5	2	198	271	324	596	126	285	34	8	267	67	-24	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1René Riveralast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	42	1	221	273	354	+29	+90	11.7	11.8
/162	664	17	0	+11.9	+37.2	4.9	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.8	1,182	27	8	201	270	329	+21	+16	1.1	1.1
/162	664	15	5	+11.9	+9.0	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Moises Alcala (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	188/257/305	117	289	1	0	37%	8%	59	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gerrion Grim 2017 · A	23	34	41→55	46→40	31	169/216/260	92	299	9	6	45%	5%	33	-3.6	196/236/332	136	286	18	5	37%	4%	57	-1.8	183/216/336	152	239	24	2	35%	3%	47	-1.6
✕Kyle Robinson 2012 · A	23	35	41→45	51→30	39	178/228/284	107	247	8	4	31%	6%	43	-2.8	205/255/294	89	300	5	5	31%	6%	55	-2.0	210/261/310	100	314	5	1	33%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Drew Lugbauer 2021 · A	24	33→34	45→60	46→30	31	170/221/287	117	296	14	3	46%	6%	41	-3.0	188/258/364	176	315	24	2	45%	8%	74	-0.5	182/258/377	195	292	28	1	46%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Josh Lester 2017 · A	23	40→42	39→55	50→40	35	192/237/273	81	293	6	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	209/252/336	127	273	13	3	28%	5%	63	-1.3	198/252/356	158	254	20	1	30%	6%	68	-0.8
✕Jimmy Pickens 2015 · A	23	36	39→40	48→45	35	180/226/266	86	279	6	7	36%	5%	37	-3.3	195/241/280	85	306	5	9	36%	5%	46	-2.6	192/228/280	88	290	6	8	35%	4%	38	-1.9
✕Jordan Renz 2006 · A	23	35→28	41→45	43→45	34	174/225/260	86	291	10	7	42%	6%	36	-3.4	175/222/310	135	295	18	5	45%	5%	47	-2.5	160/205/305	145	260	21	4	46%	4%	39	-2.4
✕Isaac Galloway 2013 · A	23	35→42	42→45	47→55	28	182/208/284	102	282	10	10	39%	3%	34	-3.5	195/221/288	93	287	7	16	34%	3%	40	-3.1	209/257/350	142	277	17	25	31%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Daniel Montano 2021 · A	22	35→45	39→45	48→50	36	176/216/262	86	249	6	10	32%	5%	32	-3.6	210/275/311	101	320	8	8	34%	8%	66	-1.1	203/278/309	107	310	9	6	35%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Adanson Cruz 2023 · A	22	41	39→40	47→50	29	162/226/241	79	381	7	6	55%	7%	33	-3.6	196/265/276	80	346	5	9	41%	7%	55	-1.9	195/279/247	53	325	0	10	36%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Travis Ozga 2010 · A	23	40	35→40	45	36	184/241/243	59	316	3	9	40%	6%	38	-3.2	210/258/283	73	282	6	6	26%	6%	53	-2.1	205/253/273	69	263	7	4	24%	6%	46	-0.9
✕Ian Gac 2008 · A	22	34→42	45→55	46→40	26	173/210/290	117	315	14	5	48%	4%	37	-3.3	208/258/369	161	311	22	3	39%	5%	75	-0.5	205/259/363	158	285	19	2	34%	6%	71	-0.7
✕Kelvin De Leon 2013 · A	22	36→30	39→45	41→40	34	182/228/263	81	279	7	4	36%	5%	38	-3.2	196/241/287	91	286	8	6	33%	5%	48	-2.5	178/215/262	84	250	9	4	32%	4%	30	-1.8
✕David Christensen 2009 · A	21	34→32	43→50	47→50	27	165/212/271	106	318	11	9	50%	4%	34	-3.5	176/227/302	126	325	13	15	47%	5%	47	-2.5	164/218/295	131	301	14	18	48%	5%	39	-1.8
✕DJ Gladney 2022 · A	21	38→44	41→50	49→50	27	159/221/251	92	362	10	4	55%	6%	33	-3.6	178/229/306	128	308	15	8	45%	5%	49	-2.4	208/249/355	146	319	19	13	40%	4%	65	-0.9
✕Andrew Ray 2012 · A	21	36	38→55	50	35	173/229/245	72	298	6	7	42%	6%	34	-3.5	185/216/305	120	289	12	4	39%	4%	42	-2.9	167/192/300	133	257	14	2	41%	3%	30	-1.3
✕Stephen Cardullo 2011 · A	23	42→46	36→50	45	37	192/250/254	62	318	3	6	38%	6%	44	-2.8	208/268/331	123	289	12	5	31%	6%	69	-0.9	215/268/338	123	252	11	6	19%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2019 · A	21	36→45	40→50	46→45	31	176/222/262	86	307	8	6	44%	5%	35	-3.4	202/249/314	112	315	12	6	38%	5%	57	-1.8	215/287/377	162	320	23	6	38%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Chuckie Jones 2013 · A	21	39→40	40→45	49→50	29	172/226/259	88	345	7	6	50%	6%	36	-3.3	195/253/307	112	304	12	9	38%	6%	57	-1.8	193/251/307	115	286	13	9	36%	6%	55	-1.3
✕Nick Pratto 2021 · A	22	37→45	42→55	49→50	33	179/230/279	100	307	10	13	43%	6%	42	-2.9	200/287/381	181	293	22	9	37%	10%	88	+0.5	194/287/372	178	283	22	7	37%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Kristian Brito 2017 · A	22	39→32	41→50	47→40	32	187/227/278	91	317	9	5	42%	5%	40	-3.0	197/244/302	105	345	11	6	43%	6%	53	-2.1	145/191/237	91	265	11	0	48%	5%	14	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps