Moises Alcala

C ACL D-backs
Age 24 S/R 5'9" / 155 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202219ROKDSL D-backs B…114.303/.395/.4754245—.176/.263/.265
202320ROKACL D-backs B…34.120/.353/.200009—.071/.235/.143
202623A/ROKARI79.261/.346/.5074047—.164/.218/.301
2027PROJMLE24MLBARI200.194/.255/.31042580.0
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBARI30.202/.264/.3261061-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO81
wRC+49
wOBA39
Chase%30
BB%25
Speed24
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsGerrion Grim (age 23) · Ben Verlander (age 24) · Travis Ozga (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .253 / .307
PA58
HR1
K%36
BB%7
ISO116
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKDSL D-backs 2 — 6959 12210 7162 00 203309271580 68273 2310 271 7 — — — — — —
202219 ROKDSL D-backs Black — 11499 30504 13242 22 303395475869 172366 2111 388 45 — — — — — —
202320 ROKACL D-backs Black — 3425 3010 9110 00 120353200553 80214 3226 285 9 — — — — — —
202623 AVisalia Rawhide — 1917 4102 240 00 235316647963 412182 2111 408 86 — — — — — —
202623 ROKACL D-backs — 6052 14212 7210 00 269356462817 192400 3512 356 34 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEDSL D-backs 2 — 6961 8110 5192 00 131221180401 49177 287 179 7 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEDSL D-backs Black — 114102 18302 10302 22 176263265528 88224 269 234 45 — — — — — —
202320 ROK MLEACL D-backs Black — 3428 2010 6150 00 71235143378 71163 4418 182 9 — — — — — —
202623 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 1918 3101 150 00 167211389599 222152 265 296 86 — — — — — —
202623 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 6055 9111 4300 00 164220273493 109300 507 218 34 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEDSL D-backs 2 — 6961 8110 5192 00 131221180401 49186 287 179 7 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWDSL D-backs 2 — 6959 12210 7162 00 203309271580 68273 2310 271 7 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEDSL D-backs Black — 114102 18302 10302 22 176263265528 88229 269 234 45 — — — — — —
202219 ROK RAWDSL D-backs Black — 11499 30504 13242 22 303395475869 172366 2111 388 45 — — — — — —
202320 ROK MLEACL D-backs Black — 3428 2010 6150 00 71235143378 71154 4418 182 9 — — — — — —
202320 ROK RAWACL D-backs Black — 3425 3010 9110 00 120353200553 80214 3226 285 9 — — — — — —
202623 ROK MLE2 teams — 7972 13213 6360 00 181244361605 181294 468 237 46 — — — — — —
202623 ROK RAW2 teams — 7969 18314 9250 00 261346507853 246341 3211 369 46 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEDSL D-backs 2 — 6962 8110 5192 00 129221177398 48177 287 179 7 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEDSL D-backs Black — 114101 18302 10302 22 178263267530 89224 269 234 45 — — — — — —
202320 ROK MLEACL D-backs Black — 3428 2010 6150 00 71235143378 71163 4418 182 9 — — — — — —
202623 ROK MLE2 teams — 7973 13213 6360 00 178244356600 178264 468 237 46 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202623 ROK MLE2 teams — 7973 13213 6360 00 178244356600 178264 468 237 46 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEARI 0% 200183 36624 14721 21 194255310565 116289 367 254 58 -10 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEARI 30% 10092 18312 7351 10 197259316575 119289 357 259 61 -5 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.0
202825 MLB CTXARI 30% 3028 6101 2110 00 202264326590 124300 377 265 61 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3028 6101 2110 00 214267357624 143312 377 265 42 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650607 13122022 432380 00 216268361628 145314 377 265 42 -30 +0 +0 +12 +14 -0.4
Career— MLE — 454409 691148 381565 42 169248274522 105247 348 230 42 -7 +0 +0 +3 +3 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650586 9916611 542237 63 169247273520 104248 348 230 42 -31 +2 +0 +12 +14 -0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL D-backs · 60 PAwOBA .353 → .218 (−135)K% 35.0% → 50.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.00%÷1.000×1.440——50.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.67%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9656.98%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Singles /BIP29.03%÷1.000×0.820—×0.96522.97%
Doubles /BIP6.45%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9654.48%
Triples /BIP3.23%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9652.24%
Home runs /BIP6.45%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9654.86%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .353 → .218; ISO .192 → .116; BABIP .400 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AVisalia Rawhide · 19 PAwOBA .395 → .296 (−99)K% 21.1% → 28.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷1.000×1.360——28.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.53%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9907.19%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9900.00%
Singles /BIP7.69%÷1.000×0.920—×0.9907.01%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9906.32%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP15.38%÷1.000×0.800—×0.99012.18%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .395 → .296; ISO .412 → .308; BABIP .182 → .152. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL D-backs Black · 34 PAwOBA .281 → .182 (−99)K% 32.4% → 45.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.35%÷1.030×1.440——45.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA26.47%÷1.001×0.620—×0.99516.31%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP14.29%÷1.073×0.820—×0.99510.86%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.966×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Triples /BIP7.14%÷0.950×0.720—×0.9955.39%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.038×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 115, 2B 93, 3B 90, K 106, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .281 → .182; ISO .080 → .056; BABIP .214 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL D-backs Black · 114 PAwOBA .378 → .234 (−144)K% 21.1% → 26.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷0.978×1.220——26.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.40%÷0.927×0.700—×0.9958.57%
HBP% /PA1.75%—×0.700—×0.9951.22%
Singles /BIP28.00%÷1.014×0.680×0.976×0.99518.23%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷1.104×0.600×0.976×0.9953.52%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.600×0.976×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP5.33%÷0.896×0.470—×0.9952.78%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 103, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 96, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .378 → .234; ISO .172 → .087; BABIP .366 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL D-backs 2 · 69 PAwOBA .268 → .179 (−89)K% 23.2% → 27.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.19%÷1.022×1.220——27.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.14%÷1.011×0.700—×1.0087.08%
HBP% /PA2.90%—×0.700—×1.0082.04%
Singles /BIP20.93%÷1.020×0.680×0.990×1.00813.92%
Doubles /BIP4.65%÷0.997×0.600×0.990×1.0082.79%
Triples /BIP2.33%÷1.000×0.600×0.990×1.0081.39%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .268 → .179; ISO .068 → .041; BABIP .273 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).