Arol Vera

SS Salt Lake Bees

Age 24 S/R 6'2" / 230 lbs AAA K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AALAA	95	.167/.222/.250	1	0	9	—	.153/.200/.235
2025	22	A+LAA	230	.230/.330/.375	5	2	57	—	.188/.265/.303
2026	23	AAALAA	147	.211/.281/.278	0	1	40	—	.199/.253/.257
2027PROJ10% MLB	24	MLBLAA	17	.184/.240/.255	0	0	41	-0.1
2028PROJ35% MLB	25	MLBLAA	103	.190/.247/.274	1	1	48	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed65

Whiff%45

Z-Con%44

K%31

Max EV30

Chase%24

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsEdgar Duran (age 24) · Logan Moore (age 24) · Warren Saunders (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .240 / .255

PA17

HR0

K%29

BB%6

BABIP260

ISO62

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	90	82	23	0	0	0	6	20	2	9	2	280	344	280	625		371	22	7	294	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	ACL Angels	—	164	145	46	16	3	0	12	39	5	2	2	317	389	469	858	152	426	24	7	377	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	551	487	101	16	4	4	53	149	6	19	7	207	293	281	574	74	287	27	10	266	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	60	56	16	1	0	2	1	10	1	2	0	286	310	411	721	125	304	17	2	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	491	438	101	16	2	3	34	128	4	10	5	231	292	297	589	66	311	26	7	263	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	277	251	43	10	0	1	19	84	2	1	5	171	235	223	458	52	250	30	7	212	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	122	109	22	3	0	1	12	31	1	2	0	202	287	257	544	55	273	25	10	257	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	95	84	14	4	0	1	3	27	3	0	0	167	222	250	472	83	224	28	3	207	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	230	200	46	10	2	5	27	47	3	2	0	230	330	375	705	145	277	20	12	321	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	147	133	28	7	1	0	11	39	2	1	1	211	281	278	559	68	298	27	7	257	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	90	84	21	0	0	0	4	28	2	9	2	250	300	250	550		372	31	4	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	164	149	33	10	2	0	8	56	5	2	2	221	284	315	599	94	341	34	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	551	502	82	12	3	3	38	204	6	19	7	163	231	217	448	54	263	37	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	60	56	17	1	0	2	1	12	1	2	0	304	328	429	756	125	313	20	2	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	491	448	96	15	1	2	24	164	4	10	5	214	261	266	526	51	310	33	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	277	256	37	8	0	1	14	105	2	1	5	145	195	188	382	43	232	38	5	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	122	113	21	3	0	1	8	41	1	2	0	186	246	239	485	53	268	34	7	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	95	85	13	4	0	1	2	33	3	0	0	153	200	235	435	82	203	35	2	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	230	208	39	8	2	4	19	62	3	2	0	188	265	303	568	115	245	27	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	147	136	27	6	1	0	8	47	2	1	1	199	253	257	511	59	297	32	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	254	233	54	10	2	0	12	84	7	11	4	232	290	292	582	60	358	33	5	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	254	227	69	16	3	0	18	59	7	11	4	304	373	401	774	97	406	23	7	348	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	551	502	82	12	3	3	38	204	6	19	7	163	231	217	448	54	264	37	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	—	551	487	101	16	4	4	53	149	6	19	7	207	293	281	574	74	287	27	10	266	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	551	504	112	16	1	4	25	176	5	12	5	222	266	282	548	60	323	32	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	551	494	117	17	2	5	35	138	5	12	5	237	294	310	604	73	310	25	6	268	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	399	369	58	11	0	2	22	146	3	3	5	157	211	203	414	46	251	37	6	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	399	360	65	13	0	2	31	115	3	3	5	181	251	233	485	53	257	29	8	225	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	325	293	52	12	2	5	21	95	6	2	0	177	247	283	530	106	241	29	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	325	284	60	14	2	6	30	74	6	2	0	211	300	338	638	127	262	23	9	287	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	147	136	27	6	1	0	8	47	2	1	1	199	253	257	511	59	303	32	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	—	147	133	28	7	1	0	11	39	2	1	1	211	281	278	559	68	298	27	7	257	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	254	233	54	10	2	0	12	84	7	11	4	232	290	292	582	60	352	33	5	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	551	502	82	12	3	3	38	204	6	19	7	163	231	217	448	54	263	37	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	551	516	112	16	1	4	25	176	5	12	5	217	266	275	541	58	310	32	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	399	371	58	11	0	2	22	146	3	3	5	156	211	202	413	46	243	37	6	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	325	295	52	12	2	5	21	95	6	2	0	176	247	281	528	105	233	29	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	147	136	27	6	1	0	8	47	2	1	1	199	253	257	511	59	297	32	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	399	371	58	11	0	2	22	146	3	3	5	156	211	202	413	46	243	37	6	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	325	295	52	12	2	5	21	95	6	2	0	176	247	281	528	105	233	29	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	147	136	27	6	1	0	8	47	2	1	1	199	253	257	511	59	297	32	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	LAA	10%	200	184	34	8	1	1	11	59	3	2	1	186	241	258	500	73	263	30	6	228	41	-14	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	LAA	10%	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	184	240	255	495	71	260	29	6	227	41	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAA	35%	296	273	51	11	1	3	17	87	4	2	2	191	248	277	525	85	265	29	6	239	48	-18	-0	+0	+3	+6	-0.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAA	35%	103	95	18	4	0	1	6	30	1	1	1	190	247	274	521	84	262	29	6	237	48	-6	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	103	95	18	4	0	1	6	30	1	1	1	189	245	263	508	74	262	29	6	237	39	-6	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	113	25	0	6	38	189	6	6	6	188	244	260	504	72	260	29	6	237	39	-40	-1	+0	+7	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2695	2469	466	85	11	18	152	890	35	51	25	189	246	254	500	65	283	33	6	225	39	-31	-1	+0	+5	+10	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	113	21	3	4	37	215	8	12	6	190	246	255	502	66	286	33	6	225	39	-42	-1	+0	+7	+14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Arol Vera (OGILVIE)	24	40	40	40	50	184/239/256	72	263	1	1	30%	5%	41	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Edgar Duran 2015 · AAA	24	45→46	37→40	43→50	40	215/256/287	73	272	5	9	23%	4%	53	-2.1	204/254/280	76	255	5	8	21%	5%	51	-2.2	188/245/239	51	240	2	0	21%	5%	36	-0.8
✕Logan Moore 2015 · AA	24	38	38→40	40→30	41	188/241/269	82	261	5	3	29%	6%	44	-2.8	205/253/299	94	282	8	3	29%	6%	55	-2.0	197/244/289	92	272	10	0	30%	6%	48	-1.0
✕Warren Saunders 2023 · AAA	24	39	37→40	41→30	37	190/240/261	71	278	5	3	32%	5%	42	-2.9	192/240/274	82	285	7	6	33%	5%	45	-2.7	129/164/167	38	190	4	0	34%	4%	-10	-1.3
✕Peter Van Gansen 2018 · AAA	24	42→41	35→40	42→30	45	198/250/254	56	254	2	4	22%	6%	43	-2.8	207/255/302	95	257	9	3	22%	6%	57	-1.8	200/249/300	100	241	11	0	22%	6%	52	-1.3
✕Delvis Morales 2015 · AAA	24	44	35→30	44→50	45	206/272/264	58	288	3	9	28%	8%	55	-2.0	210/274/276	66	313	4	11	32%	7%	58	-1.7	191/255/206	15	303	0	15	34%	5%	32	-1.0
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA	24	39→37	38→40	42→45	46	187/272/266	79	264	6	8	29%	8%	56	-1.9	176/250/244	68	255	4	8	30%	7%	42	-2.9	151/222/201	49	225	2	6	31%	6%	20	-2.7
✕Sahid Valenzuela 2023 · AA	25	39	39→30	43→45	40	193/245/277	84	259	7	5	28%	5%	47	-2.5	201/244/259	58	262	4	6	23%	5%	42	-2.9	196/238/233	38	250	2	6	22%	4%	31	-1.9
✕Andrew Ely 2017 · AAA	24	42→44	37→30	40	40	202/252/272	70	275	5	6	28%	5%	49	-2.4	204/276/281	77	272	5	4	25%	8%	60	-1.6	194/276/268	74	254	4	1	23%	9%	57	-0.9
✕Jio Mier 2015 · AAA	24	41→44	38→40	42→50	44	199/259/272	73	268	6	9	27%	7%	52	-2.2	204/261/290	86	266	7	8	25%	7%	57	-1.8	196/252/279	82	253	6	7	24%	6%	48	-1.3
✕Michael De La Cruz 2018 · AA	25	44→43	38→40	45→50	43	212/263/295	83	280	5	7	26%	6%	57	-1.8	220/285/331	111	294	8	6	26%	8%	74	-0.5	213/295/355	142	265	15	2	25%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Alberto Triunfel 2018 · AA	24	41	38→40	40→45	40	202/239/281	79	259	6	7	24%	4%	45	-2.7	193/237/276	83	272	6	6	30%	5%	43	-2.8	174/220/251	77	250	5	4	31%	5%	29	-2.0
✕Channy Ortiz 2023 · A	24	41	37→40	45	42	192/265/267	76	289	4	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	205/264/287	82	288	5	9	29%	6%	57	-1.8	200/251/270	70	275	4	9	27%	5%	45	-1.2
✕Logan Ice 2019 · AA	24	39	40	47→30	42	190/255/280	90	276	8	3	32%	8%	52	-2.2	191/261/278	87	282	8	4	32%	8%	54	-2.0	155/238/220	65	223	8	0	32%	9%	31	-1.7
✕Kevin Josephina 2021 · A	24	43	36→40	42→50	39	204/250/275	71	291	3	7	30%	6%	48	-2.5	212/254/298	86	323	6	9	34%	5%	55	-2.0	204/237/280	76	318	5	8	36%	4%	40	-1.4
✕Ryan Dent 2013 · AAA	24	42→44	38→40	44→50	42	204/259/274	70	278	6	9	28%	6%	51	-2.2	213/265/295	82	293	6	12	28%	6%	59	-1.7	208/259/293	85	288	6	12	28%	5%	54	-1.1
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	46→50	41	187/264/259	71	271	7	10	31%	6%	52	-2.2	177/268/264	87	291	8	12	39%	8%	55	-1.9	149/254/236	86	262	7	16	41%	8%	43	-1.6
✕Gabriel Lino 2017 · AAA	24	42	40	38→30	38	206/255/293	88	289	8	3	31%	5%	55	-2.0	212/268/313	101	312	8	4	33%	6%	65	-1.2	210/268/309	99	315	6	0	33%	6%	63	-0.7
✕Jose Camarena 2009 · AA	25	42	40	42→45	39	207/250/295	88	281	8	5	29%	5%	53	-2.1	205/252/290	85	266	7	8	24%	5%	53	-2.1	142/185/183	40	176	0	4	18%	4%	3	-1.0
✕Emmanuel Marrero 2017 · A	24	42→44	37→40	41→45	40	204/244/272	68	260	5	5	24%	5%	45	-2.7	205/252/285	80	286	6	9	29%	5%	51	-2.2	194/244/270	76	277	5	10	30%	5%	42	-1.4
✕Jake DePew 2016 · AA	24	42	38→40	39→30	40	203/255/280	77	291	6	3	31%	6%	51	-2.2	204/253/301	97	274	10	6	28%	6%	56	-1.9	187/235/274	87	240	11	3	27%	6%	41	-1.1